FanShot

Win Threshold

1

Hey guys, So here is a quick/early look at Win Threshold so far this season. According to the Shots Against and Goals For so far this season, here's what we're seeing. (I know its a tiny sample size but its worth seeing how each team is starting). Click on the link for a refresher of how Win Threshold works, and recall that it is the save percentage the team's goalies must maintain in order to end up around .550% (playoffs) Rank. Team - Win Threshold 1. PHILADELPHIA - 0.856 2. DETROIT - 0.870 3. CHICAGO - 0.876 4. WASHINGTON - 0.890 5. TORONTO - 0.893 6. ST LOUIS - 0.893 7. SAN JOSE - 0.894 8. BUFFALO - 0.899 9. MONTREAL - 0.902 10. PHOENIX - 0.904 11. PITTSBURGH - 0.905 12. NY ISLANDERS - 0.905 13. COLORADO - 0.905 14. LOS ANGELES - 0.907 15. CAROLINA - 0.915 16. VANCOUVER - 0.916 17. FLORIDA - 0.917 18. CALGARY - 0.918 19. TAMPA BAY - 0.919 20. OTTAWA - 0.924 21. DALLAS - 0.926 22. MINNESOTA - 0.926 23. NASHVILLE - 0.927 24. COLUMBUS - 0.927 25. WINNIPEG - 0.929 26. ANAHEIM - 0.931 27. NY RANGERS - 0.932 28. EDMONTON - 0.933 29. NEW JERSEY - 0.938 30. BOSTON - 0.943 Observations: The top 16 teams IMO should reach their win threshold. The only wildcards after that are Calgary, Nashville, Anaheim and Dallas, who may be able to reach their win thresholds if saved by goaltending. Phoenix and the NYI may also not reach their win threshold.

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