Pension Plan Puppets: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Around SBN: The Slow Decline of Duke

Profiles in Awfulness: Andrew Raycroft

I was originally going to write this just as a FanPost on Mile High Hockey but I figured that you would all want to enjoy in the hilarity of Andrew Raycroft being seen as an NHL-calibre goalie. It also inspired me to put down as an idea a series of posts that may (or may not) ever get off the ground Profiles in Awfulness which will take similar looks at other (and there are probably too many to ever do the series justice) terrible Maple Leafs. Without further ado, the first installment:

Joe @ MHH brought up this Adrian Dater blog post last week and I meant to post this then but real-life intervened so bear with me as I proceed to create the same sense of dread in Avs fans as my fellow Leaf fans felt all last season knowing that Mr. Raycroft could go in net at any moment. All that they need to know to make them pucker up at the thought of seeing "Starting Goalie - A. Raycroft" on a game sheet can be found in the archives here.

Star-divide

Adrian Dater:
Basically, the former Calder Trophy winner is excited to be coming to the Avs and glad to be out of Toronto. Raycroft ripped the Toronto media some, for taking comments he made about not watching much hockey away from the rink and branding him as a guy who isn’t dedicated to the game. "I made it to the NHL and have spent the last 20 years of my life dedicated to hockey. I think that shows some commitment," Raycroft said.
Koopa Kid:
To be fair to Raycroft in regards to what’s being quoted, he’s correct, the reason he sucked wasn’t because he didn’t watch enough hockey. He sucks because he is terrible at hockey.
Adrian Dater:
He said he’s looking forward to working with a full-time goalie coach in Jeff Hackett, instead of just a part-timer like the Leafs had, in Bob Essensa. He said he’s working out hard this summer, and is currently in Denver looking for a place for the coming year.
Down Goes Brown:
I found one reference to Essensa having a stint as the Bruins goalie coach. Maybe the reporter is confused.

Wait… is it possible that Raycroft thought a guy who worked for the Bruins was still his goalie coach? Shit, that would explain so much!

"Andrew, on those high shots, you really need to work on keeping your glove hand down by your side."
"OK coach!"

Turns out that either Dater or Raycroft had no clue what he was talking about as Raycroft did have a full-time goalie coach during his time in Toronto and it was not Bob Essensa but Steve McKichan. Of course, maybe Andrew wanted to fudge the facts to make it seem like he might have a chance to improve on his 3.92 GAA, .876 Sv% and 2-9-5 record.

Adrian Dater:
His overall assessment of his future: "I know I still have it."

That wouldn't be so funny if he had actually just had one down year. However, courtesy of JavaGeek, here are a couple of graphs that illustrate just how bad the 2006-2007 season was for Andy. Remember, this was the year that he set the Leafs' record for wins in a season with 37 and it certainly helps to fight the argument that he sucked because the Leafs were terrible (they were but Raycroft's crappiness came independent of the Leafs').

Raycroft_medium

.791 Sv% on his glove hand? Maybe DGB's theory was right. Here's another looking at shots from different areas on the ice:

Raycroft_areas_medium

Basically, Raycroft has trouble stopping any shots that came from prime scoring areas on the ice.

And how were the end days of the Raycroft era in Toronto received?

Alternately well...

Andrew Raycroft, seen here doing the only thing he's good at (staring incredulously at pucks in the net), was waived by the Leafs today. Let's all join hands, look up at the sky and say "thank you God, or Cliff, or the spirit of Conn Smythe or whoever".

and with a hearty chuckle

In the "write-your-own-punch line" category the Avalanche have signed Andrew "exploding glove" Raycroft to a one-year deal. I can only conclude they can't get Centre Ice TV, the Internet, radio or newspapers in Denver. 

So make sure that you pray/sacrifice/hope every night to ensure that Peter Budaj remains healthy and that Andrew Raycroft's shadow does not darken the Avalanche's crease because I would hate to see another fan base fall victim to his special brand of laissez-in goaltending and "could not care less" approach to hockey.

0 recs  |  Comment 25 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

More from Pension Plan Puppets

Saying Goodbye: Vesa Toskala

Feb 2010 by PPP - 75 comments

Profiles in Awfulness - Jamal Mayers

Jan 2010 by PPP - 67 comments

Comments

Display:

avs fans

poor bastards, I wouldn’t wish Raycroft on anyone…except maybe Sens fans…or habs fans….or rangers fans….

Because Taking The Leafs Seriously Is Not An Option

by JaredFromLondon on Aug 5, 2008 1:07 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

No kidding

They’re good people. They seem a little shocked by the anti-Raycroft sentiment out of Toronto but in about 2 months that will be cleared up.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 5, 2008 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

perhaps this can lead to some cross-conference bonding.. avs fans, leafs fans.. united in the beliefs that raycroft sucks and tucker rules!

by LeafFanInVan on Aug 5, 2008 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Avs fans bonded last year with Penguins fans over a shared hatred of the Red Wings.

Considering both Avs fans and Leafs fans will have to endure the retirement/departure of their beloved veteran captains, this year would probably be as good as any to bond.

At least you got Jeff Finger. He’s not worth the money he’s making now, but he’s a good defenseman and you’ll probably like him.

Go Avs! Let's get some goals!

by Joe Dunman on Aug 6, 2008 11:56 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Misery loves company.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 6, 2008 12:11 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We can’t make too many friends. First the Caps and now the Avs are ok but let’s make sure we remember that eventually we’ll have to hate each other (ie in 2012 when the Leafs win the Cup)

by David Danforth on Aug 6, 2008 1:48 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I’ve actually been working on a piece about how bad Raycroft is. A buddy of mine is really into baseball stats such as VORP (value over replacement player), which basically says how good a player is compared to an average replacement player.

So for instance, a good player in baseball like A-Rod has a VORP of 97, that means (from the Sporting News, but really Baseball Prospectus invented all of these stats)

Value Over Replacement Player (VORP) represents the number of runs a player contributes beyond a replacement player at the same position. Rodriguez led the majors among position players in VORP with a mark of 97.

I’m figuring out how to apply a lot of these stats to hockey, but I would assume Andrew Raycroft has a negative VORP, meaning he probably lets in more goals than any average AHL callup, but the reason he’s still in the league is that he has a known name, and won the Calder trophy so he’s viewed as a project.

I was hoping to have stuff like this in a couple weeks, but maybe there’s no point. I dunno.

ps. I had my wisdom teeth out an hour ago. Ouch.

Darcy Tucker Fan Club*
* Blog contains less than 2% Darcy Tucker by weight.

by Chemmy on Aug 5, 2008 1:27 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Wooo, prescription pain killers!

Because Taking The Leafs Seriously Is Not An Option

by JaredFromLondon on Aug 5, 2008 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually, my mouth feels fine. I ate hard tacos for lunch an hour after the surgery because I’m fucking hardcore like that.

They gave me 20 tabs of hydrocodone, I’m not even taking advil.

Darcy Tucker Fan Club*
* Blog contains less than 2% Darcy Tucker by weight.

by Chemmy on Aug 5, 2008 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sabermetrics

I love those baseball stats. Guys like MC79, Hawerchuk, and Allan Ryder are doing some good work to try to create more helpful hockey statistics along the lines of VORP.

Hawerchuk runs Behind The Net and has done some work looking at expected save percentages based on the scoring percentages from where shots are taken.

Raycroft placed last 5 on 5 in December. He gave up almost 1 goal more per game than he should have.

He was actually better than expected 5 on 4.

Here are his 2007-2008 goaltender rankings.

Those should give you an idea of how some people are approaching the project and I hope that you do follow through with your efforts.

p.s. what Jared said!

p.p.s. wisdom teeth blow.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 5, 2008 1:46 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wisdom teeth blow.

Not if you’re doing it right.

Down Goes Brown - Because it's technically possible that things may get better before we all die.

by Down Goes Brown on Aug 5, 2008 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

wisdom teeth blow.

bow chicka bow wow!

But in all seriousness I’ll have to do that this winter break as I can actually feel them coming in and I don’t have enough time right now to get them done. I’m not looking forward to it, unless I can write some awesome painkiller-inspired “thoughts of a drunken Leafs fan”-esque posts in between lunching on my own blood.

Making stuff up since real Leafs news is far too depressing

by loser domi on Aug 5, 2008 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

thoughts of a pain killer high leafs fan

drooooooool

at least in my wisdom tooth experience it was.

Because Taking The Leafs Seriously Is Not An Option

by JaredFromLondon on Aug 5, 2008 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Seriously in less than an hour I felt fine. It’s no big deal.

Darcy Tucker Fan Club*
* Blog contains less than 2% Darcy Tucker by weight.

by Chemmy on Aug 5, 2008 7:13 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

well its not a matter of feeling fine, its a matter of having prescription pain killers to take advantage of!!

no, that didn’t sound bad AT ALL

Because Taking The Leafs Seriously Is Not An Option

by JaredFromLondon on Aug 5, 2008 7:30 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Did they cut open your gums? or just pull them out with pliers? I had the latter and laughed away for an afternoon and then was fine.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 6, 2008 9:07 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I dunno I was on an IV drip, but since the teeth were out of the gums, there wouldn’t have been much to cut.

Darcy Tucker Fan Club*
* Blog contains less than 2% Darcy Tucker by weight.

by Chemmy on Aug 6, 2008 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, out of the gums is the best.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 6, 2008 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

All three (yes, just three) of my wisdom teeth were out of the gums (or “erupted” in dentist-speak), so I stayed awake and the surgeon just yanked ‘em. I was sore and drugged for an afternoon and then fine.

Go Avs! Let's get some goals!

by Joe Dunman on Aug 6, 2008 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

My only complaint about the process: The assistant turned off the laughing gas about 10 seconds too soon.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 6, 2008 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I only had 1 erupted and the other three were impacted under the gum. I had me a good ol time on the recovery train.

Because Taking The Leafs Seriously Is Not An Option

by JaredFromLondon on Aug 6, 2008 1:58 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Raycroft and VORP

Tyler posted his math on Raycroft and VORP when the Leafs finally waived Raycroft.

Andrew Raycroft’s buyout might be the cheapest buyout ever that can be justified by that standard. He’s scheduled to make $2.2MM next year. The Leafs will have to pay him $1.474MM over the next two years. Can they get an equal or better goalie for $726K? I think that they probably can. Over his last 3,264 shots, Raycroft has a .887 save percentage, which is below any definition of replacement level.

Here’s the link to the rest of the article: http://www.mc79hockey.com/?p=2914

A life-long Toronto Maple Leafs fan comments on the team, the media and the exasperation...http://bitterleaf.blogspot.com

by mf37 on Aug 7, 2008 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Good Find

Those are brutal numbers.No way Cujo doesn’t vastly outperform those numbers.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 7, 2008 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

We all know Raycroft is below replacement level, but the problem is we need to define what exactly a replacement level goaltender is.

MC79’s analysis, while absolutely correct, isn’t terribly statistically significant. Sure Raycroft’s .887 SV% sucks, but at what point would it be a break even proposition to buy him out? .885? .895? .900?

Darcy Tucker Fan Club*
* Blog contains less than 2% Darcy Tucker by weight.

by Chemmy on Aug 7, 2008 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dollars for Percentage Points

One way would be to figure out what value the league places on each incremental percent above the average goalie. When the buyout plus replacement cost meets this line you have your answer. Dammit I am smart. Now someone else run the numbers!

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Aug 7, 2008 5:18 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog for the Toronto Maple Leafs.
Start posting about the Maple Leafs »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

800px-flag_of_new_brunswick
The Book of Rebuild, Chapter 35

Recent FanPosts

Small
I was at the parade in '67!
Dgb_small
Did Marc Crawford's son break the Lehtonen trade via twitter?
Ob_ax_190_1_small
Kessel vs. Malkin: A Graphical Comparison
Fml_copy_small
The top 5 reasons I'm glad I didn't trade those tickets for a used blender.
Buffalo_sabres_v_toronto_maple_leafs_3kqnv0wzt7fl_small
Leafs vs Devils February 5 (Photos)
Clipboard01_small
Can the Leafs still qualify for the Playoffs? Do I even want to know? I know you do!
Small
The Leafs need new jerseys...
Leafs_man_small
PPP Dictionary: "You're a Dick"
Axl_rose_01_small
Who had 'four days' in the pool?

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

StatCounter

wordpress visitor


Chief Blogging Officers

Calvin_small PPP

59_small Chemmy

PPP's Princesses

Alfie2_small Mattblack

Dscn1755_small wrap around curl

Mr_hanky_small Karina

Don_t_panic_small SkinnyFish

Contributing Bloggers

Clockwork_orr_cropped_small mf37

Tester_small Greener

Hitchhiker_42_small 1967ers