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"I'm a Red Wing!?"

There has been a lot of movement throughout the summer in the NHL. Some of it has been good, some of it created a fire storm of attention, some of it has been spectacular, and some of it has left a bit to be desired. This morning we looked at the signing of Alexei Ponikarovsky by the Redneck Maple Leafs and next up is another signing that may not be all bad but certainly isn't all good. There may even be a pattern here...

Star-divide

July 2, 2011 - Ian White Signs With Detroit - Winging It In Motown

You'll notice that the tone in that post is much different than the one they used just a few short days before. There is at least the understanding that while he was brought in to replace Brian Rafalski that he won't be good enough to fully replace the smooth skating offensive defenceman. The dollar figure isn't bad either as clrkaitken showed in his two part look at predicting what it would have cost the Leafs to sign White long-term.

Ianwhite_medium

The reason that this is a bad signing is what it represents: the continued downfall of the Detroit Red Wings. Or at least I hope so. The story of dynasties come undone is one of their best players hanging on too long or their best players being replaced by substandard versions or some combination of the two. It's hard to compare the defensive contributions of Rafalski and White since the latter has been passed around more often than the good looking cousin at a Hurricanes fans' family reunion.

Ianwhite_medium

However, we can look at their offensive numbers. Last season White came up short to Rafalski in a number of categories. Beyond the box cars White came up short in a number of categories. In terms of Goals Versus Threshold (GVT) 9.8 to 2.8 (combined totals for the three teams he played for in one season). If you look at points per 60 minutes of even strength time Rafalski was scoring almost a whole point higher (1.66 to 0.77). If they are counting on White to help on the powerplay then the Wings might be pretty disappointed when they look at the points per sixty minutes of powerplay time (4.28 to 1.84).

So ultimately, White doesn't match up to the needs of the Red Wings. He's a poor man's version of whoever would be a poor man's Rafalski. Will that change in Detroit when he's playing alongside guys like Henrik Zetterberg and Pavel Datsyuk? The Red Wings are banking on the hope that they did enough with the $6M in savings especially since they are going with Jimmy Howard and Ty Conklin in net. At least it's not Chris Osgood.

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I heard Dunder and Mifflin are hiring

Maybe Ian White could go look for a job there ?

FLYERROB ! YOU STAY AWESOME FLYERS FANS ! ~ ~ ~ Lori Wilson Gray ~ ~ April 07th 1967 - May 27th 2011 ~ May you rest in Peace ~ I love you and miss you big Sis ! I cant believe at 44 yrs of age .. you went to sleep and never woke up. I promise to take care of Matt and Emily for you. With Love, your baby Brother.

by FLYERROB on Sep 5, 2011 4:09 PM EDT reply actions  

White’s offense won’t make up for Rafalski, but we’re hoping that his defensive play will be better.

Either way, with White’s salary so low, it’s not going to make him an albatross.

by J.J. from Kansas on Sep 5, 2011 5:01 PM EDT reply actions  

That’s a pretty big gap in offensive production and I don’t think the defensive gap is big enough (if it is even in White’s favour) to make up for it.

My point in this is that while in isolation it’s a good signing compared to what was lost and what other moves were made it’s the kind of thing that you can point to as the Wings being (maybe this will even be the year!) their decline someday.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Sep 5, 2011 5:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

haha

wish in one hand, crap in the other… ;)

I’m really trying to figure out whether this will be the beginning of the end or whether it’s the beginning of a trend (unintentional poetry!). In the capped era, the best model for success is to have a lot of talented guys all take less than they’re worth. Sad to say it because he was incredibly effective in Detroit, but Rafalski was overpaid (just like Ericsson is now overpaid there until he proves otherwise). If you can’t get guys on the cheap because they’re surefire hits on entry-level deals (Blackhawks), then you have to take chances that you can pick these guys up and they’ll outperform their pay grade.

That doesn’t really say anything about whether or not you’re right though, because I admit that there’s a risk that White plays just kinda decent and the Wings’ start a decline as part of not being able to make up for it, but I do like how much cap space they still have to actually make a deadline acquisition this season if something in their roster isn’t working out (*cough HUDLER cough).

Really, next offseason is going to say a great deal about the future of Detroit, since I don’t see Lidstrom sticking around after this year.

by J.J. from Kansas on Sep 5, 2011 5:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

The only way Lidstrom retires is if the IKEA factory runs out of spare parts.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Sep 5, 2011 7:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

I remember a while back some people talking about making White captain. Crazy talk.

Congratulations Tomas!

by daoust on Sep 5, 2011 5:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Small distinction, I believe they wanted to make the moustache captain, and just let White have the C on his shirt.

Crazy would be NOT overanalyzing everything.
Lebda-free since July 3.

by nhlcheapshot on Sep 5, 2011 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Could have him shave the moustache/beard into a C shape by shaving on one side only.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Sep 5, 2011 5:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

The moustache’s jersey would have been too small.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Sep 5, 2011 7:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I remember when we first got Komisarek people were talking on the radio about him possibly being our next captain.

It was scary.

by Tats16 on Sep 5, 2011 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

If Ian White were 6’2", he’d be an Olympian.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Sep 5, 2011 6:54 PM EDT via iPhone app up reply actions   1 recs

I don’t disagree with this.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Sep 5, 2011 8:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’s still got time to become a naturalised South Korean.

No. Not even in the face of Armageddon. Never compromise.

by article1 on Sep 5, 2011 9:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

And if he was 7’ 2", he’d be Kareem Abdul Jabbar.

Not liking the Habs since 1959.

by not norm ullman on Sep 5, 2011 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, he’d be the co-pilot.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Sep 6, 2011 12:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

No he wouldn't be

Ian White is a useful defenceman, but that is an outrageous statement

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Sep 6, 2011 7:24 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

He’s a pretty good defenseman and if he increased his size and (in particular) reach without diminishing his skating ability I could see it.

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

SO what you’re telling me is Ian White is one of the best canadian defenceman in the NHL?
No waaaay

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Sep 6, 2011 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

I didn’t say that. I just think an extra 5 inches could make him a lot better. Its completely hypothetical though because it would probably slow him down a ton. But yeah the Canadian d-corps is nuts so you are right…

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like Ian White but there’s no way he’s a suitable replacement for Brian Rafalski. I just hope they don’t run him out of town like we did Brett Lebda.

by RJinSoCal on Sep 5, 2011 6:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Ian White

will not replace Rafalski. But he’s a hell of a lot cheaper, and he’s a lot better than the aforementioned Brett Lebda.

His Corsi REL QoC was 2nd lowest on the Sharks, only Wallin faced crappier opponents possession wise. His Corsi REL QoT was 3rd highest, behind only Vlasic and Wallin. His Zone Shift was +3.5, and he had an Ozone start of 49.5%.

His Pts/60 was 3rd on the Sharks behind Boyle and Demers, but that was mainly driven by 2nd assists, and not goals or primary assists.

He’ll end up being a 2nd pairing guy at best, possibly a decent 3rd pairing guy. But for a team with Lidstrom, Kronwall, Stuart, and Ericsson ahead of him, he won’t really suffer much for it. He’s only costing $2.875 mill in cap hit and he’s only on a 2 year contract, so if he stinks it up he’s a tradeable asset.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Sep 5, 2011 8:23 PM EDT reply actions  

I really don’t think Ericsson is a better defenseman. I guess he gets paid more so Detroit may disagree but I thought he was overpaid.

I don’t know about LD RD but I imagine my top 4 would be Lidstrom/Stuart and Kronwall/White.

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:06 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you actually

compare Rafalski and White’s Corsi numbers you see that Rafalski was actually more sheltered, and you could argue that his Offensive output might have had something to do with the fact that he started in the Offensive Zone on 54.2% of his shifts. That helps a fair bit.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Sep 5, 2011 8:27 PM EDT reply actions  

I dunno but

Anyone else find Mike Brown getting a pretty decent contract extension for a 4th liner weird? I mean he doesnt really do much

by jd90 on Sep 5, 2011 8:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Truculence.

There's always next season!

by B-Style on Sep 5, 2011 8:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

This is true

Anyone with truculence should automatically get a 3 year contract extension

by jd90 on Sep 5, 2011 9:01 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

If you want someone for a specific role, they do it well…why not?

"You said you didn't give a f#%k about hockey. And I never saw someone say that before..."

by TheBurnward on Sep 5, 2011 9:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

I guess but there has to be quite a few FAs who could fill his role every year. Don’t get me wrong I like a good handlebar mustache as much as the next guy I just thought 3 years for a 4th liner seemed a little long

by jd90 on Sep 5, 2011 9:29 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

I believe the mustache added a year to the deal. To rock one of that stature, implies an inherent ability to commit.

"You said you didn't give a f#%k about hockey. And I never saw someone say that before..."

by TheBurnward on Sep 5, 2011 9:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can’t help but wonder how the Brown ’stache would do against the Weber beard in a battle to the death.

WORD to yo Momma

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Sep 6, 2011 12:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

Uh oh, here comes the Parros sneak attack!

"You said you didn't give a f#%k about hockey. And I never saw someone say that before..."

by TheBurnward on Sep 6, 2011 6:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

For how much less than $700K are you going to be able to sign a comparable player?

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Sep 6, 2011 9:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

$200k!

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Sep 6, 2011 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thought the min went up to 550. so 150K if I am correct!

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

700k

we’ll survive with that cap hit. somehow.

Crazy would be NOT overanalyzing everything.
Lebda-free since July 3.

by nhlcheapshot on Sep 5, 2011 10:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

There was a large discussion on this when he was signed where a bunch of the regulars (IIRC Chemmy and Skinny) were annoyed that there is no reason to lock in a guy with such a low ceiling to long term (ie longer than 1 MAYBE 2 years)

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

We all agree moustaches are important, but the nostalgia for Ian White is kinda funny.

Let’s keep in mind, though he had a great ’stache, he was competent on a totally incompetent Leafs squad. For that one season.

He’s getting paid way more than he’s really worth.

There's always next season!

by B-Style on Sep 5, 2011 8:58 PM EDT reply actions  

not really

but I’d be curious to see a list of D men that you think deserve $2.875 million in cap hit seasonally. Also it should be pointed out the guy took a pay CUT after making $2.999 mill the previous season. Here are the D men that are making around that much right now around the NHL (and their salary rank amongst the D men on their club):

Nik Kronwall – Detroit ($3 mill – 4th)
White – Detroit ($2.875 mill – 5th)
Andy Greene – New Jersey ($3 mill – 3rd)
Braydon Coburn – Philly ($3.2 mill – 5th)
Toni Lydman – Anaheim ($3 mill – 3rd)
Andrew Ference – Boston ($2.25 mill – 3rd)
Jordan Leopold – Buffalo ($3 mill – 3rd)
Anton Babchuk – Calgary ($2.5 mill – 4th)
Bryan Allen – Carolina ($2.9 mill – 3rd)
Tim Gleason – Carolina ($2.75 mill – 4th)
Steve Montador – Chicago ($2.75 mill – 4th)
Erik Johnson – Colorado ($2.6 mill – 3rd)
Fedor Tyutin – Columbus ($2.844 mill – 3rd)
Matt Greene – LA ($2.95 – 4th – probably 5th when Doughty signs)
Josh Gorges – Montreal ($2.5 mill – 3rd)
Mark Eaton – NY Isles ($2.5 mill – 2nd)
Chris Phillips – Ottawa ($3.083 mill – 3rd)
Rostislav Klesla – Phoenix ($2.975 mill – 3rd)
Derek Morris – Phoenix ($2.75 mill – 4th)
Doug Murray – San Jose ($2.5 mill – 4th)
Roman Polak – St. Louis ($2.75 mill – 3rd)
Tom Poti – Washington ($2.875 mill – 4th)
Jeff Schultz – Washington ($2.75 mill – 5th)

Now of that group… guess how many have managed to post 5 consecutive seasons of 20+ points while averaging between 18 and 23 minutes in ice time nightly?

NONE OF THEM. Only 5 NHL D men have managed that feat over the past 5 years… White, Kimmo Timmonen, Christian Ehrhoff, Dan Hamhuius, and Roman Hamrlik.

The following players have managed it 4 times – Adrian Aucoin, Keith Ballard, Rob Blake (but he retired so he counts too I suppose), Brian Campbell, Trevor Daley, Pavel Kubina, Ron Hainsey, Joni Pitkanen, Brad Stuart, Marek Zidlicky… and Derek Morris.

Morris is the ONLY player making comparable dough that has even come close to White’s consistent output in a limited role minutes wise.

I think White deserves recognition for what he is, a guy that produces offensively in relatively limited ice time, who is a pretty reliable and dependable top 4 D man. He isn’t a bottom pairing guy, despite views to the contrary, and he’s VERY consistent. He does deserve the contract he signed.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Sep 5, 2011 10:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

I guess I should have said

ONE of them not NONE…as White is the only one on that list.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Sep 5, 2011 10:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

and really

I should have posited that I sorted by total ice time, not average… so its’ really skating between 1400 minutes and 1900 minutes in ice time, which skews the average for some of them… but yeah.

White isn’t “elite”, but he’s pretty far from complete shit also.

"Success is the ability to go from one failure to another with no loss of enthusiasm."

- Sir Winston Churchill

I'm pretty sure he's talking about the Leafs.

by Steve Burtch on Sep 5, 2011 10:27 PM EDT up reply actions  

There are definitely quite a few names on that list that I wouldn’t take on my team before Ian White. I don’t really understand all the White bashing on here.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Sep 6, 2011 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t really understand all the White bashing on here.

No one bashes him. He is what he is. A 3-4 defenceman. Nothing more. The problem is, he had a stretch where he was really good and people remember that.
It’s like Tim Brent, so many fans remember the games against Carolina but forget how replaceable he was most other nights.
Lots of Leaf fans the last few years made White out to be this God. Some argued he was better than Phaneuf (HAW). That’s why people put WHite down around here.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Sep 6, 2011 10:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

I would argue that he is a 2-3 defenseman. Offensively he is pretty damn good for a defenseman and I think he is good defensively.

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

OH geeez, the Tim Brent topic is a sore spot for me… “bu, buut, he’s from Cambridge, right down the road from where I grew up!”

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Sep 6, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not much bashing going on. Post says he’s not Rafalski.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.

by PPP on Sep 6, 2011 10:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you haven’t figured it out yet… the list of 10 is going to all be ex-Leafs and a lot more about trashing the teams that signed them than the players themselves.

Crazy would be NOT overanalyzing everything.
Lebda-free since July 3.

by nhlcheapshot on Sep 6, 2011 10:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

How can you say he is getting paid to much?

From a purely offensive point of view:

In the last 3 years he is 45th in points by a dman and 22nd in goals by a defenseman. Even if you look at per game stats he is 47th for points and 22nd for goals. That means offensively he has been a top 2 defenseman around the league over the last 3 years.

Defensively I would argue he is at least a top 4 D man… So no I don’t think he is over paid.

For comparison the 50th highest cap hit is Orpik at 3.75.. At almost a million less he is probably 30+ places behind…

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just found it

He is the 88th highest paid d-man. So I would say definitely not overpaid.

I am drinking the Kule-aid!
Certified Kule lover!

by BCapp on Sep 6, 2011 10:25 AM EDT up reply actions  

Top 20 Taches In Hockey....

What do they get paid?

How to they perform?

Corsi?

All these stats-freaks in here, and none of ’em with any real sense of the game.

Almost as though…. they haven’t been watching.

Not liking the Habs since 1959.

by not norm ullman on Sep 5, 2011 11:07 PM EDT reply actions  

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