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Lightning at Leafs: Some Numbers Before the Game




The Leafs have inexplicably sent Luca Caputi to the Marlies to bring up Joey Crabb. Crabb has 9 goals in the AHL in 22GP but also has the worst +/- on the Marlies at -3. He'll slot into the second line with Mikhail Grabovski and Nikolai Kulemin. Per Jonas Siegel the Leafs are scratching John Mitchell and Brett Lebda.

Tampa's an interesting case, at 73GF and 78GA we'd expect them to be below a .500 points percentage based on the pythagorean. For those of you who hate stats; it doesn't make sense that they get outscored and win more than they lose. Observe:

GF GA Pyth Pts% Pyth Pts Actual Pts% Act. Pts Difference
TOR (22GP) 48 61 .428 19 .431 19 0 Pts, 0.003%
TBL (24GP) 73 78 .522 25 .604 29 +4 Pts, 0.082%

Essentially Tampa has two more wins than we'd expect so far. Who knows, maybe we'll get Lady Luck on our side tonight. If Toronto can stay out of the penalty box and keep Steven Stamkos from lighting them up on the power play they might be able to slow this game down and grind out a win.

If Toronto plays sloppy undisciplined hockey like they did against Buffalo they're going to give Stamkos a wonderful gift at home ahead of Christmas.

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Comments

Display:

Dan Ellis

#PhilKesselProblems

hopefully they will be all solved tonight.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 1:44 PM EST reply actions  

I can’t think of who will be on the fourth line. I’m having a brain fart. Could someone help me out?

Mac – Kadri – Kessel
Crabb – Grab – Kule
Versteeg – Bozak – Sjo
Orr – ? – Brown

by Jay! on Nov 30, 2010 1:54 PM EST reply actions  

Tim Brent

Are you bringing back the meme?

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Ha ha. No, it was a real brain fart.

by Jay! on Nov 30, 2010 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

he can’t since Tim “The Legend” Brent has been coined since.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 1:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Brent.

Blue on both sides: Maple Stir-up
And I'm on Tweetbook

by maplestirup on Nov 30, 2010 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

Haha, Shit I thought you were serious.

Blue on both sides: Maple Stir-up
And I'm on Tweetbook

by maplestirup on Nov 30, 2010 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

One of those “extra” wins was against Buffalo.

Mike Weber: Free to roam the ice and take stupid boarding penalties once more.
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Nov 30, 2010 1:56 PM EST reply actions  

Play Stamkos!

Is it a terrible idea when killing of the penalties tonight to focus one player to cover Stamkos 100%, then leave the other 3 players to deal with the other 4 lightning (essentially making a 5-4 PP a 4-3)?

Probably.

Could it hurt?

by JippyCorp on Nov 30, 2010 2:09 PM EST reply actions  

Malone would run over Gus or something ridiculous, or St. Louis would use his old man strength and shovel one in.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:10 PM EST up reply actions  

wow, i should pay attention when I read things, i completely missed “focus one player to”

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

what I read
Play Stamkos!
Is it a terrible idea when killing of the penalties tonight to focus one player to cover Stamkos 100%, then leave the other 3 players to deal with the other 4 lightning (essentially making a 5-4 PP a 4-3)?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Are you wearing shutter shades?

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

possibly, I have been staring at a spreadsheet for a very very long time.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Wasn’t there a basketball movie where the entire team covered one guy with the ball, and he still scored? Did I dream that?

by JippyCorp on Nov 30, 2010 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

what happens at the ACC when the leafs are on a road game.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Usher concert = basketball?

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 2:25 PM EST up reply actions  

basically.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Space Jam?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Might not be a bad plan. Though 4-3 is way more dangerous than 5-4, Stamkos would still take up space.

Mike Weber: Free to roam the ice and take stupid boarding penalties once more.
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Nov 30, 2010 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

They did this against.. I think Philly last year … They had Orr just tail someone. I think it was Pronger. Maybe I’m making all this up.

Either way, they might as well try it

by Ben Schnell on Nov 30, 2010 3:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Joey Crabb is in the lineup for one reason, and one reason only:

To hack Steven Stamkos in the knees so hard that we don’t have to play him for the rest of the year.

Oh, you better believe that's a paddling.

by JP Nikota on Nov 30, 2010 2:10 PM EST reply actions   2 recs

This has win written all over it.

by JippyCorp on Nov 30, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I say we go full retard goon and call up Rosehill lol. Hack The Bone! Hack The Bone!!!1

The Leafs have too many Urkels on the team, thats why our Winslow.

by Hi, my name is Pavol, its nice Demitra. on Nov 30, 2010 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I can’t wait to watch hockey!

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 2:18 PM EST reply actions  

You must be a self-loathing masochist.

Pumps out more male with one thrust of the pelvis than the United States postal service over the last 146 years.

by Blinky on Nov 30, 2010 6:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I just feel like we might score tonight. Maybe.

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 6:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh I think we definitely will.

In the sense that future-Leaf Steven Stamkos is going to light it up.

Pumps out more male with one thrust of the pelvis than the United States postal service over the last 146 years.

by Blinky on Nov 30, 2010 6:31 PM EST up reply actions  

/covers ears

Hey, if you’re gonna call us birds you might as well call us chickens.

by Leafer87 on Nov 30, 2010 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

are we auditioning for him like the knicks did for lebron? should we cheer when he scores?

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Okay, so, true story.

My sister was out with some friends and met up with Jerry D’Amigo and Joey Crabb. There was some apparently innocent interaction back at their place. Fast forward a couple of days: BOOM, Joey Crabb is promoted.

If anybody knows Mike Zigomanis’ phone number, I can pass it on to her, since she has the magic touch.

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 2:23 PM EST reply actions  

mwahahaha

Hey, if you’re gonna call us birds you might as well call us chickens.

by Leafer87 on Nov 30, 2010 6:24 PM EST up reply actions  

pimping your sister out for Marlies promotions? I love the leafs too but I dunno man.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Obviously, I’m kidding. Kadri is already on the big club.

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

haha that being said, if my sister were dating Luke Schenn, I’d be okay with that. free tickets right?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

You’re lucky she didn’t meet up with Schenn because you’d be an uncle in 9 months

The Leafs have too many Urkels on the team, thats why our Winslow.

by Hi, my name is Pavol, its nice Demitra. on Nov 30, 2010 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

I think the only innocent person in this story is you ;)

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 30, 2010 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

not after the sister pimping part lol

Foooooood.

by fatassjackson on Nov 30, 2010 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

The feigned innocence helps to keep me from throwing up.

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 6:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I actually do have Ziggy’s #….

Who wants to hear a funny ass joke?

by ohshrit on Nov 30, 2010 6:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh god, I’ve taken the joke too far.

by Shift on Nov 30, 2010 6:19 PM EST up reply actions  

People going to the game tonight

Can’t even boo Mattias Ritola, how is he supposed to know what he did wrong!

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 2:36 PM EST reply actions  

He knows what he did wrong.

Visit my blog at: http://50-mission-cap.blogspot.com/
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Nov 30, 2010 4:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow, Crabb has 12 points this year with the Marlies. You know who else has 12 points with the Marlies this year?

ZIGOCALLHIMTHEFUCKUPMANIS!!!!1

The Leafs have too many Urkels on the team, thats why our Winslow.

by Hi, my name is Pavol, its nice Demitra. on Nov 30, 2010 2:50 PM EST reply actions  

Will Colton Orr do something stupid to bury the Leafs tonight?
Or will he be invisible?

Tampa has no tough guy now that Konopka is playing on the Island (because Orr sure as hell isn’t playing against Downie) – sit him and get a useful body in the lineup!

This space for rent...

by fair_n_hite_451 on Nov 30, 2010 2:55 PM EST reply actions  

Orr is going to fight Ohlund – that crazy somofabitch

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 30, 2010 3:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Ohlund tried to take Kessel out in his VERY first game back last year (In a completely clean hit, that Kessel even admitted was clean).

That means he is a dirty sombitch, right?

I am drinking the Kule-aid!

by BCapp on Nov 30, 2010 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

you gots it. Beat downs for Ohlund en route.

Clean hit mean shit

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 30, 2010 5:29 PM EST up reply actions  

Just a reminder

Crabb leads the Marlies in goals this season, with 9. Perhaps Wilson wants someone to score goals for some reason.

by theninjagreg on Nov 30, 2010 3:05 PM EST reply actions  

that crazy fool…

The Leafs have too many Urkels on the team, thats why our Winslow.

by Hi, my name is Pavol, its nice Demitra. on Nov 30, 2010 3:07 PM EST up reply actions  

has goals in AHL ∴ going to get goals in NHL?

oh Ron, what won’t you try.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 3:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Ho’d you do therefore symbol?

I am drinking the Kule-aid!

by BCapp on Nov 30, 2010 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

copy and paste

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 5:51 PM EST up reply actions  

counterpoint: Jason Krog

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Nov 30, 2010 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Hockey is a goal scoring competition?

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 30, 2010 3:09 PM EST up reply actions  

BOOM!

Y’see, if your team has more goals than the other team at the end of the hockey game, then your team….er….uh….uh…..WINS the game. Heh.

TOUGH ACTIN TINACTIN!

Visit my blog at: http://50-mission-cap.blogspot.com/
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Nov 30, 2010 4:09 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

When ya win the game…Brett Favre is the best player there ever was!

I am drinking the Kule-aid!

by BCapp on Nov 30, 2010 5:20 PM EST up reply actions  

the only number i don’t want to see tonite is a zero – in the Leafs’ goals for category.

getting shut-out is effin’ boring to watch, kids.

now, i don’t expect their goals for in this one to exceed tampa’s (SE opponent @ Home, Tuesday Night, let’s be honest)… and thus, they shan’t win. but one would be nice.

certified JoNo lover

by jono974 on Nov 30, 2010 4:31 PM EST reply actions  

TB has a horrible GAA so you have a decent chance of scoring a goal even though it is Tuesday and you’re playing the Southeast division.

Mike Weber: Free to roam the ice and take stupid boarding penalties once more.
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Nov 30, 2010 4:34 PM EST up reply actions  

These days...

Saturday is the new Tuesday :S

Phil Kessel says YAAAAAAAAAYYYYY!!!1

by LeafBoy on Nov 30, 2010 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

They have already shut us out once

I am drinking the Kule-aid!

by BCapp on Nov 30, 2010 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

a few GMs are expecting to see Marco Sturm on waivers pretty soon.

LETS MAKE A CLAIM

Who wants to hear a funny ass joke?

by ohshrit on Nov 30, 2010 4:36 PM EST reply actions  

I would not be surprised at this point.

However I think Dreger said on Twitter yesterday the Bruins are just under the cap enough to fit Savard after dumping Hunwick.

Professional cusser causer.

by T is for Truculence on Nov 30, 2010 5:34 PM EST up reply actions  

We’d be dumb not to take him for free. He’s a UFA at the end of the season.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 30, 2010 6:13 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed.

It was in Friedman’s 30 thoughts, I can’t see why in the world if he gets to us on waivers, why we don’t take him.

Who wants to hear a funny ass joke?

by ohshrit on Nov 30, 2010 6:16 PM EST up reply actions  

LETS MAKE A DEAL

Pumps out more male with one thrust of the pelvis than the United States postal service over the last 146 years.

by Blinky on Nov 30, 2010 6:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Brian Burke should flaunt the leafs considerable power and abolish Tuesdays from the NHL and replace them with Leafswinday-s.

Mike Weber: Free to roam the ice and take stupid boarding penalties once more.
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Nov 30, 2010 4:36 PM EST reply actions  

The keys to victory are simple:

1) Don’t take penalties. At all. Ever.
2) If #1 is not an available option, incapacitate Stamkos.
3) I unno….how about somebody SCORES A F***ING GOAL?!

Visit my blog at: http://50-mission-cap.blogspot.com/
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Nov 30, 2010 4:39 PM EST reply actions  

The joke is that they’re calling up this career AHLer instead of D’Amigo, who’s got way more talent, and Stefanovich, who also has way more talent and has just gotten loaned to some KHL dump because he wasn’t playing at all for the Marlies.

They could have built some good will with him instead by giving him some minutes with the big club, but no… stupid.

Seriously, Crabb.

Fire. Wilson. Now. Anger is more useful than despair.

by Peter de Chatham on Nov 30, 2010 5:07 PM EST reply actions  

Why rush D’Amigo? Crabb is the leading goal scorer and deserves a shot with the club, I’d rather have Caputi around but Wilson seems to hate him.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 30, 2010 5:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Pretty sure

That puti must have ran over Wilson’s cat or something.

I am drinking the Kule-aid!

by BCapp on Nov 30, 2010 5:23 PM EST up reply actions  

Slept with daughter. Thats my story and I’m sticking with it

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Nov 30, 2010 5:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe he’s having trouble standing up too Wilson’s scrutiny.
His fortunes have really taken a dive recently, let’s hope he lands on his feet.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 30, 2010 5:40 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Oh fuck you

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Nov 30, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Couldn’t resist, I really feel for Luca, seems like a solid guy.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 30, 2010 5:54 PM EST up reply actions  

HAHAHAHAHAHA I see what you did there now.
I’m Italian, and I’m rec’n this.

by samspade on Nov 30, 2010 6:22 PM EST up reply actions  

BOOM.

The Leafs have too many Urkels on the team, thats why our Winslow.

by Hi, my name is Pavol, its nice Demitra. on Nov 30, 2010 5:41 PM EST up reply actions  

well, this needs to be rec’d

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

by thenumber14 on Nov 30, 2010 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

We should call him the Hokey-Puti.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 30, 2010 5:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Seriously, get your facts straight.

Stefanovich obviously didn’t play for a reason. Most of us don’t know the reason. We have all heard the stories of laziness and sloppy backchecking. Either way, he wasn’t cutting it in the AHL, so does he deserve a call up as a reward?
Absolutely not.

D’Amigo has 3 goals. Crabb has 9. So they called up Crabb who has been in the NHL before and has been producing more in the AHL.


They could have built some good will with him instead by giving him some minutes with the big club, but no… stupid.

Good will? Seriously?

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Nov 30, 2010 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Good Will Hunting?

Professional cusser causer.

by T is for Truculence on Nov 30, 2010 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

D’Amigo is a long ways away from being a regular NHLer. Crabb may be less talented, but he understands the pro game.

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 30, 2010 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m glad Caputi is back down, because I want him to play. I don’t know why Wilson didn’t give him more of a shot, I thought he was good that game against Boston (clanged one off the post), but as long as he is playing I am happy.

by samspade on Nov 30, 2010 5:51 PM EST reply actions  

interesting number

Tbay’s 5v5 F/A ratio is 0.78 – 5th worst in the league. Their 5th ranked powerplay is clearly helping to offset that.

The Islanders are a shocking 0.52. Amazingly bad at even strength.

Yesterday is dead, but not my memory.

by daoust on Nov 30, 2010 6:12 PM EST reply actions  

MUST. NOT. TAKE. PENALTY.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 30, 2010 6:14 PM EST up reply actions  

seriously.

Yesterday is dead, but not my memory.

by daoust on Nov 30, 2010 6:22 PM EST up reply actions  

“special teams mean nothing”

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 6:16 PM EST up reply actions  

who said that?

Yesterday is dead, but not my memory.

by daoust on Nov 30, 2010 6:23 PM EST up reply actions  

that guy who’s blog I don’t read. Steve somthing. Chemmy’ll tell ya

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 6:23 PM EST up reply actions  

One of the other guys who writes for Leafs Nation who told me that special teams aren’t important.

The Leafs are an even goal differential team at evens…

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 30, 2010 6:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Stay out of the box

The Leafs shitty special teams will be this game’s undoing, I can feel it.

That said, score a goddam goal boys.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Nov 30, 2010 6:14 PM EST reply actions  

7-4 Tampa

Stammer 2 goals, 1 assist.

That’s my take.

Who wants to hear a funny ass joke?

by ohshrit on Nov 30, 2010 6:18 PM EST up reply actions  

we score 4 times?!?!

by sportsfan2 on Nov 30, 2010 6:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Pleasepleaseplease score more goals than Stamkos tonight

Hey, if you’re gonna call us birds you might as well call us chickens.

by Leafer87 on Nov 30, 2010 6:26 PM EST reply actions  

Gagne is skating in the warm-ups and looks like he’s back in the line up. That means he’s good for one goal tonight, Stamkos will get at least 2, that means the Leafs need to score 4 to even have a shot at winning tonight….

Bitter Leaf Fan: Skepticism, not cynicism.

by mf37 on Nov 30, 2010 6:34 PM EST reply actions  

They’re giving us a week to get those four goals, right?

Oh, four! I mean five! I mean fire! Now available in lite version!

by chillin411 on Nov 30, 2010 6:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Im calling a Joey Crabb hat trick tonight, otherwise known as the Crabbtrick

by TheDeek on Nov 30, 2010 6:37 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Crabb’d

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 30, 2010 6:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Crabb you very much

by TheDeek on Nov 30, 2010 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Joey Crabb hat trick:
On the game night roster
1 shot on goal
1 period with more than 4 minutes played

Bitter Leaf Fan: Skepticism, not cynicism.

by mf37 on Nov 30, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

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