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83 games of 81: So, Kessel can score

Kessel_scores_medium

The mood around the Kessel trade is downright grim these days, with Tyler Seguin in the NHL and our current slump making this year's first rounder look like a sweeter and sweeter plum to have forgone.

Part of the problem, I think, is that folk do not quite realize what we have in Kessel, since his streakiness masks his true production level. Missing training camp last year meant he never had the chance to place amongst the goal leaders.

Star-divide

Whatever numbers Kessel has been able to accumulate, he's done it in adverse circumstances:

  • He missed training camp and the first 12 games of last season.
  • For his centres, he has been blessed with Matt Stajan, Mikhail Grabovski, Tyler Bozak, and John Mitchell. Holding out hope for Bozak, but this is not an impressive group of centres. No Luc Robitaille on the left either.
  • Because the Leafs have little scoring depth, Kessel has been the focus of every opponent's defense, every game that he has played as a Leaf.
  • He's not done developing yet, in body or skills.

Despite this, Kessel has put up 37 goals in 83 games as a Leaf. It doesn't get much fairer than game-for-game, so here are the leaders for goals over their last 83 games played. Hopefully this puts Phil Kessel's performance in perspective.

 

Player

Team

Pos

Goals

1

Alex Ovechkin

WSH

L

56

2

Steven Stamkos

TBL

C

51

3

Sidney Crosby

PIT

C

51

4

Marian Gaborik

NYR

R

46

5

Daniel Sedin

VAN

L

45

6

Alexander Semin

WSH

L

44

7

Patrick Marleau

SJS

L

41

8

Teemu Selanne

ANA

R

40

9

Dany Heatley

SJS

R

38

10

Marian Hossa

CHI

R

38

11

Phil Kessel

TOR

R

37

12

Bobby Ryan

ANA

R

36

13

Jeff Carter

PHI

C

36

14

Chris Stewart

COL

R

36

15

Ilya Kovalchuk

ATL, NJD

L

35

16

Zach Parise

NJD

L

35

17

Rick Nash

CBJ

R

35

18

Eric Staal

CAR

C

35

19

Nicklas Backstrom

WSH

C

34

20

Alexandre Burrows

VAN

L

34

Ten. There are a whole ten guys in the NHL with more goals than Kessel over their last 83 games. Look at the names. Half of those players are going to the Hall of Fame someday. Consider their salaries-other than Stamkos, no-one cheaper than Kessel. Of the under-30s, anyone available for two 1sts and a 2nd?

Not that this is some sort of goal-scoring competition or anything, but I defy anyone to come up with a definition of "elite goal-scorer" that less than 11 players in the world can match.

One pressing concern is that he is wasted on his line-mates at the moment. While patience is important when evaluating the performances of Bozak, Kulemin and Versteeg thus far, Kessel needs a centre who can complement his skills. He has more to offer than breakaways and open looks. If we thought finding linemates for Sundin was a problem, this is a crisis: Kessel is not the type of player to take a play on his back, like Sundin so often did. He is an opportunist, and needs support to maximize his potential.

Despite everything going against him, Kessel has already proved he is elite; and it only gets better from here. I wish Tyler Seguin luck, because he has an uphill climb to match what we have in Kessel.

PensionPlanPuppets.com is a fan community that allows members to post their own thoughts and opinions on the Toronto Maple Leafs and hockey in general. These views and thoughts may not be shared by the editor of PensionPlanPuppets.com.

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Comments

Display:

Rec’d for Kessel love.

Also, it bears repeating, OMG Marian Gaborik! He IS the Rangers offense.

by samspade on Nov 8, 2010 10:15 AM EST reply actions  

Heh

That’s true, when he’s on the ice. His last 83 games go back to 2008-2009.

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Great Post

Kid’s the only bona fide star. Check out how many teammates are on that list!

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 10:46 AM EST reply actions  

3 CAPITALS

How do they not win?

Do you realize that if you took away those three, and left them with:

Fleichshman-Laichs-Fehr

as their top line I think it still has as many points as ours last year?? (I haven’t acutally checked this)

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Shit

Forgot about Knuble.

Fleichsman-Laichs-Knuble

VS

Versteeg-Bozak-Kessel

:(

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

THROW BAGS OF MONEY AT SEMIN

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

remember when you and I were saying this about Kovalchuck last season?

Yeah i’m not getting my hopes up.

Who wants to hear a funny ass joke?

by ohshrit on Nov 8, 2010 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

if the leafs sign semin, I am going to call who ever centers him “fluffer”

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 11:11 AM EST up reply actions  

if you are burke, what does the contract look like that you offer him on July 1st?

5yrs, 6.5mil?

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 11:12 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh, I think he asks for a monster contract. 40, maybe 50 goal scorer available at 27? 7 years, 56 million.

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 11:14 AM EST up reply actions  

sooo….. we arent getting him then. If we beleive Burke when he says he wont give out deals longer than 5 years

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

Did Burke say he flat-out wont, or did he say that he doesn’t like to give out those cobntracts (implying that he may in the right situation).

by samspade on Nov 8, 2010 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

not 100% sure… my memory tells me that he said he flat out wont….

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 11:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Semin’s injury history is probably going to keep the contract length to a Burke-approved level (hopefully).

My protest worked! Mike Weber has been freed!
Everything wrong with the Sabres is Drew Stafford's fault.

by Ubiquitous on Nov 8, 2010 2:40 PM EST up reply actions  

So here's the question

Would we be happy with:

5 years 36?

7.2 mil/year

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

We pay Dion Phaneuf 6.5 to “change the culture”.

Get Semin here scoring goals I don’t really care about the price.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 5:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Start making signs & t-shirts:

Scoring = Semin!
Give Us What We Want!

We can protest in front of the ACC…

by Death_By_Leafs on Nov 8, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Lord help whoever makes the Give Us Semin sign

Resident Capologist
Follow me on Twitter @clrkaitken. Or don't. Whatever.

by clrkaitken on Nov 8, 2010 7:27 PM EST up reply actions  

“scoring = semin” is also pretty racy

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. I think I need a drink now.

by Wan Ihite on Nov 8, 2010 8:10 PM EST up reply actions  

You really want Semin? Soft soft soft soft soft soft soft.

by AutoKAD on Nov 8, 2010 11:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Did you see his short handed goal this weekend? That’s anything but soft.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 11:23 AM EST up reply actions  

hmmm kills penalites too, eh?

Funny side note: How quickly Mike Green jumped into that play. On the PK. That guy will never pass up a chance for offense.

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

That’s what happens when you’re playing with a guy like Semin. You know the guy is going to make something happen, so it’s probably a good call to get in there and join in.

by lucc on Nov 8, 2010 9:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Did you see Eric Fehr’s goal yesterday? SPLURT. We need to get him out of DC.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6rAGh4TakhA

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

i’m not soft anymore

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

ew.

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Semin does that to you eh?

(ok, disgusted at myself for making that joke)

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. I think I need a drink now.

by Wan Ihite on Nov 8, 2010 8:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Hopefully he has another ridiculously snakebitten playoffs so that belief can continue.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Seriously, a big playoffs could be worth eight figures to him. Crazy.

"That’s why stats are so important – anecdotal evidence just doesn’t cut it when you’re talking about history." - Bower Power

by The '67 Sound on Nov 8, 2010 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

a big goal could be his money shot

boom

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

If he stays hard on the puck and uses some fancy stick work to take it right up the middle, he could shoot through the five-hole. Semin is literally all over the ice.

"We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them."

Albert Einstein

by Say *plan the parade one more time*... on Nov 8, 2010 7:05 PM EST up reply actions  

He’ll likely benefit from being the only bona fide sniper on the market.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 4:03 PM EST up reply actions  

The streakiness is a bit of a problem, but I think that could improve if he had a little more talent around him.

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 11:33 AM EST reply actions  

At first my reaction to this statement was “The F**K?!?!”

But I take it you mean that he doesn’t play much with Ovi, Backstrom & Knuble. However, the counterpoint is that on the Leafs he would be relied on as a primary threat and would see the oppositions best D matchup.

by samspade on Nov 8, 2010 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

errrm I was referring to Kessel. I think with a little more help around him, he wouldn’t be relied on as heavily and either a) play loose. Less pressure, might mean more consistency b) we’d have more talent and hopefully more wins, and no one would care if Kessel’s slumping.

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Don’t think his streakiness is that much bigger than any other players. It’s just more obvious to us.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 4:03 PM EST up reply actions  

You’re probably right

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Haven’t commented in a while on this site, but this is a great post . The chart really helps put Kessels production in to prospective.

by Army13 on Nov 8, 2010 11:36 AM EST reply actions  

and by prospective i mean perspective. (ouch)

by Army13 on Nov 8, 2010 11:38 AM EST up reply actions  

All the 1-up mushrooms in my kingdom for an edit button.

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 3:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Save the mushrooms and use the preview button.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 4:04 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Preview helps.

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 5:11 PM EST up reply actions  

I want to take this post out for a nice dinner, then go for a walk, then take it back to my place.

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 11:38 AM EST reply actions  

I like this post, and agree with everything in it, except that I don’t think the Kessel trade has been getting much heat lately (not nearly as much as last year), the team would be doing even worse without Kessel. I would say the Versteeg trade is the one that looks the worst right now.

by Shield on Nov 8, 2010 11:42 AM EST reply actions  

Versteeg came as advertised by Chicago fans: a ton of skill, prone to giveaways, sometimes lacks finish.

We should nick name him “The Swede” (All Swedish, no Finnish).

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 11:45 AM EST up reply actions  

You’re suggesting applying the nickname Swede to anyone not named Mats Sundin?

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 2:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Shouldn’t Sundin’s nickname just be The Man? Since he is anyway…

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s debatable, but Swede is officially taken in perpetuity.

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 2:23 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Sundin has always been ‘The Big Swede’. ‘The Swede’ is fine in my books.

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 3:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Captain Clutch

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 3:32 PM EST up reply actions  

so rec’d

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 4:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I miss Sundin

Gets me every time

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 11:48 PM EST up reply actions  

versteeg has been my biggest disapointment…. the way he has been quitting on plays and showing his frustration on the ice is infuriating. not skating hard enough, trying to do be too cute… i know some of these things were known from his time in chicago, but still, i expected more so far.

one thing i think i noticed on saturday night, maybe someone can confirm or deny this, was during a linechange the camera focused in on versteeg and he was chirping the buffalo bench by asking someone “How much money do you make?! huh!? Eh, How much money do you make!?”

not sure if guys chirp each other about their salaries alot…. but to me it was just icing on the cake for a very frustrating start of the season for Kris.

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

I saw him chirpiing, but couldn’t make out what he was saying. Imagine chirping about salaries….damn

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 12:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I know exactly what shot you’re talking about. I was pretty certain he said “you want a piece of me?”, but I could be wrong. Equally lame though.

by Alex Grantham on Nov 8, 2010 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Kessel is absolutely an elite talent – I wonder how many guys would be in front of him without their elite puck movers. I know there’s a lot of talk about sucking Semin out of the free agency market (yes, I’m 12), but I’m much more interested in acquiring a true #1 center – I really think someone out there exists that can move a puck well enough to solve Kessel’s inconsistency issues.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 12:41 PM EST reply actions  

Semin AND Richards through free agency!

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Just Richards. If I have to pick I’ll take the Conn Smythe winning center who will make Kessel better all day every day.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I would love, love, love to have Richards on this team over Semin.

by Alex Grantham on Nov 8, 2010 1:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Brad Richards will be 31 next season. Assuming a five year deal I don’t want a 36 year old as our top center.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:08 PM EST up reply actions  

How about a 34 year old? a four year deal would be great by me, I really wish they could still do club option years, but I don’t think they can anymore.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

I expect it to be a 4-year deal.

If I were Richards’ agent, I would only want to sign until 34, because then I can sign a retirement contract prior to the 35 “no outsies” limit.

Sign 30-34, then sign 34-38 (or 39) and then retire. Works perfectly. Unless he can convince Dallas or someone else to give him a 7 or 8 year deal to take him to 37 or 38, but that would make him immobile and potentially stuck on some bad teams in the future.

by Death_By_Leafs on Nov 8, 2010 5:33 PM EST up reply actions  

EXCEPT

Who knows if that clause will be there in the next CBA, which is coming soon…

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 6:05 PM EST up reply actions  

When Richards is 36 Kardi will be like 24.

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 1:10 PM EST up reply actions  

he is also scoring at just under a PPG and will probably be the only offensive center to make UFA, he is going to demand BIG coin

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Do you think having Richards gives us a chance at a cup run in those 5 years?

(I’m honestly not sure)

Oh, four! I mean five! I mean fire! Now available in lite version!

by chillin411 on Nov 8, 2010 1:12 PM EST up reply actions  

alone? no, added to Kessel, maybe, Richads AND Semin AND Kessel?? damn near definitely

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Those three would be money together. STOP GETTING MY HOPES UP!

The Leafs are my Rushmore
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by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 8, 2010 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Agreed – I’ve just blocked out the possibility of getting both of them in free agency. I don’t think Semin’s enough.

Oh, four! I mean five! I mean fire! Now available in lite version!

by chillin411 on Nov 8, 2010 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Burke has been all about youth, and has yet to acquire anyone above 27, excluding Giguere, Sjostrom, Beauchemin and Brown. I’d be pretty shocked if he picked up Richards.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Brown’s only 25.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 1:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Huh. Serves me right for trying to do that from memory, but that makes me happy.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

and an RFA – what has Brown done for you lately?

Taken 2 boarding penalties

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 2:00 PM EST up reply actions  

had one bad game and 12 good to very good ones

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree whole heartedly.
I make joke, it not funny

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

i hope burke keeps him around for a good while

by gnarlybattleship on Nov 8, 2010 4:43 PM EST up reply actions  

me too…great checking/grinder forward.

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 4:48 PM EST up reply actions  

We’re not getting Richards. Dallas is going to re-up with him before the season is over.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 1:15 PM EST up reply actions  

if they can find a taker for Ribero

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

/chuckles derisively

Jared you so crazy

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

thats what the bunny spiders crawling out of my psychiatrists eyes told me

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Whenthey tell you to start burning things…Start with the Habs.

And then the Sens.

And the Wings.

And…

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

And....

all evidence of Boston’s claim to our 2011 pick.

by Death_By_Leafs on Nov 8, 2010 5:35 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m fairly certain we’re either going to move a TON of assets for a #1C, or we’re going to have to move sizable assets for a #1C prospect, then wait a couple years as he develops. I hate how patient I’m going to have to be for this young team to hit prime.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Personally I was planning on hanging my hat on Joe Thornton but stupid San Jose had to go and resign him. The way I see it, Burke’s already made his bed. He MUST land Brad Richards or someone else as good or better this summer, and another 1 or 2 elite guys the summer after that.

by lucc on Nov 8, 2010 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

unless Richards has a shitty season from hear on out he will probably cost at least 6.5 a year and want a retirement contract

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think you need 5 elite players on a team to be a contender. Looking at the 06 Hurricanes they had Staal who was certainly elite, Stillman, Brind’Amour, Cole in the regular season all put up big numbers, but I think that with say two guys in the 80-90 point range and 3 more in the 55-70 range with a solid D and good goaltending can take you as far as you’ll go. 2 scoring lines, s solid plumber lines, a solid d and a talented goalie (Hell, just the goalie if you’re some teams which will remain Montreal.) and you can have a bonfide contender. so, stick to the plan, Kadri develops well, bring in a top center, and hope our wingers pick up a little and develop further by that time, and we’re looking at the very least at a solid playoff team. Sounds like the company line now I read it back, but dammit all stay the course people!

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

2006 was a clustercuss.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 8, 2010 1:20 PM EST up reply actions  

It might happen again! Think positive man!

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Uhm
I don’t think you need 5 elite players … I think that with say two guys in the 80-90 point range and 3 more in the 55-70 range

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Thank you.

"That’s why stats are so important – anecdotal evidence just doesn’t cut it when you’re talking about history." - Bower Power

by The '67 Sound on Nov 8, 2010 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Perhaps he has a different definition of elite?

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 8, 2010 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

To me at least an elite player is one of the 80-90 point guys, or someone who consistently hits 70 year by year, but a guy who goes from 55 to 70 then back to 55, or 18 goals to 30 and back ain’t elite. I’m looking at you Erik Cole!

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:33 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok well we currently have “zero” 90pt players and “zero” prospects that are likely to be PPG+ in the NHL.

We have “one” player who could be a 70+ pt guy (Kessel) and “one” prospect who could be a 70pt guy if we’re lucky in Kadri.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

How many played for the Blackhawks? As far as I know it was 1 they had solid forward depth and excellent defense, as well as a horse shoe bummed goalie. If we did acquire Richards that would give us (as I consider it) two elite forwards, capable of 80 points each, if Our D remains strong (or somehow gets stronger) then they’ll support the forward corps. Hopefully Versteeg and Kulemin can get to the 50 point area and we’ll be able to bring in another 50 guy and have some scoring depth. D and goal are big concerns in the playoffs and with luck we’ll have that. I’m just trying to paint an optimistic view here. I can’t help myself. Or we get the Koreans to Clone a team made up entirely of Wendals, Dougies, and Borje Salming and then we own the NHL for Years! BWAHAHAHAHAHA!

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:45 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s a lot different than your initial claim that we needed two 90 pt players and 3 70pt players.

A goal’s a goal. While Richards would make Kessel better directly Semin gives us two scoring lines.

Kulemin (20-30-50) – Bozak (15-30-45) – Kessel (40-25-65)
Semin (40-25-65) – Kadri (15-40-55) – Versteeg (15-30-45)

That’s 145 goals from our top two lines. Dropping Versteeg to the third and replacing him with a UFA like a Frolov or Ponikarovsky (flawed, reasonable cost, 20 goals) would work.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not disputing that, but If you had to pick just one which would it be? Personally I go for the guy who’s proven he can win in the playoffs. So far I haven’t seen a lot of Semin in the Playoffs. 08-09 Semin playoffs were good statistically, but he disappeared last year. Richards hovers at a PPG in the playoffs and I think would be better with Kessel.

That said if we got either one of them I’d faint from sheer joy.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

semin did not disappear last year, he got an insane amount of chances and was a threat every time he was on the ice, the Habs and Halak just shut him down VERY well

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I stand corrected, I don’t follow the habs in the playoffs, but I don’t remember hearing a lot of positive about him at the time.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

heh, deja vu

There is no "I" in team, but there is an "M" and an "E"

by Matt_Roberts on Nov 8, 2010 3:25 PM EST up reply actions  

SLIGHT disagreement

I think Kessel could be a point per game player with the right line mates…

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 3:55 PM EST up reply actions  

could be, not is, or is a lock to be, different thing

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 3:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Very few players get up to a point a game these days, and those who do rarely do it alone. I don’t think Kessel is going to get to a point-a-game, at least not consistently. But keep in mind, scoring 40 goals is more valuable than dishing 60 assists.

From red line to red light in less than 12 parsecs.

by Nirbo on Nov 8, 2010 11:43 PM EST up reply actions  

If we have five of the top 17 point scorers I bet we’d win more games.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

And, if I remember right, most of them are paired off – wingers with centers (Ovechkin and Backstrom, Sedins).

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Top 21 point producers last season: http://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/NHL_2010_leaders.html

1. Henrik Sedin-VAN 112
2. Sidney Crosby-PIT 109
   Alex Ovechkin-WSH 109
4. Nicklas Backstrom-WSH 101
5. Steven Stamkos-TBL 95
6. Martin St. Louis-TBL 94
7. Brad Richards-DAL 91
8. Joe Thornton-SJS 89
9. Patrick Kane-CHI 88
10. Marian Gaborik-NYR 86
11. Daniel Sedin-VAN 85
   Ilya Kovalchuk-TOT 85
13. Alexander Semin-WSH 84
14. Patrick Marleau-SJS 83
15. Dany Heatley-SJS 82
   Zach Parise-NJD 82
17. Anze Kopitar-LAK 81
18. Paul Stastny-COL 79
19. Evgeni Malkin-PIT 77
20. Mike Green-WSH 76
   Corey Perry-ANA 76

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

WSH 4
SJS 3
TBL 2
NJD 2
VAN 2

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

TOR 0

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 1:51 PM EST up reply actions  

20 NHL teams 0

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

also true

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

also,
Stastny’s the guy we want. Young, playmaker, room to improve, contract not terrible

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

will cost a premium to pry out of colorado

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m pretty sure Schenn would open them up to a trade.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

don’t tease me

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Not saying I wanna do it but that’s what I think would be required to get it done.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Need one more year

They need to know that Duchenne can be point per game, before they would consider letting Stastny go…

Also I love him, but he is injury prone

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 3:57 PM EST up reply actions  

they’d probably try and keep both

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

They’re definitely weak on D going forwards.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

The might lose Foote and Hannan next summer

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

schenn is my definition of a premium

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s tough. What’s rarer – a hard hitting shut down defenseman or a PPG #1C?

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 2:03 PM EST up reply actions  

The latter, but you don’t give up Schenn.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree, but I can see the case for otherwise as well.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Stastny is only 24.

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

schenn is only 21

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Just pointing out that you’d be getting a very good young player in return. A legit #1 center

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

And why is Colorado in a hurry to do this?

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 2:07 PM EST up reply actions  

if they want a defensive D they can have finger back for a “to be named later”

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:09 PM EST up reply actions  

They’re not. We’re just speculating.

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 2:10 PM EST up reply actions  

So obviously Statsny is unobtainable, but what about that Crosby guy in Pittsburgh?

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Backstrom, all the way

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

So this is stupid HFBoards nonsense trade proposals then, got it.

Pension Plan Puppets*
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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

pretty much

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Neat.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 2:14 PM EST up reply actions  

so how about that brad richards, i hear he is nearing UFA

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I am one of the few who thinks schenn WILL be at least near a franchise level D man in a couple seasons, so its hard for me to say
there are very few players i would trade schenn for, let alone schenn plus

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Schenn’s offensive game is starting to peek out from around the edges. It’s coming.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 2:06 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s very exciting to watch.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

yup, i dont ever see him potting Chara or Green numbers, but still, the surface of schenns offensive potential has only been scratched

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

?

are you saying this in a “room for improvement” kind of way, or a “has yet to meet lofty expectations” kind of way?

by Death_By_Leafs on Nov 8, 2010 5:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I'm still maintaining

Scott Stevens-lite. Realistically, minus Stevens’ offence and headhunting.

Supporter of the Sergei Berezin "Give and Go" - You give me puck, then you go to hell

by bkblades on Nov 10, 2010 7:28 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah. :(

Negative. I am a meat popsicle.

by birky on Nov 8, 2010 1:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Of those players, most were linemates: Washington (Ovie, Backstrom, Semin), San Jose (Thornton, Marleau, Heatley), New Jersey (Parise, Kovalchuk), Tampa Bay (St. Louis, Stamkos), and Vancouver (The Sedins).

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 1:37 PM EST up reply actions  

So that means we should get in on the action!

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 8, 2010 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Time to tank and hope we draft generational talent?

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 1:40 PM EST up reply actions  

And how!

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
Follow my foray in fancy facial follicles

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Nov 8, 2010 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

We would get Daigle’d so hard.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Pretty much. “Steven Stamkos of the Toronto Maple Leafs has decided to retire from pro hockey at the age of 19 and go into the family car insurance business.”

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m grossly unqualified to talk about future drafts, but drafting in the 2000s has been so ridiculous, I can’t believe it’s sustainable. At the very least, I have to think that the “clear and away #1 overall in the draft” bit is going away, and we’ll see more “Will Tavares outproduce Duchene?” I’m interested in seeing how the Panthers’ “Tank hard” goes – I can’t imagine there’s another Crosby or Ovie coming down the short-term pipeline.

The experiment failed: Get rid of the trapezoid.

by Bower Power on Nov 8, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

next year looks to have a pretty well defined top 3 of “future NHL star” quality picks, but is “weak” beyond that

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I know about Larson and Couturier, but who’s the third?

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Nugent-Hopkins

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, I found him. Yes please. with a side order of awesome if you would.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 2:08 PM EST up reply actions  

so….next year?

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 1:41 PM EST up reply actions  

… for Boston.

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 2:20 PM EST up reply actions  

in Columbus

"We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them."

Albert Einstein

by Say *plan the parade one more time*... on Nov 8, 2010 9:04 PM EST up reply actions  

this is an excellent picture that will be added to my repository

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 1:34 PM EST up reply actions  

with say two guys in the 80-90 point range and 3 more in the 55-70 range with a solid D and good goaltending can take you as far as you’ll go. 2 scoring lines, s solid plumber lines, a solid d and a talented goalie (Hell, just the goalie if you’re some teams which will remain Montreal.) and you can have a bonfide contender.

In summary, if you have an amazing team with no flaws or holes, then you will be good at hockey.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 1:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Or if your goalie suddenly turns into a blast furnace.

"Kneel before Todd!!"
They told me practice makes perfect, then they told me nobody's perfect, so I stopped practicing.

by antrofan on Nov 8, 2010 1:48 PM EST up reply actions  

No! If you have a stacked team with scoring, defense and goaltending,

you can have a bonfide contender

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

2006 kinda doesn’t count, at least in the discussion of how to build a cup winner. It was a weird year.

Now, the Penguins won it all with only 2 really elite players (Stall was solid but i don’t think he’d have been one of Detroits top 5), but Malkin and Crosby were so far ahead of most “elite” players they were in a whole other category.

by samspade on Nov 8, 2010 1:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Carolina coasted through the playoffs against severely injured teams and barely squeaked by the Oilers despite Roloson being injured.

I believe Buffalo had six regular d-men hurt by the end of the ECF.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

And even with all that luck it took a bunch of career years from their forwards.

"That’s why stats are so important – anecdotal evidence just doesn’t cut it when you’re talking about history." - Bower Power

by The '67 Sound on Nov 8, 2010 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s what winning the Cup really takes; you need to have a good group of forwards who all get hot at the same time.

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by Chemmy on Nov 8, 2010 1:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Anyone around here know Santeria?

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 1:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Nope, I don’t have a crystal ball either.

Oh, four! I mean five! I mean fire! Now available in lite version!

by chillin411 on Nov 8, 2010 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

I’ve never had a million dollars

Loving the Leafs is like being in love with a drug-addled, gambling addicted prostitute with a heart of gold and a bunch of humanitarian awards from her youth. It’s hard. It hurts. But dammit! I just love them!

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Nov 8, 2010 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

And if you did, you’d spend it all.

GameNorth.ca - Gaming north of the border.

by NinjasFromSpace on Nov 8, 2010 2:23 PM EST up reply actions  

So my solution

Trade for Eric Fehr. That man is underutilized, a good shooter, a big guy and puts up great pts and G /TOI

I think he could do big things with more minutes and is what we need, and could be had for reasonably cheap.

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 4:04 PM EST reply actions  

could be had for reasonably cheap.

Caps fans we talk to seem to think otherwise.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Fans don't run the team

He plays little minutes, and doesn’t have any tangible stats that seem to make him a big commodity on that team.

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Sure.
They’re probably more clued in to what McFee would do than us, though.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 4:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Wouldn’t be the first time a guy got paid for intangibles.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
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by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 4:51 PM EST up reply actions  

We’re looking at you, Stretch

BS

by MapleLeafMole on Nov 8, 2010 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

Do no want.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 4:06 PM EST up reply actions  

Just to follow up with some numbers

For players who played at least 20 games (5×5 data from behind the net):
7th in G/60 minutes (Washington has FOUR in the top 7…wtf!)
15th in pts/60

Do you want to know who the 14 ahead of him are?
DANIEL SEDIN
HENRIK SEDIN
ALEX OVECHKIN
SIDNEY CROSBY
ALEXANDER SEMIN
NICKLAS BACKSTROM
ILYA KOVALCHUK
MARIAN GABORIK
ALES HEMSKY
CHRIS STEWART
WOJTEK WOLSKI
JOE THORNTON
LOUI ERIKSSON
PATRIK ELIAS

…thats some elite talent.

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Washington has FOUR in the top 7…wtf!

That’s why. For anyone on the Capitals that is not Ovie, Backstrom, or Semin I’m throwing out last season’s stats because that team was a complete fluke. Fehr has 3G and 3A in 13 games so far this season and is playing on their 3rd, sometimes 4th, line.

Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Nov 8, 2010 4:20 PM EST up reply actions  

First time trying to use these stats, so here goes nothing.

He had a QTeam of 0.16 (10th/13 forwards who played 40+ games) and a QComp.

*To be fair he also had the second worst QComp.

The point is though that he got those points/Goals playing without those other guys. If I remembered where the line mates data was I would go look at that

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 4:31 PM EST up reply actions  

so he benefited greatly from having the other teams focus all their defensive abilities on the insane top load of skill the team have

wait are we talking about Fehr or versteeg

sonofabitch

Rule #20

by JaredFromLondon on Nov 8, 2010 4:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I was thinking the same thing…

But he was also a former first round pick and has the size we want…

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 4:56 PM EST up reply actions  

There should be a limit on how many years a player has been in a league where fan thinks his draft position matters. There are lot of players who were first round draft picks who have stuck around and get spoken of as better than they are because of their draft position.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 5:07 PM EST up reply actions  

For sure

But he is still relatively young. People can take time to develop and because Toronto refuses to develop its players properly we need to trade from other teams where they will?

After this it gets a little off topic

Look at a guy like Loui Ericksson. He came over in ’05 (at 20 years old) and played the whole year in the AHL:
GP G A pts
78 31 29 60

Then they called him up and had 2 middling or worse years
06/07 (21)
59 6 13 19
07/08 (22)
69 14 17 31

It wasn’t until the year after that that his offesnive game became apparent in the NHL:

08/09 (23)
82 36 27 63

And we know about last year and this year
09/10 (24)
82 29 42 71
10/11
13 9 7 16

We need to learn to actually develop players. That doesn’t mean 20 games in the AHL. If we have patience with our players they can actually turn into something. I am talking about someone like Caputi. People are so quick here in leafs-land to call the guy a failure this summer. It takes TIME for players to develop and they need to get that on the big club. Not everyone can come straight up and succeed and I think its the lack of patience with players that screws us over the most.

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 5:28 PM EST up reply actions  

oh sure

I’m just saying that when we’re looking at trading for someone, if they’ve been in the NHL for 5+ years and have never been an offensive force, trying to use “first rounder” as a point in their favour is disingenuous.

"The only way out is in a body bag. Go Leafs Go." - Blinky

by Karina on Nov 8, 2010 5:32 PM EST up reply actions  

YOUR FACE IS DISINGENUOUS!

Be an Optimist Prime, not a Negatron. Certified Grabbo Lover!

Адразу Ліфс Перайсці !

by Sergei Puckizin on Nov 8, 2010 6:25 PM EST up reply actions  

There’s a difference between calling Caputi a failure and saying he has a lot of work to do.

And it seems like Toronto’s doing a lot to bring kids along slowly now.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Nov 8, 2010 10:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes and no

Slowly would be giving multiple years to some of these guys. It just frustrates me with people saying Kadri is a bust and then the defense being, give him a half a season in the AHL, and then if he comes up and doesn’t light it up he’ll be a bust. It can take multiple seasons for players to develop IN the NHL, and leafs fans never allow that.

by BCapp on Nov 8, 2010 10:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree with pretthy much everything you but,

Phil Kessel is a very good offensive talent. Maybe a little too streaky, but still very good. I still maintain the trade was a mistake and have felt this way from the onset. He doesn’t have a good supporting cast and with very little in the cupboard may not have any true help before his tenure with the Leafs is up. He lacks much of the qualities needed to lead a team through adversity as evident by his scoring droughts through extended losing streaks. The fact that we haven’t drafted a player of his caliber in twenty years speaks volumes. If we would hold onto our picks and use them wisely, we wouldn’t have to make deals like this. I’m a big Kessel fan now that he’s a Leaf but the timing of the deal was all wrong. This was a deal to be made near the end of a rebuild, not the beginning.

by leafsandstuff on Nov 15, 2010 9:30 PM EST reply actions  

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