
Season over. Once again, Leafs are watching from the sidelines as 16 other teams vie for the Cup, and once again, it is in no small part due to poor performance in net. Thinking of solutions for next year, you've likely already checked out upcoming UFA goaltenders on capgeek, as well as dreamed of trade scenarios for the prize RFA names - Cory Schneider, Jonathan Bernier or hell even Carey Price or Tuukka Rask.
Before you back a direction of the team you think Burke should take the Leafs in, let's take one big look at the entire goaltending landscape in the NHL - how the Leafs stand relative to other clubs, which goalies really deserve praise and which ones are overrated/overhyped.
For each NHL team, we see their current netminders, their age, whether they're the starter or backup, Veteran or Prospect, how that team originally acquired them, their cap hit and remaining years, career games played, a vague measure of how much it would cost to acquire them in the offseason (Free, Low, Medium or High), as well as the last 3 year's Even-strength SV% and a chart of that goalie's career SV% by moving average & season average.
Should start by pointing out the obvious - there are grey areas for the Starter/Backup, Veteran/Prospect distinctions, and obviously "cost to acquire" is a matter of opinion more than anything else. If you disagree with the selection, feel free to explain why in the comments.
The colour-coding for the ES SV% is performance relative to League average ES SV% in that given year (0.923, 0.924 and 0.924 respectively for 09/10,10/11 and 11/12):
- Highlights in RED if ES SV% is more than 0.005 below league average
- Highlights in GREEN if ES SV% is more than 0.005 above league average
- Highlights in GREY (and N/A) if the goalie played less than 5 games in that season
- No highlight if ES SV% was within +/- 0.005 of league average
The thing you'll notice right away about the Career SV% charts is that often the season average lines look above (or below) the entire moving average's sv% - this is because the moving average isn't weighted by number of shots. That is, a goalie might post a 1.000 sv% on a given night, but only because it is based on 4 shots (for example,in relief of the starter). The season average is the more complete average, but doesn't move around as much, and isn't as interesting in spotting trends (check out Tim Thomas, for example).
All data provided below available here.
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Hiller | ANA | 29 | Starter | Veteran | UFA (Europe) | $4.5M | 2 | 250 |
High | 0.93 | 0.931 | 0.917 | Chart |
| Dan Ellis | ANA | 31 | Backup | Veteran | Trade w TBL | $1.5M | UFA | 165 |
Free | 0.921 | 0.905 | 0.923 | Chart |
- Anaheim's goaltending was a big reason they ended near the bottom of the standings this season, as it seems Hiller wasn't fully recovered from his battle with vertigo from last season. As the season went on, he rounded much more nicely into form and is looking like his old self again.
- Jonas Hiller isn't going anywhere for the next 2 years, and I can't see a challenger for his starter role until heir apparent John Gibson is ready to take over. Dan Ellis isn't the answer for anyone and although he'll likely grab a backup job somewhere in the NHL, I sure hope it isn't with the Leafs.
Boston Bruins
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Thomas | BOS | 37 | Starter | Veteran | UFA (Europe) | $5.0M | 1 | 378 | High | 0.913 | 0.947 | 0.927 | Chart |
| Tuukka Rask | BOS | 24 | Backup | Prospect | Trade w TOR | $1.25M | RFA | 102 | High | 0.937 | 0.925 | 0.929 | Chart |
- Boston has received what could be conservatively described as "above league average goaltending" for several years now. Tim Thomas is having a quite average season (relative to his previous seasons), but even when he does (rarely) stumble, Tuukka Rask has got his back and continues to post great numbers.
- While a trade/offer sheet for Rask is theoretically possible, it seems extraordinarily unlikely - if he hangs in for another year he's likely to grab the starting reigns with Boston in 2013/2014 or earlier
Buffalo Sabres
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Miller | BUF | 31 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (138th) | $6.25M | 2 | 460 | High | 0.928 | 0.924 | 0.922 | Chart |
| Jhonas Enroth | BUF | 23 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (46th) | $0.675M | 1 | 41 | High | N/A | 0.919 | 0.926 | Chart |
- Expectations were high for Buffalo at the start of the year, but a drive-by "Lucicing" seems to have derailed the first half of Ryan Miller's season. While he was solid in the 2nd half, it wasn't enough to get the injury-plagued Buffalo into the post-season.
- Despite rumours early in the season, I don't think Miller is going anywhere, and Enroth is rounding into form as a good backup. Both goalies have provided decent goaltending since Miller's Vezina season, and unless Enroth really surprises to the upside and wants to be paid like a starter in 2013/2014, I can't see Buffalo parting with either netminder.
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Ward | CAR | 27 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (25th) | $6.3M | 4 | 414 | High | 0.924 | 0.927 | 0.919 | Chart |
| Justin Peters | CAR | 25 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (38th) | $0.525M | RFA | 28 | Medium | 0.928 | 0.891 | 0.948 | Chart |
| Brian Boucher | CAR | 35 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.95M | 1 | 324 | Low | 0.911 | 0.925 | 0.899 | Chart |
- Cam Ward was another starter that didn't have a terribly great season, but as his ESSV% shows, he's been approximately league average for a few seasons now. Whatever the problem in Carolina is, it's not the goaltending, but i'd stop short of calling it spectacular.
- Ward isn't going anywhere with that contract and putting up decent numbers, in my opinion Boucher needs to hang 'em up or head to Europe, and while Peters has put up a few good games - is he any improvement over the prospects in the Leafs system now?
- An additional catch is that I believe Peters didn't play enough professional games and will become a Group 6 UFA this summer. As well, any team that signs him would have to risk waivers to store them in their AHL team, similar to the Ben Scrivens situation. A team like Carolina that has a starter who can play 60+ games a season can afford to have a developing backup on their roster - the Leafs can't.
Columbus Blue Jackets
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Mason | CBJ | 23 | Starter? | Prospect? | Draft (69th) | $2.9M | 1 | 219 | Low | 0.911 | 0.911 | 0.911 | Chart |
| Curtis Sanford | CBJ | 32 | Backup? | Veteran | UFA | $0.6M | UFA | 144 | Free | N/A | N/A | 0.923 | Chart |
| Allen York | CBJ | 22 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (158th) | $0.95M | 1 | 11 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.917 | 3SA |
- If there's one team that the Leafs can look down on in terms of goaltending, it's the Blue Jackets. Wow, Steve Mason is going on his 3rd straight season of being completely awful and yet as of now still lays claim to the role of "starter"
- Sanford, a journeyman who has spent years as a NHL/AHL tweener, was the only netminder to put up anything close to respectable numbers on the sad sack 11/12 Columbus Blue Jackets. Leafs should want nothing to do with this franchise from a goaltender perspective and may the hockey Gods have mercy on the Blue Jackets' collective souls.
Calgary Flames
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miikka Kiprusoff | CGY | 35 | Starter | Veteran | Trade w SJS | $5.83M | 2 | 599 | High | 0.928 | 0.916 | 0.928 | Chart |
| Henrik Karlsson | CGY | 28 | Backup | Veteran | UFA (Europe) | $0.863M | 1 | 26 | Low | N/A | 0.905 | 0.905 | Chart |
| Leland Irving | CGY | 23 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (26th) | $0.6M | RFA | 7 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.911 | 3SA |
- For what feels like the millionth year in a row, Miikka Kiprusoff has given the Flames just good enough goaltending to trick management that the team is good enough to not need a rebuild, but not good enough to get into the playoffs. Yay mediocrity!
- Calgary's an interesting case - if they ever embraced a rebuild, Kiprusoff would be a decent trade candidate. He's not in the upper echelon of netminders in the NHL, but he's provided relatively stable league average goaltending for a number of years. However, two more years at nearly $6M isn't great for a Veteran whose glory days may be behind him, and Calgary's asking price would likely be above the value he'd provide to whoever traded for him.
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Crawford | CHI | 27 | Starter | Prospect | Draft (52nd) | $2.67M | 2 | 123 | Medium | 0.931 | 0.924 | 0.915 | Chart |
| Ray Emery | CHI | 29 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.6M ($1.15M) | 1 | 207 | Low | 0.93 | 0.935 | 0.899 | Chart |
- Despite the fact that Crawford / Emery tried to derail the Blackhawks season with pretty awful goaltending, Chicago is headed back to the playoffs and it looks like they're backing Corey Crawford as their go-to starter for the foreseeable future.
- Neither Crawford or Emery are awful, but they're not exactly spectacular or consistent. Crawford could easily rebound as he's posted better numbers in the two previous years, but it's a perfect example of the dangers of sample size at the NHL level. I don't see Chicago making him available, and Emery just signed a 1-year extension so I doubt he's going anywhere either.
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semyon Varlamov | COL | 23 | Starter | Prospect | Trade w WSH | $2.83M | 2 | 112 | High | 0.929 | 0.93 | 0.923 | Chart |
| Jean-Sebastien Giguere | COL | 34 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.25M | 1 | 557 | Medium | 0.915 | 0.91 | 0.924 | Chart |
- They didn't make the playoffs, but not nearly as many people are laughing at the Semyon Varlamov for a 1st, 2nd trade between Colorado and Washington anymore. While his SV% wasn't his career best, he took over the starter role in Colorado and if it weren't for the equally stellar play of a rebounding J.S. Giguere, he'd probably have played 65 games or more this season.
- It's clear that Colorado was willing to pay the price and have significantly invested in Varlamov as their goaltender of the future, so he's not going anywhere. Giguere, coming off 2 seasons of awful and injury-plagued play, decided to shut it down last summer, get his surgery, and played like the Giguere of old this season. Burke won't trade back for him, but this is a case of hindsight that I wish the Leafs could have made a different decision regarding Giguere & Gustavsson last summer.
Dallas Stars
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kari Lehtonen | DAL | 28 | Starter | Veteran | Trade w ATL | $3.55M | 1 | 343 | High | 0.921 | 0.928 | 0.926 | Chart |
| Andrew Raycroft | DAL | 31 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.65M | UFA | 280 | Free | 0.913 | 0.911 | 0.897 | Chart |
| Richard Bachman | DAL | 24 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (120th) | $0.55M | RFA | 19 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.929 | 3SA |
- Kari Lehtonen for the 3rd season in a row posted stellar numbers, as the Dallas Stars continuing to collect dividends from the trade that saw Ivan Vishnevskiy and a 4th rounder head to the Atlanta Thrashers who had grown tired of his injury-plagued career.
- Lehtonen has been very good for Dallas, and with 1 more year left in his contract at $3.55M he'll be looking for a decent-size raise if he can keep it up for one more season. Dallas has a decent pipeline with Richard Bachman and eventually Jack Campbell in a few years. While I can't see an offer that would make Dallas consider moving Lehtonen, the 2013 offseason might be interesting if Dallas is still running on a tight internal budget as to whether or not they can afford to keep him long-term as a pending UFA.
- As for the backups, Andrew Raycroft continues to be awful and this might be the last season in which his agent can trick an NHL team into signing him as a backup. Bachman has shown promise in his small sample size, but his AHL numbers are all over the place. Look for him to be the backup going into 2012/2013 unless Dallas management doesn't think he's ready for that responsibility.
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Howard | DET | 27 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (64th) | $2.25M | 1 | 192 | High | 0.925 | 0.916 | 0.929 | Chart |
| Ty Conklin | DET | 35 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.75M | UFA | 215 | Free | 0.918 | 0.891 | 0.908 | Chart |
| Joey MacDonald | DET | 31 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.55M | 1 | 101 | Low | 0.924 | 0.929 | 0.927 | Chart |
- Jimmy Howard really stepped up this year and likely secured his spot as Detroit's starter for the foreseeable future. Detroit's MO has always seemed to be aim for average-to-below-average netminding and make up the difference with spectacular defense, puck possession and star power in Datsyuk, Zetterberg and Lidstrom, yet Howard gave them an opportunity this season to get the best of both worlds. If he can keep it up, Detroit may well continue to be scary in the future despite an aging core.
- Howard is obviously going nowhere and no one should consider touching Conklin with a ten foot pole. Joey MacDonald is an interesting case though - a journeyman AHL/NHL tweener, his EV SV% are surprisingly very decent and have gotten better as he's progressed his career in Detroit's system. I don't see him being any game-changer, but on the rare occasion that Vokoun or Harding decide to sign in Detroit next year for a shot at the Cup, MacDonald may end up getting a trade as a backup to another team. At 31, his NHL career may very well just be beginning, just my two cents.
Edmonton Oilers
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devan Dubnyk | EDM | 25 | Starter | Prospect | Draft (14th) | $0.8M | RFA | 101 | Medium | 0.902 | 0.921 | 0.927 | Chart |
| Nikolai Khabibulin | EDM | 39 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $3.75M | 1 | 783 | Low | 0.924 | 0.905 | 0.913 | Chart |
- While goaltending isn't the Oilers most pressing need, it isn't doing them any favours either. Khabibulin started out the year with a remarkable .961 early on and had Oilers fans dreaming of playoffs and that the rebuild was right on track. Dubnyk for the 2nd year in a row was very decent, and Oilers fans should have some optimism that he could carry the majority of starts respectably next year, which is good because Khabibulin has ventured back into "godawful" territory again.
- Dubnyk was one goalie I was interested in comparing against Reimer this season due to similar age, games played, and decent SV%, but that was all derailed by Brian Gionta in game 5 of the season. Dubnyk went on to have the kind of season I had hoped Reimer would have. I don't see Oilers trading Dubnyk unless they can land one of the other prize RFAs, but in either case you'd have to think they'll do everything they can to trade Khabibulin or waive him. He's done.
Florida Panthers
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Theodore | FLA | 35 | Starter | Veteran | UFA | $1.5M | 1 | 636 | Medium | 0.924 | 0.915 | 0.928 | Chart |
| Scott Clemmensen | FLA | 34 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.2M | UFA | 152 | Medium | 0.912 | 0.918 | 0.918 | Chart |
| Jacob Markstrom | FLA | 22 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (31st) | $1.3M | 1 | 8 | Low | N/A | N/A | 0.916 | 3SA |
- Jose Theodore had a great year and is one of the biggest reasons Florida is headed to the playoffs for the first time since the lockout. With one more season on his contract, he's likely to be the starter again next season while mentoring uber-hyped goalie prospect and ridiculous diver Jacob Markstrom as his backup.
- I know Florida tried hard to keep Tomas Vokoun last summer (for good reason), but Theodore did very well as his replacement. Unless they can woo Vokoun back to Florida to share time with Markstrom, Theodore is unlikely to be traded. Clemmensen is available as a UFA, but he is and always has been a very mediocre-to-bad goaltender and isn't likely to change now. Pass.
L.A. Kings
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | LAK | 26 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (73rd) | $1.8M | 1 | 249 | High | 0.919 | 0.921 | 0.933 | Chart |
| Jonathan Bernier | LAK | 23 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (11th) | $1.25M | 1 | 48 | High | N/A | 0.92 | 0.901 | Chart |
- Jonathan Quick blew away expectations this season and showed that he's nowhere close to handing over the reigns to Jon Bernier anytime in the near future. Where Bernier has the draft pedigree, Quick has the results - it would be hard to point to any other playoff-bound team that owes its berth to one player the way L.A. has needed Quick. If Evgeni Malkin doesn't win the Hart, Quick should be in contention. Oh and his $1.8M cap hit is a nice bonus too.
- All season long we heard the rumours that Bernier was either being shopped or that teams were asking for him, and any trade to improve their club would need to have Bernier go back the other way. But Jeff Carter didn't send Bernier the other way (to Columbus) where if rumours are true, he wasn't even discussed as being wanted by the Blue Jackets. His SV% isn't that impressive and if it weren't for his pedigree I doubt he'd be considered valuable in the slightest.
- Would I be upset if Leafs traded for Bernier? Probably not. But his value isn't what Kings' fans probably think it should be anymore. The Leafs lottery pick? Dream on. Whether or not he's an improvement on Reimer is debatable and probably dependent on whether or not Reimer fully recovers from his "concussion-like symptoms" ever again and becomes the Optimus Reim of old.
Minnesota Wild
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Backstrom | MIN | 33 | Starter | Veteran | UFA (Europe) | $6M | 1 | 327 | High | 0.912 | 0.928 | 0.931 | Chart |
| Josh Harding | MIN | 27 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (38th) | $0.75M | UFA | 117 | Free | 0.921 | N/A | 0.923 | Chart |
| Matt Hackett | MIN | 21 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (77th) | $0.9M | 1 | 12 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.925 | 3SA |
- Not even a spectacular season from Niklas Backstrom could save the Wild from another Top 10 draft pick. Losing Mikko Koivu was a huge blow and the Wild felt a huge collapse from being 1st in the league after the first 1/3rd of the season. Harding as well seemed to play well, showing he's bounced back from his scary injury last season.
- Just a hunch - on the verge of losing to UFA what could be a very good (and unlucky with injuries) goalie in Josh Harding, Minnesota may instead decide to lock up Harding and trade Backstrom for a good haul. At 33 he's still putting up great numbers, but his $6M is a big price tag they may be willing to part with. If they don't, it's possible Harding walks as a UFA and MIN is forced to roll with a 22 year-old Matt Hackett or sign a UFA backup in the offseason.
- The main thing that scares off fans about Josh Harding is his injury history. Flashes of what happened with Rick Dipietro are enough to scare off any fan from wanting that on their team. But there are other examples of teams who gambled on previously injured netminders that paid off in spades - Lehtonen in DAL, Giguere in COL, and to a lesser extent Ray Emery in ANA.
- I like Harding and I think he should near the top of Burke's wishlist for July 1, assuming he doesn't make a move for a netminder before then. Is he a risk? Yes, but no more so than trading assets for a more "proven" minder. His numbers are solid, he was at one time Minnesota's heir apparent before Backstrom swooped in and stole the show, and I think he could be again.
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carey Price | MTL | 24 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (5th) | $2.75M | RFA | 271 | High | 0.921 | 0.931 | 0.918 | Chart |
| Peter Budaj | MTL | 29 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.15M | 1 | 259 | Low | 0.935 | 0.911 | 0.923 | Chart |
- Carey Price was decent this year relative to prior years, but not decent enough to keep the Habs out of the lottary. Not to say it was his fault - far from it - not even spectacular goaltending could have given the Habs a playoff berth.
- Price's contract situation has made life interesting. Rumours suggest he could get in the ballpark of $5.5M - $6M per season on a long deal, and there has even been speculation he turned down a $7M x 7 offer (Pekka Rinne's latest contract extension). Who knows what's true. What I do know is that he's RFA and he's not going anywhere unless Montreal wants him to, and they don't. What's the alternative? Offer sheet? You'd have to go above the $8M threshold (4 1st round picks) to even get to the point where Habs management would have a conversation about it. This one is a pipe dream, kids. Move along, nothing to see here.
New Jersey Devils
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Brodeur | NJD | 39 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (20th) | $5.2M | UFA | 1191 | Free | 0.924 | 0.912 | 0.911 | Chart |
| Johan Hedberg | NJD | 38 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.25M | UFA | 354 | Free | 0.921 | 0.92 | 0.919 | Chart |
- Time for Marty to hang 'em up. Oh he'll get one more kick at the bucket in the playoffs, and hell maybe even they'll let him play backup next year. But for the 2nd season in a row he's been very mediocre-to-poor and his age is really starting to show.
- Biggest problem for NJ? Doesn't seem like they have a plan B, or if they do they haven't shown their cards yet. Are they going to chase Vokoun in the offseason? Will they make a move for a Cory Schneider / Jon Bernier? As of right now the next best prospect within the organization seems to be Jeff Frazee whom, to put it nicely, is no Martin Brodeur.
- Johan "Moose" Hedberg has surprisingly good numbers of the last 3 seasons, and while being no saviour, isn't the worst kind of Vet to sign for free. I'm wary of the fact he plays behind a defensive system in New Jersey and his SV% may be inflated from his true skill level, but I think the Leafs could do a lot worse than Hedberg, despite his age.
Nashville Predators
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pekka Rinne | NSH | 29 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (258th) | $3.4M ($7M) | 7 | 250 | High | 0.925 | 0.932 | 0.928 | Chart |
| Anders Lindback | NSH | 23 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (207th) | $0.875M | RFA | 38 | Medium | N/A | 0.93 | 0.914 | Chart |
- Pekka Rinne did his best to silence haters that said he wasn't worth the $7M x 7 year contract extension with another solid season in net. While likely benefitting from some spectacular defense from Shea Weber and Ryan Suter and a defense-first mentality Nashville playing style, he's thriving and a big reason Nashville has home-ice advantage this year heading into the playoffs
- Anders Lindback on the other hand, I could take or leave. His appeal is that he had a great season as a backup last year and is really really big, however his career numbers don't scream future #1 goalie. His name comes in trade talk because he's behind 2/3rds of a decade of Rinne, but frankly he's not really deserving of anything more than a backup role yet anyway. My gut said he'll just re-sign in NSH for 2 years and continue to benefit from being part of the Nashville's goaltender factory.
New York Islanders
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evgeni Nabokov | NYI | 36 | Starter | Veteran | Waivers | $0.57M ($2.75M) | 1 | 605 | Medium | 0.928 | N/A | 0.917 | Chart |
| Rick DiPietro | NYI | 30 | Backup? | Veteran | Draft (1st) | $4.5M | 9 | 315 | Low | 0.91 | 0.888 | 0.893 | Chart |
| Al Montoya | NYI | 26 | Backup | Prospect | Trade w PHX | $0.601M | UFA | 56 | Free | N/A | 0.929 | 0.901 | Chart |
| Kevin Poulin | NYI | 21 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (126th) | $0.892M | 1 | 16 | Medium | N/A | 0.921 | 0.905 | 3SA |
- Islanders' goaltending sucks, plain and simple. Nabokov talked his way into a $2.75M contract avoiding free agency, but his numbers would still not be considered league average. I think it speaks more to what the Isles' management thinks of what they currently have in the pipeline than anything else.
- Montoya - who I thought at one point might have been worth considering in a backup role as a UFA signing, has really crapped the bed. What can you say about Dipietro except pity the guy? Can't stay healthy longer than a few games, but at least he has his bed of money to comfort him. Long story short, Isles' netminding sucks just as bad as the Leafs and we shouldn't be looking here for help.
New York Rangers
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henrik Lundqvist | NYR | 29 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (205th) | $6.875M | 2 | 468 | High | 0.929 | 0.93 | 0.933 | Chart |
| Martin Biron | NYR | 34 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.875M | UFA | 500 | Free | 0.911 | 0.924 | 0.908 | Chart |
- What else is there to say about Henrik Lundqvist? The guy deserves the title King. While not the ONLY reason the Rangers are at the tippy top of the league, he's a huge part of it and gives the team a chance to win every time he's between the pipes.
- A few weeks ago I was on #TeamBiron as to the backup that the Leafs should chase this offseason, but the more I look at the numbers the more I realize why he's just a backup. He'll likely take another backup job this summer and have a pretty decent career as one, but not sure he could handle any sort of real workload anymore.
Ottawa Senators
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Anderson | OTT | 30 | Starter | Veteran | Trade w COL | $3.188M | 3 | 294 | High | 0.926 | 0.917 | 0.920 | Chart |
| Alex Auld | OTT | 31 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1M | UFA | 237 | Free | 0.902 | 0.913 | 0.897 | Chart |
| Ben Bishop | OTT | 25 | Backup | Prospect | Trade w STL | $0.6M ($0.65M) | 1 | 23 | Medium | N/A | 0.9 | 0.916 | 3SA |
| Robin Lehner | OTT | 20 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (46th) | $0.87M | 2 | 13 | Medium | N/A | 0.89 | 0.948 | 3SA |
- Craig Anderson came up with a pretty decent season, rebounding from an awful final year in Colorado and putting Ottawa back into the playoffs. While he isn't and won't likely ever be in the upper echelon of netminders, he's solid enough to be a #1 on a team whose defense isn't all that great.
- Auld shouldn't be an NHL goalie anymore, and it looks like Ben Bishop will be stepping in as Anderson's backup. I actually liked the Bishop trade for the Sens at first, but now I'm not 100% sure I'd have been happy to pay a 2nd round pick for his services. He has about as much NHL experience as Ben Scrivens and has worse numbers, I guess his one advantage is he's big. Lehner is waiting in the wings but will have to continue to wait in the minors and develop. At 20, he's not ready to take over in any significant way, but continues to look decent and is a significant part of the Sens' pipeline.
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Bryzgalov | PHI | 31 | Starter | Veteran | UFA | $5.67M | 8 | 385 | High | 0.928 | 0.931 | 0.921 | Chart |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | PHI | 23 | Backup | Prospect | UFA (Russia) | $1.75M | 1 | 83 | High | N/A | 0.923 | 0.918 | Chart |
- So Ilya Bryzgalov's ES SV% over the last few years has been humangous big, and frankly not terribly surprising that it took him a little while to adjust to Philly's system. Will he be this good in 8 years? Probably not, but I have faith Philly will find a way to unload him on some team once he starts to show his age.
- Bobrovsky looks pretty good, and if we could trade for him i'd love it. What would it take? I have no idea. 2 years of very decent numbers and sitting behind 8 years of Bryzgalov, I wouldn't be surprised if next season when he's up for his RFA raise he asks for a trade. He's still relatively unproven, but if Leafs wanted to go in that direction, here's one I'd prefer to say, Lindback or Bernier.
Phoenix Coyotes
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Smith | PHX | 29 | Starter | Veteran | UFA | $2M | 1 | 229 | High | 0.906 | 0.9 | 0.936 | Chart |
| Jason LaBarbera | PHX | 32 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.25M | 1 | 160 | Low | 0.932 | 0.926 | 0.908 | Chart |
- Dave Tippett has a way of making it's goalies look like superstars, and there's no better example than Mike Smith. Once the centerpiece of the Brad Richards trade between Dallas and Tampa Bay, Mike Smith struggled badly until going UFA where Phoenix took a chance on him on a 2 year, $2M deal.
- The opposite seems to be true for Jason LeBarbera, who prior to this season looked like a solid backup, but fell off. Long story short, I personally don't trust the numbers of any goalie under Dave Tippett's system, and either goalie would probably be a mistake for the Leafs to trade for.
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andre Fleury | PIT | 27 | Starter | Veteran | Draft (1st) | $5M | 3 | 434 | High | 0.908 | 0.925 | 0.915 | Chart |
| Brent Johnson | PIT | 34 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.6M | UFA | 309 | Free | 0.914 | 0.928 | 0.885 | Chart |
| Brad Thiessen | PIT | 25 | Backup | Prospect | UFA (College) | $0.525M | RFA | 5 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.875 | 3SA |
- Pittsburgh proves that if you have an awesome team, you don't need no stinkin' goaltender. Sorry Pens lovers, Fleury just isn't that good. Don't quote me "clutchness" or whatever other crap you want to rationalize to yourself, on a good year he's very average but being paid like a top-tier netminder.
- Brent Johnson sucks and is likely done in PIT. Might snag a backup job somewhere else, who cares. Thiessen is interesting because he's in the EXACT situation that Scrivens is in - both will be eligible for waivers starting next season, which means he'll either have to be the backup in PIT or risk waivers at the start of the season. Personally I don't think he'd have any problem slipping through waivers and PIT should probably go out and find another (cheap) Vet UFA to replace Johnson.
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antti Niemi | SJS | 28 | Starter | Veteran | UFA | $3.8M | 3 | 170 | High | 0.914 | 0.931 | 0.926 | Chart |
| Thomas Greiss | SJS | 26 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (94th) | $0.588M | 1 | 38 | Medium | 0.923 | N/A | 0.93 | Chart |
- Niemi had his statistically worst season by ES SV% the year he won the Cup with the Blackhawks, but almost sunk the Sharks' season in the 2nd half. It was a standout year for Tomas Greiss however, who has shown he can produce solid numbers
- Niemi would be a good grab but I can't imagine what it would take to convince SJ to give up their starter. I'm guessing a lot. Greiss is pretty unproven and maybe not better than the prospects in our own system.
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaroslav Halak | STL | 26 | Starter | Veteran | Trade w MTL | $3.75M | 2 | 204 | High | 0.933 | 0.916 | 0.938 | Chart |
| Brian Elliott | STL | 26 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $0.6M ($1.8M) | 2 | 180 | Medium | 0.907 | 0.9 | 0.945 | Chart |
- Jaroslav Halak had an outstanding season, which makes sense because even before the trade to St. Louis he was a really good goalie. Elliott on the other hand, had been pretty awful for a while before Ken Hitchcock's system, which is likely making both Halak and Elliott better than their true ability.
- St. Louis already traded their pending UFA Ben Bishop to the Senators for a 2nd round pick at the deadline, likely because they felt ready to dedicate the roster space and cap dollars to Halak and Elliott for at least the next 2 years. There's likely nothing to happen between St. Louis and Toronto, goaltender trade-wise.
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Roloson | TBL | 42 | Starter? | Veteran | Trade w NYI | $3.5M | UFA | 606 | Free | 0.915 | 0.924 | 0.897 | Chart |
| Mathieu Garon | TBL | 34 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.3M | 1 | 323 | Low | 0.908 | 0.913 | 0.909 | Chart |
| Dustin Tokarski | TBL | 22 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (122nd) | $0.672M | 1 | 7 | Medium | N/A | N/A | 0.895 | 3SA |
- We all know Burke gets about as much criticism as any GM probably ever has, but Steve Yzerman pinned the hopes of the team on a 42-year old Roloson and an awful Mathieu Garon. Should anyone have been terribly surprised by the outcome of this season? Marty St. Louis isn't going to be around forever and Steve Stamkos isn't going to hit 60 goals every season. I understand they had a great number of injuries on defense, but the fact that Yzerman is walking out of this season clean as a whistle is preposterous.
- Trade with Tampa? Seriously? Sending Gustavsson to Tampa might make them better. They better hope Tokarski turns into something good or start scanning the goaltender market themselves.
Toronto Maple Leafs
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Reimer | TOR | 23 | Starter? | Prospect | Draft (99th) | $1.8M | 2 | 71 | N/A | N/A | 0.933 | 0.918 | Chart |
| Jonas Gustavsson | TOR | 27 | Backup | Veteran | UFA (Europe) | $1.35M | UFA | 107 | Free | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.904 | Chart |
| Ben Scrivens | TOR | 25 | Backup | Prospect | UFA (College) | $0.6M | RFA | 12 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0.91 | 3SA |
- Oh James Reimer, what is there left to say? Your first 37 + 5 games showed such promise, but ever since Gionta Elbow-gate, you haven't played the same. But the biggest thing dragging down his numbers were the PK (where he went .808), his ES SV%, while not spectacular, were still within an earshot of league average.
- Gustavsson has just been awful. For all his every-once-and-a-while spectacular athletic saves, his underlying numbers have pretty much been brutal since Day 1 with the Leafs. While maybe not completely "fair" given his heart issues and Toskala being, you know, Vesa Toskala, he was forced into a role he wasn't ready for.
- As mentioned earlier, Scrivens is in the situation in which he must be ready to take over a backup role with the Leafs or pass through waivers in October. I've made my case before that I don't think it's a guarantee that he'd get claimed, but I'm not blind to the risk of losing a prospect for nothing either. Likely his future will be determined well before any of this becomes an issue in October, as Burke will either trade for or sign another goalie in the offseason, or if all else fails, roll Reimer/Scrivens as an "oh my God are you even trying anymore" pairing.
Vancouver Canucks
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Luongo | VAN | 32 | Starter | Veteran | Trade w FLA | $5.33M | 10 | 727 | High | 0.925 | 0.934 | 0.929 | Chart |
| Cory Schneider | VAN | 25 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (26th) | $0.9M | RFA | 68 | High | N/A | 0.933 | 0.931 | Chart |
- It probably goes without saying, but Vancouver gets some pretty ridiculous goaltending from Luongo and Schneider. To all the Luongo haters - unless your team has Henrik Lundqvist on it, you should be jealous of Vancouver, not hating on a goalie who is almost definitely better than yours.
- Cory Schneider - designated the best trading chip the Canucks have, and probably good enough to be a #1 on team someday. With Luongo looking at another 10 years, my gut tells me they trade Schneider for a very good package this offseason or Schneider takes a 1 year deal to hit UFA next year and signs with a team in desperate need of a #1 goalie.
- Quantitatively there's nothing bad to say about Cory Schneider. Leafs fans are of course terrified to trade assets for a goaltender, considering the last 2 times this happened we ended up with Vesa Toskala and Andrew Raycroft in what could arguably 2 of the worst Leafs trades involving goalies.... ever. If there's a package that makes sense for VAN and doesn't involve Toronto's 1st rounder heading back to VAN, I still think Schneider could solve a lot of problems in net.
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondrej Pavelec | WPG | 24 | Starter | Prospect | Draft (41st) | $1.15M | RFA | 187 | High | 0.908 | 0.928 | 0.917 | Chart |
| Chris Mason | WPG | 35 | Backup | Veteran | UFA | $1.85M | UFA | 306 | Free | 0.917 | 0.902 | 0.9 | Chart |
- Pavelec has put together 2 decent seasons as an NHL starter by the age of 24, that's pretty good. He'll be up for an RFA raise this summer and it will be interesting to see what of deal his efforts will have gotten him.
- Chris Mason is a UFA and has not been good. I'm sure WPG will grab another Veteran backup to play with Pavelec. Nothing here for the Leafs.
Washington Capitals
| Player | Team | Age | Position | Status | Acquired via | Contract | Yrs Remaining | Career GP | Acquisition Cost | 09/10 ESSV% | 10/11 ESSV% | 11/12 ESSV% | Career SV% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Vokoun | WSH | 35 | Starter | Veteran | UFA | $1.5M | UFA | 680 | Free | 0.937 | 0.919 | 0.927 | Chart |
| Michal Neuvirth | WSH | 23 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (34th) | $1.15M | 1 | 108 | Medium | 0.922 | 0.922 | 0.912 | Chart |
| Braden Holtby | WSH | 22 | Backup | Prospect | Draft (93rd) | $0.638M | 1 | 21 | Medium | N/A | 0.93 | 0.932 | 3SA |
- Vokoun put up yet another strong season, but for whatever reason there seems to be unhappiness between the Capitals and Vokoun which makes it seem unlikely he'll re-sign next season.
- Neuvirth had an off season, but Holtby in his limited time up with the club looked very solid. Will Washington try to roll with a Neuvirth/Holtby tandem next year, try and re-sign Vokoun or another Veteran? I would love if the Leafs could convince Vokoun to sign in Toronto, but almost all things point to him wanting to sign with a contendor to win a Cup before his career is over, and at 35 there are only so many seasons left in his career.
In Summary...
What surprised me the most was how rare it is to find a goaltender who is consistently great. In fact, of the goalies listed above, only Roberto Luongo, Pekka Rinne, Tuukka Rask, Henrik Lundqvist (and randomly, Joey MacDonald) were above league average in all three years. Next closest were Ilya Bryzgalov, Cam Ward, Kari Lehtonen, Semyon Varlamov, Niklas Backstrom, Tomas Vokoun, Jonas Hiller and Ryan Miller who each had one average-to-below-average year. Schneider and Harding have been good in every year they've played, but the fact that they only have 2 seasons under their belts is worrying for other reasons (small sample size). Pretty much everyone else it was a bit of a consistency crapshoot whether or not you were going to get solid netminding.
What does that mean? Unless you're ready to overpay (in assets or $ terms) for the tippy top of NHL goaltending talent, you're likely in for a roller coaster of skill & luck contributing to their success in any given season.
James Reimer's ES numbers in 2011/2012 are not nearly as bad as they "felt" down that awful stretch, and with a summer off to rest, I wouldn't write him off completely from rebounding. Almost every goalie has down seasons, and if .918 ES SV% netminding is Reimer's down season, it's not so bad compared to elsewhere in the league. Still means the PK needs to improve. Badly.
If the Leafs go the UFA netminder route, I'd think Vokoun or Harding should be the focus and Leafs should be ready to overpay (in $ terms) to convince them to sign with a 26th ranked team. If Leafs think they just need a backup who can play 20-30 games, Hedberg, Biron, Clemmensen, or - dare I say it - Dan Ellis would all be available on the cheap.
If the Leafs decide to expend assets in a trade (and are willing to take on $), Niklas Backstrom or Kiprusoff are aging netminders would could provide solid stability on the backend, and could both be available depending on the direction CGY and MIN decide to take their clubs this offseason.
Looking at RFAs (and not the pipedreams like Carey Price or Tuukka Rask), really it should be either Cory Schneider or nothing. Bernier and Lindback haven't shown any more potential than Reimer with a concussion has.
Love to hear your own (informed, hopefully) opinions in the comments. Glove tap to NHL.com, Hockey-Reference.com and capgeek.com for all the information provided.
*Author's Note: Yes, I realize there aren't charts for every goalie yet. They'll be up ASAP.
Poll
What should the Leafs do with their goaltending?
Trade for Schneider - Think Varlamov trade type assets going back, plus he still needs a new contract (36 votes)
Sign Vokoun UFA - Even if it takes an overpayment in $ terms, Leafs need a proven veteran goalie (42 votes)
Sign Harding UFA - Right age, right pedigree, bad injury luck. Could he be "that guy" for the Leafs? (48 votes)
Trade for a Veteran - Kiprusoff, Backstrom, Theodore, etc. - explain who and why in the comments. (6 votes)
Roll with Reimer/Scrivens, hold onto that #1 pick for dear life (19 votes)
151 total votes


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