Hey PPPers,

Before I say anything else this is a follow up to Daoust's awesome fanpost.  So please go read that article.  I have taken some of his data, his graphs, and (obviously) the motivation to write this fan post from him.  So to reiterate most of the work was done by him.  I just added a few things...

Anyway here I will look at two things.

1. Burke's net draft picks, with a mathematical analysis of their likelihood to play 100 NHL games (from Cullen's piece)
2. Daoust looked at the prospects that Burke has brought in and sent out.  I have taken this a little further and just looked at all of the players 25 or younger that he has brought in and sent out.

As always if this sounds interesting read on!

So first is the draft picks.  I used Cullen's analysis of draft picks from 1995-2004 he gave two stats by position drafted:

1. Likelihood to play 100 NHL games in their career (pretty simple)
2. The average "value" of a player according to a 10 point scale explained here:

10 - Generational (Alexander Ovechkin, Evgeni Malkin )
9 - Elite Player (Ilya Kovalchuk, Dany Heatley )
8 - First Line, Top Pair D (Thomas Vanek, Dion Phaneuf )
7 - Top Six Forward, Top Four D (Daymond Langkow, Chris Phillips ) 
6 - Top Nine Forward, Top Six D (Daniel Cleary, David Legwand )
5 - NHL Regular (Michael Rupp, Boyd Devereaux )
4 - Fringe NHLer (Kris Beech, Krystofer Kolanos )
3 - Very Good Minor Leaguer (Pavel Brendl, Jeff Heerema )
2 - Minor Leaguer, maybe gets a shot in NHL (Chris Hajt, Daniel Tkaczuk )
1 - No NHL games (Matt Zultek, Luca Cereda )

Second I looked at how many players Burke picked up or sent out under 25.  When we are talking about a rebuild it is important to look at what he's doing with young players.

Feel free to have a look and I will add my analysis soon.  Again thanks to Daoust.

Cheers,

BCapp