Special Teams [Stats!]
Something that caught my eye a few days ago was that shorthanded goals aren't factored into a team's PP and PK percentages. This doesn't make a lot of sense.
Imagine the following two imaginary teams, Chemmy's Crusaders, and PPP's Punchingbags:
| Team | PPG | PPO | PP% |
| CHE | 45 | 180 | 25% |
| PPP | 35 | 180 | 19% |
My team is clearly better on the power play, right?
What if I told you that Chemmy's Crusaders gave up 15 short handed goals, while PPP's Punchingbags only gave up 2? Clearly that changes things. In a sport like hockey, the fact is that it doesn't matter how many goals you score, it matters how many more goals you score than your opponent (a fact not lost on Leafs fans).
Subtracting a team's SHGA from the PPG, and subtracting a team's SHGF from the PK goals allowed gives us a clearer picture of what a team's special teams do. This is really simple, why is it not more common to factor in shorthanded goals for and shorthanded goals against into power play and penalty kill percentages? Our example teams' stat lines now look like this:
| Team | PPG | PPO | PP% | SHGA | Adj. PP% |
| CHE | 45 | 180 | 25% | 15 | 17% |
| PPP | 35 | 180 | 19% | 2 | 18% |
A similarly obvious approach to the penalty kill follows:
| Team | PPGA | TSH | PK% | SHGF | Adj. PK% |
| CHE | 25 | 170 | 85% | 8 | 90% |
| PPP | 20 | 170 | 88% | 1 | 89% |
Here's a list of that data for the NHL currently.
Power Play:
| TEAM | PPG | PPO | PP% | SHGA | PPADJ |
| Detroit | 49 | 179 | 27.4 | 0 | 27% |
| Philadelphia | 43 | 160 | 26.9 | 0 | 27% |
| Boston | 38 | 160 | 23.8 | 3 | 22% |
| Chicago | 41 | 180 | 22.8 | 2 | 22% |
| Minnesota | 38 | 175 | 21.7 | 2 | 21% |
| Washington | 40 | 178 | 22.5 | 4 | 20% |
| Buffalo | 37 | 181 | 20.4 | 1 | 20% |
| San Jose | 44 | 192 | 22.9 | 6 | 20% |
| St. Louis | 40 | 184 | 21.7 | 4 | 20% |
| Anaheim | 37 | 174 | 21.3 | 3 | 20% |
| Atlanta | 38 | 180 | 21.1 | 6 | 18% |
| Toronto | 37 | 186 | 19.9 | 4 | 18% |
| New Jersey | 28 | 155 | 18.1 | 2 | 17% |
| Vancouver | 34 | 197 | 17.3 | 2 | 16% |
| NY Islanders | 32 | 179 | 17.9 | 3 | 16% |
| Ottawa | 30 | 168 | 17.9 | 3 | 16% |
| Edmonton | 34 | 187 | 18.2 | 4 | 16% |
| Los Angeles | 34 | 188 | 18.1 | 4 | 16% |
| Colorado | 29 | 175 | 16.6 | 3 | 15% |
| Calgary | 36 | 190 | 18.9 | 8 | 15% |
| Dallas | 26 | 181 | 14.4 | 0 | 14% |
| Montreal | 30 | 197 | 15.2 | 3 | 14% |
| Tampa Bay | 28 | 182 | 15.4 | 4 | 13% |
| Carolina | 31 | 199 | 15.6 | 5 | 13% |
| Pittsburgh | 33 | 192 | 17.2 | 8 | 13% |
| Phoenix | 24 | 187 | 12.8 | 1 | 12% |
| Nashville | 23 | 173 | 13.3 | 3 | 12% |
| Florida | 25 | 166 | 15.1 | 6 | 11% |
| NY Rangers | 27 | 193 | 14 | 13 | 7% |
| Columbus | 20 | 186 | 10.8 | 9 | 6% |
Penalty Kill:
| TEAM | PPGA | TSH | PK% | SHG | PKADJ |
| NY Rangers | 21 | 171 | 87.7 | 5 | 91% |
| San Jose | 23 | 157 | 85.4 | 8 | 90% |
| Buffalo | 22 | 170 | 87.1 | 4 | 89% |
| Philadelphia | 36 | 214 | 83.2 | 13 | 89% |
| Minnesota | 18 | 146 | 87.7 | 2 | 89% |
| Calgary | 26 | 182 | 85.7 | 3 | 87% |
| NY Islanders | 34 | 193 | 82.4 | 9 | 87% |
| Nashville | 32 | 200 | 84 | 6 | 87% |
| Chicago | 27 | 168 | 83.9 | 5 | 87% |
| Montreal | 33 | 190 | 82.6 | 8 | 87% |
| Boston | 26 | 156 | 83.3 | 4 | 86% |
| Florida | 30 | 178 | 83.1 | 4 | 85% |
| Ottawa | 30 | 170 | 82.4 | 3 | 84% |
| Los Angeles | 32 | 186 | 82.8 | 2 | 84% |
| New Jersey | 31 | 165 | 81.2 | 4 | 84% |
| Vancouver | 39 | 212 | 81.6 | 4 | 83% |
| Phoenix | 33 | 168 | 80.4 | 4 | 83% |
| Columbus | 36 | 190 | 81.1 | 3 | 83% |
| Tampa Bay | 39 | 211 | 81.5 | 2 | 82% |
| St. Louis | 36 | 185 | 80.5 | 3 | 82% |
| Detroit | 35 | 179 | 80.4 | 3 | 82% |
| Anaheim | 43 | 228 | 81.1 | 2 | 82% |
| Pittsburgh | 38 | 187 | 79.7 | 4 | 82% |
| Washington | 41 | 201 | 79.6 | 4 | 82% |
| Colorado | 35 | 165 | 78.8 | 2 | 80% |
| Dallas | 38 | 168 | 77.4 | 1 | 78% |
| Carolina | 36 | 162 | 77.8 | 0 | 78% |
| Edmonton | 45 | 179 | 74.9 | 2 | 76% |
| Atlanta | 48 | 184 | 73.9 | 1 | 74% |
| Toronto | 43 | 159 | 73 | 1 | 74% |
Like I said, this isn't exactly rocket science, just a little clearer view on special team's in this blogger's humble opinion.
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Would be funny
If Philly scored all 13 of their short-handed goals against the Rangers.
"God's in His heaven. All's right with the world." - Robert Browning (1812-1889)
Who’s your teams most important penalty killer…?
(he asked rhetorically…)
"You do dat, you go to da box, you know, uh, two minutes by yourself, and you feel shame, you know, and then you get free."
The Left Coast Lock
by blurr1974 on Jan 13, 2009 11:05 AM EST reply actions
i've been saying this for years
shorthanded goals have to be factored into PP and PK %’s.
nice work. glad to see fancy charts sweeping acros PPP.
Your fancy charting also inspired me. I think you win the New Member of the Month Award.
There’s no prize for that, before you get your hopes up.
Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.
That's huge
One of my resolutions for 2009 was to receive token recognition for excellence in posting in an anonymous online community. Thank you PPP!
You’re welcome. Of course, now you have to make a new resolution.
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Well, at least my team is sensitive to its Muslim fans.
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
They appreciate it, I’m sure.
A Toronto sports blog, where we unequivocally and unapologetically support the home team...
However
Jammies has Orlando Bloom playing for him

Auto-win
"God's in His heaven. All's right with the world." - Robert Browning (1812-1889)
I wanted Balian to win more than free passage :(
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Doesn't Eva Green
Count for something?
"God's in His heaven. All's right with the world." - Robert Browning (1812-1889)
After that hatchet job on her hair?
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Orlando Bloom only works as a win
if he has the chain mail under his hockey gear
Making stuff up since real Leafs news is far too depressing
Well said… those aspects of special teams are completely overlooked usually, and as you point out, for some teams it makes a big difference.
More fun than a stick to the face!
Does all of this still mean
we suck at penalty killing?
A Toronto sports blog, where we unequivocally and unapologetically support the home team...
It means that the Leafs REALLY suck at penalty killing. The only shortie came when Bryan McCabe was on the ice so it barely even counts.
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like the dude in NBA Jam
used to say…“WHAT A DEBACLE!”
A Toronto sports blog, where we unequivocally and unapologetically support the home team...
I still have
NBA Jam eXtreme for my SNES
"God's in His heaven. All's right with the world." - Robert Browning (1812-1889)
serious super nintendo nostalgia going on.
A Toronto sports blog, where we unequivocally and unapologetically support the home team...
SEGA Genesis
FTW!
"You do dat, you go to da box, you know, uh, two minutes by yourself, and you feel shame, you know, and then you get free."
The Left Coast Lock
by blurr1974 on Jan 13, 2009 12:54 PM EST up reply actions
FTL!
Super Nintendo or bust.
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
we weren't all bron into money ya know...
why you gotta mock my poverty?
:P
"You do dat, you go to da box, you know, uh, two minutes by yourself, and you feel shame, you know, and then you get free."
The Left Coast Lock
by blurr1974 on Jan 13, 2009 1:03 PM EST up reply actions
holy shit, i agree with PPP
A Toronto sports blog, where we unequivocally and unapologetically support the home team...
Well...
You can’t always be wrong :P
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

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