Death Numbers for Death March
by SkinnyFish on Mar 5, 2012 3:49 PM EST
in Maple Leafs Fan Cheering Guide
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PrintDeath March is upon us. The long, painful road to either the Playoffs or the draft lottery now lies before the Leafs. Despite the worst 10 game stretch of any team so far this season, the Leafs are somehow only 3pts back of 8th with a game in hand. I know, I'm confused by this too. I guess the explanation lies somewhere in the middle of a) salary cap induced parity, b) Western domination over the East, c) Washington pooping the bed against the rest of the SE, and d) the Leafs not being able to put this thing away by going .500 thru February.
With the regular season ending in 33 days, I figured it was time to bust out the Death Number Calculator of DOOM! It tracks the number of points that a team needs to gain, or the Leafs need to lose, that would make catching that team a mathematical impossibility. Can the Leafs stave off hearing the playoff knell for a 7th straight season by beating out 7 other teams? Let's find out: (Spreadsheet will be updated daily here. Death numbers post day after every Leafs game.)
17 games left in the season and 34 points up for grabs. LET'S GO!
Edit: Spreadsheet now updated with death numbers for all Eastern Conference teams.
Western Conference to be added tonight.
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Playoffs!!!1? Inconceivable!
My rambling tweets
Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing - Vince Lombardi
You wanna talk about playoffs?
Finally got twitter...@mapleleafmjt
by Chi-town leafs on Mar 5, 2012 3:55 PM EST up reply actions
And all of Pit, Phi, Bos to be below .500 for the rest of the season.
OPERATION TANK IS A GO.
In an unprecedented move 9 teams in the Eastern Conference have decided to officially "pass" on the playoffs
It would be nice if just one time we could go on a 10 game winning streak to offset the heartbreak that was the inevitable 10 game losing streak.
To make it more dramatic, the meters should be scaled so they’re all in the red
I'm building a beautiful statue, to make sure that no one forgets you
Once a catching a team becomes an impossibility, it’ll get very dramatic. You’ll See.
The First Certified Grabbo Lover
Florida should get some sort of immunity icon.
OPERATION TANK IS A GO.
In an unprecedented move 9 teams in the Eastern Conference have decided to officially "pass" on the playoffs
Too close between them, Washington, and Winnipeg to call that race. I’m not Fox News. I’m not calling Florida before all the votes are in.
The First Certified Grabbo Lover
by SkinnyFish on Mar 5, 2012 4:10 PM EST up reply actions 3 recs
Probably complicating things is the fact that Winnipeg is in 8th but Washington in 9th has a higher maximum number of points available.
Cynically Sarcastic
Сертыфікаваны Grabbo Палюбоўнік
Again, thing is it doesn’t matter about the SE. Leafs just have to beat 7 other teams and they’re in.
The First Certified Grabbo Lover
#Riseaboveeighth
My rambling tweets
Winning is a habit. Unfortunately, so is losing - Vince Lombardi
exploding glass, like when you busted the crowd noise meter in NHL 94?
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 5, 2012 5:14 PM EST up reply actions
AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH
At least it's not Lebda.
by Nifty Mittens on Mar 5, 2012 5:23 PM EST up reply actions
Shouldn’t, at least, NYI, Car and Mtl be in the green? And maybe have Buf and TB in the yellow.
The other teams are fine at threat-level Red.
by Spezzal Teams Playa on Mar 6, 2012 1:41 AM EST up reply actions
Threat Level Midnight?
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 6, 2012 9:45 AM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Michael Scarn approves this message.
99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.
I’m currently adding a third sheet to track death numbers for every team in the East so we’ll know the instant Montreal is mathematically eliminated. I’ll expand this to the West as well later.
The First Certified Grabbo Lover
Is Columbus already mathematically eliminated?
Kadri Fanboy since 2006
Damien Cox's clock is stuck on 19:67
don’t bother. just having one for montreal is enough.
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 5, 2012 5:28 PM EST up reply actions
I’ll make a separate sheet that will read:
Is Montreal Mathematically Eliminated from the Playoffs?
And when they are, it’ll simply state “YES”
The First Certified Grabbo Lover
and then we all rejoice.
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 5, 2012 5:37 PM EST up reply actions
Someone should buy the domain name http://ismontrealmathematicallyeliminatedyet.com
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 5:39 PM EST up reply actions
If someone paypals me $12 I’ll do the whole thing.
Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.
I don’t like the sound of this here “Death March”.
Pension Plan Puppets*
* Blog contains less than 2% puppet content by weight.
OF DOOM!! Death march OF DOOM!!!!1
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 5:03 PM EST up reply actions
Expiration expedition?
" No one wants advice - only corroboration " - John Steinbeck
by GreatKingRat on Mar 5, 2012 6:57 PM EST up reply actions 2 recs
Dirt Nap Dally
This space for rant...
by fair_n_hite_451 on Mar 5, 2012 7:33 PM EST up reply actions
Highway to hell?
At least it's not Lebda.
by Nifty Mittens on Mar 5, 2012 7:00 PM EST up reply actions
Rigor mortis romp?
" No one wants advice - only corroboration " - John Steinbeck
by GreatKingRat on Mar 5, 2012 7:02 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Gallows gallop?
" No one wants advice - only corroboration " - John Steinbeck
by GreatKingRat on Mar 5, 2012 7:06 PM EST up reply actions 1 recs
Tiptoe through the tulips?
I shot a moose once, in upstate New York.
by not norm ullman on Mar 5, 2012 8:10 PM EST up reply actions
Amish Paradise
This space for rant...
by fair_n_hite_451 on Mar 6, 2012 10:31 AM EST up reply actions
How many times have we been in this situation where we need a miraculous 4th quarter of the season to make the playoffs?
You’d think at least one of these times we’d actually be able to do it, and with the drastic changes that have took place over the weekend, this might be the best opportunity yet.
It sounds cliche, but like Carlyle said, need to just worry about it one game at a time, because any team can beat any team on any given night.
Make it happens Leafs!
Bleeding Blue and White since '88
Follow me @JoeyFerg for Leafs related info and other ramblings,
1 - 0 Winnipeg
No one is going to help us here me thinks
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 8:36 PM EST reply actions
I’ve got a bad feeling it’s gonna be last year all over again; we will start winning games in bunches, but so will everyone else.
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 8:38 PM EST up reply actions
honestly, I’d rather see this team play good hockey down the stretch then play like shit. Watching a shitty team is fucking horrible and makes me grumpy.
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 8:41 PM EST up reply actions
but yeah, there isn’t much hope of us making the playoffs.
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 8:42 PM EST up reply actions
The sad thing is this team played 53 games of solid hockey before folding like a cheap lawn chair.
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 8:45 PM EST up reply actions
i’ve been really, really grumpy these past three weeks haha.
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 8:49 PM EST up reply actions
I think they folded like a good quality, well oiled lawn chair with teflon washers on the hinges. A cheap lawn chair would fold all crooked, and would likely get stuck during the folding process. The leafs folded so easily and completely, it was definitely one of those expensive Home Outfitters reclining chaises that they were emulating.
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 5, 2012 10:51 PM EST up reply actions
, there isn’t much hope of us making the playoffs.
I think, in the future once we’ve gained some distance from Burke’s tenure, his rebuild attempt will be remembered primarily for his amazing ability to scuttle high draft picks. Gerber, the Kessel Trade, and now the Carlyle hire.
Next season of 24/7: "I am named Mikhail. I watch video to fold together strategy. I want outdoors to fight bravely."
by Peter de Chatham on Mar 5, 2012 9:17 PM EST up reply actions
Quit talkin shit. Burke’s tenure will be remembered for the glorious Stanley Cup victory.
by Bobby Paradise on Mar 5, 2012 10:02 PM EST up reply actions
No one is going to remember him picking up Gerber off of waivers.
About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!
My new goal: To get the nickname Hebrew Hammer for Mike Brown to take off.
I consistently forget Gerber ever played here.
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 10:29 PM EST up reply actions
The weird thing about when we traded a high draft pick for Phil Kessel is that Phil Kessel was a high draft pick.
s •
Yep. 5th overall (and that was only because of a bad season the year before the draft; he would have easily been top 2 otherwise).
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 6, 2012 12:01 AM EST up reply actions
Part of the reason he dropped was that he was so painfully shy he couldn’t even look GMs in the face during the interview process.
Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.
Like reading thoughts confined to 140 characters? I'm on Twitter too.
That definitely did not help, either.
Before that, he only maybe dropped from about 1st to 3rd. That dropped him another couple spots for sure.
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 6, 2012 1:17 AM EST up reply actions
What a stupid process.
Well, the kid is lightning fast and has a rocket of a shot. Pure sniper. But he wasn’t very good in interviews so we don’t think he’s for our hockey team. Let’s see how he fares in the swimsuit competition.
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 6, 2012 9:44 AM EST up reply actions
This is their last game of an 8 game home stand…its the only reason they’ve been winning. We all know they suck on the road
yeah and we have two games in hand on them. would be nice if they lost
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 9:00 PM EST up reply actions
I think I’d rather Winnipeg win tonight actually. With them going on the road and us having 5 points to make up with two games in hand isn’t bad. makes Buffalo easier to pass
by pho king awesome on Mar 5, 2012 9:03 PM EST up reply actions
Yeah I actually think Buffalo is scarier than Winnipeg. Winnipeg are, essentially, the Thrashers. The Sabres on the other hand proved last year they are quite capable of going on epic runs
s •
Buffalo’s schedule is pretty brutal they’ll probably flame out.
OPERATION TANK IS A GO.
In an unprecedented move 9 teams in the Eastern Conference have decided to officially "pass" on the playoffs
Buff with a brutal sched and Wpg going on the road?
OPTIMISM!!!1
I wish monkeys could skype. Maybe some day.
by Sergei Puckizin on Mar 5, 2012 10:52 PM EST up reply actions
I was at a total dive bar tonight prior to running club and for some reason they had the Jets game on. For purely sentimental reasons, I wouldn’t mind that much if WPG made the playoffs. Obviously I’d rather see the Leafs, but I think the Jets are my second choice. Maybe.
Then I drank 4 beers and ate a footlong hotdog and ran 5.5 miles (in that order) so maybe my judgement is clouded.
Where my heart belongs - GO LEAFS GO!
I started a blog.
Bettman Point City
Population: Everyone in front of the Leafs.
OPERATION TANK IS A GO.
In an unprecedented move 9 teams in the Eastern Conference have decided to officially "pass" on the playoffs
Yep, pretty sure this will be a 3-point game.
TWEET AT ME BRO
DAAAAA BLOG
Leaf fan for life! (No, really. They gave me a no-trade clause when I was born.)
by FiftyMissionCap on Mar 5, 2012 9:39 PM EST up reply actions
Fuck off Winnipeg, 2-1 Jets.
99% of player salaries are payed out to only 1% of players. #OccupyNHL
I'm a Twitter twat.
CanadianMaple09 is an effective Facebook stalker.
Whatever
Just no 3 point games!
About time that people finally realized how awesome Gunnar is...
Certified Gunnar & Kule lover!
My new goal: To get the nickname Hebrew Hammer for Mike Brown to take off.
Yes 3 point games! TANK
"I myself am made up entirely of flaws, stitched together with good intentions."
You guys can’t possibly do any worse than you did in Febtober, right? Right?
by Spezzal Teams Playa on Mar 6, 2012 1:44 AM EST up reply actions
Bit of a nitpicky nitpick here, but I think every tragic number listed here is actually one number too low.
Technically, the Rangers could amass 10 more points and still lose to the Leafs in a tiebreaker, whether via ROWs or H2Hs or whatever.
So good news everyone!
Death does not happen versus the Rangers in ten – it comes with the Rangers’ 11th point / the Leafs’ 11th lost point. Or sooner. The ROWs could make it sooner. But as of now, it takes them 11 points to clear the Leafs.
Same goes for Winnipeg. Nothing necessarily happens after the 31st point.
32 points are the Leafs are cooked. Or maybe 31 points plus some other shit like ROWs. But it is premature to say 31 points does it.
by Spezzal Teams Playa on Mar 6, 2012 1:17 AM EST reply actions 1 recs
So what I’m hearing is that you do not agree with the basic math?
by Spezzal Teams Playa on Mar 6, 2012 7:13 PM EST up reply actions
can the chart indicate whether
we’re above or below them in the standings? so color the face of the dial maybe?
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