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Around SBN: VIDEO: Veterans Share Favorite Sports Memories

Scouting the NHL at the Trade Deadline

The trade deadline is fast approaching, and that means looking at players who could be added to the Leafs to help their playoff push. On Monday's edition of the #MvsW podcast, John Ferguson Junior, the head of pro scouting for the San Jose Sharks, was asked by Jeff Marek :"What’s the one stat you value MOST as head pro scout of the Sharks?" JFJ stumbled around his words for a while before saying "Goals". Look everyone know that us here aren't anywhere near as good when it comes to evaluating talent as a man like John Ferguson Junior is. Aside from the box scores, he has something to judge we could never hope to have, a player's intangibles.

So let's do a bit of role playing here. We're all JFJ and we need to evaluate some talent. What do we look for and how to we value different aspects of a player's game? Well I think in the eyes of a man like JFJ, a hockey player can be broken down thusly:

Intangibles_medium

Spot on don't you think? Links after the jump.

Star-divide

Leafs Links

All Hail Mikhail

PPP has the Zapruder film on the headshot that activated Grabbo's superskills as well as a look at his continued greatness.

The Brief Wonderous Life of Clark MacArthur

Do his two goals last night have any affect on his trade value?

Have the Maple Leafs Accomplished "The Drafting Goal"?

Dirty Dangle looks at 10 years of Leafs drafting.

Maple Leafs Sweep the Home and Home

Fighting for Stanley with a recap.

Grabovski's Four-Point Night Helps Leafs Dump Islander in Overtime

Game recap at the G&M.

Game 49 in 10

How is #4 not Grabbo's 4 points huh? HUH?

It's Alive!

An open letter to Jonas Gustavsson.

Weighing the Options: Toronto Maple Leafs' Mikael Grabovski

Three options for the pineapple hater.

Fresh Blood

Want a job writing hockey at Leafs Nation? Click on through.

Now the Leafs Can Enjoy the Break

Mike from VLM loves Kessel on the Off Wing.

Other Links

An Optimist's Guide to Non-Playoff Teams

DGB see the glass half full.

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Comments

Display:

To answer you question Skinny, he was confusing me by constantly adding points. Tricky tricky Belorussian!

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:05 AM EST reply actions  

PS as always, grateful for the linkage.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:06 AM EST up reply actions  

+1

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:14 AM EST up reply actions  

kidding? I founded the team

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 8:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Been a card-carrying member since 2009-10!

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 8:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Been a member ever since the start of this year. Love the guy.

99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.

by MLS on Jan 25, 2012 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

where do I mail my cheque?

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

lol, been on board since he went bat shit crazy in the game against montreal

by m3smth on Jan 25, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Three reasons not to trade grabbo

A) he’s awesome
B) did I mention he’s awesome?
C) if he’s traded, who will keeps Toronto’s pineapple population in check?

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

See:

my display pic

Sometimes it seems this cycle never ends, we slide from top to bottom then we turn and climb again.

by Chris Stoikoff on Jan 25, 2012 5:59 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

The same one I've had

Since I joined, btw

Sometimes it seems this cycle never ends, we slide from top to bottom then we turn and climb again.

by Chris Stoikoff on Jan 25, 2012 6:00 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I love Pineapple Mode

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:14 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

So you’re not eating crow?

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:16 AM EST up reply actions  

I should have said "this guy" rather than "raises hand"

Now the 2 thumbs thing makes no sense, other than it being an unnecessary but technically true fact.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 7:17 AM EST up reply actions  

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Re Gus, I really do think he’s growing as an NHL tender. Puck tracking seems to be less of an issue.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:21 AM EST up reply actions  

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:18 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Ya… no.
Titles should be put on all pictures

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:23 AM EST up reply actions  

Sorry, the image was too perfect.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:25 AM EST up reply actions  

Its not too perfect that if a crow keeps appearing on my screen at work I may get in shit…

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

This is why I love PPP.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

He really saved us at some crutial moments last night. Offense and defense got it done.

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 7:46 AM EST up reply actions  

And in some crucial moments too!

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 8:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think anyone who wanted Reimer to start thought Gus would blow the game, just that it was an easy way to get Reimer a start without having it seem like Gus had lost the net. For all we know, Reimer would have posted a shutout.

In the court of public opinion, Steve Simmons is Lionel Hutz.

by The Bag on Jan 25, 2012 8:28 AM EST up reply actions  

or, for all we know, he would have"shit the bed". Whats done is done, Gus played a good game.

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

THE MAPLE LEAFS WON HOCKEY GAMES

BOY AM I EVER UPSET ABOUT THAT!

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:13 AM EST up reply actions  

you guys and your GIF parties. I wish they wouldn’t crash my computer.

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 7:26 AM EST reply actions  

Solution:
Get a new computer.

by munniec on Jan 25, 2012 7:41 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah if gifs are crashing your computer you may want to get a model from the mid-2000s.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 7:43 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

yeah but i don’t think “I want to go to gif parties” will work as a reason.

it doesn’t crash per se, but does slow the hell down. My internet sucks as well.

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 7:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Internet sucks? Steal your neighbour’s signal

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Maybe it’s the browser?

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Incarcerated Bob and Eklund conspiring against us

No, I don’t follow them (ok I do Eklund but for laughs) and I think they suck but this was brought to my attention: “PROPOSED TRADE ALERT Kadri / Schenn / Grabo / Komi (Will waive NTC) for Rick Nash + Top 9fwd #CBJ Still mulling over offer #HOTRUMOR” and http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog/Eklund/Biggest-Trade-Yet-About-to-Hit/1/41607 – feel free to flag this as I’m linking crap.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:43 AM EST reply actions  

Take those 2 for what they are worth, good comedic value.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 7:55 AM EST via Android app up reply actions  

exactly.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 8:00 AM EST up reply actions  

flagged for linking garbage

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:05 AM EST up reply actions  

Now all is right with the world.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 9:06 AM EST up reply actions  

#HOTRUMOR or #HUMORROT ?

You decide.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:14 AM EST up reply actions  

I think it depends on which forward comes back with Nash. I also think this is crap but it’s coincidental that both of them are saying it…

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 7:47 AM EST up reply actions  

It’s stupid, Burke wouldn’t do that in a million years.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 8:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Only if the other forward was Ryan Johansen… But it’s crap.

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 8:09 AM EST up reply actions  

other top 9 forward= Jeff Carter

/mindblown

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:26 AM EST up reply actions  

Those 4 for Nash and Carter would have been done already if on the table. Grabbo then resigns in the offseason to make Kulie happy

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

That would be done on the Leafs side but read the full thing copied above… it said CBJ still mulling over offer…

Also what I said is not anymore ridiculous than what Eklund said so meh

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

I agree,
Nash is aging
I would do Schenn & Kadri or Schenn & Grabbo even, but not all three
also how would that salary work? lol…

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 8:43 AM EST up reply actions  

remember Mac getting traded for picks according to Dregs… would free up eough space

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

That being said silly silly rumour

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

I mean as far as Columbus,
Columbus has $1,278,312 in cap space,
they’re losing $7.8M$
+ lets say a top 9 is worth 2M = 9.8M
but taking on 2.9M + 3M + 4.5M+ 1.72M= 12.72M

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

but yeah its not a real thing,
its just so easy to disprove these guys

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

I thought I said above the top 9 forward was Jeff Carter hence they clear enough space…

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Kadri/Schenn for Nash I would do… Grabbo + Komi for top 9 forward, depending who would be fine with me.

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Guys… we’re seriously indulging two of the biggest ridiculous rumourmongers on the internet?

We’re better than this.

I think.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

But making fun of ridiculous rumours while rosterbating IS what we do!

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

LOLOLOLOL You do realize when they say “top9” they usually mean 3rd liner right? or else they’d call him a top 6 or top 3 guy. So you’d trade Grabo and Komi for lets say Samiu Pahlsson?

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

On Sportsnet last night they said Grabbo was worth only a second rounder, pretty insulting.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

The fuck?

On Sportsnet they are fucking stupid. Are you telling me the Blackhawks wouldn’t offer more than that?

by samspade on Jan 25, 2012 10:19 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

yes, cuz the hawks are getting Derek Roy for a bargain and im gonna be pissed>:(

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 11:14 AM EST up reply actions  

To be fair in a trade maybe he’s not worth that much…

However he is worth much more to the Leafs so they’d keep him in that case

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

kaberle rental got us a 1st rounder, solid prospect and conditional 2nd. I have to say that should make Grabbo worth, at the very very least, a mid-to-low first rounder. He’s a #2C.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:23 AM EST up reply actions  

Kaberle deal will never ever ever happen again.

That feels very “once in a lifetime” type snag that Chiarelli really wanted.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Perhaps, but I wasn’t using the Kab deal to say this is what Grabbo is worth, but to provide an example of a deal we’ve made for a rental player. Won’t get the same thing at all, but only a 2nd rounder? Yeah if thatst he offer they can GTFO.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

Not to mention you can’t base what other GM’s are willing to pay on another deal with another team for a different player all together… We just don’t know what Chicago or any other team would be willing to pay for Grabo’s services.

Burke knows and he knows what the line is when it comes to worth more to the Leafs to stay and the trade brings back more than what Grabo gives us.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

I would trade Connolly for a 2nd rounder instead.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes but on Sportnet last night Doug gave us the insightful comment that a save made after the puck crosses the goal line is not a save. I put them one step above the rumour mongers.

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Jan 25, 2012 10:23 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m re to jfj, hasn’t Lombardi admitted to using advanced stats?

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 7:53 AM EST via Android app reply actions  

Doug Wilson, the Sharks GM, does seem to use some degree of advanced stats, but he’s very coy about it so we don’t really know how he uses them.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 9:52 AM EST up reply actions  

COuld be the reason why JFJ stumbled on the answer

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Just about all teams do it, but just about all of them don’t lead on that they do because they don’t want other teams to learn their “trade secrets”.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Toronto – Boston basically fucked up all the GD in the east

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 8:06 AM EST reply actions  

But seriously, 4 non positive GD in the playoffs?

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 8:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Another positive thing is that the Leafs have more ROWs than FLA or NJ

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 8:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Despite being technically in 9th in the standings

Both Hockey-reference and Sportsclubstats has Toronto heading to the playoffs in 8th. Facing Boston. Ugh.

http://www.hockey-reference.com/friv/playoff_prob.cgi
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NHL/Eastern.html

Also, the Leafs 5 on 5 GF/GA is 8th in the league… gotta stay out of the box.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 8:21 AM EST up reply actions  

The important thing is making it. If we do I’m not expecting much, no playoff experience and all but who knows, young guys with pressure somewhat off can make things hard for any team…

http://mapleleafshotstove.com/author/mislav-jantoljak/
@Xterratu on twitter

by Mislav Xterratu Jantoljak on Jan 25, 2012 8:24 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m convinced the Bruins would eat us alive. That said, remember that year where the Leafs, as No. 7 seed, played a No. 2 seed Ottawa team that beat them 6-0 in the season series? How’d that one turn out again?

Not saying it’d happen, just that anything can happen in a seven-game series.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

sure, anything can happen in a seven game series, but if we play boston we don’t even sniff a 6th game. We’d be lucky to get to 5.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 1:25 PM EST up reply actions  

I think we’d sweep them as well.

by Nigel Cadbury on Jan 25, 2012 9:10 PM EST up reply actions  

See it’s stats like that (5-v-5 Gf/GA) that makes me think the Leafs aren’t nearly as bad defensively as I thought. They just really blew on the PK.

In the court of public opinion, Steve Simmons is Lionel Hutz.

by The Bag on Jan 25, 2012 8:30 AM EST up reply actions  

I did a quick update on Special Teams +/- yesterday…. Leafs were at -5 on the year, putting them at 22nd, although I guess they’d be at -6 now with the short-handed goal against. An even rating is still attainable though, just need to start scoring some powerplay goals again.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 8:58 AM EST up reply actions  

I really like this new “Nobody take any penalties” approach.

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Except for Phil, Phil can hulk out as much as he wants

/notserious

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Phil looked like a little brother out there flipping on his older brother who is annoying him

“stop touching me! I said stop it! MOOOOOM Travis won’t stop touching me!”

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:43 AM EST up reply actions  

I was waiting for Phil to pick him up and throw him, as I’ve learned that’s what Phil does from this website.

That and riding unicorns.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I was waiting for him to stare awkwardly into the camera.

by Tickle Me Aulie on Jan 25, 2012 11:24 AM EST up reply actions  

Star of the month

Do you guys think Goose has a shot at one of the NHL’s 3 stars of the month?
7-3 record, .931%, 1.90GAA and 100% PK in January so far

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 8:29 AM EST reply actions  

From a credential basis, yes, he’s probably deserving. But he’s not nearly as flashy as some of the other names they can throw up there, nor is Toronto doing well enough. They like to focus on the big names playing on big teams.

"I myself am made up entirely of flaws, stitched together with good intentions."

by Blinky on Jan 25, 2012 8:49 AM EST up reply actions  

right, for sure he is.
11G 11G 4A 15P

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 10:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Malkin is a Hart candidate right now

by samspade on Jan 25, 2012 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

How do these stats compare to other goaltenders this month?

by MrSmithy on Jan 25, 2012 8:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Probably not.

I gotta think at least 3 other people had better months in January…. Tavares & Malkin both come to mind immediately.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Pekka Rinne has won 9 straight and 10 of 11 in January, with only 3 games at a sv% below .930 out of those 11.

In the court of public opinion, Steve Simmons is Lionel Hutz.

by The Bag on Jan 25, 2012 9:46 AM EST up reply actions  

There we go.

3 players who had a better month right there.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Clemmenson has posted SV% of better than .927 in 6 of 7 as well. Which is a really weird stat to have looked up this morning, I know…

This space for rant...

by fair_n_hite_451 on Jan 25, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Which side do our D-Men play on? Who is going to sit to make room for Liles?

Offizielles Mitglied des Müller / Holzer Fan-Clubs. Ich fordere mehr Deutsche in diesem Team ....... wir brauchen Greiss.

by Alspicer on Jan 25, 2012 8:37 AM EST reply actions  

hopefully one of komi or schenn

by PhilSpecter on Jan 25, 2012 8:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Phaneuf, Gun and Franson are locks, while Komi and Schenn have been inconsistent all year. As long as Gardner keeps playing well (or really awesome, like last night), I’d wager it’s a rotating shift between Komi and Schenn. At least until a trade.

by MrSmithy on Jan 25, 2012 8:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Don’t you guy read Eklund? Schenn is gone! No need to sit anyone.

//sarcasm

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 8:55 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

jesus, I had almost forgotten Liles existed.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 8:59 AM EST up reply actions  

how can you ever forget part of the handsome man crew?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:07 AM EST up reply actions  

who’s part of the crew? Lupul, Gus, Liles?

by PhilSpecter on Jan 25, 2012 9:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Clarke, probably Komi too

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:10 AM EST up reply actions  

I would assume Luke is involved in some fashion… Those eyes do impregnate afterall

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Liles is a UFA this summer. I’d bet that with the emergence of Gardiner that Burke has no intention of re-signing Liles so I fully expect that Liles is available in a trade and might not be around much longer.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HockeyAnalysis.com - Taking a Deeper Look at the World of Hockey

by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 9:18 AM EST up reply actions  

On the flip side, the Leafs worst stretch of play (both statistically and what I witnessed from my eyes) came with Liles out of the lineup. It will be interesting to see what impact he has coming back.

by MrSmithy on Jan 25, 2012 9:20 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d definitely keep him, but with the depth, his age, and his contract status he is a prime candidate to be moved. That might change if they have to move a couple other defensemen for help up front but right now this team has ridiculous depth on defense.

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HockeyAnalysis.com - Taking a Deeper Look at the World of Hockey

by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 9:25 AM EST up reply actions  

PP has gone dormant without him.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Yeah........about that..........

Kyper

Speculation around #Leafs is John Michael Liles will sign a multi year cont’ extension. He was set to become UFA in July.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:25 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m surprisingly okay with this, pending money and term of course. I’ve liked Liles more than I thought possible, what with him replacing Kabby and all.

by MrSmithy on Jan 25, 2012 9:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Friedman – Leafs want to move a d to get Holzer in the lineup
Kyper – Leafs want to re-sign Liles who hasn’t played in 2 months.

I r confused

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

let’s wit and see what those fuckers at TSN have to say about this.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:29 AM EST up reply actions  

JINX!

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

I wouldn’t be surprised if there was a directive in the Leafs office to fuck with the media people bey giving them different information… that sounds like something Burke might do

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Friedman — Thing that makes sense given whole of Leafs organization, emergence of Gardiner.
Kyper — Thing that is surprising and seems to tie up a lot of money in the wrong place.

In the court of public opinion, Steve Simmons is Lionel Hutz.

by The Bag on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

1. Phaneuf
2. Liles
3. Gunnarsson
4. Franson
5. Gardiner
6. Schenn
7. Komisarek
8. Aulie
9. Holzer

Holzer has more than one spot to move up the depth chart before he gets a start.

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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d say Gunnarsson is above Liles on the depth chart.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:32 AM EST up reply actions  

Maybe.

I didn’t put a lot of thought into the order but yeah, you could make that argument. Liles would be more of an offensive specialist where as Gunnarsson is more of an all-situation guy. Both bring good value to the team.

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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 9:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Where does Blacker fit in all of this, I thought he was higher up than Holzer.

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Jan 25, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Not in the shortterm. He’s still a year away in all likelihood. Holzer has been the best D on the Marlies this season.

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

I view blacker as a possible (not likely) candidate to make the team’s #6 next year, but more likely a call-up sometime mid-year in said role.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Dave Nonis said recently that Blacker was “close” to NHL ready.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

he has also been on the Marlies first pairing with Holzer.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m not surprised he said that, but in my opinion, he still needs some seasoning. He’s been on the top pairing and has made some good strides but right now Holzer is further along and the Leafs are completely jammed on the back end.

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 10:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Yep Blacker is still very raw. He’s possibly skill and physical wise the best we have down there. I’ve even heard if it was only based on skills he’d be in the Leafs top 6 already maybe even top 4 but he’s just not there positionally and mentally.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

I would say ‘without a doubt’ the best skill we have down there. He has a higher ceiling than Holzer or Mikus, no doubt about it. He just needs time

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Sorry I meant “not in the NHL” I was thinking Percy might beat him… but yes he’s best in AHL skillset wise by far.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:53 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m really worried about Percy. Two big concussions this year… Even notwithstanding that, Blacker and Percy probably have roughly the same upsides. They play a remarkably similar game.

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Percy has a higher upside just because he’s already a very smart player while Blacker relies on his skills.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m of the opinion that it’s generally easier to get smarter than it is to get faster. I prefer young guys with skill to young guys with smarts, in general.

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes but I’m saying Percy and Blacker already have similar skill sets. However Percy is already smarter and therefore gets the edge.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Blacker is better in every ‘skill’ area than percy right now. Percy has to catchup, I just believe he will. They have a similar style but they aren’t in the same place as of today

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Maybe Percy’s smoothness in his play is deceiving me.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:07 AM EST up reply actions  

In fairness, I haven’t seen Percy play since his first concussion so it’s fair to say he may have developed a bit — I just have my doubts given the time away

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:09 AM EST up reply actions  

When I saw him vs Kitchener on the 2nd he was so pretty to watch. Just so smooth. He wasn’t the most skilled dman on the ice because the Rangers have Ryan Murphy (who is insanely talented but is too cocky as he’ll ALWAYS try to rush the puck alone even into 4 defenders… it does look awesome when it works)

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:12 AM EST up reply actions  

Murphy playing in the OHL reminds me a lot of Kadri playing in the OHL. Just so much more skilled than everyone and tries too hard to make things happen himself.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:12 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m surprised I haven’t seen Blacker in the Top 25 under 25.

I will stand beside him with an axe!

by theninjagreg on Jan 25, 2012 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

You guys have an uncanny ability to start talking about a guy right before I post a Top 25 article about him.

Blacker’s #9. But it won’t be going up until later.

Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік

by clrkaitken on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Someone posted up the rankings on Wikileaks

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Aulie is lower for me

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:37 AM EST up reply actions  

And Komisarek is ahead of Schenn.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:43 AM EST up reply actions  

/takes a straight shot of everclear

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:43 AM EST up reply actions  

/guzzles jug of bathtub moonshine

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:47 AM EST up reply actions  

/takes bath in moonshine

At least it's not Lebda.

by Nifty Mittens on Jan 25, 2012 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

/sayswhatthefuckbirky?

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Reason this is even more confusing:

LD:
Gunnarsson
Liles
Gardiner
Aulie
Blacker

RD:
Phaneuf
Komisarek-Birky
Schenn
Holzer

To get Blacker into the lineup, you need to move two out of the left side, and that’s without considering that the Leafs need to add a capable top-pairing defenseman to their left side as is. To get Holzer in to the lineup, you need to move one of Komisarek-Birky or Schenn. The nice thing is that depth defensemen are supposedly in demand this trade deadline. The shitty thing is, uh, we’ve got no idea what the hell is going on.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

where’s Franson?

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Traded for a 1st/3rd

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:58 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

F me. I knew I was missing someone on the right side.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

I’ll rec to that

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

That’d be a 3.6+4.5 = 8.1M cap hit though!

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

but he’d be 13 feet tall, so…

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

Worth it

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

I want to combine Schenn and Gardiner to create Schardiner.

huge D with awesome speed big shot and hits everything in sight? yes please.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Shea Weber?

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:05 AM EST up reply actions  

My first thought was Doughty back in his first 2 years. As Weber isn’t the fastest but he’s one of the smartest. And Gardiner and Schenn still wouldn’t have that elite mind Weber or Lidstrom have.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Trade Schenn.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 11:04 AM EST up reply actions  

see? it all works out so perfectly.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 11:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Schenn to Philadelphia for Couturier

/solvessomanyproblems
/reuniteSchennbrothers
/Idotoomanyofthesethings

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:05 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I think Friedman said RIGHT D tho.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:31 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think he specified, but we all assumed.

I think re-signing Liles only makes sense if Suter resigns with Nashville. If Suter makes it to UFA and we can’t offer the 6.5 mil needed because we gave Liles 4.5 that would really suck.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:36 AM EST up reply actions  

IMO Suter was a pipedream all along.

But man he’d look good next to Phaneuf.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Of course he was (is) a pipedream, like Brad Richards, Kovalchuk, and the Sedins all were before him. But regardless of whether or not the name ends up being Suter, the Leafs probably need a left D man with even better defensive capabilities than Gunnarsson.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 10:54 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m seriously hoping that re-signing Liles would involve paying him a decent amount less than 4.5

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:38 AM EST up reply actions  

Waiting on the number before the Burke freakout begins….

As I said though, I really like Liles’ game.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:42 AM EST up reply actions  

You really think Liles would take significantly less than what he’d get on the open market? He could pretty easily get 5mil per I think. 4.5 was the discount imo.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:45 AM EST up reply actions  

I dunno… I think Burke might be out of his mind if it’s $5M.

Let’s wait on the number, or if it even happens.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

To me, there’s no way we should be paying Liles more than 4Mil especially with both Gardiner and Franson developing nicely. Both of them either can or soon will be able to do what he can do, and are younger.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly unless Liles takes a huge haircut (he’s making 4.2 now and due a raise) his price doesn’t fit with this team

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah too bad he’s injured, I would have wanted to move him at the deadline, even if its just for picks.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:12 AM EST up reply actions  

He won't.

And Liles is still very good. The pipeline shouldn’t always dictate walking away from good players.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

No but good teams know when to walk away when the price point doesn’t match the overall plan and there are good internal (or external) options to replace said player for a more reasonable price.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:26 AM EST up reply actions  

I get it

I didn’t think Burke would re-sign Liles either (which I guess he still technically hasn’t), especially with Gardiner being a nice surprise.

I’m also not against re-signing good players. And I’m very against the “ditch anyone over 27” argument (which I know you’re not making but is a very common theme here)

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m not get rid of all the old guys… I’m more of in choosing between the young cheap guy and the expensive old guy even if the old guy is more established we should pick the young guy.

In this case Gardiner over Liles.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Right now Liles is better than Gardiner. (assuming his concussion didn't fuck him up)

We can’t be young & cheap forever. Unless we want to be the Islanders.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m not saying forever I’m just saying this year… This offseason is the start of us having to sign our young RFA’s to bigger and bigger deals. We don’t want to get Chicago’d by loading up on old vet money right now.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:51 AM EST up reply actions  

well we aren’t cheap – we’re a million and some change below the cap, even with these young guys.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

That’s because Lombardi, Armstrong and Komisarek are taking up $11M in cap space.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

Liles definitely needs a haircut, his long blonde locks are filling me with envy.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

I remember in a post game interview about the logjam at defense (before Liles went down) that Burke said he wanted to punch a hole in the defense to get Aulie some playing time. Don’t think Holzer has a chance to get in the lineup – unless it’s the last game of the year.

by Jon K. on Jan 25, 2012 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

boom?

"Playin hurt, baby that don't faze me. I don't got time for pain. The only pain I've got time for is the pain I put on fools who don't know what time it is!"

by Semi_Colon on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

I’d like to hear something from those fuckers over at TSN.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:29 AM EST up reply actions  

YESSSSS

well, that escalated quickly

by aelanK on Jan 25, 2012 9:36 AM EST via Android app up reply actions  

I never thought this would happen

but I really like Liles.

Worry about the concussion. Worry about tying up lots of money in defensemen.

If this goes through, It’ll be almost impossible to add any other dman in the offseason, unless they can unload Komisarek or something.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:38 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t think Burke signs Liles without an idea that he can move Komi, or even Schenn.
I know Burke loves building from the back end out, but committing to 4 dmen of price tags over 3.6 mil is crazy especially when at least one isn’t a top 4 dman. Not to mention the raise Franson will get, and the raise for Gunner after next season. Yikes

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

It’s a pickle to be sure. There’s gotta be a salary move in the horizon.

I’m still okay with trading Lombardi.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Me too but I still think Kyper is full of shit because as much as I love Liles his price point and age doesn’t fit with the rest of the team at this time

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:12 AM EST up reply actions  

oops.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:42 AM EST up reply actions  

So apparently Aulie is dating Ryan Getzlaf’s cousin. Not that it means anything, just something I found out today

by ShahofToronto on Jan 25, 2012 8:53 AM EST reply actions  

Darcy Tucker married Shayne Corsons sister

Leafs like other Leafs family.

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 8:56 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Wasn’t Corson the one who married Tucker’s sister?

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 8:59 AM EST up reply actions  

i double checked, wikipedia says the Tucker married a Corson

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 9:00 AM EST up reply actions  

would’ve been even better if Corson married a Domi and Domi married a Tucker

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Too much truculence in one family.

Riding the Leafs bandwagon since 1991.
Check out my art!

by CanadianMaple09 on Jan 25, 2012 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

I think the rumour was that Corson was banging Mogilny’s wife

by SlickWill on Jan 25, 2012 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

So THATS who Jeff Carter learned it from

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

Brought to you by the same people who started the Phaneuf/Craig Conroy’s wife thing.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 11:20 AM EST up reply actions  

If these guys were all gay, things would be so much easier.

/waitaminute

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 11:22 AM EST up reply actions  

I used to work with Getlaf’s cousin. She was the receptionist.

I will stand beside him with an axe!

by theninjagreg on Jan 25, 2012 10:22 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Receptionist is kind of demeaning to women. I do Officey things.

/community’d

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Pam Halpert agrees

/Office’d

99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.

by MLS on Jan 25, 2012 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

My name is Kendra, and I spell it with a Q-U

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:07 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Watch out for Falling Senators

In addition to Toronto winning 2 games in a row, the Senators have lost 3 games in a row. They are now in a situation where if Florida, Washington, New Jersey and Toronto all win their games in hand, Ottawa misses the playoffs. #OutOfOttawasControl

And to think there were some in Ottawa a few days ago pondering the idea that the Senators could catch the Buins as they were only 1 point back in the standings a few days ago, never mind the fact that the Bruins had 5 games in hand. Now they are 4 back and the Bruins still have 5 games in hand. #NotHappening

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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 9:06 AM EST reply actions  

What blows my mind with the standings at the moment is that the 4th place team in the Central is still, last I checked, 9 points above the 8th place team. All those free points against Columbus must be nice.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:14 AM EST up reply actions  

they should move columbus to the NE, Boston to the Atlantic.

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 9:15 AM EST up reply actions  

Realignment should allow us to trade Boston to Detroit/Chicago’s conference for Columbus and keep Florida and Tampa… 7 team division w/ 2 Florida teams and Columbus.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:17 AM EST up reply actions  

We should win that division every year.

by holymackinaw on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

thanks to our wonderous division system, the team that’s in 3rd place right now is tied in points with the teams in 7th, 8th and 9th.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 9:19 AM EST up reply actions  

They are still overachieving everyone’s expectations… but ya I’d love a 9th place finish for them

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:39 AM EST up reply actions  

We are 5 points back with 3 games in hand too… Fla/Wash/NJ are all 5 points back with 4 games in hand… them falling out of the playoffs is not unreasonable…

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:40 AM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s kind of funny how we’re talking about how close the standings are right now… there is literally 40% of the season still remaining. SO much can change.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:46 AM EST up reply actions  

I am more happy because the Ottawa fans who thought playoffs were almost a given after they beat Toronto to put them 10pts up… Now even if all the teams in the top 9 lost the same number of games moving forward the Sens would miss the playoffs.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

This caught my eye this morning when looking at the standings and a smile spread across my face. For a while there, looked like Ottawa could run away with 2nd place in the division and as high as 4th in the conference, now it’s possible they could miss the playoffs completely.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 9:54 AM EST up reply actions  

does anyone

know where the goaltending stats from last season are? I’m wondering whether (as I think I had argued at various points last season) Gus’ big improvement this season is due in large part because of score effects.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST reply actions  

NHL.com
hockeyreference.com

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:28 AM EST up reply actions  

i want the lazy version.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

No clue

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

you’ve been an enormous help.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 9:30 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d help but I’m too tired to type out the address

/skinnied

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Behind the net may provide some information.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 9:33 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t have all the info on my site right now but drop me an e-mail with the info you want and I can get it for you.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

i have a short attention span. i’ve already lost interest. but thanks.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 11:39 AM EST up reply actions  

What are you looking for?

ES/PK splits? They’re on NHL.com

Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік

by clrkaitken on Jan 25, 2012 12:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Goals for, not goals against.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

@mirtle

Another issue with keeping Liles is the cap. Was widely believed Leafs would only want to re-up one of Liles or Grabovski as UFAs.

Discuss

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:44 AM EST reply actions  

Kypreos is a retard.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:45 AM EST up reply actions  

"Widely believed"?

That doesn’t really pass the smell test….

#TeamRe-SignGrabovski

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Armstrong gets traded to make room?

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Good luck finding a taker for a $3M 3rd liner who played 30 games a year.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Good point.. maybe its Komisarek.. his salary next year is $3.5 mill, but his cap hit is $4.5… could help some teams hit the cap floor

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:50 AM EST up reply actions  

NMC

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:51 AM EST up reply actions  

NMC/Modified NTC (player supplies a trading list that can be modified each June 15)..

maybe we get lucky..?

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Also remember that if the choice comes down to waiving your NMC or sitting in the press box, most players will waive their NMC.

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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

Unless Burke tells him those are his two options, I doubt he waives.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:14 AM EST up reply actions  

he played 8 minutes last night the message might be implied

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:29 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t buy that, but okay.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

Sitting on the bench and not playing might be worse than sitting in the press box eating popcorn.

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by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

… I’d prefer sitting on the bench personally… free gatorade and you get a nice view of the game

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Most expensive seats in the house.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Well technically they’re the cheapest… you get paid to sit there

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

Auction it off.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Now we're dreaming.

N
M
C

I never thought Rolston would get traded either though, so what the fuck do I know

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I think there are 10 teams he can’t block a trade to… or maybe he can block 10 teams. Either way there are teams we can trade him to without his permission.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

this blows

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by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Leafs have to improve somehow. If they re-sign Liles, there’s less money in the pot for the other re-signings. And there isn’t enough young talent in the system that’s going to put the Leafs over the top. That means making a trade or bringing in a free agent, and you usually have to have cap space for those moves.

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I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

re-upping liles could open up others to trades (Schenn?)

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 9:54 AM EST up reply actions  

LD vs RD

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Is Kypreos the only one who has heard that Liles may be re-signed? I haven’t seen this from anywhere else…

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

What people are forgetting in this:

Liles is a very good offensive defenseman.

I do worry about the concussion, term and cap hit though.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

if he remains out the rest of the way, though, his cap # may be lower

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly this.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
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by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, but I would much rather the Leafs use the money they’d spend on re-signing him to re-sign Franson this year and Gunnar next year (especially Gunnar)

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

If the ONLY problem is salary, Burke will find a way to unload it elsewhere to keep the players he wants.

Burke clearly likes Liles.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:01 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m more worried that re-signing Liles would mean Gunnar gets traded. Gardiner seems likely to continue getting top 4 minutes. Liles obviously will. Where does that leave Gunnarsson on our depth chart?

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Gunnar should be paired with whoever needs the most defensive support at the time, be it Schenn, Phaneuf, Komisarek…

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Gunnar is a fucking stud. I hope we keep him for many, many years. Just so solid.

by spoonie on Jan 25, 2012 12:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Liles was getting less ES TOI per game than both Gardiner and Gunnarsson. He’ll be the third option at evens, but the first option at 5 v 4

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

And he won’t go DOWN in salary from his 4.2 especially when he can make 5ish on the open market. And 4.5+ for a 3rd pairing 1st PP Dman is STEEP!. Especially when Gardiner should continue to improve and fill in that role and Gunner/Franson is a very good 2nd PP pairing with Connolly also able to play point on the PP.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d rather keep Grabbo than Liles, to be honest. Blacker may be pushing for a spot next year, which is something to keep in mind.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:05 AM EST up reply actions  

I really like Blacker. I wish Toronto would move out both Schenn and Komi and spend a little less money on defense next season.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:08 AM EST up reply actions  

I don’t mind spending money on defense for good players (e.g. Suter). I’d really, really love if we could unload Komi’s contract, at least during the summer, to clear up that space.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Well, the Leafs aren’t getting Suter. And they’re not getting Parise.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Or Mike Weaver.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh I know, I’m just saying I don’t mind paying for good defenders. Just dont like paying for not so good ones.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

What the Leafs really need to do to get rid of the Komisarek contract is take back one equally as awful salarywise, and bury it.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

Or try and get one of the D from nashville, then just roll a solid top 4 with Gunnar, Phaneuf, Suter & (gardiner/franson/liles) and then run the rooks at the bottom in an easy role

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

This

So much this. The only player the leafs should be spending big money on signing is possibly suter.

Otherwise, move Komi, trade Liles at the deadline, save money to resign Gunnar in a year, and let guys like Blacker/Holzer have a shot at the big team on the cheap.

by LeftNutForAStarCenter on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

move Komi, trade Liles at the deadline

So much easier said than done.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Keep them both for the playoff push. Once the playoffs start the games will all look like last night’s game. Komi and his size will be more valueable then. If you let Liles walk at least it opens up $4mill in cap space.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

can we all agree that not ALL of our prospects will make the NHL in their second year pro?

Don’t get me wrong Blacker’s good guy and a good player, but it’s his first year pro.

let’s pump the brakes a bit here.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

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by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 10:09 AM EST up reply actions  

Indeed, I didn’t say he’d make the team, just that he’d be pushing for a spot. Maybe I’m wrong about that, but I think he’ll get a fair look at camp.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:11 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s still very raw. I think Holzer would have a better chance at a bottom pairing.

Even if we move Komi and Schenn and lose Liles we still would have:

Gunner-Dion
Gardiner-Franson
Aulie-Holzer

And really do you see Burke getting rid of all 3 and not bring at least one more guy in?

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m of the belief Schenn won’t move. Not this year anyways.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

The only way I see Schenn moving

is in a package for Suter , and then resiging Suter at 6yrs/$6.5mil.

by LeftNutForAStarCenter on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

hahahahaha

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

What about for Rick Nash?

/mydream

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

I dunno

If i’d do that nonsensically rumored schenn/komi/grabo/kadri for nash trade.

I probably would, but I don’t know that I would, you know what I mean? I wouldn’t blink at losing komi/schenn, especially if we know liles is back soon. But Kadri & Grabo both makes me uncomfortable

by LeftNutForAStarCenter on Jan 25, 2012 12:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Its Nash+… and that mystery box could be anything… even a boat!

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Not so fast Lois...

99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.

by MLS on Jan 25, 2012 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

That Aulie-Holzer pair would be a nightmare.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

mmhmm but the point remains that do you really think Burke would walk away from 3/4 of his best paid dmen and not bring at least one new guy in. Gutting the whole d-core to make room for Aulie, Blacker and Holzer goes completely against his whole philosophy

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

They played together on the Marlies, might not be as bad as you think.

by Jon K. on Jan 25, 2012 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

It wouldn’t be such a big deal if the Leafs were paying Schenn/Komisarek $9.1 million to play not very well

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:06 AM EST up reply actions  

that was awful. trying again:

It wouldn’t be such an issue if the Leafs weren’t paying Schenn and Komisarek a combined $9.1m and receiving poor play in return.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:07 AM EST up reply actions  

er, yeah

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

another question:

How can the Leafs re-sign Franson for less than they gave Schenn? I don’t think it’s possible.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

I do like me some Cody Franson.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 10:14 AM EST up reply actions  

mmmm Franson

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

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by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

They can and will.

They could argue along the lines of the Gunnar contract.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:14 AM EST up reply actions  

ding ding… I think he’ll get about 1.75 for 2 years.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:15 AM EST up reply actions  

you guys are dreaming.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:16 AM EST up reply actions  

You think he'll cost $3.6M? You're dreaming.

Trade him right the fuck now then.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:17 AM EST up reply actions  

he definitely wont get 3.6M.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Why don’t we trade Luke Schenn first….you know, the guy who’s already making 3.6 a season and not living up to it?

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

Gunnar has played over 20M per game on average since entering the league… put up points around 0.3 / game

Franson has played about 15M per game on average since entering the league… put up points around 0.37 / game

Ya i’d have a tough time giving Franson a shit ton more than Gunnar got.

http://www.hockey-reference.com/players/g/gunnaca01.html
http://www.hockey-reference.com/players/f/fransco01.html

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Franson has more points and more NHL games than when Gunnarsson signed his contract. He’s also not arbitration eligible.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:28 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s been playing 3rd pairing minutes this season, and before in Nashville. I think you’re way off on his $ value here.

I don’t necessarily disagree about Schenn though. I always have a hard time properly valuing him.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Well, if I’m Franson’s agent I’m targeting Luke Schenn’s contract as near where I want to be.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

and If I’m Burke I let them make their offer, laugh for a few minutes, and then provide a detailed explanation as to why that’s not going to happen.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

And then I, as the agent, take my client and go sign an offer sheet.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

This hypothetical situation has some good drama.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d be surprised if someone offer sheeted him, and really surprised if they offer sheeted Franson for 3.5Mil.

On the other hand, the offer sheet would give Burke another opportunity to have a barn fight

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

SJ offer sheeted Hjalmmersson for $3.5M

It’s not out of the realm of possibility.

If he gets an offer sheet that nets us a 1st? Fuck ya, take that shit.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:46 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m going to go out on a limb and say that I’d rather have Hjalmmersson than Franson, but still it’s pretty rare to have an offer sheet.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Hjalmarsson is better than Franson. The Sharks also did it to screw with the cap situation of a potential rival for the Stanley Cup. Franson situation in Toronto not at all similar.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 11:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Then Burke takes the 1st and 3rd and laughs at the team signing Franson, and puts that money towards Liles or another UFA dman.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh, a free 1st and a 3rd! Thanks, I’m still going to fight you, but thanks!

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

You guys are talking about the Leafs offering him 1.75 million. At 3.1 million the Leafs would only get a second round pick.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Well then let’s hope Burke locks him up before that fucking happens.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:50 AM EST up reply actions  

I’d still rather have Liles at 4.5 and a 2nd than Franson at 3.1

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Teams don’t offer-sheet. They should, and I think Franson might even make sense as a guy to target, but teams virtually never do it, and they won’t do it for Franson.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

I mean, honestly, Gunnarsson has apparently attracted trade interest since early last season, so teams clearly want him, but no one offer-sheeted him and the Leafs signed him to a steal of a deal. I don’t see why we would assume Franson will end up in a drastically different situation.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Bingo. If they keep Franson, I think Gunnar is a fine comparable deal.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Plus if anyone offer-sheeted Franson Burke would rent a barn.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Burke is pretty good with RFA deals, normally. I don’t think Schenn was that big of an overpay; it wasnt clear he was going to have such a tough season.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Schenn last year was looking like he was becoming the top5 pick dmen we all expected. This year he defecated in a lot of chapeaus. (I would’ve said beds but I don’t know the french word for that)

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s “chalice”

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Schenn got big minutes in the second half of last season because they traded Beauchemin and their defensive group wasn’t deep. Aulie-Phaneuf, Gunnar – Schenn, Lashoff – Komisarek was the group towards the end of the year. As the Leafs have gotten more options this season, we’ve seen Schenn’s TOI fall back to earth.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

I think you meant “glove”

by holymackinaw on Jan 25, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s so entirely possible that it’ll soon be a reality.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

ALSO DISCUSS
What jersey should Drake rock at the all-star game?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:45 AM EST reply actions  

A neutral grey, non-logo jersey.
Tell my wife I said ‘Hello’

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:47 AM EST up reply actions  

A neutral grey, non-logo jersey.

So a jets draft jersey?

Resident teetotaler married to a habs fan. Who is also not a fan of most dogs.

by elseldo on Jan 25, 2012 9:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Habs.

/fuckthatguy

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

When the Getzlaf rumours started, I believed that getting a big #1c was not needed because it wouldn’t help the leafs in the scoring department.

But after watching these last two games, and watching the leafs get pushed around by the Islanders, I can’t help but cringe..

I see why the leafs need a big #1C. Someone who can hold his own and defend his linemates (aka Kessel).. If that person is Getzlaf, than make the deal cause at this rate, Kessel is going to get hurt before the end of the season.

I also believe they either need to tell Kulemin to get off is ass and start hitting, or replace him with Frattin who will hit.

Right now, Kulemin is basically a slight upgrade over Phillip Dupuis.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:46 AM EST reply actions  

Right now, Kulemin is basically a slight upgrade over Phillip Dupuis.

Holy shit

Fairweather fans can go to hell
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by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Man, I’ve been bashing Kulemin pretty hard this season, but that’s just ridiculous.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:49 AM EST up reply actions  

If RW would have put Kulemin on the 4th line with Steckel and Brown, he would probably have 0 points too after 30 games…

Whatever passion he had last year, it has disappeared. The man is the former shell of himself.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

/shakeshead.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
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I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh and Graboski + MacArthur = awesomess!

I really wish RW would stop splitting those two up.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 9:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Oh dear

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:03 AM EST up reply actions  

whats wrong with Grabovski and MacArthur?

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Kulemin is a shell of his former self but MacArthur is golden and a-okay?
RIght.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:21 AM EST up reply actions  

MacArthur is on pace to score MORE goals than last year.

21 last year
14 to date this year

His on pace for 25+ goals.

Grabovski and MacArthur work well together. Kulemin has stopped doing what he used to do. Fight in the corners, protect the puck, and dish it out to his linemates.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:27 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes but Mac was the playmaker on that line last year and this year he’s not getting the assists… maybe he’s being too greedy!!

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

PASS!!

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:38 AM EST up reply actions  

it’s become a cliche, but do you even watch the games? the only thing Kulemin has stopped doing is scoring as much as last year

his game, other than that, and shooting a bit less, is identical

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:43 AM EST up reply actions  

really?

His Corsi REL has gone from 13+ to 1.1.

He definitely hasn’t looked nearly as good this year, and it’s not just puck luck.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

you can play the same game and have different results

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

the “slight upgrade over Dupuis” comment was absurd but I don’t think Kulemin has been playing the exact same game as last year

His start to the season was pretty bad but I haven’t been upset with his play for a few weeks now.

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 11:50 AM EST up reply actions  

No longer the defacto #1 line that teams didn’t recognize as being a threat, and instead (as witnessed over the last two games) are now being used in a more defensive role and matched up against the opponents’ top lines.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:50 AM EST up reply actions  

right, and Kulemin was always the defensive rock on that line, so his game remains the least changed

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Going from playing against 2nd-3rd lines to being asked to stop 1st lines will wreck havoc on a players’ CORSI, point total, shot total, etc…..

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

was MGK not playing other team’s top lines last year?

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

too lazy to check – are his shot totals down?

he also seems to be not going to the net as much…. the video montage on youtube of all his goals last season showed that he was getting a lot of goals from rebounds in close.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes they are.

And adjusting for TOI doesn’t offset it.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Yes, look down.

HAHA SMALL PENIS!

/jk <3 ya

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Just don’t tell Jared that he’s only driven the net ONCE all season.

but yeah, he’s taking a lot of low-percentage shots from some pretty bad locations.

he should be banging in garbage and getting all up in the goalie’s crease more.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

here’s the video:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_Mx_iF-zXc

man he was fun to watch last year.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup, watch that, and you can see – and remember – the changes in style. Whether they’re his doing, or his linemates or the other team’s, I donno, but like with MacArthur’s reduced banging, I suspect there have been some changes to his own game.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 12:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Looks to me like not only Kulemin but that entire line is getting a lot more attention this year compared to last. They don’t have as much room on the ice as they did last year. Also Kulemin seems like he’s just not going to the net with as much authority as he has in the past.

by lucc on Jan 25, 2012 1:35 PM EST up reply actions  

hes only done it once

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 2:49 PM EST up reply actions  

he’s done all of those things, you’re just mad that he hasn’t had a lot of puck luck this year.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

lol

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:58 AM EST up reply actions  

You should really stop drinking bleach, it’s making you say things that make you look like you don’t know what you are talking about

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 10:05 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s probably a cocaine addict

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 10:10 AM EST up reply actions  

By "Passion" I assume you mean luck in the shooting department

Prior to last season, Kulemin was an ~11% shooter and had 15 and 16 goals in 2 seasons. Then out of nowhere, he goes and shoots over 17.3% and pots 30 goals while also having his highest shot total of his career.

This year is shot total has fallen back to Earth (on pace for ~125, just slightly below average) and his shooting luck is evening out last year by being just 6.9%, leading to only 5 goals, on pace for 10. Were he shooting his career average 11%, he’d be on pace for about 15-20 yet again, which is who he is. Also, if Kulemin has lost all passion, why is his goal total the only thing that’s dropped off this season? He’s got 15A, right on pace to repeat last year’s 27. You have decided to completely ignore this aspect of his game.

You and those like you harping on Kulemin were spoiled by his season last year and will no longer accept anything less despite all the evidence suggesting it was nothing but a fluke season in the shooting department. Kulemin is a hard nosed 15-20 goal, 40-50 point winger who ran into some bad shooting luck this season, nothing more, nothing less.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:30 AM EST up reply actions  

My only real issue with Kulemin - and I even had it last year

He doesn’t shoot enough. Really my only complaint.

He never has.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:32 AM EST up reply actions  

He had 173 shots last year, good for 114th in the league last year……..which averages out to being the 4th-5th most shooting forward on a team……which is exactly what Kulemin is. This year, and his average, he’s looking to take about 120-130 shots, moving him down squarely into the 5th shooter slot which shouldn’t be any surprise with a big shooter like Grabovski on his line.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

It upsets me because I think he could be so much better if he actually shot the puck more.

I think based on my previous chart-o-paloozas, it’s pretty obvious I’m big on players that shoot more often than not.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Also...

this year he’s on pace for 120 shots if he plays all 82 games.

That is by far his lowest number of shots since his rookie season.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

whats the website where they show you where the shots are from? I want to compare last year to this year.

my gut feeling (and I could be wrong), is that Kulimen is taking less shots from inside the hashmarks this year.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:42 AM EST up reply actions  

Also....

He’s had his PP time greatly reduced since last season.

2010-11, 2:39 of PP time a game

2011-12, 1:06 of PP time a game

Want to know why his numbers are down? Blame Joffrey Lupl’s resurgence.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

Hmm I need to look at his shots at evens

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:46 AM EST up reply actions  

PP Time wouldn’t explain this big of a difference.
He scored 5 PPG last year, and he’s on track to score 2 PPG this year.

that’s only a 3 goal difference.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:46 AM EST up reply actions  

Want to know why that whole line is suffering from a slight dip in production? They are no longer the defacto #1 line. I’m pretty sure their minutes are down this year and less PP time.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Look at that!

More evidence to suggest that perhaps there are more systemic reasons for Kulemin’s supposed struggles than the simple and stupid argument that “he’s lost his passion”.

Last season
Grabbo 19:21
Kulie 17:19
Mac 17:06

This season
Grabbo 17:02
Kulie 15:19
Mac 14:36

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m at work so I can’t do this but what are their pt/60 this season vs last season… even and PP. I bet they are fairly similar.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:58 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Grabs might be higher, Kulemin lower, and mac the same

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 11:28 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s lost his icetime

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

yet he’s lost the least amount of ice time of the 3? doesn’t add up

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:03 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Skinny’s point, partially, is that you need to look at the whole picture. Saying “Grabo’s still good” doesn’t capture it. What we should be saying is “Holy crap! Grabo is going to put up similar totals in fewer minutes! What a hero!!”

http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com

by Curt S on Jan 25, 2012 11:07 AM EST up reply actions  

Grabbo is on pace to beat his goals/points from last year
MacA is on pace to score more goals than last year

Kulie is on pace to 40% less points with only 12% less ice time.

Still doesn’t had up..

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

It does, as was pointed out – his assists are pretty much on par, his goal scoring is way down.

His goal scoring is down due to a 10% absolute drop in shooting percentage. If he was shooting 17% his point total would be similar.

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:04 AM EST up reply actions  

Regression to the mean is a bitch. If you add up his goals from this year and his goals from last year and the shots he averages out to around his career average. Its like math works or something

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:06 AM EST up reply actions  

Let's use pictures!

Here’s Kulemin Shots last year compared to this year

Please note – we’re comparing 82 games vs 42 games, and the gap between the circles.. someone’s not driving to the net.. someone’s is mostly shooting from the perimeter.

Is shooting percentage his down cause he isn’t doing what he did last year.

Hopefully this works
If it doesn’t here’s the link – http://imageshack.us/photo/my-images/62/kuleh.jpg/

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Where was Kulemin when he was shooting from the middle like that?

Oh yeah, in front of the net on the PP which he’s barely on anymore.

Here’s another line comparision. Shots/60

Last season
Grabbo 9.15
Kulie 7.3
Mac 6.59

This season
Grabbo 7.5
Kulie 5.8
Mac 7.2

Both Grabbo and Kulie have seen their shots decrease by about 1.5 shots a game and Mac is actually shooting a bit more. Again, I suggest it’s not Kulemin that’s changed (aside from the shooting %) but the team around them that’s reduced his role through the additions of Lupul, Connolly, and Kadri.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

1.5 shots per 60 is a substantial drop, no?

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Point being, it’s not just Kulemin. It’s his line and the way Wilson is using them.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

It’s not just the reduced time on the PP though, Skinny. Kulemin got very few goals last year on the PP, just 5 (he has 1 this year.)

There’s just much less of Kulie in the paint and between the circles. Maybe it’s that he’s changed. Maybe his linemates. Maybe their role. And maybe the response of other teams. But I think part of that line coming back to life, offensively, will have to be Kulie going to the net, the others shooting more so he can eat some rebounds – or in Mac’s case, maybe him banging in the corners a bit more, and getting the puck free for Kulie.

I want the guy back as a 20+ goal man, and I don’t think, with his skills, that’s at all impossible – even if he’s working hard defensively.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Qual Comp is about the same this season and last.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Where was Kulemin when he was shooting from the middle like that?
Oh yeah, in front of the net on the PP which he’s barely on anymore.

Those pictures are Kulemin’s even strength shots only…

I wouldn’t even be able to compare his PP shots since he’s only taken 6 shots this year.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 3:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I didn’t know “passion” could be measured with stats..

I usually use what i see on the ice to judge passion

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST up reply actions  

ok

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Seriously, I also bet he thinks Kadri doesn;t turn the puck ovr much

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

I think Kadri is expendable.

and last time we argued Leafer84, you thought I was insane cause I would take Franson over Schenn.

Have you changed your mind on that issue over the past 2 months?

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:39 AM EST up reply actions  

I have, Franson as outplayed Schenn.
Yay. You were right about one thing.
HOORAY FOR YOU

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:43 AM EST up reply actions  

That, however, could easily change in the next 2 months.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 10:45 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m guessing your want of Franson over Schenn was an informed decision backed up by some sort of quantifiable study and not just you spitballing right?

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 10:47 AM EST up reply actions  

I would say he wasn’t the only one and birky said the same thing, but as we all know, birky is an asshole

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Watching the games…

I also watched last season, looked how Lupul was shaping up and made him my “hero of the season” in the PPP thread at the start of the season.

I’m also a big fan of Frattin, but I think Colborne might be overated, but I’ve only seen him play 3-4 games.. so I’m not sure yet.

I hated Gutavsson at the start of the season, but think he’s had a major turn around, I think they should keep playing Gustavsson till the end of the season.

I just watch the game.. see how they play, how they react, etc..

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:58 AM EST up reply actions  

you watch games in a really fucking weird way apparently

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

My only issue with Kulemin is he doesn’t drive to the net with the puck, other than that, he still forecheck, backchecks and does the other stuff well.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:34 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly he still works hard in the corners but he’s not going to the net hard like he did last year. I would bet 10-15 of his goals last year involved him driving to the net.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

I think I’ve seen him drive to the net only once.. and that resulted in his penalty shot + goal.

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:35 AM EST up reply actions  

rec’d for proper use of redonkulous.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Don Cherry?

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 9:51 AM EST up reply actions  

hehe, if only I got paid to write things like this…

Changing my "Goat of The Year" player from Armstrong to Kulemin

by Gebx on Jan 25, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Can anyone explain by Ben Bishop (STL) is going to be a UFA this year, despite being in the AHL?

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 9:52 AM EST reply actions  

Because that doesn’t matter.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

Look up Group VI free agent rules.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 9:53 AM EST up reply actions  

wow that rule was confusing as hell. Thanks anyways.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:00 AM EST up reply actions  

something about defecting player or some player having a contract by another team unfulfilled, for the record.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:18 AM EST up reply actions  

More about being under contract for a length of time and making under a certain dollar value

This space for rant...

by fair_n_hite_451 on Jan 25, 2012 10:54 AM EST up reply actions  

If he plays over 30 minutes in X number of games (20?) he retains his RFA status. If he doesn’t, he’s a UFA.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 11:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Reading the rules made me want to be in law, those guys must have made a killing working the rules into nonsensical garbble.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

… how do you do smugface?

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 12:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:30 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I gotta say, I’m really disappointed that no one has caught the joke in the pie chart above. You’re slacking PPPers.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

I just looked at it again looking for a joke and I still don’t get it

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:58 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

You just need to try a little harder, give 110%.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 10:01 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Damnit, just got it. And I’m even a math major.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:02 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I can barely add!

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 10:03 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

That would’ve required to actually pay attention early in the morning…

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:07 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Math in the morning sucks, I thought Skinny was referring to the intangible intangibles…is that like a double negative and actual means tangibles, if so the percentage is too high

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Jan 25, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I think the joke is “Hockey Ability – 2%”
I just assumed that to be true for JFJ though…

by holymackinaw on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

The first thing I checked was to see if the % added up to more than 100. Then when I noticed it was 110% I had me a chuckle.

by c_gee on Jan 25, 2012 5:51 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Fuck, i;d be more happy about the Thomas and Bruins “controversy” if Boston didn’t have Rask waiting to continue killing us.

Toronto Maple Leafs: All about the Lemon Grabs
Twitter

by LeafFan1989 on Jan 25, 2012 9:55 AM EST reply actions  

Meh, I’m just thrilled at the possibility that this whole thing might fuck with their team “chemistry” or whatever you want to call it

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 9:57 AM EST up reply actions  

Exactly, now let’s just sit back and watch the fireworks as the bruins go into a nosedive :)

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 10:04 AM EST up reply actions  

/grabs popcorn

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions  

one can dream, though I also kind of want them to beat up on all the teams below us, and then we can go to each game and let Thomas know the real threat to his liberty is the Toronto fucking Maple Leafs.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:58 AM EST up reply actions  

The most American team of them all

by GettinGiggy on Jan 25, 2012 12:23 PM EST up reply actions  

That’s Tuukka “5 goals to Ovechkinless Caps” Rask to you, bub.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:59 AM EST up reply actions  

The Capitals last scored 5 goals on December 7th vs Ottawa which is the only time they have scored 5 goals since November 4th. Their first game without Ovechkin and they score 5 on maybe the best defensive team in the league. Strange how things work out some times.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HockeyAnalysis.com - Taking a Deeper Look at the World of Hockey

by HockeyAnalysis on Jan 25, 2012 10:22 AM EST up reply actions  

Its fairly well documented (I think) that when a star player misses a few games the role players step up and play above their talent for the first couple games however over time they revert back to their true talent level.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:37 AM EST up reply actions  

Ah, the Ewing Theory

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Happened back in the day with us whenever Sundin got injured.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 1:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Which makes sense. One of the biggest differences between eilte players and non-elite players is consistency. If role players could step up and play that way all the time they wouldn’t be role players

Professional cusser causer.

by T is for Truculence on Jan 25, 2012 1:50 PM EST up reply actions  

You left Sticktoitiveness off the graph?

by YakovMironov on Jan 25, 2012 10:28 AM EST reply actions  

Hey, even if Kyper is full of shit

He at least gave us something new to talk about.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:33 AM EST reply actions  

Are you the real kyper?

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:40 AM EST up reply actions  

Did thosefuckersatTSN rat me out?

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:41 AM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Nicely played.

jrwendelman
The Artist Formerly Known as "Junior", who blogs at heroesinrehab.ca/blog

"But if someone so eager to engage into fist talk, we can always meet after season end in Minsk." (Mikhail Grabovski and a well-meaning but not particularly skillful translator) CERTIFIED GRABBO LOVER

Twooting on Twitter: @warwalker

by jrwendelman on Jan 25, 2012 12:03 PM EST up reply actions  

LeafsTV does something called the Melt in Six which is just like the game in 6 but without any commentators ruining it. It’s great.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 10:41 AM EST up reply actions  

Agreed. I dream of every HNIC broadcast being in Melt Mode

"These balloons aren't going to stay filled till New Year's!"
"Those aren't for New Year's... those are my everyday balloons."

by Isosceles Kramer on Jan 25, 2012 2:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Pfft more like game in 4:28

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:07 AM EST up reply actions  

You desecrated the maple leaf.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 10:44 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah he might have waffle’d on that one.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Liked MacArthur’s energy last night. When he brings that and takes it to the net, he’s a 20-25 goal man. He’s still shy of the corners though. I watched him turn away twice, really obviously, last night, and head towards open ice. Maybe he’s been told to, though that’s hard to imagine. Stats-wise, his hits are massively down – he had 115 in 82 games last year, and just 27 in 42 this year. I know that stat isn’t worth all that much, but in this case, I think it signifies something’s changed in his game. Even if he was now spending more time on the 3rd and 4th lines, I can’t see why those figures would fall off so sharply. Maybe some kindof upper body injury he can play with, but not hit that much? Maybe complacency? Maybe figures himself a scorer? Donno.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 10:51 AM EST reply actions  

I’m just crossing my fingers that last night was the new dawn of the resurgance of MGK.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:52 AM EST up reply actions  

He’s completely shite on the PP half-boards, though. They have to get him off the PP.

by 9 Dollar Beer on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

He did get shannybanned for that hit on detroit’s abdelkator who did a great sales job.

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 10:55 AM EST up reply actions  

Took some punishment in front of the net on the Gardiner goal, if he’s not lying in the crease its still 2-1

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:08 AM EST up reply actions  

btw

did anyone see how the 3 options for Grabo including him getting a “hefty raise” to all of 3.5 mil per. If he signs for 3.5 mil he better be fucking staying with the Leafs. If Burke lets him walk because 3.5 is too much I’ll lose my mind. Even 4.5 is a no brainer for me for resigning him.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:55 AM EST reply actions  

especially since I think it’s clear that Grabbo > Connolly

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

I wish trading Connolly was the go-to likely scenario….

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:57 AM EST up reply actions  

wait, I thought everyone loved the Connolly signing.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 10:58 AM EST up reply actions  

I do… I would prefer to keep them both if possible. However if forced I’d keep Grabo first.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

It should have been you, Brad.

/thingsonlyI’mthinking
/yesthatcontractishorribleiknow

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 10:59 AM EST up reply actions  

his play as of late has been mostly “meh”, but what are you going to do. If a unicorn C comes in, then I’d say maybe find a way to move him but otherwise….

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:00 AM EST up reply actions  

Heh. I wrote back in the summer that the Connolly and Bozak signings, and the addition of Joe Colborne, made a Grabovski extension unlikely. It’s just a numbers game.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 11:01 AM EST up reply actions  

Sort of a similar argument for Liles right now though, no?

I guess he hasnt’ actually signed yet

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:02 AM EST up reply actions  

From ESPN

Craig Custance
Can confirm reports that a contract extension announcement coming for John-Michael Liles. Expected to be a four-year deal.
4 minutes ago

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 11:13 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

I can live with this… depending on the number, of course

by SlickWill on Jan 25, 2012 11:17 AM EST up reply actions  

Here we go...
CraigCustance

Can confirm reports that a contract extension announcement coming for John-Michael Liles. Expected to be a four-year deal.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:14 AM EST reply actions  

Depending on the number, I might be the only one happy with this signing

Money now has to move out if we’re keeping Grabovski though.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:14 AM EST up reply actions  

You would think it would make sense for Burke to make this deal after he’s moved out some salary – now we’re obviously willing sellers of Dmen and have less leverage

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m sad to think that it might be Grabovski to Chicago… they’ve been looking for a 2C apparently and have some cap room.

I feel like we’re going to not get what he’s worth.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:19 AM EST up reply actions  

i will be livid if he ends up in chicago. those fuckers don’t deserve him.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

they deserve him if they want to overpay.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

that will give me a very big sad to see him in a Hawks jersey when the Leafs come

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 12:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe not, maybe the other deal’s done, just waiting on paperwork?

I don’t like Liles for four years. Too long IMO – he’ll be like Kaberle at the end of the deal.

by Jon K. on Jan 25, 2012 11:20 AM EST up reply actions  

SO we move him for a first, second and top prospect?

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

so we move him for a second and top prospect, then some how use that second to get him back

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 12:28 PM EST up reply actions  

Stealing my thunder there…

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 11:16 AM EST up reply actions  

Burke going to tie up some money to set the Leafs up for a big money dump trade?

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 11:20 AM EST up reply actions  

Before the number comes out - Predictions?

I’m going to go with 4 × 4.5M

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:21 AM EST up reply actions  

I’ll second your guess… 4.5 was my number too

I would love something less but I just don’t see him going under his previous 4.2

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:23 AM EST up reply actions  

Thats my guess

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 11:25 AM EST up reply actions  

Kind of like the Kaberle 4 x 4.25 back in the day but adjusted for inflation? I dunno

I feel like a lot of people are about to be really pissed. We’re going to need multiple threads today.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:27 AM EST up reply actions  

I guess 4 x $3.75m

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I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 11:28 AM EST up reply actions  

I’m seeing people on twitter suggesting under $3M. That seems… unlikely.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

I guess 4 x $3.76M

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 11:29 AM EST up reply actions  

What is this, price is right?

So, apparently I can now be followed.. but no stalking. @alsonamedphil

by Learn2Leaf on Jan 25, 2012 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

regardless, the Leafs are likely to have 4 guys locked in through 2013-2014 for a combined $18+ million. Those four also aren’t good enough to comprise the Leafs top two pairings.

Someone has to move.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 11:32 AM EST up reply actions  

No disagreement here. That’s too much on the backend for basically a sub-par defense.

Burke has just made the defense situation…. interesting.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:33 AM EST up reply actions  

Positives?

Lack of extra cap space will prevent the Leafs from overspending July 1…. goodbye Parise and Suter pipedreams, hello cap-space dump scenarios.

Komi to NYI for a 7th

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:36 AM EST up reply actions  

Right now they only have 2 forwards signed after next season and soon to be 5 d-men, so I’d think there’s going to be a change.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 11:35 AM EST up reply actions  

oh fuck, that would be bad

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

My guess

4 x $3.25M

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 12:11 PM EST up reply actions  

4×3.875 according to Bob

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Ass

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Dont know why he would do this without being able to get rid of other salary (e.g. a Komi like contract) and I dont know how he could do that….

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:28 AM EST up reply actions  

Has their ever before been a contract extension for a player that was at that time unable to play?

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:23 AM EST up reply actions  

i don’t think Teppo Numinen got to UFA after his open-heart surgery.

OPERATION TANK IS A GO. It’s the only explanation for Mike Weber. He’s on a secret mission.

by Ubiquitous on Jan 25, 2012 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

I feel like the answer is yes I just can't think of the example.

Well, Phil Kessel was technically still recovering from surgery… maybe Markov extension in MTL?

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:26 AM EST up reply actions  

No, just for a coach who was unable to coach.

Either you have an enviable memory, or a pitiable life, to know nothing of regret.
- Sten, of the Qunari

by GreatKingRat on Jan 25, 2012 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Just so everyone knows

I’m taking FULL credit for the Leafs comeback win last night. Apparently all it took for them to start playing hockey and scoring goals was my laptop to over heat and force me to stop watching the game and commenting here. You’re welcome.

by SlickWill on Jan 25, 2012 11:19 AM EST reply actions  

We won’t forget your sacrifice.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:22 AM EST up reply actions  

I’ll be over hear waiting for my statue

by SlickWill on Jan 25, 2012 11:47 AM EST up reply actions  

Coincidence? I think not...

Yesterday, before the Leafs game, I noticed that my mom had picked this up at the grocery store:

99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.

by MLS on Jan 25, 2012 11:27 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

2011 Honda Clearout for only $5500? That’s a hell of a deal…

by SlickWill on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

So this contract will take Liles on Liles until he’s 35. Hope someone’s moving on our defense to make salary room…..

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:41 AM EST reply actions  

also bet Burke calls a press conference on this, as he’s done it for less….

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:46 AM EST up reply actions  

GUYS GUYS GUYS ITS A WEDNESDAY!! THAT MEANS TRADES AS WELL!!

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

Burke would call a press conference to announce where he’s eating lunch.

And then at the press conference he’d add “Oh btw i traded Komisarek for Iginla.”

OPERATION TANK IS A GO. It’s the only explanation for Mike Weber. He’s on a secret mission.

by Ubiquitous on Jan 25, 2012 11:50 AM EST up reply actions   2 recs

Komi + 4th for Iginla and a 6th

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

only if the 6th is a 2014 pick otherwise no deal.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

OPERATION TANK IS A GO. It’s the only explanation for Mike Weber. He’s on a secret mission.

by Ubiquitous on Jan 25, 2012 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

OPERATION TANK IS A GO. It’s the only explanation for Mike Weber. He’s on a secret mission.

by Ubiquitous on Jan 25, 2012 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 11:58 AM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 12:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be columbus.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:01 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Its a burke trade so all the columbus would be conditional.

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

At least it's not Lebda.

by Nifty Mittens on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.

by MLS on Jan 25, 2012 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

GO LEAFS GO!

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 1:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Its a burke trade so all the picks would be conditional.

Dion Phaneuf: turning the tunes up since '10

Follow Me On Twitter!

by thenumber14 on Jan 25, 2012 1:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I hate it when people just … oh, never mind.

This space for rant...

by fair_n_hite_451 on Jan 25, 2012 2:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, moving Liles.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:48 AM EST up reply actions  

right after signing an extension? That’d be weird.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

Setoguchi says what up

But seriously, Liles isn’t going anywhere now

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:49 AM EST up reply actions  

some will have to if we want room to resign our RFAs and potentially pick up a player this summer.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Still plenty of time before then

so much can change in an instant.

Buyout amnesty, trades, cap going up/down…

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:52 AM EST up reply actions  

yeah there is a lot of time before then, true. But I’d like to think Burke will do at least one trade, and in the past with us he’s eaten salaries perceived, for whatever reason, to be too big (Lombardi, Lupul at the time given he was on the 3rd line there + bad injury, Giguere), though he can always deal salary for salary.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

All signs do point in that direction. February might be a silly trade month.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Im not sure how nuts it will be this year. There’s a few sellers but a lot of buyers given how close the east is right now.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:59 AM EST up reply actions  

this does lend weight to the eklund rumour that Komi is on his way out for nash though!

/notserious

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:50 AM EST up reply actions  

Howson is stupid, but not retarded…….ok maybe he is retarded but still that’s like crazy retarded.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 11:51 AM EST up reply actions  

well, say random rumours from his ass guy is right and Nash is being traded to toronto
salary has to go back, and that means that at least two 3+ mill guy is going the other way, other than komi that leaves Armstrong, Connolly, Schenn, and grabbo as movable salary

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:53 AM EST up reply actions  

That seems likely

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:54 AM EST up reply actions  

Come on...

I doubt Nash is going anywhere. I can’t even entertain that as a hypothetical. If anyone’s moving it’ll be Carter to Toronto, not Nash.

by chawnsy on Jan 25, 2012 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

right, but the same thing applies with the moving of salary

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 11:55 AM EST up reply actions  

So does this mean that we’re not resigning Jeff Finger?

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 11:55 AM EST reply actions  

Oh shit we forgot to factor him into the cap next year! Damnit!

Un-sign Liles, quick!

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 11:56 AM EST up reply actions  

I wish he was actually really good, just to be able to tell teams they got Finger’d when he scored.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 11:59 AM EST up reply actions  

Honestly...

He’s not that bad. I mean he’s better than a handful of defenders in the NHL right now; it’s just his cap hit is like a horrific night-terror.

by chawnsy on Jan 25, 2012 12:03 PM EST up reply actions  

I think this idea has been played out. Maybe at the time he went down it was, but he hasn’t even been great in the AHL.

It’ll be interesting to see if anyone offers him even a 2-way next year.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

my guess he goes to Europe, but then again Columbus signed Lebda.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Liles

getting re-signed to 4 more years. I did not see that coming.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:04 PM EST reply actions  

HE DID???

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Well there’s going resigning Grabbo and getting Suter.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 12:06 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s up on TSN that they will announce he’s getting re-signed. They’re usually right about these things.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:06 PM EST up reply actions  

/woosh

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:06 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I do not follow?

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Sorry… we’ve been talking about 600 comments above about it

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:09 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Over 500 comments and I just Shift+A lol

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:10 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

New predictions: NTC/NMC

I’m going to say full NTC with a partial NTC in the 4th year.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:06 PM EST reply actions  

Burke doesn’t give out full NTCs without there being extraordinary circumstances (e.g. Giguere’s child requiring certain medical care)

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

So Confused

Sportsnet had "New deal coming for Liles? " for a headline before lunch, Now TSN has JM Liles has signed a 4 year deal. Sportsnet still has "New deal coming for Liles? " No wonder I watch TSN all the time.

"Pass to the Left, Cause the Right is Wrong!!"
Reimer........
@Scradam31

by LeafsLaughToo on Jan 25, 2012 12:09 PM EST reply actions  

Bob McKenzie @TSNBobMcKenzie Close
Jean-Michael Liles contract extension with TOR is four years with AAV of $3.875 million. His current AAV on final year of old deal is $4.2M.

by lucc on Jan 25, 2012 12:12 PM EST reply actions  

I cannot wait to be paying a 35 year old 3.875.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s still very good at hockey and barring concussion issues (big IF), he will continue to be serviceable for at least a couple more. If he’s on the decline in the final year that $3.875m will not be a huge problem to move.

by lucc on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Or bury in the minors.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Also I’m glad we’re hearing nothing about NMC or NTC

by lucc on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Burke is not signing a contract that he expects he’ll have to bury in the minors.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Things happen.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

Ass

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

The upside is that by the time he’s 35 he’ll only be playing 40 games a year, so his actual cap hit will be pretty small and we can use that time to give guys like Blacker some ice time.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

TSNBobMcKenzie Bob McKenzie
Jean-Michael Liles contract extension with TOR is four years with AAV of $3.875 million. His current AAV on final year of old deal is $4.2M.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 12:12 PM EST reply actions  

That’s… not good.

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 12:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s a little steep too…

But there’s no question that the Leafs are considerably better with him in the lineup…. Hopefully it’s just a sign that some other D-men are shipping out.

by chawnsy on Jan 25, 2012 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

While I like Liles, I think a lot can go wrong with a deal this long at his age.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Re-signing during a concussion sure was strange timing.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe there’s a trade looming.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:16 PM EST up reply actions  

that’s all I can think, but I have no idea. It just seems weird to sign him now.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Same here, especially since he’s still injured.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

unless he’s already cleared and expected to play post ASG… Maybe he would’ve been good to go last night but they thought “why bother for one game when he can have another whole week off no worries”

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Ass

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

ball hair

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 2:44 PM EST up reply actions  

I wish this was Lupul instead.

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Why? He signed for less....right?

"Pass to the Left, Cause the Right is Wrong!!"
Reimer........
@Scradam31

by LeafsLaughToo on Jan 25, 2012 12:13 PM EST reply actions  

Until he’s 35. So much for stopgap.

The Roar of the Masses Could be Farts.

by Self Destructive Zones on Jan 25, 2012 12:13 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s a lot, given the term. Think Liles will be productive at 35?

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 12:14 PM EST up reply actions  

I mean, Kaberle is, right?

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t even think he’ll be 3.8M-productive at 34.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:15 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not terribly concerned given the Leafs willingness to bury shitty contracts. At the end of the day, I really don’t care if a guy makes $100,000 or $10,000,000 a year. If he helps the team win, I’m happy.

by BeyondBeleaf on Jan 25, 2012 12:17 PM EST up reply actions  

I like this attitude.

by chawnsy on Jan 25, 2012 12:18 PM EST up reply actions  

It’s an attitude that makes no sense with a salary cap in place. Players have to provide good value on the ice AND against the cap.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

I think any dreams of $3.5M or less were completely unrealistic

He’s an offensive defenseman and a good one at that.

He’d get at least this on the open market.

Still is kind of confusing why Burke felt he needed to be the one to pay it, but I guess he really likes Liles.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

It makes no sense if there is a lack of cap space to begin with, which there is not. If you’re the Stanley Cup winning Blackhawks, yes, this wouldn’t be a good move. The Leafs don’t have cap issues and won’t have them for the foreseeable future.

by BeyondBeleaf on Jan 25, 2012 12:25 PM EST up reply actions  

one could argue he took term (4 years) and traded salary (making less than he did last year)

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't hate the number

I don’t love it either, but after hearing the 4 year extension, I figured it’d be higher.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:16 PM EST reply actions  

His point production is really really good

Point production by defensemen over past 2 seasons by Pts/Game

13th in the league, around Ehrhoff, Pronger, Wideman, Shea Weber, James Wisniewski

Pick any time horizon you want, he’s up there. And consistent.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Hope he can keep it up! No one else seems to have.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

odd. fixed

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

this is so misleading. have a look at this list. Thats all the D that could match those criteria. i dont see too many of them that were 45pt scorers before that..

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

since 95-96, a defenceman having a season of 0.36 PPG has happened 134 times (aged 34 or older)

HR

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Now eliminate all the HHOFers.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

20% of players score when they’re older than 34,
But if you take out all the best players, only 5% of players score when they’re older than 34!
Therefore this player only has a 5% chance to keep scoring when he’s 34!

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

speaking of HoFer Dmen… do you think Lidstrom has the 3 year waiting period waived for him like Lemieux and Gretzky did? Or is he just not quite iconic enough.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

Did Paul Coffey and/or Ray Borque have their waiting time axed?

In any case, I can bet I know what one particular fan base thinks should happen.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Yzerman didn’t. Sakic neither. He’ll wait. Everyone should wait.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

No.

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s arguably the best Dman since Orr… I would say he’s better than Coffey and Borque

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

I wouldnt.
and they waited.

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:51 PM EST up reply actions  

Debatable. Still doesn;t deserve to have the 3 yr waiting period waived

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 12:52 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Fair enough. Now go tell that to Red Wings fans lol.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:55 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Like who, Skinny?

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 1:01 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I mean the crazies that Lambert likes to troll

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 1:02 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Can’t

I’m waiting for them to get Osgood elected so we can turn around and discount Lidstrom’s career by saying he played in front of HHOF goalie.

Then i watch their heads asplode.

Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік

by clrkaitken on Jan 25, 2012 7:56 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

that is evil
i like it

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 7:59 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

If Osgood gets elected our heads will explode first.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 8:19 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

They waive it,
none of those guys played until they were 65 years old.

Bam Bam.- digga digga damm

by Eterrible on Jan 25, 2012 2:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I see what you did there

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Regardless, on sports talk radio one morning the hosts were asking people to call and weigh in on who is the biggest icon in Detroit sports at present between:

Calvin Johnson
Matt Stafford
Verlander
Lidstrom
Zetterberg
For most, it was a toss-up between Calvin and Verlander, nobody gave a second thought to Verlander. This is whats wrong with sports in Detroit. While I can accept that football and baseball (and even basketball, save for the last 4 years) rule this town, but, when you have a guy who is has dominated the Norris trophy for the last decade and constantly ranks in the “top 5” players all time at his position, and (probably most important) has had the “staying power” (i.e. consistency) over any of the other guys, yet, you can’t even recognize him as an icon, you got problems.

…pffft.. “hockeytown” this place is not.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 12:55 PM EST up reply actions  

it’s like that everywhere in the U.S. I doubt Lundqvist even makes it into the conversation in NY, Toews and Kane are somewhat in the conversation, but that’s because the Cubs, Bears, and Sox all suck (some more than others). Don’t even try to argue that any California player would come into the conversation.

Boston is Tom Brady, Paul Pierce/Rondo, or a Sox player

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 2:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I get it, but in Detroit (which calls itself “hockeytown”) you’d expect the guy who’s served as captain for over half a decade and dominated his position for over decade to get some consideration over guys who’ve just come out in the last couple of years.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:25 PM EST up reply actions  

Hell I’m happy with a hockey player or 2 winding up the list. The NFL just flat out dominates the U.S, hockey’s only hope for really competing as an equal with the NFL was if the NFL had cancelled the season.

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 2:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Even then, football would receive more coverage for their “contract talks” than the NHL playoffs.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:33 PM EST up reply actions  

kind of the same way people were debating who was most important figure in Pittsburgh sports. A huge debate over Lemieux and Big Ben.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:27 PM EST up reply actions  

btw should have read:

gave a second thought to Verlander Lidstrom.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I’d have Bourque and Robinson ahead of him as best D’s I’ve seen, so no.

by Nigel Cadbury on Jan 25, 2012 9:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Here’s for 32-35 year olds.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 12:46 PM EST up reply actions  

After looking it over

I think Rafalski is Liles’ best case scenario for the duration of the contract.

"We are all agreed that your theory is crazy. The question that divides us is whether it is crazy enough to have a chance of being correct."
- Niels Bohr

Sorry, unauthorized hotlinking of copyrighted material not permitted.

by Frag on Jan 25, 2012 1:02 PM EST up reply actions  

Would be concerned with that if Liles got a HHOF player contract extension.

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Page doesn’t exist, but I’m pretty sure I know what it’s going to say.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Similar money to Schenn and less then Komi.
Also in 3 years team cap space should increase so his cap space will decrease as %.
Hope he doesn’t become gonchar or markov.

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Uh

Gonchar was still incredibly productive at 35, and is still decently productive at 37.

We should hope he’s as offensively productive as Gonchar throughout this contract.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

almost certainly he wanted term over money.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

I am ok with this.

3 years may have been better , I was expecting north of 4 mil. He does make this team better.

"Pass to the Left, Cause the Right is Wrong!!"
Reimer........
@Scradam31

by LeafsLaughToo on Jan 25, 2012 12:18 PM EST reply actions  

So...

Chalk up a Leaf fan who will be cheering for the Wings tonight! Anyone else?

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 12:18 PM EST reply actions  

Do I wear my Yzerman of my Datsyuk jersey?

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

or*

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST up reply actions  

wear your howie meeker

by hardfoot57 on Jan 25, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

I have the same dilemma (sort of): Larry Murphy jersey or hybrid Leafs/Wings Brett Lebda… kind of a wash.

/Idon’tactuallyhaveanyofthosetwo

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Any word on a NMC or NTC

I hate those things

"Pass to the Left, Cause the Right is Wrong!!"
Reimer........
@Scradam31

by LeafsLaughToo on Jan 25, 2012 12:20 PM EST reply actions  

This is the only logical concern for any fan regarding this contract. If there is a NMC lacking, give him all the money he wants. Bury him if he’s crappy. Easy.

by BeyondBeleaf on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST up reply actions  

Burke will front load his contract making him easier to kaberle into a picks and prospects

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

He’ll be the 45th d-man in terms of cap hit, dropping from 31. Other household names like Kubina, Brewer, Spacek and Beauchemin did or will be making only slightly less at the age of 35 when his contract ends.

This isn’t really that bad.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

The dollar figure in a vaccuum is fine. Taking him to 35 is worrying.

How this team’s defensive core will look now is also very very unclear.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:22 PM EST up reply actions  

With 5 d-men signed past next year, it looks pretty clear, It just doesn’t look good.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, its problematic to think of the deal just in terms of what its going to cost. We’ll see how everything else plays out I guess.

The Roar of the Masses Could be Farts.

by Self Destructive Zones on Jan 25, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

If we skip out on Bryan-McCabes-dream-season (PP laden 05-06), just 17 NHL defensemen have recorded one or more 30 point seasons at or above the age of 34.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:21 PM EST reply actions  

Ever see the movie not another teen movie and that guy tries the slow clap at the wrong time and everyone looks at him weird.
You’re that guy

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 1:18 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

BORKBORKBORK
/amidoingitright?

by holymackinaw on Jan 25, 2012 3:14 PM EST up reply actions  

rec’d for bothering leafer1984

Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.

by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:34 PM EST up reply actions  

not really. it’s more like a mild mosquito bite.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Those are worse.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe daoust is allergic to bees.

The Roar of the Masses Could be Farts.

by Self Destructive Zones on Jan 25, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

than a bee sting? wat?

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

At least with a bee sting people are sympathetic. You’re just supposed to ignore mosquito bites even though they kill.

@yearofme

by laser358 on Jan 25, 2012 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

FTFY
You’re just supposed to ignore mosquito bites even though they kill itch.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

It's not overpriced IMO.

But I know I’m about to be bombarded with stats of offensive dmen at age 34 of why I’m wrong.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t really care about the tail end, cap will go up, or he could be dealt, or who knows what else could happen.
It’s only 4 years, pretty low-cap hit.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 12:27 PM EST up reply actions  

less than he’s making now, its not really a bad contract at all, I agree. yes his age will be worrying, but until I hear NMC I won’t get upset about it.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:28 PM EST up reply actions  

All of those guys are / were making more than $3.875M.

The contract itself isn’t a huge overpay.

The expected production from Liles at age 34 is obviously lower than what it has been.

I don’t think this is an overpay.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

$3.875M for an aged 20pt blueliner. Where do I sign up?

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

/eyeroll

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

do we really believe he’ll be a 20 point player any more than we believe he’ll be a 60 point player?

chances are even in the final year he’s a 30-40 point player.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

yep.

considering what some Dmen around the league are earning I really don’t have a problem with this.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed.

jerk.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Would anyone be shocked if Liles got this deal on another team on July 1?

I doubt it. It would probably seem like a good deal then for a UFA. In a vaccuum the contract is fine.

Within the context of the Leafs D however, it makes it seriously complicated.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

I think it’s one year too long, even in a vacuum, based on his age and likely decline in play. The signing becomes worse when it topples our understanding of the Leafs’ defensive depth chart.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Disagree about the deal in a vaccuum.

I think it’s a legit good deal for the type of player he is (assuming his concussion doesn’t change his game). His agent likely demanding the 4 year deal to make it happen.

I want to see what Burke does next before crucifying him for handcuffing our cap.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

locking a guy up until he’s only 35 doesn’t give the player a ton of security. he definitely could have gotten longer on the market.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Really?

I’m trying to think of UFA dmen who have gotten more than 4 years recently.

I can only think of Pronger, Ehrhoff off the top of my head. I guess Pronger was technically not UFA but you know what I mean.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Timonen is maybe a good comparable. signed a 6 year 6.3M/per when he was 31

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not so sure on the term, but maybe more money

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m hard-pressed to make any sweeping statements about this team until I see the roster on March 1st, for sure, but things made a lot more sense when Liles was a stopgap played out of a role by the surprising Gardiner, rather than a key piece of the team going forwards.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Kaberle, who is often considered Liles comparable, is having an awful awful season at age 33

And he’s already put up 20 points. Projected to put up 30-35.

20 point guess was obviously for dramatic effect.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

and Liles will be making less than Kabs

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

He was having an awful season in Carolina, he’s doing a lot better with the Habs.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

that’s probably due to Carolina sucking really badly.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Cuz the Habs are so much better?

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

lol Habs

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:50 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

they were at the time Kabi was on Carolina, IIRC.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Just barely

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 1:02 PM EST up reply actions  

All those guys are defensively superior, as well. Is Liles a #1 or 2 defenseman on a playoff-caliber team? He’s a utility player, and in a good year he’s “not a defensive liability.”

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

This is a key point. If you’re paying $3.8 million for a guy who only scores 30 points, that’s fine if he’s also solid in his own end. Liles is a defensive liability more often that not.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 1:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Well he’s basically Kaberle. While he’s putting up points it will be worth it, but it will have to be a lot more than 30 points a year

Professional cusser causer.

by T is for Truculence on Jan 25, 2012 1:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Good thing liles’ career PPG isn’t really that far off from half of those guys.

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 12:43 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m not sure it’s overpriced considering what he could have gotten this summer as a UFA, but is it a good deal for the Leafs? That’s the question.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 1:21 PM EST up reply actions  

My thoughts

I know its fashionable here, but you guys are WAY OVERREACTING
Its a good deal. He could get 4.5-5 on the market. He’s a similiar player to Erhoff, and look what he just signed,
would you prefer that?
3.85 is pretty cheap actually, and thats why its 4 years. You either pay more now or may less longer,
I’m okay with this because nothing shouts that he is going to suddenly suck,
You can also turn him into whatever ala kaberle later on, if we need to

It may also mean that a player is going out, as we now have:
Phaneuf, Liles, Schenn, Gardiner long term, and Gunnarsson, Franson RFAs,
+ Komisarek
Maybe Schenn is gone to philly as rumered

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:28 PM EST reply actions  

I’d rather not sign a Liles or an Erhoff to such a deal. I’d rather save the capspace and go on my merry way.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

save it for what though? overspending on july 1st?

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:34 PM EST up reply actions  

( . Y . )

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Young money militia you don’t wanna start Weezy cuz the “F” is for “finisha”.

I will stand beside him with an axe!

by theninjagreg on Jan 25, 2012 12:49 PM EST up reply actions  

So help me god, if Gunnarsson is traded for anything short of a kings ransom.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 12:30 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree on the contract not being an overpay.

The team itself though, well, we’ve got a pickle of a roster problem now.

Almost 100% of us expected Liles would be gone after July 1 some way or another.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST up reply actions  

which means someone else has to go.

Phaneuf – staying
Gunnarsson – almost certainly staying
Liles – re-signed
Schenn
Komisarek
Franson
Gardiner

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

No one is disagreeing.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

I know, I just don’t know who the hell we’d want to move. Well, we’d want to move Komi but that doesn’t seem likely.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:35 PM EST up reply actions  

should have mentioned Gardiner is going nowhere too. Oh man his skating last night was smooth like whipped butter.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:33 PM EST up reply actions  

keep Gardiner.
Move Franson.
Fire Komi into the Sun.
Hope like hell Schenn turns into a reasonably good 4/5 shutdown dman.
Find a bona fide stay-at home Dman.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:37 PM EST up reply actions  

Franson could command quite a bit I think.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

trade Schenn (bigger return) and sign Suter.

Problems solved.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Leafs will be the first time in league history to commit 80% of their cap dollars to their d core.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

also the first to do so and still be in the bottom half of the league in GA.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

History will be made

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:40 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I’m ok with trading Schenn as long as the return is good. I just feel like we’d be selling low now.

That's "Da-ooo". I killed a turkey once, with a shovel.

by daoust on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah…but keeping him just feels like sunk costs.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Schenn for Couturier

/IfIkeepsayingitmaybeit’llhappen

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Bloody Mary Bloody Mary Bloody Mary

am i doing it right?

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 12:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Coors Light.

/that’llhavetodoya

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 1:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I’d rather keep franson and move schenn before now, because schenn will get us more and franson just seems like he has more upside to me..
but now that we’re hoping franson will become liles, and liles is signed for 4 years, i guess its best to trade him
i would think schenn is probably a #5 right now ps

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:39 PM EST up reply actions  

I agree, so it means something has to happen,
burke wouldnt be accumulating guys like percy, aulie, blacker, holzer just to have a nice ahl squad.. a few of those guys top out higher

by Ben Schnell on Jan 25, 2012 12:36 PM EST up reply actions  

As mentioned above, Nonis said Blacker was close to NHL ready, so there’s anotehr player pushing for a spot. And yes, you do want competition, but you don’t want mediocre, over-paid guys like Komi taking spots from young guys if they are good enough to make it.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Is Blacker a LD? If he is, how is going to crack the lineup in the future with Liles, Gunnar and Gardiner all in his way?

Either you have an enviable memory, or a pitiable life, to know nothing of regret.
- Sten, of the Qunari

by GreatKingRat on Jan 25, 2012 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

There is depth in all our D-prospects way right now, RD or LD.

Either a move happens or Burke is sticking to his word – he wants his teams to have at least 9 or 10 legit NHL dman to be competitive.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:45 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t see Gardiner going anywhere, and Liles is now here for four years. That means either Gunnar gets moved(big mistake) or Blacker languishes in the AHL for years.

Either you have an enviable memory, or a pitiable life, to know nothing of regret.
- Sten, of the Qunari

by GreatKingRat on Jan 25, 2012 12:55 PM EST up reply actions  

That's a bit overdramatized.

Players get traded every year…. just because we have a bunch of players locked into multi-year contracts right now doesn’t mean they’re “blocking” our prospects forever.

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 12:58 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus there are injuries… And no one said Liles is here for all 4 years,.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 1:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Article on Sam Carrick if anyone is interested.

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 12:31 PM EST reply actions  

It’s not exactly an offensively gifted team, but for an overager, it’s a shame he’s not over the PPG mark.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:44 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s not an overager. That is his season next year.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Right you are. 4th season, not 5th.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 12:51 PM EST up reply actions  

It doesn’t matter # of seasons it matters by age.

If you turn 20 before Dec 31st of the given year it is considered your overage season. For instance this year it is all 1991 bdays are overage players. All 92’s have one more season.

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 12:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Liles story on the front page. Discuss Liles and all things Liles related there.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 12:49 PM EST reply actions  

Man, sounds like whenever Boston ) wants to get rid of someone they paint him a locker room cancer…………….Now its Thomas’ turn.

http://deadspin.com/5879151/

Toronto Maple Leafs: All about the Lemon Grabs
Twitter

by LeafFan1989 on Jan 25, 2012 12:57 PM EST reply actions  

I love the predictability. I bet he gets moved sometime soon.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 1:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I hope they get another Thorton return

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow

Who peed in their cereal. Cause I’ve never heard of any other goaltender who is more of a “loner” compared to the rest of the team.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 1:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Boston globe is owned by NY times – they won’t paint his actions positive

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 1:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Normally I’d wonder why a team is making such a big deal of this. But, in this case, I am getting great amusement out of watching the Bruins burn.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

Mike Richards nearly ends David Booth’s career with a vicious cheap shot – he’s known as a character guy you’d like to have on your team.

Tim Thomas skips a photo op on a day off – he’s known as a locker room cancer.

NHL ethics are incomprehensible.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 1:49 PM EST up reply actions  

but THE CODE!!!!!!!!!

Toronto Maple Leafs: All about the Lemon Grabs
Twitter

by LeafFan1989 on Jan 25, 2012 1:52 PM EST up reply actions  

I can see the reasoning

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 2:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Tim Thomas’ reception in the boston media probably had more to do with the why than the what.

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 2:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Well yeah, being a staunch conservative Republican in one of the most liberal Democratic cities in America isn’t going to win friends in the media. Look at Curt Schilling and his open support for Dubya after winning the World Series in ’04.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 4:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes and no. It’s not like he just skipped some random photo op because he was sick.
He refused to meet the President with his whole team because he is bat-shit crazy.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

bat-shit crazy

A label reserved for anyone who disagrees with your political views?

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:28 PM EST up reply actions  

I don’t know Thomas views in depth, but the odds of a guy who admires Glenn Beck being a little off his rocker are pretty high. That being said, who cares? As long as he plays goalie well and doesn’t bring his politics to the rink it shouldn’t affect the team.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

Exactly. Whatever it is, I hate to take advantage of the situation, but if it works out that this ends up causing the Bruins to go down in Flames, sign me up.

What would be hilarious is, if he goes to another team and ends up winning the MVP/cup with them.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:32 PM EST up reply actions  

I think Boston would prefer rask

Toronto Maple Leafs: All about the Lemon Grabs
Twitter

by LeafFan1989 on Jan 25, 2012 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

… who is also batshit crazy, but in more of a “hurling things onto the ice in a fit of rage” sort of way.

by Peter Lynn on Jan 25, 2012 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

He looks batshit crazy. He’s got Sideshow Bob hair and crazy eyes!

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 4:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Plus he looks like a lost Van Halen brother.

by Peter Lynn on Jan 25, 2012 4:18 PM EST up reply actions  

by go down in Flames, you mean trade us all their good players for our shyte contracts right? right?

/onecanonlyhope

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 3:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Not at all, just the one’s who are bat-shit crazy, which from his statement on FB and other information Tim Thomas appears to be.
But as you both say below, it shouldn’t affect the team

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 2:37 PM EST up reply actions  

What part of his statement on FB was so far-fetched. While I don’t necessarily agree with him, there are many who believe government has grown too big and corrupt.

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 2:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, but many people who talk like that also reside on “farms” out in Idaho with a number of other people. Stockpiling guns and preparing for the revolution/rapture/alien invasion

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 3:36 PM EST up reply actions  

im stockpiling guns for the alien rapture revolution

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 3:43 PM EST up reply actions  

meh, zombie apocalypse myself, but I suppose their multi-porpoise

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 3:50 PM EST up reply actions  

/facepalm

it was supposed to be just the pun, not the pun AND a grammar fail

Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt

by Chi-town leafs on Jan 25, 2012 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

you gotta watch those dolphins

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Me for the Zombie Alien George Washington Revolution anti-redcoat apocalypse

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

great name for a band

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 4:04 PM EST up reply actions  

New post:

Get over it, Isles fans.

http://50missioncap.wordpress.com/2012/01/25/dear-isles-fans-refs-suck-we-get-it/

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 1:03 PM EST reply actions  

Ha ha. The Isles are the innocent victims of a great conspiracy! Yes, their dignity is intact on the same level of Mother Theresa. Too bad there are no damning actions on their part with which we can provide a rebuttal. Nope, nothing!

by gettingcozywithsarkozy on Jan 25, 2012 1:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Even back in the ‘02 days, sure we had Corson and Tucker, but it isn’t as if Eric Cairns or Steve Webb were choir boys.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

LOL

http://panthers.nhl.com/

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 1:41 PM EST reply actions  

Guarantee eh?

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

It looks like an Alfredsson guarantee.

by holymackinaw on Jan 25, 2012 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Amazing. Also, check out the derp face far left.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 1:42 PM EST up reply actions  

The guy in the far right looks like he was caught off guard.

Useless comments since 2009.

by PassivelyTruculent on Jan 25, 2012 1:45 PM EST up reply actions  

versteeg is the mouthguard of the franchise

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 2:00 PM EST up reply actions  

And the franchise, much like Versteeg’s mouthguard, is dangling by a thread, and you’re just waiting for the moment it falls.

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

SO MUCH SNARL

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 2:02 PM EST up reply actions  

my word, versteeg is stupid looking

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 2:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Will get overshadowed today but...
TSN_News

Marlies’ Colborne voted AHL All-Star starter

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 1:45 PM EST reply actions  

COLBONER

At least it's not Lebda.

by Nifty Mittens on Jan 25, 2012 2:28 PM EST up reply actions  

THANK YOU KABBY CLAP CLAP CLAPCLAPCLAP

TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)

by FiftyMissionCap on Jan 25, 2012 4:18 PM EST up reply actions  

LMAO I think Gardiner missed the flight home this morning


Tyler Bozak @Bozie4

Hey @Jgardiner272 how was your flight this morning? Didnt know you could fly from your own bed. #moron

by WizardofNaz on Jan 25, 2012 2:43 PM EST reply actions  

lol

rookies

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 2:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Haha Love the Moron part – maybe he celebrated his first goal a little bit too hard.

by Dr_Furious on Jan 25, 2012 2:55 PM EST up reply actions  

deserved. plus…all star break.

Move along. Nothing to see here...

by Van Ryn's Neurologist on Jan 25, 2012 2:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Now the media and rumour sites will turn on Jake and he’ll be the one on the way out of town as a result of the Liles signing…

This space for rant...

by fair_n_hite_451 on Jan 25, 2012 2:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Rumours are flying that Jake Gardiner has been traded to the NY Islanders after he didn’t fly home with the rest of the team after the game. Sources say that the Leafs will also build the Islanders a new stadium, and in return they will receive John Tavares.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 3:05 PM EST up reply actions  

Maybe he had a big night of the town with Mike Myers.
I wonder if he showed up in the dressing room afterwards.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 3:06 PM EST up reply actions  

carl_gun Carl Gunnarsson
Where can you try out curling in Toronto?

Gunnar may overtake Kulie as my favourite Leaf if he keeps this up.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 3:15 PM EST reply actions  

really? the curling did it for you?

by Goosemonster on Jan 25, 2012 4:53 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s Scandinavian. He’s guaranteed to be wearing those crazy curling pants.

Maybe they’ll be Leaf coloured!

Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік

by clrkaitken on Jan 25, 2012 8:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Eric T. Graph party!

Eric T. has anti-Gus bias

OPERATION TANK IS A GO. It’s the only explanation for Mike Weber. He’s on a secret mission.

by Ubiquitous on Jan 25, 2012 3:33 PM EST reply actions  

Interesting...

… can’t comment at the link itself yet, but in case Eric drops by:

It looks to me as though a really important takeaway isn’t so much about EV Save % vs PK Save %… but the fact that Past Save % isn’t as powerful a determinant of Future Save % as is sometimes suggested. That is, we’re only looking at a .2 to .4 tie-up until well into their career.

And in particular, for early stage goalies – like Reimer and Gus – the correlation is really really weak. As in, provides almost no traction at all.

Which, if I might say, is what I argued the other night.

Also as far as Eric’s study goes, for the purposes of comparing two young goalies, I’m also not sure if it’s useful to remove the goalies who don’t go on to face at least another 2000 shots. Because what you’re removing are precisely the kinds of guys we’re often looking at – goalies who are flaming out, whose performance was too unsteady to stay in the league, guys who were injured and thus, damaged and no longer capable, etc.

Anyway. Good to see some more proper work on it, so thanks for that Eric!

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

Heh. I spent the whole morning here waiting for someone to link to it, then eventually resigned myself to the fact that a major roster move was of more interest than a lengthy tome on save percentage correlations.

To your various points:

First, I think it’s pretty widely agreed that goalie results are highly variable and it takes a large sample before we really know what they can do. My answer on the Leaf goaltenders would probably be “we still don’t really know how good Reimer or Gustavsson is, but the best guess is that Reimer is better.” And I think the ~0.2-0.4 correlations support that perspective.

Second, I also have mixed feelings about the filtered numbers (which is why I showed both). We want to make a prediction based on the current data, and filtering it based on what happens in the unknown future is definitely changing the question. But on the other hand, guys with short futures definitely just add noise.

After the 2000 season, Glenn Healy had a career .888 Sv%, and he went on to face 331 more shots in his career. Even if he was precisely a .888 goaltender, over a sample that small a .888 goaltender would have a standard deviation of 0.017 — he could easily go anywhere from .853 to .922. So even if we knew exactly how good he was, we’d still have a horrible correlation to his future results.

Also, it’s worth pointing out that many of the guys getting filtered out aren’t the Healy’s of the world. Of course it includes the guys who are about to retire, but even just among young guys, it includes many who will face 2000+ shots but just haven’t yet — data that got filtered out include the 2010 stats of Quick, Hiller, Rinner, Halak, Howard, Harding, Pavelec, Rask, etc. All of them had under 120 starts after 2010 and none of them had 2000 shots in 2011, so their semi-random 2011 results make it look like we’re worse at predicting the futures for young guys than we actually are.

Anyway, like I said, I have mixed feelings about it myself, so this is more about presenting the other point of view than about trying to convince you.

by Eric T. on Jan 25, 2012 6:21 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Thanks, Eric. For the comments here, but also for taking the time to do this sort of thing. It’s interesting, plus I can learn a huge amount. On your points:

1st. Agreed. I think Reimer will be better, and also suspect that Gus will have a great variation in how he performs. Reimer’s concussion, however, throws this all up in the air, at least for this season, IMHO.

2nd. Understood. But I’d be careful using Healy as an example of anything around here. As far as we’re concerned, he was a shitty goalie, a shitty commentator, and was probably a shitty child – with little variation.

3rd. We’d like Coutourier, Schenn and JVR, please. Not asking for Hartnell, just so you know we’re not greedy.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

with little variation

Haha, it turns out he was .885 over those 331 shots. You know your Healy!

(Of course, this also introduces noise into the plot, by spiking the correlation upwards.)

3rd. We’d like Coutourier, Schenn and JVR, please.

Sorry, sources tell me that by misspelling his name, you’ve offended Couturier and now he’ll never play for you. And you already have Schenn. And you could’ve had JVR; it’s not my fault you weren’t willing to give up a first round pick.

by Eric T. on Jan 25, 2012 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

we should be trading Leighton, Shelley, Carcillo… im gonna kill homer if we lose 2/3 of zerdev/Leino/JVR

by bleedorangewhiteblack on Dec 21, 2010 7:14 AM PST

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:44 PM EST up reply actions  

One of these kids is not like the others…

by Eric T. on Jan 25, 2012 6:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Well, Eric’s data says use ES SV% for Gus in 8 more starts, so it’s a safe bet that he sucks.

For Reimer his career SV% is still .914 which I’d take moving forward happily.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:41 PM EST up reply actions  

Ayup.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 6:58 PM EST up reply actions  

What are you guys talking about? Are we reading the same chart?

The charts says might be tweaked to say that ES Save % shows slightly better correlation than Total Save % after 100 games, but more importantly what it’s showing is that there’s an incredibly weak correlation between ES Save % pretty much until you get out past 400 starts, which is a zone only the BEST NHL goalies pretty much get to anyway (i.e. MAF and Lundquist just have 400-450 now.)

So at 100 starts, my reading of Eric’s chart shows only a 0.2 to 0.4 correlation. i.e. Junk bond.

[Also, just so we all stop finessing Reimer’s numbers, the use of the word “career” is what’s known in the trade as “tarting things up.” His “career” is 55 games. And of those, only the 37 last year are really holding up his Save %.]

Like I always say, I prefer Reimer. But can we not pretend Eric’s piece backs up some “junk Gus” storyline? Because, in fact, what it really says is , “ES Save %, Total Save %, or PK Save % are pretty much not gonna tell you anything about which if two young goalies is any good, at least til they get, ohhhhh, 300-400 starts in.”

And I’m sure Eric can clarify if I’m misreading.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 7:10 PM EST up reply actions   2 recs

You’re not misreading.

I do think this is a bit extreme, though. I’m with you that the guys in the 0.2ish range (under 100 starts) are still unknown quantities to a large degree. But by the time they get into the 0.4ish range, I’m a lot more comfortable with it.

For comparison, the correlation between a forward’s goal scoring rate over the last three years (minimum 150 games played) and his goal-scoring rate in the coming year (minimum 50 games played) was 0.52. Granted, that’s better than 0.4ish, but I think the gap between 0.52 and 0.4ish is smaller than the gap between people’s comfort level thinking of a certain forward as a 30-goal scorer and “it pretty much doesn’t tell you anything”.

by Eric T. on Jan 25, 2012 7:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Ok, maybe you could help me get a bit clearer, if you have the time, Eric.

Let’s say the correlation is 0.3 when you’re a goalie who’s played 50 to 250 games (the charts spike back and forth from .2 to .4, so I hope 0.3 is fair.)

Now, something that strikes me is a point that (I think it was) Skinny was going on about earlier this year. Which is that the statistical difference between a poor, average, and really above-average goalie, in terms of Save %, appears to be quite small.

i.e. At .900 or below, you’re going out of the league, down to the AHL… at somewhere around .912 or so you’re average, an NHLer… at .920 you’re clearly above average, Quality goalie… and at .930, you’re pretty much close to top of the league, Elite.

But what that means is that while a .912 goalie may be average, a .917 mark can put you into the Top 10, while a .907 puts you out of the Top 30. In short, NHL goalies are actually very very evenly matched. (These were other people’s points, not mine, though I agree.)

But this means a starting goalie seeing 1400 shots in a year could have just 7 shots between being rated as being an AHL’er versus being a solid, average, NHL goalie…. and only another 7 shots between being Average versus being a Quality goalie.

And those 7 and 7 shots are occurring in in a world full of differences in team defences, team injuries and streaks (e.g. playing behind Pronger vs not), with the random mix of game situations you receive (leading vs lagging), the season’s schedule and who you’re picked to play (Boston 4 times), your own age and development curve and personal circumstance (concussion, heart ablation, etc.)

So. If that’s the absolute range of goals we’re talking about that are separating a below average from an above average goalie over the course of a full season, and with all those other variables at play… what does it then MEAN to say there’s a 0.3 correlation between a goalie’s Save % in the past and in the future?

Does it tell us whether those 7 + 7 goals are likely to appear or disappear? Does it tell us whether a .912 guy this year will be .907 or .917 next year? Does it give us odds on this? What does that 0.3 correlation mean?

Because right now I think what is happening a bit is that people are taking the argument that ES Save % is superior to Total Save % to heart (which, without having studied it a lot, seems reasonable to me), but are then extending it out to say, “ES Save % can tell us whether a young goalie is going to be any good or not.” And yet, even with the ES save % being the metric chosen, I’m not seeing sufficient weight to do that.

Any way to help us find some example or explanation or image that’ll help grasp the 0.3 correlation?

Thanks.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 25, 2012 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

I gotta run, so this will be brief, but I’m happy to chat more about it some other time.

It’s true that the spread in goaltender talent is fairly small — and that’s a big part of why the correlations year over year are small. If the NHL had goalies with .800 talent and .950 talent, then we wouldn’t wail and gnash our teeth over the fact that a guy with a .912 career might be .907 or .917 next year. But because, as you say, .907 vs .917 is the difference between top-10 and backup, those tiny little fluctuations are really important to the correlation (which basically asks the question: if this guy was 8th last year, how close to 8th should I expect him to be next year?)

The tight spread of goalie talent and our perception of goalies as variable are two sides of the same coin.

by Eric T. on Jan 25, 2012 8:41 PM EST up reply actions  

[Also, just so we all stop finessing Reimer’s numbers, the use of the word "career" is what’s known in the trade as "tarting things up." His "career" is 55 games. And of those, only the 37 last year are really holding up his Save %.]

Can someone do a study on when we’re allowed to start calling a career a career?

RIP Former-and-forever Leaf Wade Belak
Me on Twitter

by Bower Power on Jan 25, 2012 11:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Hey, you can call your car or your cat a career if you like.

I’ll I’m saying is that James Reimer’s “career” is precisely as long (55 games) as Keith Aulie’s. Do I feel safe yet in judging him as having reached his “career” potential? How about Jake Gardiner (42 games) or, Nazem Kadri (48 games.) Am I confident that how they’ve performed to date in the NHL gives me a “career,” or a “benchmark” or a “bar” to somehow judge them? Heck, I hear talk all the time about Schenn still growing into his role (yes), and yet he’s 279 games deep – 5 times Reimer. And there’s this old saw about goalies often being ones who grow most slowly into their jobs. Franson (175), Bozak (159), and Crabb (115) are all also players whose roles continue to change and evolve at NHL level.

I guess my point in mentioning the use of the word “career” is that it’s a rhetorical move to gently persuade people that they’re measuring Reimer against some more solid background than perhaps he actually has. In my books, he had a hot run last year, got 37 games in, and he looked and moved great and seemed to have a good head on his shoulders. This year, maybe not quite as solid, then the concussion. Plus the PK oddities.

Gus may well end up in the AHL or Sweden, and Reimer may well end up a ten year starter for the Leafs, but the idea that we have some magic determinant after 55 games? Sorry. ES Save % is a better measure than Total Save % perhaps, but with so few games played, it simply doesn’t give us the basis to say that Gus is an AHL goalie, or not even back-up NHL quality, while Reimer was a guy we all should be happy placing our faith in as a long-term starter. A correlation of 0.2, 0.3 or 0.4 in the early years just doesn’t do that.

And if people wanna be upset because some stat doesn’t prove that their favourite rookie is a lock, then that’s their call as well.

But me, I remember a few late bloomers. Even late-blooming Leaf goalies, who have come along.

Who was that one guy… You know, kid who had started for a full season for the Rangers, already something like 30 years old… but he kept getting dunked in the minors, spent 5 years yo-yo’ing… And in those days, if you couldn’t make the Rangers, then… Sheesh.

Til he got picked up by the Leafs. Who made him their starter. At age 34.

Had a great “career,” that guy.

4 Cups.

Here’s hoping our two, Gus and Reimer, have as happy a path.

I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.

by not norm ullman on Jan 26, 2012 1:26 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Well said. but that wall of text needs chapters or something.

At least it's not Lebda.

by Nifty Mittens on Jan 26, 2012 7:02 PM EST up reply actions  

So James Cybalski was doing well talking about how great Grabbo is. Then he called Kulemin a stiff, then said that Glen Healy is like the Rowdy Roddy Piper of the NHL and knows his hockey, so that’s enough of that.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 4:11 PM EST reply actions  

Cybuski has to say that stuff about Healy.
Cybulski is still the best sports radio host in Toronto, IMO

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 4:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Glen thinks Liles is too injury prone, and can’t be counted on for more than 60 games.
Only ever played less than 70 games ONCE in his NHL career prior to now, and suddenly he’s injury prone.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 4:17 PM EST up reply actions  

Its Glen Healy

Fairweather fans can go to hell
Equal oppurtunity asshole and a proud member of the PPPPP
Follow me on twitter: leafer1984

by leafer1984 on Jan 25, 2012 4:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Glen Healy is stupidity prone

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 4:19 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

But Cybulski and the other dude agreed with him.

The Leafs are my Rushmore
Certified Grabbo Lover and member of the PPPPP
I also write things about stuff over at the Leafs Nation

by Plea From A Cat Named Felix on Jan 25, 2012 4:20 PM EST up reply actions  

There’s been lots of crazy talk lately that Grabbo won’t net more than a 2nd at the deadline. Hard to say for sure, but I really doubt that. Check this out:

Dominic Moore has been traded as a rental for a 2nd rounder TWICE. Jason Arnott as a rental got a 2nd AND Steckel. Chris Campoli & a 7th netted a 2nd and a prospect. Ian White was traded for a 2nd. Chris Kelly went for a 2nd. etc.

All those guys were rentals. Grabovski is a far better player than any of those guys. If Burke can’t get more than a 2nd for him, he’s losing it as a negotiator.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 6:21 PM EST reply actions  

McKenzie was on TSN Radio an hour ago talking about the Liles extension and the potential for Grabovski to be traded.

On Liles, he says that the signing allows the Leafs to move forward feeling like they have a core in place on defence and that it might open up the possibility of trading away a younger defender like Schenn, Franson, or Gunnarsson. He did say, though, that the Leafs have not specifically decided to trade one of them, just that the signing gives them flexibility if a deal comes along.

On Grabovski, McKenzie said that he doesn’t believe the Leafs would trade Grabovski unless it was part of a package with a replacement player coming back or with a replacement otherwise lined up. He said that Grabovski is too valuable to the team for Burke to just consider dumping him for a draft pick.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 6:44 PM EST reply actions  

yaaaay

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

Grabovski contract like this:

12-13 $6M NMC, NTC
13-14 $6M NMC, NTC
14-15 $5M Partial NTC
15-16 $3M Partial NTC

Total: 4yr $20M, AAV $5M

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Would leave the Leafs roughly $6 million to sign 3-4 forwards and a backup goalie. Not impossible, but it would be really tight. The Leafs would almost certainly have to dump salary somehow, and there are still major holes in the roster to fill.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 6:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Jettison Komisarek somehow. I didn’t say the job was easy, but if Burke’s solution to paying Komi and Schenn tons of money to be shitty is “well, see you later good players” I want him gone.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 6:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Of course, the Leafs will almost certainly make trades between now and July 1, so this likely all becomes moot by then anyway. But they’ll definitely need to make some moves to fit Grabovski in.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
Internet Champ. I'm on Twitter too! - draglikepull

by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 6:55 PM EST up reply actions  

I still don’t get why the leafs sign Connolly if that salary means they need to deal grabbo at a later point which might be now.

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 7:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Signed Connolly because of Bozak’s struggles last year. Couldn’t go into the season without a #1 center for Kessel. Whoops.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 7:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Not seeing the downside really, Connolly is producing, Bozak is producing. Oh no.

Komi and Armdog free up a lot of room for Toronto in a hurry.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 7:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Also, 2011-12:

Crosby 8GP
Colby 9GP

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 7:10 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

cue leafer heart attack

s •

by sportsfan2 on Jan 25, 2012 10:12 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Bozak is being carried by Lupul and Kessel’s ridiculous production and he’s basically useless if those two aren’t playing at an extremely high level.

The plural of "anecdote" is not "data".
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by Draglikepull on Jan 25, 2012 7:52 PM EST up reply actions  

he’d be a solid 3rd line center

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 7:53 PM EST up reply actions  

I’d like to see him in that role with some consistency

by TheDeek on Jan 25, 2012 7:54 PM EST up reply actions  

soon as the leafs get a defacto 1C

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 7:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup, doesn’t seem like TC is any better than Bozak on that line

by TheDeek on Jan 25, 2012 8:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Lombardi for a pick

3.5M free

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:34 PM EST up reply actions  

But he scores more goals than a pick.

by LeafInVancouver on Jan 25, 2012 9:38 PM EST up reply actions  

His 3.5M is needed to re-sign Grabovski

Blast him to the moon

No no, dig UP stupid.

by nhlcheapshot on Jan 25, 2012 9:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Leafs Cap Dead Weight:

Armstrong 3
Komisarek 4.5

Leafs Cap Expendable:

Connolly 4.5
Lombardi 3.5

Get almost $15.5m back there alone.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 7:02 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess my question is: how do the Leafs improve if they just keep the guys they have? They’re fighting for 8th as it stands.

Pension Plan Puppets
I hope YouTube comes down to film this.

by birky on Jan 25, 2012 7:25 PM EST up reply actions  

MEDIOCRITY 4 LIFE

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 7:26 PM EST up reply actions  

were leafs fans right, should we expect any less

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 7:58 PM EST up reply actions  

O_o

Yes

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 8:09 PM EST up reply actions  

sorry, i don’t know how to do sarcasm font.

by JohnerstonRex on Jan 25, 2012 8:26 PM EST up reply actions  

sucks for you

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 9:00 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I am deeply sorry for you.

by LeafInVancouver on Jan 25, 2012 9:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Because more players are getting better than are getting worse

I'm building a beautiful statue, to make sure that no one forgets you

by jimmyp22 on Jan 25, 2012 7:39 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I think we might have a lot of talent that’s not distributed well.

Example: I think we have some great puck moving D, we just have a ton of it and no “boring old D that stops other people from scoring”.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 7:46 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

So people say “our D sucks” which is true in that they don’t keep our goals against down, but other teams looking for PMDs would want Phaneuf, Gunnarsson, Gardiner, Franson, and Liles no question.

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by Chemmy on Jan 25, 2012 7:47 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

at least there is still hope that Franson and Gardiner can become decent 2 wat players

Resident Internet Tough Guy

by JaredFromLondon on Jan 25, 2012 7:50 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

I guess theyre counting on their farm system?

Being a Leafs fan makes me bipolar.

by BlindSight on Jan 25, 2012 9:11 PM EST up reply actions  

Regardless of the outcome, I get a Win in fantasy hockey. MUHAHAHHAHAHA

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 8:10 PM EST up reply actions  

3-0 now…7 wins in a row only to lose to Montreal, that sucks for them

by TheDeek on Jan 25, 2012 8:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Whatever keeps Montreal from finishing in the lottery.

The First Certified Grabbo Lover

by SkinnyFish on Jan 25, 2012 8:13 PM EST up reply actions  

Good way of looking at it

by TheDeek on Jan 25, 2012 8:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Three goals on nine shots? Ouch. And Detroit only has 6?

Well, if anyone can come back from that, it’s the Red Wings.

by LeafInVancouver on Jan 25, 2012 8:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Just like they did with the Leafs.

"They build a statue, they knock it down and piss on it, and now they will be out there building it again."

by ThickSkinnedAlive on Jan 25, 2012 8:18 PM EST up reply actions  

wings tied the game against the leafs

by jeffgm on Jan 25, 2012 8:28 PM EST up reply actions  

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