FanPost

Best and Worst Goaltending Since the Lockout

Tim_thomas_medium

Editor's Note: BCapp is back looking at his save percentage data from last week. This time he ranks it by standard deviations. As before, set your screen to the 'wide' view on the right or the tables will be cut off.

Hello again blogosphere.  Some of you may have read my post last week about save percentages above and below league average for each year since the lockout.  When I was discussing the data in an FTB a couple of days after, our benevolent overlord Chemmy, pointed out that stating the actual difference from average is kind of useless.  What would better let us compare is standard deviation from average.  

To not just be a rehash of my last post, this time I looked closer at the best and the worst since the lockout.  Come over after the jump for the data

First off I sorted the data by standard deviation which can be found on a spreadsheet here.

Top 15

Rank

Player

Year

GP

Shots Against

Goals Against

Saves

Save %

Difference

Difference * 1000

Standard Deviations

1

Tim Thomas

2010/2011

44

1401

85

1316

0.9393

0.0253

25.3042

2.1459

2

Tim Thomas

2008/2009

54

1694

114

1580

0.9327

0.0218

21.8238

2.1109

3

Cristobal Huet

2005/2006

36

1085

77

1008

0.9290

0.0245

24.5114

2.0585

4

Niklas Backstrom

2006/2007

41

1028

73

955

0.9290

0.0200

20.0126

1.9006

5

Tuukka Rask

2009/2010

45

1221

84

1137

0.9312

0.0188

18.8088

1.7656

6

Dominik Hasek

2005/2006

43

1202

90

1112

0.9251

0.0206

20.6039

1.7303

7

Chris Mason

2006/2007

40

1244

93

1151

0.9252

0.0163

16.2654

1.5448

8

Miikka Kiprusoff

2005/2006

74

1951

151

1800

0.9226

0.0181

18.0829

1.5186

9

Ryan Miller

2009/2010

69

2098

150

1948

0.9285

0.0161

16.1082

1.5121

10

Henrik Lundqvist

2005/2006

53

1485

116

1369

0.9219

0.0174

17.3647

1.4583

11

Tomas Vokoun

2008/2009

59

1855

138

1717

0.9256

0.0147

14.7266

1.4244

12

Dan Ellis

2007/2008

44

1147

87

1060

0.9241

0.0134

13.3578

1.4079

13

Ty Conklin

2007/2008

33

1013

78

935

0.9230

0.0122

12.2088

1.2868

14

James Reimer

2010/2011

19

563

40

523

0.9290

0.0149

14.9272

1.2659

15

Tomas Vokoun

2005/2006

61

1984

160

1824

0.9194

0.0148

14.8340

1.2458

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Bottom 15

Rank

Player

Year

GP

Shots Against

Goals Against

Saves

Save %

Difference

Difference * 1000

Standard Deviations

221

Nikolai Khabibulin

2010/2011

39

1152

123

1029

0.8932

-0.0208

-20.7957

-1.7636

222

Brian Elliott

2010/2011

45

1220

131

1089

0.8926

-0.0214

-21.4019

-1.8150

223

Jose Theodore

2005/2006

43

1158

137

1021

0.8817

-0.0228

-22.8283

-1.9171

224

Olie Kolzig

2007/2008

54

1423

153

1270

0.8925

-0.0183

-18.3115

-1.9300

225

Vesa Toskala

2008/2009

53

1518

166

1352

0.8906

-0.0202

-20.2343

-1.9571

226

Dan Ellis

2010/2011

33

796

87

709

0.8907

-0.0233

-23.3213

-1.9777

227

Johan Hedberg

2007/2008

36

1026

111

915

0.8918

-0.0190

-18.9793

-2.0004

228

Jonas Gustavsson

2010/2011

23

620

68

552

0.8903

-0.0237

-23.7023

-2.0100

229

Jussi Markkanen

2005/2006

37

873

105

768

0.8797

-0.0248

-24.7958

-2.0824

230

Johan Holmqvist

2007/2008

47

1164

129

1035

0.8892

-0.0216

-21.6169

-2.2784

231

Chris Osgood

2008/2009

46

1208

137

1071

0.8866

-0.0243

-24.2905

-2.3494

232

Pascal Leclaire

2009/2010

34

822

93

729

0.8869

-0.0255

-25.5338

-2.3970

233

Johan Hedberg

2008/2009

33

875

100

775

0.8857

-0.0252

-25.1656

-2.4341

234

Marc Denis

2006/2007

44

1068

125

943

0.8830

-0.0260

-26.0169

-2.4709

235

Vesa Toskala

2009/2010

32

773

93

680

0.8797

-0.0327

-32.7056

-3.0702

A couple things I notice:

  1. Boston gets great goaltending.  Three years in a row their number one goaltender's save percentage makes it into the top 5 since the lockout!
  2. I don't care how few games Rask played last year, he deserved the Calder nomination over Jimmy Howard.  He was the top goalie last year and 5th best since the lockout and he played in more than half of their games.  (Howard was 5th in last year and 25th overall).
  3. Related to the last post: anyone who believes Reimer will be up for the Calder will likely be sorely surprised.  Rask played 45 games and if Reimer plays every single one left he'll have played 38 games.  To be fair if we make the playoffs on his back that single accomplishment is more than any single thing that Rask did last year.
  4. This always comes up.  Toskala's goaltending last year was the worst since the lockout.  At over 3 standard deviations below league average that would set him in the bottom 0.3% or so.  Awesome.  Look how much higher Denis' second worse was. Or the difference between Denis and Hedberg and Toskala and Denis.  A league of his F****** own.
  5. Gustavsson is having a terrible year.  Considering he started strong over the first month in a half and only played until mid January, he played absolutely atrocious in those two months in between.
  6. Tomas Vokoun is awesome.  The fact that he hasn't been able to drag the Panthers into the playoffs says a lot about those teams.
  7. The best full year of goaltending the Leafs have gotten since the lockout? Vesa Toskala in 2007/2008.  174th place. 66 GP. 0.904 save percentage. 0.71 standard deviations BELOW average. (Note Giggy's half and half year, last year ranks 156.  Woot. (/sarcasm))
  8. It wasn't that long ago that Giggy was an elite goal tender.  His 2007/2008 numbers rank 17th since the lockout.
  9. Do you know what comforts me about Toskala's numbers last year?  Leclaire's were only 3 spots better and Ottawa was stuck with him for another year.
  10. While a fanpost I did a while ago shows how important drafting is in getting elite centers it is not nearly as important in getting elite goal tending. Thomas-9th round. Huet-7th round. Backstrom-UFA. Rask-1st round (but late). Hasek-10th round. C. Mason-5th round. Kiprusoff-5th round. Miller-5th round. Lundqvist-7th round. Vokoun-9th round. Ellis-2nd round (but 60th overall). Conklin-undrafted UFA. Reimer-4th round.
  11. Dan Ellis makes both the best and the worst list.  Consistent isn't he?
Cheers

PensionPlanPuppets.com is a fan community that allows members to post their own thoughts and opinions on the Toronto Maple Leafs and hockey in general. These views and thoughts may not be shared by the editor of PensionPlanPuppets.com.

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