FanPost

25th-30th Picks From the 1997-2004 NHL Entry Drafts

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Editor's Note: BCapp takes a look at what the Leafs can expect to get with the first round pick from Philadelphia.

As everyone around these parts know the Leafs just traded Kris Versteeg for the Flyer's 2011 1st and 3rd round picks.  According to NHLSCAP.com:

  1. First the Clubs which failed to qualify for the next preceding playoffs in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest points total and followed by the Club having the next lowest points total, and so forth.
  2. The Clubs which participated in the next preceding playoffs (but had not been ranked first in their respective Divisions and did not make the Conference Finals) in order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points, and so forth.
  3. The Clubs which had been ranked first in their Divisions during the next preceding season (but had not made the Conference Finals ) in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points, and so forth.
  4. The Clubs who lose in the Conference Finals in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points.
  5. The Club which loses in the Finals shall select next to last.
  6. The Stanley Cup winner shall select last, thus, positioning all Clubs on the list.

Philadelphia is currently winning their division with 77 points in 55 GP and Pittsburgh is in second with 74 points in 58 GP.  With both of Pittsburgh's top players injured (one for the season), I don't think they can catch them.  That means at WORST Philadelphia will be drafting 21st.  Realistically I think they will be one of the top 2 division leaders which means they will draft at 25th at the worst.  Based on this I looked at all of the players drafted 25th-30th from 1997-2004.

Results after the jump

I chose 1997 because before that I didn't know enough of the players.  I chose 2004 because (1) thats when Versteeg was drafted and (2) their was a player drafted this year who is still a prospect (so after this year I think they may still have needed development time).

Now before I continue you should know this is completely subjective.  Just who I think is better (or more valuable to their teams) or as good (as valuable to their teams) as Versteeg.  I did try to be overly conservative (ie I said Cheechoo was better even though his career tanked by his late 20s and Brian Boyle with one good year is as good).

25TH-30TH Pick in NHL Entry Drafts from 1997-2004

1997

1998

1999

25

Brenden Morrow

Left Wing

25

Jiri Fischer

Defence

25

Mikhail Kuleshov (Left Wing)

26

Kevin Grimes

Defence

26

Mike Van Ryn

Defence

26

Martin Havlat (Centre)

27

Ben Clymer

Winger

27

Scott Gomez

Centre

27

Ari Ahonen (Goaltender)

28

Brad DeFauw

Left Wing

28

Ramzi Abid

Left Wing

28

Kristian Kudroc (Defence)

29

Scott Barney

Winger

29

Jonathan Cheechoo

Right Wing

29

Michal Sivek (Centre)

30

Jean-Marc Pelletier

Goaltender

30

Kyle Rossiter

Defence

30

Luke Sellars (Defence)

Players who are better

1

2

1

Players who are as good

0

1

0

2000

2001

2002

25

Steve Ott (Centre)

25

Alexander Perezhogin (Right Wing)

25

Cam Ward (goaltender)

26

Brian Sutherby (Centre)

26

Jason Bacashihua (Goaltender)

26

Martin Vagner (defence)

27

Martin Samuelsson (Defence)

27

Jeff Woywitka (Defence)

27

Mike Morris (forward)

28

Justin Williams (Right Wing)

28

Adrian Foster (Centre)

28

Jonas Johansson (forward)

29

Niklas Kronwall (Defence)

29

Adam Munro (Goaltender)

29

Hannu Toivonen (goaltender)

30

Jeff Taffe (Centre)

30

Dave Steckel (Centre)

30

Jim Slater (forward)

Players who are better

1

0

1

Players who are as good

1

0

0

2003

2004

25

Anthony Stewart (Right Wing)

25

Rob Schremp (Center)

26

Brian Boyle (Centre)

26

Cory Schneider (Goaltender)

27

Jeff Tambellini (Left Wing)

27

Jeff Schultz (Defense)

28

Corey Perry (Right Wing)

28

Mark Fistric (Defense)

29

Patrick Eaves (Right Wing)

29

Mike Green (Defense) *

30

Shawn Belle (Defence)

30

Andy Rogers (Defense)

Players who are better

1

2

Players who are as good

1

1

Bolded players are considered (by me) to be better (or more valuable to their team) than Kris Versteeg

Italicized players are considered to be as good (or as valuable to their team) as Kris Versteeg)

Players Who Are Better

Players Who Are as Good

Year

Player

Pick #

Year

Player

Pick #

1997

Brenden Morrow

25

1998

Scott Gomez

27

 

1998

Jiri Fischer

25

2000

Justin Williams

28

 

1998

Jonathan Cheechoo

29

2003

Brian Boyle

26

 

1999

Martin Havlat

26

2004

Jeff Schultz

27

 

2000

Niklas Kronwall

29

 

 

 

 

2002

Cam Ward

25

 

 

 

 

2003

Corey Perry

28

 

 

2004

Cory Schneider

26

 

 

2004

Mike Green

29

 

 

 

 

9/48 (18.75%)

 

4/48 (8.33%)

 

 

 

So there is a 35/48 (72.92%) chance the player we get is worse then Versteeg (according to historical drafting).  Sigh.

Cheers

PensionPlanPuppets.com is a fan community that allows members to post their own thoughts and opinions on the Toronto Maple Leafs and hockey in general. These views and thoughts may not be shared by the editor of PensionPlanPuppets.com.

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