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Has Burke gone from slick to silly in a few short moves?

*disclaimer - I am commenting on a combination of recent moves.  I am not flaming Burke, as I like lots of his moves so please keep in mind I am doing my best to be fair and balanced, not inflammatory. Also this is my first BLOG post ever, so things might look a bit screwy

Looking @ recent events in Leafland, there has been a lots of chatter as usual. There has been a variety of moves this summer, and no doubt are inspiring a variety of emotions.

Two moves have caught my eye recently, especially since there was some overlap of assets in them.

First off there was the trade with Atlanta where Pavel Kubina & Tim Stapleton were shipped off for Garnet Exelby and Colin Stuart. A classic salary dump where Kubina's skill and $5mil was swapped for Exelby's grit and $1.4 cap hit. I know, none of this equals new information, but the domino effect of the move has largely been ignored.

Second would of course be the Anton Stralman trade, which I'll address further down.  

I wont go into the less than stellar return Burke got for a 40pt 100PIM D Kubina, as we could argue cap impact, UFA status, future worth, etc till the cows come home.  For mixed fun the fact he was moved to make room for Mike Komisarek's large UFA deal and the production disparity, will also be ignored. Afterall they are different players who play a different game. We need to @ least give the new corps a chance to play before voting on them. No fun for you!

What I would instead like to visit is the roster space issue, and the domino effect of Exelby as the primary return.  By taking an NHL roster player back in Exelby, and adding Komisarek and Beauchimin via UFA to an already crowded Toronto blue line corps, Burke forced his own hand. I think he's reacted poorly with the result being the Stralman trade.

First, let's set things up with a fair projection of Toronto's blue line next yr.

Kaberle
Schenn
Komisarek
Beauchimin
Van Ryn
Finger
Exelby
White

With apologies to The Star's Paul Hunter , the worst I think Stralman should be is the 7th of this group in 2009 for a few reasons. I'm assuming the 8th guy is going to get press box, injury time, waived or traded.

Now the Leafs are rebuilding, another secret revealed, I know. Keeping the rebuilding mold in mind, you would think Burke would be considering his long term youth. Specifically Ian White and Anton Stralman who are hitting RFA status in 2010. After all the Leafs are losing a lot of pieces to UFA next yr. Van Ryan, Frogren (minors?) and Exelby as well as numerous forwards. That leaves White and Stralman as the in-house options with NHL seasoning.

I would contend that unless White comes in under $3mil, he's likely gone via trade or RFA offer as well. He's certainly not a top 4 guy in a signed longterm core of Komisarek, Schenn, Beauchimin, and in todays cap world one doesn't pay your #5 Dman $3mil a yr.

Let's not even talk about the pending gap in the #1 slot, but I think once Kaberle is gone Burke will either trade for, or sign, a replacement via UFA. Hopefully like he did with a player the caliber of Chris Pronger and Scott Niedermayer. (not saying he'll repeat those moves, but one can dream)

Comparing White's pending 2010 RFA payday with Stralman's I think the numbers will be lower for Stralman, making him an ideal piece to retain. With less service time and no upcoming UFA yrs it's feasible he would come in under $2mil for multiple yrs. Long term or short term doesn't hurt Toronto as Burke would have controled Stralman as an RFA @ the end of his next deal whereas White will be a UFA after his next contract. It's a fair statement we lost a cheap asset we control long term..

Something similar to Braydon Coburn's last contract which was 2yrs $1.3mil caphit would have been ideal. (inflation notwithstanding)


Ahhh, and we get to the meat of it. Now in trading with Wadell, has Burke forced himself into repeating one of Wadell's flagship mistakes in his Atlanta tenure?  Thrashers fan are no doubt about to cringe as I remind you of the Braydon Coburn deal. There are some eerie similarities here that deserve comparison.

Both were young @ the time they were dealt, beloved prospects by a fair amount of each fanbase, with questionable return. (ignoring the 1st round vs late round gem disparity)

The comparison is regarding contract terms, it's not about production comparison but what the market for a young D with lower NHL service gets in his first RFA yr. As well as factoring in the similar development curves. I'm not saying one is better than the other, as they play a different game


Anton Stralman Stats

07/08 - 20pts in 71 combined AHL/NHL games

08/09 - 29pts in 74 combined AHL/NHL games

NHL totals 4G 18A 22pts over 88gms in his first 2 seasons.

Those numbers are pretty good for a guy getting bottom line time and not much special teams in either situation.

Compare with Coburn's production the first part of his NHL career.


Braydon Coburn's Stats

05/06 27pts in 82 combined AHL/NHL games

06/07 22pts in 64 combined AHL/NHL games

NHL totals (first 2 yrs) 3G 9A 12pts over 58gms first 2 yrs.  

Add in the first 30games of 07/08 (so we have 88gms each) 2G 11A 13PT in the first 30gm of 2007 which gives him a total of 5G 20A 25pts over 88gms.

Getting away from the parallels of the two players, I'd like to revisit the Kubina/Exelby trade.

It certainly didn't create the logjam in Toronto, but it did nothing to address it. This is where I feel errors were made and forced the erroneous movement of Stralman.

Looking at the assets flowing out, Burke moved Kubina, Stralman, Stapleton, Stuart and recieved Exelby, Primeau, CGY 2nd 2011

One would expect Kubina to elicit more than $3.6 in salary cap relief, and the deal plus Burke's UFA moves left a roster change of plus one in the rear as opposed to the desired subtraction. Now his UFA moves did build a solid core around Schenn, but the process has failed to address the considerable gaps in 2010 and forward.

With so many assets approaching UFA or RFA, Burke has moved two of his primary trade pieces in Stralman and Kubina without any impact on the team's rebuilding process.  It would have been more prudent to let Stralman find his game in the 5th-7th slots @ a cheap price going into 2010 and forward, or using him and Kubina to provide more youth in security.

Instead the Leafs find themselves loaded with low quality forwards, expiring vet contracts, and a mid-2nd rounder they may or may not draft in 2 years. It's a long time between now and 2011...and these moves have done nothing to fill the roster gaps in the meantime. Nor are they clearing 2010 cap space as all the deals involved are UFA or RFA in 2010.

PensionPlanPuppets.com is a fan community that allows members to post their own thoughts and opinions on the Toronto Maple Leafs and hockey in general. These views and thoughts may not be shared by the editor of PensionPlanPuppets.com.

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Comments

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The writing is good, but a lot of these points have been dealt with with a combination of understanding BB’s plan and player-style preference, the present hesitancy with a lot of GMs to trade not knowing what the cap is next year, and with the input of the PPP community.
The pros around here tend to hash these things ad nauseum, so I’m sure you’ll hear some good insight tomorrow (this morning?).
Stralman had to go due to a waivers issue, a 2nd is infinitely more valuable than nothing.
Kubina had to go b/c of contract and price- Komisarek and Beauchemin are fine replacements. Exelby will either get #6 play and minutes or be packaged up.
If we’re lucky, that #2 will turn out to be the next Scott Neidemayer.
With luck, there’s an crafty trade coming yet to bring us a solid goal-scorer, and if not, we’re looking a hell of a lot better now than we did a year ago, by a long way. That’s more than enough for me.
At any rate, triple, like I said, good writing and very good first diary.

"We've had an ongoing problem with Grabovski this year." Bob Gainey, 4/04/09

by kidkawartha on Jul 29, 2009 1:21 AM EDT reply actions  

I appreciate the feedback kidkwartha, and you make a lot of valid points.

Certainly Burke has a plan, evidenced by the core longterm deals he’s surrounding Schenn with. Frankly what he does next yr, and how the college UFAs like Bozak and Hanson fit into the roster really intrigues me.

Add in the fact no-one is looking to help him clear his logjam without a significant benefit, and things get tricky. He’s also in the midst of a situation not of his creation, but that’s where the UFA moves come in. Instead of giving more than he was getting, he added players to the roster.

I’m aware of the waiver issue, but IMO that is the reason you want to retain him. The 2009 season is a write off, with an incredible percent of the roster hitting free agency in 2010. Most of those pieces will either be gone before the end of 2009, or leave via UFA like Exelby, Van Ryan, Frogren.

Stralman will have 2 seasons under his belt by 2010. With Schenn, Komisarek, Beauchimin, and Finger (sadly) the only guys 100% to be here in 2010 and beyond we have @ least 2 roster spots to fill out on D. He’ll be due his first RFA deal, and slotting him in the 5-6 hole going forward with the hopes of progress is better than getting random junk @ double the price via UFA.

Like I mentioned with White, I doubt we retain him as he’s due to a James Wisneiwski type deal in the $2.5 range..too much for a RFA #5 Dman.

Had the logjam been addressed by the Kubina deal, instead of solely being a salary dump, then I don’t mind the Stralman for a pick as much. Stralman didn’t HAVE to go, as he and White are the only move-able/desirable assets aside from Kaberle currently on the backend.

However we are now left with no inhouse solution for our D depth this yr in the case of injury and nothing on the farm either..

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 1:54 AM EDT reply actions  

 Anton Sralman will never compare to brayden Coburn. Coburn was a Blue Chipper. Stralman is a questionable prospect who hasn’t made enough strides yet to make a team as bad as the Leafs were. Kubina had to be moved this summer because the Leafs could have risked him not waiving his NTC during the season and walking away next free agency.

by 6rick6 on Jul 29, 2009 2:37 AM EDT reply actions  

The comparison is more about their contract status being similar. Their point totals were actually pretty comparable at least superficially though.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jul 29, 2009 9:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Plus we have a ton of cap room next year, no matter what. Burkie will be in the driver’s seat for free agency. This year is his set-up year. I think you can guarantee there’s at least one, if not two, 35+ goal scorers coming our way.
Plus, he’s still not done- I’m certain he’s working the phones all day long. Even if we do sit pat right now, we’ll be fine. A good development year.

"We've had an ongoing problem with Grabovski this year." Bob Gainey, 4/04/09

by kidkawartha on Jul 29, 2009 2:41 AM EDT reply actions  

And Stralman is still, still just a medium prospect. It’ll be a while if we see if his talent is for real, and if you tell Burkie you want more than he’s willing to give you, well then, you’re gone, and he’ll try and do right by you.

"We've had an ongoing problem with Grabovski this year." Bob Gainey, 4/04/09

by kidkawartha on Jul 29, 2009 2:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

I said it in the post, and I’ll say it again.

I am NOT comparing Coburn vs Stralman in terms of production and NHL ability. They are different players with different abilities.

The point of drawing a career parallel is that neither was given any time with their first team. A young defenseman take 2-3 seasons before any tangible development/progress is evident.

Saying that Stralman didn’t show enough in limitied minutes in a 6th to 8th man role is ludicrous. What does one expect out of that?

The point of those games is to bring him along in garbage time, not evaluate his future worth. Compare him to White for example. It wasn’t until his second contract and some meaningful icetime was it determined he was useful.

To be honest I would tag Stralman as a longterm project, who should be brought along as the 5th Dman for around $1.5 mil in 2010 and 2011, with 2012 being the make or break yr for him.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 3:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Good post but use the reply button to avoid the overlord coming down.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Getting a second round pick for Stralman and a 7th though, which is what it is when you break down the trade, is a great move. As for Stralman lasting until 2012 it would be impossible due to waivers. He would be gone sometime this season anyways so that Burke turned him into an asset ie. the second rounder was a good move.

I don’t think either team won or lost this deal especially considering with the depth the Flames have on defence Stralman may not even crack their lineup.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 8:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

What has also been ignored

that Stralman threatened to go home last year if he did not get playing time with the big club. I mentioned this over at Matchsticks and Gasoline and Ken over there found the link .

Stralman will be in tough to make it into the top 6 in Calgary and would have been in that same situation in Toronto so essentially if Stralman goes back to Sweden it’s Stuart and a 7th for Primeau and a 2nd: ie. a great deal.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 1:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

The main difference between the two is...

Stralman is waiver eligible…Coburn at the time was waiver exempt.

I’ll consider Stuart + 7th/Primeau a wash, so effectively we got a 2nd round pick for Stralman. Meanwhile the Thrashers traded Braydon Coburn for a little over a year of Alexei Zhitnik. Worst case scenario if Stralman develops well? We did better than Atlanta…and Atlanta still had the option of putting Coburn in the minors and waiting for him to develop!

The Leafs wouldn’t have that option with Stralman. At this point you’ve got to think that Kaberle, Schenn, Komisarek and Beauchemin would play more minutes than him. So that would leave White, Finger, Van Ryn, Exelby…and Stralman, competing for two spots (okay, three if you think the Leafs will carry 7 defensemen, might be an idea).

Sure, Stralman could be excellent in camp and get that full-time spot…but if not, what happens?

The Leafs would put Stralman on waivers, and someone out there would probably grab him.

But even if not…I remember that Stralman didn’t even want to come to North America unless he was playing in the NHL (the Leafs were thin on defense at the time so he got the chance). If he got demoted again he’d probably go back to Sweden.

Both of those would result in the Leafs getting nothing for Stralman…so instead the Leafs get a 2nd round pick and help clear up their defenseman logjam a little bit.

As for whether Stralman will excel in Calgary, there’s four locks for the team (Phaneuf, Bouwmeester, Regehr, Sarich) over there too, and all of those are locked up for three years or more. I wonder how much time Stralman will get.

As an aside, the Leafs picked up a 2nd round pick to save the Flames approximately $1 million in cap space (and real money). Think about it…if the Sens traded Dany Heatley to the Leafs, the Sens could save $30 million plus in cap space (over 6 years…and even more real money!). Perhaps the Sens should pass some 1st round picks over here to save some bucks? ;)

Truculence...starting 10/1/09

by LeafBoy on Jul 29, 2009 3:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Excellent post. I agree that this move is not Burke’s finest. It marks the first time I’ve felt aprehensive to his hockey knowledge thus far at the helm.

I assume that he knows something about Stralman that I don’t.

by Kohma on Jul 29, 2009 8:27 AM EDT reply actions  

It's Not as Dire as You Make it Out to Be

All the moves to bring defence in make sense when you consider two things:

1) Burke was not happy with the defence we currently had. There simply wasn’t enough physicality there; too many of our old defence seemed to think offence first, and that was okay when we had Joseph in his prime and Belfour just starting down the other side of his. But when you have Raycroft, Toskala and a 41 year old Joseph in those net, it doesn’t work so well.

2) The defence prospect cupboard was razor-thin. Schenn moved right up into the top 4 as a rookie, which both goes to show how NHL-ready he was, and also how little depth we had. By adding Beauchemin & Komisarek, Burke’s bought himself time to rebuild the defence with younger kids, because Schenn, Komisarek, Beauchemin and Finger are all signed long-term. And that’s before even debating whether or not we can get Kaberle re-signed.

As a 7th round pick, the fact that we’re even debating Stralman’s merits as a future NHLer is excellent, because finding players that late in the draft is just too damn hard. But fact remains, Stralman did not possess skills that set him apart from our other defence. I’m interested to hear which 3 defence you think Stralman is ahead of on the depth chart, because I had him 9th out of 10.

I’m concerned that people are starting to lose the forest for the trees. Every deal going back to when JFJ was canned has dealt a player that did not figure into the long-term future of this club. Some deals have been better than others, but debating whether we got as much as we perceive we could have for Kubina is a fool’s errand. We don’t truly know what Kubina’s value in a trade around the league was, we only have the information we’re provided after the deal.

A defenceman had to be moved now, on Burke’s terms, before camp started and we were caught in the same situation as last year. I’m much more open to dealing a marginal NHL defenceman with upside for a future pick than having to make another Steen – Cola / Stempniak deal. Because that would have been the alternative.

Nobody said this was gonna be easy. This team has been given a major facelift this offseason, and hasn’t even had a shift to show what it can do yet.

Resident Capologist

by clrkaitken on Jul 29, 2009 8:42 AM EDT reply actions  

I’m not even concerned with the return of a 2011 2nd rounder for Stralman, it’s the sequence of events the Burke backed himself into a corner with is what bothered me.

Looking @ the 2009 roster isn’t even the issue here, it’s the effect on 2010 and forward.

Had Burke not taken Exelby back for Kubina, we aren’t even having this discussion. It’s a chicken and the egg anaylsis perhaps is the best way to frame where i am coming from.

Considering ATL is the team that is paying Ron Hainsey $4.5 mil, and threw $5mil @ an ancient Mathieu Schneider, it would reason they would be the one team that values a guy like Kubina. I don’t mind a pick or prospect or selling low on Kubina, afterall he was a UFA signing. Instead we took back a bottom 3 D for 1 season and achieved no roster space for future UFA deals.

Compare the D before the trades/UFA (listed in no particular order)

Kaberle
Kubina
Schenn
White
Van Ryan
Frogren
Finger
Stralman

Now when I say I value Stralman above the likes of Van Ryan, Finger, Frogren it’s a combination of skillset and cost effectiveness going forward. Not 2009 play, as we’re talking bottom 3 D spots here people. It’s not going to sink the franchise no matter what happens. Stralman, even if he never develops, simply makes more sense as an asset for 2010 than any of Van Ryan (UFA), Frogren (AHL junk/UFA) , Finger (overpaid bottom 2 guy), and even Ian White. (soon to be exepnsive RFA in a bottom 2 role)

Stralman wasn’t dealt because “he sucks” or his position on the depth chart. He was dealt because there wasn’t room for him as Burke further clogged the D instead of clearing deadweight. Also in the cap world, White and Stralman are the only desirable medium impact guys we have on D, which is why Calgary targeted us as a source of cap relief. That’s what under $1mil and an RFA means for a player’s value.

Now part of that this is the result of Burke implementing “his” plan, however unlike Komisarek/Beauchimin I doubt Exelby is part of the future or his “grand scheme”

Whether or not this a great loss, no-one can tell. The issue here is we lost 2 of the Leafs more tradeable/valuable assets for $3.6 mil in cap for 2009 which was quickly spent (which I don’t have a problem with), with nothing to show for 2010 or 2011.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Welcome

Thanks for joining.

It was an interesting analysis and hit on a couple of the things that bothered me about the deal. The part about the contract and Stralman being a cheap and controllable asset were bang on. The one worry with Stralman is that he might have gone back to Europe if he had to spend another season with the Marlies.
 
The Kubina deal certainly takes on more of a salary dump feel now that Stuart is gone and Exelby likely will be at the end of the year. If you compare it to what Sutter was able to get from his smaller salary dump you get the sense that while Burke didn’t have to give up any picks he also didn’t get much back for a much more useful player.

Further to clrkaitken’s point, Burke and Fletcher have drafted a couple of defencemen that Burke at least mentioned are likely 3 years away so I agree that maybe Burke has largely given up on the current crop of prospects.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jul 29, 2009 9:46 AM EDT reply actions  

Thanks for the welcome.

Group therapy session indeed!

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 10:32 AM EDT reply actions  

As above, use reply button or prepare to get jammie-hammered.

"We've had an ongoing problem with Grabovski this year." Bob Gainey, 4/04/09

by kidkawartha on Jul 29, 2009 11:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s right here__________________________^

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

so close

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 29, 2009 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s right underneath the + sign in my browser.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 12:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s right underneath the “plan” in PPP in the web addy. So have a plan and use it.

"We've had an ongoing problem with Grabovski this year." Bob Gainey, 4/04/09

by kidkawartha on Jul 29, 2009 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Welcome!

I think you’re jumping the gun a bit. Burke himself has said he’s not done tweaking the roster. He’s got a surplus of D and deep pockets. If he can’t offload more dead weight over the off season, then he’ll probably bury them in the Marlies.

As for the Kubina return, just because he took XLB back doesn’t mean he’s going to be a Leaf. He’s a decent player being paid very little. From a trading perspective, he’s the perfect pot sweetener.

Until the season begins, I think it’s safer (but less fun…) to reserve judgment. I’ve got no idea how this team is going to look come opening day. The saving grace however, is having confidence in the guy running the ship. He knows what he wants to do with this team.

"If you are going through hell, keep going." Sir Winston Churchill, a Leafs fan...
Stalk me here...

by blurr1974 on Jul 29, 2009 10:40 AM EDT reply actions  

Unless Stralman made the team out of camp and stuck all year Toronto would have lost him for nothing. Stralman isn’t waiver exempt.

Burke got a second round pick for something we don’t have room for and would have lost for free.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jul 29, 2009 1:36 PM EDT reply actions  

exactly

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 29, 2009 1:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Which is why taking in Exelby was a mistake.

Atlanta had nearly $17,000,000 in cap space @ the time of the trade. (pre-Antropov/Kubina of course)

Dumping Kubina for a pick/prospect would have cleared the roster logjam, and allow Burke UFA freedom with no roster consequence.

Burke made a parallel move for $3.6mil in cap savings which allowed Atlanta to upgrade their 5th-6th ranked D into a #2 without giving Toronto anything of serious consequence (roster flexability).

Even if Stralman never breaks the top 4 over his remaining 4 RFA years, he’s a cheap 5-7 guy going forward.

Of course Burke still has a lot of moves to make, and I look forward to them, but in the short-term he has done quite a few favours for Wadell and Sutter with a minor gain in cap while hurting his own depth.

If he manages to turn Primeau & Exelby into D depth equal to Stralman, then Calgary’s 2nd 2011 looks really good. Until he does something along those lines, he’s on the wrong side of the ledger.

Here’s to hoping he comes out on the right side in the end.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 2:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

its hard to judge this team as it stands, its like watching a pre-production movie (wolverine leak anyone?) you can see where its going, but the lack of finishing touches are glaring

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 29, 2009 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps Burke likes Exelby’s game more than Stralman’s?

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jul 29, 2009 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think he was planning to slot in Exelby into the slot that ended up going to Beauchimin. I doubt Burke is valuing Exelby over Stralman, simply that Stralman and White are the only guys a team like Calgary could take in return.

Even if he does prefer Exelby over Stralman in terms of game/style, Exelby is a poor investment going forward.

If he plans to retain Exelby past 2009, then it would make this move even worse as Exelby will be 29, slotted into the 5th or 6th spot and as a veteran UFA command a decent raise on his current $1,400,000.

I’m of the opinion we aren’t competing for a damn thing for the next 3 yrs, so spending more than $1mil on the any of the bottom 3 guys is terrible asset management.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 3:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

With so many assets approaching UFA or RFA, Burke has moved two of his primary trade pieces in Stralman and Kubina without any impact on the team’s rebuilding process. It would have been more prudent to let Stralman find his game in the 5th-7th slots @ a cheap price going into 2010 and forward, or using him and Kubina to provide more youth in security.

Instead the Leafs find themselves loaded with low quality forwards, expiring vet contracts, and a mid-2nd rounder they may or may not draft in 2 years. It’s a long time between now and 2011…and these moves have done nothing to fill the roster gaps in the meantime. Nor are they clearing 2010 cap space as all the deals involved are UFA or RFA in 2010.

This is the statement of someone who doesn’t understand the long-term view.

This season does not matter at all. Notice the polar opposite approaches Burke and Gainey took this summer.

Monreal is trying to prove that last year was the fluke, (when all evidence seems to show finishing 1st was the anomaly) and so Gainey threw money at anything and everything. The team has no cap flexibilty, is tied to a number of long-term, potentially crippling contracts, and their top young players may already be regressing. If Montreal misses the playoffs, the team will have no clear-cut way to improve itself, and Gainey will be fired.

Compare to Toronto. The team was a pleasant surprise last season, but weakensses were identified. Burke spent the summer focusing on the team’s weaknesses, and addressed in some fashion pretty much all of them. The team has a number of contracts expiring at the end of the season, which means that anybody that doesn’t fit with the long-term plan of this team is gone, and Burke can go to work retooling the roster. There are a number of young forwards who have every chance to develop as a unit, because we didn’t waste cap space on an inferior top 6 forward just to say we have one. We’ll roll the dice with a number of talented kids with promise, cultivate their development, and ride the waves of inconsistency. The team is fast, mean, has the biggest chequebook in the league, and now has someone who knows how to use it, and is about to have a lot of freedom to spend it how he wants.

I don’t know about you, but I prefer that oulook to Montreal’s

Resident Capologist

by clrkaitken on Jul 29, 2009 3:25 PM EDT reply actions   2 recs

You good sir are awesome.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is the statement of someone who doesn’t understand the long-term view.

Considering I’m banging the drum of youth and long-term asset management throughout my anaylisis I don’t think you’re correct @ all.

I simply pointed out that the team, through fluke or the previous regime’s (shudder) plan tmeans there are a lot of players coming off the roster in 2010, that’s it. Hell, I am ignoring 2009 as the NHL team we field should be focusing on a lottery pick, not being competitive.

I didn’t (and do not) campaign for a UFA spending spree. If anything the kids like Bozak, Hanson, Kulemin, Kadri should be given free reign in 2010.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hell, I’m still scratching my head how you interpreted my desire to retain and develop our own prospect for the next 3-4 yrs @ next to no salary as not thinking longterm health.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

He didn’t say you weren’t thinking long term. He said you didn’t understand the longterm plan. There’s a difference. A defenceman who was going to be lost on waivers was turned into a draft pick. That is a pretty good move.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

I get that aspect, I just thought he was inferring I was ignoring the rebuild entirely.

As it stands, I simply disagree with Burke in regards to Stralman, and the notion he wasn’t part of the plan. I think he was a sacrifice of circumstance, partly created by Burke.

I contend that the Exelby/Beauchimin moves forced Stralman out more so than the grand scheme of things.

The “risk of flight to Europe” excuse bring back too many memories of “Rask might stay in Finland” rhetoric, so pardon me if I think of it as a dubious cop-out.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

What I took issue with was the last two paragraphs, which is why I quoted them.

I thought you did a good job with this. Clearly you felt Stralman had greater value than I and others, and I applaud you for making a good case as to why Burke was in the wrong or should feel he could have done better.

But those last two paragraphs really irked me.

We’ve learned that cap space, and having the flexibility to improve your team short-term and long-term is imperative. I’d argue we have one of the best cap situations in the league; key players are signed for the next 2-4 years, marginal players are expiring this year or next, and there’s a number of young, cheap contracts on the books.

Those last two paragraphs had the tone of people who are already impatient with the rebuild. These are the same people that parrot “Who’s going to score goals?” on all the message boards. Not saying that’s you, but it’s in the same vein. In areas where we had no significant prospects, Burke added veterans who will play at a high level now, and now Burke has a few years to add prospects. Up front, we have a number of kids with upside. Now they get a chance to show their stuff. Wasn’t that your issue with Stralman?

Resident Capologist

by clrkaitken on Jul 29, 2009 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree 100% clrkaitken, and appreciate the good discussion and feedback.

I simply wish that the same gameplan @ forward was extended to Stralman.

Oddly enough the move I can’t wait for is White. I doubt he’s coming back, and if that’s the case the move surely will be interesting.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 7:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

You keep saying 3-4 years when we couldn’t have retained him for that long.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

How so? Counting this yr of service he would be an RFA in 2010 for a 2-3yr deal. In the case of a 2yr deal he is an RFA once more, which is the move smarter GMs are doing with RFAs so they control them 1yr short of their UFA period.

27/7 rule. Unless you think we would waive him over whatever depth junk we’d have on roster, which wouldn’t happen.

by Tripleup on Jul 29, 2009 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Waivers!

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 11:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

He wouldn’t be sent down and lost for nothing under my argument though is the point.

He should be groomed for a bigger 2010 role of bottom pairing, as Exelby, Van Ryan and more of the log jam aren’t going to be here in the future.

by Tripleup on Jul 30, 2009 7:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not a Questionable move at all

Burke is very intelligent, but his views on how to build a team are pretty simple.

The fact of the matter is(and I touched upon this in the trade thread) if you are not part of the solution, you are part of the problem.

Reasons why Burke didn’t want Stralman

1. Had some chances, showed some skill but never really proved he could be a regular NHLer yet.

2. Logjam at D means some people have to go. Some are going after this year when their contract is up. Perhaps he was the only one of those guys he could get some sort of decent return on.

3. BB has repeatedly said that your top guys need to be skilled and your bottom guys are your plumbers. Stralman wasn’t going to be good enough to play in the top 2-3 D-men on our(or probably any) NHL team. Watch him play, Stralman is not a plumber.

4. Contract/waiver status – lets face it, if he doesn’t get some serious NHL time this year, he is going back to the Swedish elite league. Pretty high flight risk.

Considering those points, Burke wasn’t going to make room for Stralman. What do you do with him? Well, the last thing I want to do is let a player walk for nothing, and Burke is the same way when it comes to managing assets. He went out and got the best deal he could. I don’t see any sort of big advantage for the Leafs, but we could have gotten nothing for him. I have no issue with that.

We tend to overvalue players on our team – Most GM’s don’t, so we will never get back what we think a player is worth.

Essentially, we traded someone that had a minimal chance to play for the Leafs and we got a pick out of it. That’s pretty much it.

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."

Albert Einstein

by Say *plan the parade one more time*... on Jul 29, 2009 4:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Not to be a semantic jerk but I think Burke said pluggers not plumbers.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

You stand corrected

I believe I shall add

NAANAA NAANNAA NAAAAA NAAAA!

"Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the the universe."

Albert Einstein

by Say *plan the parade one more time*... on Jul 29, 2009 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I blame Chemmy

It says “pluggers” here
and here

: )

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Goddamn failure all over the place for me.
PPP here
Chemmy here

But I stand corrected.

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pluggers are what we have, plumbers are what we need to get rid of the plugs so we’re technically right.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jul 29, 2009 5:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

As long as he doesn't sign these guys...

I’ll be happy.

Truculence...starting 10/1/09

by LeafBoy on Jul 29, 2009 5:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m assuming those are the Mario Brothers.

WANT!

A Nation of Masochists The waiting is the hardest part but the truculence helps.

by furcifer on Jul 29, 2009 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

 I think that one of the big issues is that Burke’s first order of business was to shore up a Leafs defense that was soft and defensively suspect. Bringing in Komisarek, Beauchemin and Exelby is part of that but they’re not the guys who make Stralman a spare part. Kaberle, White and Van Ryn do. Burke already has three guys who aren’t especially physical who should be in the mix for regular ice time. Stralman hasn’t shown enough through two regimes in Toronto to stick with the big team and when that is added to his waiver status and impatience to play in the NHL he’s clearly the odd man out.
 It seems to me that although in some ways it may not seem to be the best way to manage an asset, Stralman’s not the only asset who would be effected by forcing him into the lineup.

by Mirinov's Nose on Jul 29, 2009 11:28 PM EDT reply actions  

Also, I’d like to see a little more love for Van Ryn. Last year, when he was healthy, he had the most complete game of any Leafs defencemen and, I think, was one of their better players. If he can play the same way after his concussion(s), and Burke’s new additions deter opponents from smashing his head so much, I think Van Ryn will be awesome.

by Mirinov's Nose on Jul 29, 2009 11:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I love Van Ryan, but let’s face it he’s made of glass.

Factor in his bottom 3 role, $2.9mil contract , and 2010 UFA and say hasta la vista…baby.

by Tripleup on Jul 30, 2009 7:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

I love Van Ryn but he’s so freaking fragile and unlucky.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jul 30, 2009 9:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

its weird, cause i felt exactly the same way about him as i did about carlo, such a good defenseman with the worst luck in the world

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 30, 2009 10:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s really not luck, it’s conditioning and hockey sense.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jul 30, 2009 10:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

or in their case

a lack thereof

"If you are going through hell, keep going." Sir Winston Churchill, a Leafs fan...
Stalk me here...

by blurr1974 on Jul 30, 2009 11:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

well id factor some luck into Carlos “Im gonna smash this senator go… OH SHIT THE BOARDS” and VanRys “ill just clear this puck no one is stupid enough to hit me fro…OH SHIT THE BOARDS” plays

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 30, 2009 12:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

“Okay, Lucic is coming. I’d better get this puck out quickly.”

CRASH!

“Wow, that kid hits pretty hard… Hey, how’d I end up in the third row? And why is that lady picking glass out of her hair?”

Resident Capologist

by clrkaitken on Jul 30, 2009 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, but he wasnt hurt on that one, although he did have a bit of a “OMGOMGOMGTHEREISGLASSINMYHAIRGETITOUT” moment

Relying on Nonsense and Cheap Gimmicks Since 2006

by JaredFromLondon on Jul 30, 2009 1:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s amazing that he went through the glass without so much as a scratch and then soon after he became the glass.

by general borschevsky on Jul 30, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

Of course Burke inherited a mess on the D, with Kubina, Van Ryan a lock to be going this yr by the simple fact they make too much money for their role and their pending UFA status. Also Burke has a plan, and I love who he’s bringing in to form the core around Schenn.

In the case of Kaberle, he is an expiring asset that will be moved eventually, but he’s still slotted for the top 4 and not part of the crowd @ the bottom. So IMO he’s not part of the problem.

As for White I view him as a comparable guy to Stralman in terms of contract and where he fits in depth, although White is more developed. White was in the same spot regarding waivers not too long ago in fact. The only guy picked over Stralman by Burke with this cap-saving deal was White as those are the only D on the roster that make less than $900,000. Considering White will make too much as an RFA in 2010 he should have been dealt over Stralman quite frankly. Stralman would have fit in the bottom 2 for $900k-$1.5 mil a yr for the next 3 yrs, and his upside makes him preferable to a UFA vet for $2mil plus.

This is where Exelby comes in, as trading Kubina should have opened not only cap space, but roster space. I think initially Burke was going to feature Exelby in a top 4 role, along with Komisarek, as that’s what happened July 1st. It was the Beauchimin signing that pushed Exelby into the 5th-6th slot. Again, I love the UFA moves, as they lock up 1/2 the top4 core until 2011. However Burke took in 3 Dmen this offseason and got rid of 1 to start, forcing the scramble that resulted in the Stralman deal.

by Tripleup on Jul 30, 2009 7:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Asset Management

It’s the name of the game in the cap era, and Burke hasn’t been making me comfortable with his moves.

It’s not a matter of saying “well we would have lost Stralman to waivers anyways” because the Leafs should not be in a position where they simply just don’t have the roster space for cheap, young, controllable defense. Not now, while we’re “retooling” and really not ever.

The Leafs need flexibility and depth moving forward, and it’s looking like we’re going to continue to be dipping into the free agent pool and overpaying for older guys because we simply couldn’t keep some tiers with regards to age and salary in our d corps. Right now we have a bunch of 28+ year olds making at least 2.9 million, that’s not a flexible core.

Also, to be perfectly honest, a defenseman making 3 million dollars should never be 5th and 6th on the chart, it’s a waste of their ability. There are roughly 75 players in the NHL making over 3 million, and with 120 “top four” spots in the league it becomes obvious that we’re overpaying the bottom half of our corps. Doesn’t it seem that we traded the wrong pieces sometimes?

This is the real problem with the logjam on defense, it’s roster spots taken up by older players forcing our hand into dealing competent, cheap, young, controllable assets like Colaiacovo and Stralman. Will it make next years defense worse? Heck no, they’re looking extremely good. But a few years down the line and the situation becomes troubling, there’s nobody left in the pipeline to ease the transition from now into the draft picks we’ve taken recently, and there’s nobody left who can make less money while filling a depth role while actually having the potential to improve. And we need players to surprise us, we need to find gems for less cash, and it’s not going to happen if we never develop anybody.

There’s a lot of justification and Burke-faith going on in Leafland, but the fact remains we’ve been bleeding this team’s depth in favour of old, high-earning guys we can’t get rid of. We can’t let decent NHLers go just because they weren’t perceived as the most important parts of the team. It’s what the Sens have been doing the past few years and it hasn’t been pretty for them. It’s what the Habs have been doing too, and now they’re trying to buy themselves a new forward core just like we’re trying to buy ourselves a defense. Except that the best players never reach the market, and you almost always pay too much to bring those guys in. Buying a team is not an effective strategy.

by koopa kid on Jul 30, 2009 9:33 AM EDT reply actions  

When you can’t grow your own food, you’ve got to go out to the market to get it.

With Schenn an NHLer now, we don’t have any young defence propsects that scream “future NHL defenceman” (The jury remains out on Oreskovic).

We can either waste time or resources trying to shoehorn kids into those roles, when they clearly aren’t ready for them, and stunt their growth, or go out and get someone who can play now.

Everyone the Leafs added is more or less in their prime, and will be for the duration of their contract. In 3 years time, when Kaberle, beauchemin, Komisarek and Finger have all either moved on, re-signed or their contracts are about to expire, we hopefully have one or two guys who, with 2-3 years of seasoning in the CHL, NCAA, or the AHL, are ready to step in to a key role with the club. Add a 23 year old Schenn, and suddenly you’ve created a development system that starts to emulate that of Detroit’s.

For that reason, I’m glad we invested in the blueline. Any defensive prospect in the next two years is going to be under no urgency to fast-track to the NHL. They’ll develop by playing big minutes in the minor leagues, so they’re more accustomed when it comes time to play big minutes in the NHL. We have a number of forwards that have reached the point in their development where they are getting that chance with the Leafs this season.

Everyone wants us to be able to develop our own prospects for once. Thank to JFJ, we actually had a decent group of forward crops, and this year hopefully we’ll start to see our first harvest. By adding Beauchemin and Komisarek, now we’ve got time to plant the seeds for defence over the next two years.

Historically, the Leafs got in trouble with free agent signings because they were getting guys at Blake’s age, on the downslope of their career. Adding guys in their late 20s is a whole different thing.

Resident Capologist

by clrkaitken on Jul 30, 2009 12:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

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