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The Apprenticeship of Joe Colborne

Last year at the trade deadline the Leafs dealt Tomas Kaberle to the Boston Bruins in exchange for Joe Colborne, and 1st and 2nd round draft picks (that we traded to get Tyler Biggs and John-Michael Liles respectively).  Theoretically if Biggs pans out, and the Leafs at some point either re-sign or move Liles, that deal could equate to Tomas Kaberle as a rental in exchange for two key forward pieces in Colborne and Biggs, plus an offensive defender of comparable caliber OR further prospects.

Not quite a steal as the Bruins and Kaberle won a Stanley Cup, but still a pretty solid return for a rental to put them over the hump.  So far Biggs is toiling away in relative anonymity at the University of Miami (Ohio) with the Redhawks, a top notch NCAA Div I program, most noteworthy to Leaf fans in recent seasons as the school where Brian Burke's son Brendan was working as team manager at the time of his death.  Liles has put up 6 points in his first 8 Leaf games and looks to be an offensively productive player, even if his defense leaves a bit to be desired.

The key piece to this puzzle remains the lanky centre prospect the Leafs obtained from Boston in the initial transaction though, Joe Colborne.  Selected 16th overall in the 2008 entry draft, 11 picks after Luke Schenn, and immediately before Leafs rookie Jake Gardiner (also obtained in a trade last season from the Anaheim Ducks in exchange for Francois Beauchemin), Colborne is still very early in his career at 21 years of age.  

Star-divide

Colborne is 8 months older than Nazem Kadri, and spent two years in the Alberta Junior Hockey League with the Camrose Kodiaks alongside fellow Leaf prospect and 7th round draft pick Andrew MacWilliam (who currently plies his trade for the University of North Dakota - where he played with Leaf rookie forward Matt Frattin for the two seasons prior to this one).

After two years in the AJHL, and going in the first round of the draft, Colborne moved on to the University of Denver in the WCHA for the 2008-09 season, where he stepped onto the ice as the team's 3rd line Centre behind veterans Tyler Bozak (who is also now a Leaf) and Anthony Maiani, and in competition with former Leaf prospect Tyler Ruegsegger.  Bozak eventually went down with a knee injury after 19 games and Colborne filled the breach admirably, picking up 10 goals and 31 points in 40 games as an 18 year old rookie in the NCAA.

If anyone is noticing a trend here amongst all these Leaf connections, try not to read too much into it - though I would say they obviously do exist.  It obviously helped the team to be able to pick the brains of players that had played with Colborne, trained with him, and scouts that had watched him play numerous times.  Management wasn't just asking for a player they had watched, they were asking for a player they had inside information on, and insight into the mentality of.

Following up the 2008-09 season, Colborne had high expectations in 2009-10, and as expected with more ice time his production increased, though perhaps he didn't perform up to Boston's expectations, producing 19 goals and 41 points in 39 games as a 19 year old.  He signed a pro-contract at the end of the year and suited up for 6 games with the Providence Bruins to close out the year.  He only obtained 2 assists with the baby Bruins, and ended up -9 in those 6 games, so Boston might have had concerns from the get go.

In his first full AHL season, Colborne was listed as 4th on Providence's depth chart in the middle.  This may seem a tad unfair, but as an organization Boston is extremely deep at Centre Ice.  Savard (pre-retirement), Krejci, Bergeron, Seguin, Horton, Kelly, Arniel, Hamill, and Sauve all seemed to be ahead of Colborne on the depth chart.  In the AHL this amounted to Colborne producing less than Arniel and Sauve who were drafted in the 4th and 2nd round of the 2008 draft (behind Colborne) respectively, and the 2007 1st rounder (8th overall pick) Hamill.  With Seguin skyrocketing past all 4 onto the NHL roster as a 2nd overall draft pick, Colborne quickly became expendable to the team's future plans.

His 26 points and -16 rating in 55 games obviously did not endear him to the Providence coaching staff, and no interest was likely to come from above given that type of production.  His size was an asset he didn't appear to make enough use of, he didn't demonstrate enough of the poise and puck skill that earned him his 1st round status, and he seemed to fall out of favour.  The Leafs organization may have had a bit of an idea that Colborne was an asset going to waste in Boston's system, and perhaps identified him as a target early on.  

Following the trade to Toronto, Dallas Eakins went to work on Colborne's defensive miscues and encouraged the youngster to make more of an effort to park himself in front of the net.  With his distribution skills, his good hands, and his size, he would prove an asset very early on to the Marlies power play.  In his first two games, he produced three goals.  He would go on to produce 6 goals and 10 points in his first 11 games in a Marlies uniform.  Despite some concussion issues, he would end the year on a good note with 2 goals and 6 points in his final 7 games of the season.  He would end up with 8 goals and 16 points in 20 games with the Marlies, and he reversed the trend that saw him record a -16 rating in Providence, and instead posted a +2 rating in Toronto.

Picking up where he left off and then some, Colborne has entered this season as a young man possessed.  He currently leads the entire AHL in scoring tied with his line mate Joey Crabb at 15 points through 7 games.  He has also improved his defensive game to the point where he is rated as a +9 player on the season.  He has taken no penalties so far this year, and is leading the team in virtually every facet offensively. 

Why is this a big deal you might be asking? It's a big deal because Colborne has now registered 31 points in only 27 games as a Marlie, with that production jumping from 0.8 ppg in 20 games last year, to 2.14 ppg in only 7 games this year.  He's also only 21 years old, which makes this quite fortuitous from a development perspective.  It would seem that Colborne has finally figured out what to do with his frame.

Here is a list of players under the age of 24, to play 20 games or more in an AHL season at over 1.00 ppg from recent years.  For most of these players this was their "breakout" season.  Note the number of top end players and prospects on the list and their ages:

Season Player Age GP G A Pts ppg
2005-06 Dustin Penner 22 57 39 45 84 1.47
2005-06 Patrick O'Sullivan 20 78 47 46 93 1.19
2005-06 Jiri Hudler 21 76 36 60 96 1.26
2006-07 David Krejci 20 69 31 43 74 1.07
2006-07 PA Parenteau 23 68 30 49 79 1.16
2006-07 Troy Brouwer 21 66 41 38 79 1.20
2006-07 Jeff Tambellini 22 50 30 29 59 1.18
2006-07 Brett Stirling 22 77 55 42 97 1.26
2007-08 Teddy Purcell 21 67 25 58 83 1.24
2007-08 Sergei Kostitsyn 20 22 6 16 22 1.00
2007-08 Bobby Ryan 20 48 21 28 49 1.02
2007-08 Nigel Dawes 22 20 14 20 34 1.70
2007-08 Derick Brassard 19 42 15 36 51 1.21
2008-09 Matt D'Agostini 21 20 14 11 25 1.25
2008-09 Steve Downie 21 27 9 24 35 1.30
2008-09 Chris Bourque 22 69 21 52 73 1.06
2008-09 Claude Giroux 20 33 17 17 34 1.03
2008-09 Artem Anisimov 20 80 37 44 81 1.01
2008-09 Cal O'Reilly 21 67 13 56 69 1.03
2008-09 Mike Santorelli 22 70 27 43 70 1.00
2008-09 Jiri Tlusty 20 66 25 41 66 1.00
2009-10 David Desharnais 22 60 27 51 78 1.30
2009-10 Logan Couture 20 42 20 33 53 1.26
2009-10 Brock Trotter 22 75 36 41 77 1.03
2010-11 Max Pacioretty 21 27 17 15 32 1.19
2010-11 Dustin Jeffrey 22 40 17 28 45 1.13
2010-11 Linus Omark 23 28 14 17 31 1.11
2010-11 Luke Adam 20 57 29 33 62 1.09
2010-11 Zach Boychuk 20 60 22 43 65 1.08

So in comparison to this list, Colborne's 31 points in 27 games puts him at 1.15 ppg at 21 years of age, and so far this year his numbers are trending significantly upwards.  The majority of the players on that list are solid contributors offensively, though some are undersized or defensively weak which has led to them floating between the NHL and other leagues like the AHL, KHL, and SM-Liiga.

If Colborne develops into a player comparable to Penner, Krejci, Anisimov, Couture, Downie, or hell 3/4 of the players on that list, I think Leaf fans will be greatly pleased.  A centre with skill, size, strength, and the ability to produce down low and in front of the net.  We haven't had one of those in a while have we?

So now I leave it up to the rest of you to discuss the following:

1) How long do you think before Colborne should be playing for the Leafs full time?

2) If you need to move a C to make space, who do you ship out?

3) What is the long term potential for Colborne (i.e. who do you want him to be similar to)?

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Comments

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My assessment:

1) At the NHL level we have a glut of potential top 6 centres in Conolly and Grabbo and even Lombardi (not forgetting bozie but i see him as a career 3rd liner) therefore a full season in the AHL the way burke likes it should continue Big Joe’s progression until he’s ready to challenge for a top spot at spring training

2) Depending on Grabbo’s contract status and whether he’s resigned i think conolly becomes the most expendable even though a year with Colbornecentring a talented third line wouldn’t hurt.

3) I predict a player similar to Logan Couture. In Colborne’s case better hands may equal more assist than Couture but thirty goals shouldn’t be unreallistic at his max potential. I say somewhere around a consistent 55-65 point player and a career 2nd line centre

by Gose Buster on Oct 27, 2011 11:17 AM EDT reply actions  

1) I think he’s still a year away. Not playing wise, but I don’t think a year of AHL domination would hurt him.

2) I don’t feel comfortable answering that.

3) Second line center, 60-70 point plateau.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Oct 27, 2011 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

PS good piece Steve.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Oct 27, 2011 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you think he has multiple seasons at 60-70 point C thats a first line C. Not an all star first liner, but a first liner for sure.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is an average-poor 1st line C. Average being defined as the average points of hte 15th and 16th center in the league over the last 3 years, and poor being the average of 25th and 26th.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

But I hope for bigger things from another Leafs first line C whose name the crystal ball refuses to reveal.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Oct 27, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

The all star first liner I mentioned. I’m cool with rolling two scoring C’s like Boston though.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Me too.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Oct 27, 2011 4:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

challenge for a top spot at spring training

Is he switching to Baseball?

Further evidence that Rogers will buy MLSE

by Kessel'sOversizedSuit on Oct 27, 2011 11:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Haha my bad, just got off Bluebird Banter. Takes a minute to get into hockey mindset.

by Gose Buster on Oct 27, 2011 11:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

No worries. I simply understand it to be an express rule on these threads that every mistake must be exposed and turned into a joke.

by Kessel'sOversizedSuit on Oct 27, 2011 1:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

EVERY MISTAKE! DON’T YOU FORGET IT, PAL.

"I will actually score as many times as Kulemin assists me."
-Mikhail Grabovski

by MapleLeafMole on Oct 27, 2011 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

When?

I don’t really care how soon he makes it. If the team is doing well, I’m happy. I’m in no rush.

I would likely pencil him in for the opening night lineup next year. I think one of Grabovski and Connolly is not in the org’s long term plans (even medium term, maybe) so a scoring C role can open up there. This time next year he’ll be 22. There’s a mountain of evidence that suggests people who are impact NHLers at 18 or 19 go on to become true stars.

But there’s no shame in taking a bit of time, into your early 20s anyway. I was worried about Kadri, but he’s progressed nicely. And Colborne appears to at least have caught up, if not passed him.

Bozak’s days in the org seem numbered too, but that’s neither here nor there.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 11:29 AM EDT reply actions  

I don't know

that we can really say Kadri has progressed… he isn’t really much further along than Colborne. He’s on the bubble of being NHL capable, and at this point looks like the first demotion back to the AHL.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Oct 27, 2011 11:48 AM EDT up reply actions  

He is being demoted pending Connolly ready for tonight, so there’s that.

No more moral victories, no more excuses. Put up or shut up.
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by nhlcheapshot on Oct 27, 2011 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

Kadri looked real good to me some of the time during those 3 games he played this season, I think his knee/conditioning still arn’t up to 100 percent, the AHL time is good for him

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Oct 27, 2011 11:55 AM EDT up reply actions  

yeah let him dominate, get back into shape and call him up on the first inevitable injury.

by Goosemonster on Oct 27, 2011 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

With Colborne and Crabb tearing it up, I don’t see how you can call up Kadri over either of those two.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 1:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crabb is a career tweener surely. Elite AHL skills that don’t completely translate to the next level

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. Experiencing cheering whiplash for decades..

by Wan Ihite on Oct 27, 2011 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

OK

But Joey Crabb has been called up to the Leafs more than once.

Depending on the skills needed, I have little doubt they’d call up him over Kadri if something happened, say, tomorrow.

Or more to the point, so far Colborne appears to have earned a shot ahead of Kadri.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 3:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Kadri is ahead of Crabb and probably ahead of Colbourne on the depth chart. Colbourne may get a call if a top 6 C goes though…

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

really?

You might be right, but as it stands now, Kadri was an injury callup who did very little with the little NHL ice time he was given.

Colborne is scoring at a two-points-per-game pace in the AHL.

If the org is a meritocracy as they claim, surely Colborne deserves a chance ahead of Kadri the next time there’s an opening on a scoring line.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps, I am not sure

Kadri looked good when he was up. He had one assist and looked creative whenever he was on the ice.

Colborne may very well be ahead of him, its hard to know, but it just seems to me that he is the first call up.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

If a Centre is need for Kessel and Lupol I see Colrborne as a better fit. A big body with good hands , distrubutes the puck well and that has shown he can park himself in front of the net. Kadri may be more creative but I see him needing the puck more and having less net presence.

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Oct 27, 2011 5:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes Colborne obviously fits in the centre role better because Kadri is more of a winger now. Kadri will be up if there is an opening in the top 9 for a winger spot and Colborne will be up if there’s an opening in the top 6. I don’t think they’d bring up Colborne if both Grabo and Connolly are both healthy.

by WizardofNaz on Oct 27, 2011 5:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

agreed

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Oct 27, 2011 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Crabb should not be called up unless there are ridiculous amounts of injuries OR we traded a LOT of forwards.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

He may not have turned into the stud we all hoped he would just yet, but I don’t think you can claim Kadri hasn’t progressed at all. He’s not the same kid they drafted at 18. He’s much better. Only question is how mmuch better he gets from here.

Perhaps I phrased it poorly, but Kadri seems to have gone from the shining light of the prospect pool, to at least having been caught up to by Colborne. Hell, Gardner too. My point was to say how far Colborne has come, not to give Kadri more or less credit than he deserves.

I think Kadri will eventually settle in as a creative, undersized 2nd line winger.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 1:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

Perhaps I phrased it poorly, but Kadri seems to have gone from the shining light of the prospect pool, to at least having been caught up to by Colborne. Hell, Gardner too.

…Just remember, Kadri was drafted one year after both Colborne and Gardiner.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Oct 27, 2011 1:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I spent six hours yesterday building a spreadsheet so I could look at developmental curves to be used in comparison with guys like Kadri and Colborne.

I’m hoping to have it up by tonight and I’ll link back to this article.

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Oct 27, 2011 11:46 AM EDT reply actions  

1) One of Colborne or Kadri is likely playing for the Leafs top next season so he challenges next training camp.

2) Lot of skill but very injury prone plus has eats up 5 mill

3) Who do I want him to be Similar to?…..Malkin would be nice, but realistically if he turn into Nik Antropov i’ll be happy.

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by LeafFan1989 on Oct 27, 2011 12:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I'd say

his plateau is higher than Antropov.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Oct 27, 2011 12:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ryan Getzlaf would be the ideal. He’s big with playmaking ability and puck skill. He’s started using his physique a bit more this year. It’s a bit of a stretch but it could happen

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Oct 27, 2011 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

I won’t hold my breath for Colborne to turn into a Getzlaf type player… but if it happened… OH MAN

by Huey2k2 on Oct 27, 2011 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s a stretch for sure, but their best attributes fall in the same areas. Maybe a Getlaf-lite?

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Oct 27, 2011 12:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

A super-sized Joe Pavelski.

I am all that is man,

by antrofan on Oct 27, 2011 6:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

based on his lumbering gait, I see a little Jason Allison in there. Only more of a scorer than a passer.

And I don’t mean Allison as an insult. I would be exceedingly happy with that level of production.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 1:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’s really much faster than Allison, IMHO

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Oct 27, 2011 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

There were computers in 1982 that were already faster than Allison

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. Experiencing cheering whiplash for decades..

by Wan Ihite on Oct 27, 2011 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I see Allison as well. Not really physical, but big bodies with a pass first mentality.

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I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Oct 27, 2011 1:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

He has scored a lot of goals since getting to the Marlies. I wonder how pass first he continues to be.

Is no one going to say a much less talented Jumbo Joe?

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would, but then PPPers who think i’m stupid would bookmark it and throw it back in my face later as sign of my idiocy :)

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 3:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wouldn’t say a much less talented Thornton, because that sounds like a Dave Steckel to me

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Oct 27, 2011 4:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think they’re in the same stratosphere. How about less talented? I just mean he won’t be the leading scorer in the league for a decade or ever crack 100 points or 90 assists. I would be very happy if he can turn into a 60-70 point center. Like ecstatic. With his production this year my expectations have been raised to a 50 point centre as a minimum but I am afraid of being let down.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

yeah, that’s all that I was getting at. the much was a bit much

teehee

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Oct 27, 2011 5:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

IF......

He can become our Zajac, since Kessel is already pulling a Parise, I’d be super pumped!

by Kuleminsky-ov on Oct 27, 2011 5:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

I really hope you mean pre-lockout Allison

Follow me on twitter @CoolJ90

by CoolJ90 on Oct 27, 2011 5:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

Post lockout allison was good too. I am not sure why no one realizes this.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Antropov may be a very realistic goal.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

1 Send down Kadri and Frattin to play 20+ mins a night with big Joe. Let them develop some chemistry and run wild until New Yr or the deadline depending on how they and the Leafs are doing. If they are clicking bring the entire line up to play on the Leafs 3rd.

2. Ship Orr, Dupuis and Rosehill to the minors if they clear waivers.

3. Would love to see him develop into a Jordan Staal

Living and dying with the Blue and White, season to season, game to game, shift to shift.

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Oct 27, 2011 12:13 PM EDT reply actions  

You expect them to call up an entire line at once?

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just like the old Red Army 5 man units that played together for ages.

Living and dying with the Blue and White, season to season, game to game, shift to shift.

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Oct 27, 2011 3:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah but its difficult to call an entire line up from the Marlies because you need to drop 3 players at once.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 3:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know it would be a logistical nightmare mid-season but it could work to start next yr.

Living and dying with the Blue and White, season to season, game to game, shift to shift.

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Oct 27, 2011 3:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes it would be possible then. I thought by “New Yr or the deadline” you meant this year.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sundin eh, yeah he was alright I guess. /notserious

No Good Komi Scum

by SPERO on Oct 27, 2011 12:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

but not as, y’know…. Swedish

/alsoNotSerious

Glory glory Man United, AND the other MU, AAAAnd the Leafs. Experiencing cheering whiplash for decades..

by Wan Ihite on Oct 27, 2011 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I really think we don’t see much of Colborne this year. Injury call up may not happen because there are just so many centers right now. But as the year progresses, the team will have to make a decision on the MGK line, with Grabo being UFA and Kulemin RFA, and unlikely (my opinion, because I think it unnecessary) resignings of Dupuis and Rosehill, there could easily be more than enough room go give him (and others) room to prove themselves next season.

I think the trading really depends on what is going on in February. If the Leafs are rolling and in the mix for playoffs, I don’t think they move a center. Grabovski, for all we like him, won’t bring the return the Leafs would want to strengthen a playoff chance. In this case, I think it turns to either a minor deal, moving out Bozak or Lombardi, or a two year wait to see who the Leafs want to hold onto among all their centers who are up (Connolly, Bozak, Lombardi, Steckel). That obviously depends on Grabovski remaining with the Leafs, which is my own preference because I like his game, even if his point totals are going to start to drop.

If the Leafs are once again on the outside, looking in, Grabo will probably be moved for picks/prospect package. Lombardi moves up and I think, depending on Bozie, Colborne gets a first shot to remain with the team until the end of the season.

The who do I want is just asking for Leafs-goggles optimism, so I’ll just say I would like him to develop into first line center, whoever that might be the mold of. Yeah, a Sundin or Getzlaf would be amazing, but I’d be happy to say we have a Colborne one day. But my hopes are not up.

by Learn2Leaf on Oct 27, 2011 12:56 PM EDT reply actions  

I don't know much

But i have a very strong feeling Burke really likes Kulemin and he’s in the plans for a very long time. I don’t get the impression they think too highly of MacArthur, and I think they want Grabovski at the right price point.

But Kulemin’s the kind of all aroudn player you build around. Still so young, too.

Unabashed fan of the surprise 2012 Stanley Cup champs

by pevans on Oct 27, 2011 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Burke fought with MacArthur because he couldn’t be sure whether he’d be a one shot wonder

On a related note, MacArthur has been mediocre at best so far

Sometimes it seems this cycle never ends, we slide from top to bottom then we turn and climb again.

by Chris Stoikoff on Oct 27, 2011 5:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

1. If he keeps putting up ridiculous numbers, I think Burke makes a significant deal in the new year, especially if we aren’t a lock for playoffs. Probably involving two players below. So mid-January.

2. I really think Bozak and even Lombardi could be on the move if Grabbo resigns – if Grabbo is traded, then I think that creates a big void.

3. If he turns into a 50-60 point player, I’ll be thrilled. Anything less would depend more so on his overall game which I know little about. Oh God Tlusty is on the list.

by Dr_Furious on Oct 27, 2011 12:58 PM EDT reply actions  

"(i.e. who do you want him to be similar to)?"

 Mario Lemieux?

 JUST KIDDING but another Grabovski would be fine with me!

"i'm not inclined to resign to maturity"...PSYCH theme

by $#%@ eli and his daddy on Oct 27, 2011 1:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Do you think Burke and the aGM's really asked Bozak his opinion on another player before trading for him?
If anyone is noticing a trend here amongst all these Leaf connections, try not to read too much into it – though I would say they obviously do exist. It obviously helped the team to be able to pick the brains of players that had played with Colborne, trained with him, and scouts that had watched him play numerous times. Management wasn’t just asking for a player they had watched, they were asking for a player they had inside information on, and insight into the mentality of.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 2:38 PM EDT reply actions  

Why wouldn’t they gather all the information they could? Maybe they just asked about character stuff, which they claim they value highly.

Come get your duds in order...

by The Bag on Oct 27, 2011 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

It just seems odd to me for a GM to ask a player his opinion on another player in the league…

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

TAMPERING!!!!!!

Follow me on twitter @CoolJ90

by CoolJ90 on Oct 27, 2011 5:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

It seems like due diligence… They would’ve asked his old coaches at Denver too, but before you invest in someone you like to know as much about them as you can… Burke or Nonis prolly ask players about people they’ve played with all the time. Hell if I was a GM now and again I’d make a list of potential aquistions like 30 or so players, go into a team meeting and ask the room as a whole about their impressions of the players on the list.

by WizardofNaz on Oct 27, 2011 5:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

1) I’d say he gets a shot when someone is injured and probably doesn’t go back. Otherwise he makes the team after we pull a trade. Failing any trades or injuries probably next year.

2) Whoever Burke pulls out of his magic ass. We can also shift a center or two to wing to accommodate him.

3) Joe Thorton. They’re both big, they’re both good, they’re both named Joe and they both got traded by Boston.

Raycroft! I like the move. Falls inline with the push for youth and is a solution for the future. Trading Rask was unfortunate, but with Pogge and Raycroft only being 26, I think the TO goaltending future is a bright one. - Some guy from 2006

by Chuck Diesel on Oct 27, 2011 2:42 PM EDT reply actions  

love the analysis. Rec’d

Raycroft! I like the move. Falls inline with the push for youth and is a solution for the future. Trading Rask was unfortunate, but with Pogge and Raycroft only being 26, I think the TO goaltending future is a bright one. - Some guy from 2006

by Chuck Diesel on Oct 27, 2011 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

His use

Of advanced analytics and in depth observations was quite impressive.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I especially liked his use of vowels.

No Good Komi Scum

by SPERO on Oct 27, 2011 3:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d like to see a chart on his use of vowels.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

by Frag on Oct 27, 2011 4:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Super Joe!

As a Toronto sports fan I proudly follow the lessons of lachrymology.
"He drives that new car around town and feels really good about it." - Ron Wilson
"Vancouver, BC: A massive inferiority complex with a city." - TheOtherAndrew
"HOPE is more than a postponed disappointment" - Epica

by Redonred on Oct 27, 2011 3:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

2012 Entry Draft will be in Pittsburgh.

Bettman is obsessed with Pitts isn’t he?

When is TO going to get a draft/winter classic/all star game?

by Joe Ferguson on Oct 27, 2011 4:05 PM EDT reply actions  

The with Toronto for a winter classic, is the lack of a viable location

by munniec on Oct 27, 2011 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pretty sure it leaked/came out in the news a while back that teams who refuse to be a part of HBO 24/7 will not be granted a winter classic. So as long as Burke is at the helm, it ain’t happening. I don’t care about getting the draft personally, but an all-star game would be cool, I’d be paparazzi’ing around Toronto the whole time.

by lucc on Oct 27, 2011 4:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hmm interesting.

I just moved to Ottawa and recently remembered that the All-star game is here this year. It’s my goal to come across one of the players sat some point, somehow.

by Joe Ferguson on Oct 27, 2011 4:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Follow every all-star you can on twitter, I wouldn’t be surprised if they post where they are the whole time.

by lucc on Oct 27, 2011 4:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

the Leafs will probably get the draft (and the ASG) on their centennial

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Oct 27, 2011 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I went to an all star skills competition in TO.

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

me too in 2000 I believe it was. Maybe 2001

by WizardofNaz on Oct 27, 2011 5:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m pretty sure it was 2000, I have a ticket stub that says it from my first Leafs game ever

Sometimes it seems this cycle never ends, we slide from top to bottom then we turn and climb again.

by Chris Stoikoff on Oct 27, 2011 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

They should make Toronto an away team for a Winter Classic in another city, and watch the Leafs fans fill the stadium.

Hell, I’d go to Buffalo, NYC, Montreal, or Ottawa.

Minister of Obscenities - Armstrong Fan Club

by A Lindros Jaw on Oct 27, 2011 4:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d go to Calgary but I guess that’s a case of been there done that by now

Might hit up Edmonton if they hosted it too

Sometimes it seems this cycle never ends, we slide from top to bottom then we turn and climb again.

by Chris Stoikoff on Oct 27, 2011 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

We had the All Star game in 2000, didn’t we? Probably won’t get a winter/heritage classic since there isn’t a good location for us to play (BMO Field is well below the attendance standards set by places like Ralph Wilson Stadium and Fenway Park), but maybe we can be a road team in one. We’ll probably get the draft if there’s a year when we trade every single one of our picks.

Follow me on twitter @CoolJ90

by CoolJ90 on Oct 27, 2011 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

1) Full-time starting next season, pending he shows he can stay dominant all year long at the AHL level. I want to see this kid beat the door down and FORCE his way onto the team.

2) Unless there’s a good offer for Connolly at the deadline, I say ship out Grabovski. He’s turned into a great player for us, yes. But I’d rather trade him for a solid return, save the cap space he’s going to demand, and see Burke go hard for a unicorn. But hey, if he wants to sign on for less than $5mill on a multi-year deal (dreaming), keep him and trade Bozak and/or Connolly.

3) Long term potential… well the kid is very talented, he’s got the raw tools. If he can really master his ability to lean on people in the offensive zone and maintain his good vision and hands, he could be a Joe Thornton lite. But that’s a ceiling projection. I think it’s safe to say he’ll be a 50+ point 2nd line C in the not-too-distant future.

by lucc on Oct 27, 2011 4:39 PM EDT reply actions  

What unicorn?

About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!

by BCapp on Oct 27, 2011 4:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

No freakin’ clue.

by lucc on Oct 27, 2011 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

All of ’em

Follow me on twitter @CoolJ90

by CoolJ90 on Oct 27, 2011 5:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

What other center is grabbo most play like – kesler lite?

by jeffgm on Oct 27, 2011 6:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

1) I’d say next year we’ll see him, unless most of the C depth acquires Connolly’s contagious injury bug.

2) This is difficult. Grabbo could return some great assets, but I think he could be a valuable player for the team in the long run. I’d let Burke decide on this one.

3) Long term, I’d be fine to see Colborne become a playmaking 2nd line C who can score 50 to 60 points per season. I’d say his ceiling is a 65-75 point playmaking 1st line C (yeah, I’m on the hype train) and projects to be a Joe Thornton lite.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

by Frag on Oct 27, 2011 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

1) He’s with the Leafs by the trade deadline. I think he takes Bozak’s spot as the 3C on a sheltered scoring line, and Bozak is part of a package for another top 6 winger. Connolly-Grabbo-Colborne-Steckel down the middle, with Lombardi & Dupuis also available. Yeah. I can live with that.

2) Kind of answered that above, but I think it’s Bozak. Based on the ages of Connolly, Grabbo and Colborne, I think in two years’ time when Connolly’s contract expires, Grabbo replaces Connolly as the late 20s-early 30s top six centre, and Colborne replaces Grabbo as the early 20s up and coming top 6 centre. Also Colborne brings a size and skill element that the Leafs don’t currently have among their centres.

3) The Antropov comparison is probably the most apt. I get the Thornton comparison because of the Boston connection, but I don’t see him as that sort of playmaker. I’ll say Antropov is the most likely but my shoot-for-the-moon comparison is Anze Kopitar.

Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік

by clrkaitken on Oct 27, 2011 4:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Kopitar! Anze is dreamy yes.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Oct 27, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

Zajac?

Great read, I’d be thrilled if Colborne turned out to be similar to Travis Zajac. I heard Eakins mention his play without the puck has improved a lot, compared to when he arrived last year.

I had low expectations when we acquired Colborne and saw his ppg in Providence. Knowing that he was down on the depth chart explains a lot as I noticed that most of the better scorer’s listed above Krejci, Ryan, Giroux, Couture, Anisimov, Brassard all had their AHL breakout season at 20 yrs old or younger. I know his ppg were almost identical to Zajac in the WCHA at 19/20 yrs old.

by Kuleminsky-ov on Oct 27, 2011 5:14 PM EDT reply actions  

I’ll be at the Sens-Panthers game tonight. GO PANTHERS GO!!!

by ImpKnight on Oct 27, 2011 5:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Great article

I don’t know why, but I continue to be surprised at the difference in content/quality between some of the blogs I read and ALL of the main media outlets. Really great read, thanks!

.. I know the Leafs abuse me, but its because they LOVE me ..
.. 2/24/2011: I was there ..
@Vitamin_M_

by Vitamin_M on Oct 27, 2011 6:09 PM EDT reply actions  

1) I think it depends on a few different factors. If Kadri lights up the AHL as well I think he becomes the first call up unless Colborne really outplays him. Also if Colborne keeps up the pace he’s been on, which I don’t expect him to, it’ll be pretty hard to leave him in the AHL for long. I’d imagine Dallas Eakins has some input on this sort of thing as well, if he says the kid is ready and has learned all he can in the A I think Burke makes room for him.

2) Don’t know who I’d want to see go. Definitely not Grabbo. I know he’s probably got the highest value, both in trade and cap-wise on his next contract but he’s consistently played very well for over a year. He’s a keeper. I don’t think we’ve seen Bozak’s best hockey yet, I’d like to see him stick. I like what I’ve seen of Lombardi so far too and judging by his past Connolly is a legitimate top 6 centre so I wouldn’t be in a hurry to jettison either of them.
 Hmm. I guess I’d like to see how the season plays out and how all the C’s perform.

3) I’d like to see him as a 1a or 1b centre. The Leafs could really use his size down the middle in their top six.

by Mirinov's Nose on Oct 27, 2011 6:30 PM EDT reply actions  

That was interesting to read and full of little tidbits that kept it moving. Much appreciated.

by The Muppet on Oct 27, 2011 6:37 PM EDT reply actions  

My Thoughts

In my opinion, let’s be patient with Golgotha. I know he’ll likely get some time up in some manner with the Buds this year, but as long as we’re doing well, we should let him develop in the AHL, and see where he is come season end or training camp. Not using to rush him up is a good thing, and if Connolly is a stop-gap for 2the years

@muellercleez

by Muellercleez on Oct 28, 2011 2:25 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

My Thoughts

In my opinion, let’s be patient with Golgotha. I know he’ll likely get some time up in some manner with the Buds this year, but as long as we’re doing well, we should let him develop in the AHL, and see where he is come season end or training camp. Not using to rush him up is a good thing, and if Connolly is a stop-gap for 2 years, we should take full advantage of that fact. If he goes and scores 85-95 pts this year with the Marlies, I’d be very happy. Future potential I think is hard to predict but I’d love to see 80+ points per year

@muellercleez

by Muellercleez on Oct 28, 2011 2:27 AM EDT via mobile reply actions  

Apparently my computer is possessed

Let’s try this one more time…

In my opinion, let’s be patient with Golgotha Colborne. I know he’ll likely get some time up in some manner with the Buds this year, but as long as we’re doing well, we should let him develop in the AHL, and see where he is come season end or training camp. Not using having to rush him up is a good thing, and if Connolly is a stop-gap for 2 years, we should take full advantage of that fact. If he Colborne goes and scores 85-95 pts this year with the Marlies, I’d be very happy. Future potential I think is hard to predict but I’d love to see 80+ points per year

@muellercleez

by Muellercleez on Oct 28, 2011 2:36 AM EDT reply actions  

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