Reasonable Expectations: Dave Nonis

"Do you think you ever see it coming?" "No, I think it just goes black" - Bruce Bennett

The Toronto Maple Leafs' new GM Dave Nonis will be taking over a team in flux. What do you expect him to achieve?

There will be a lot of words spent on Brian Burke's legacy in Toronto, his failures, the reasons behind his firing, and even one or two on his successes over the past four years and change with the Maple Leafs. Much of the debate about whether the firing was warranted will focus on the reasons given for his firing before eventually moving on to whether there were viable hockey-related causes for his dismissal.

My experience has been that this debate quickly moves onto the question of whether the fans' expectations have skewed their view of Burke's performance. It is almost formulaic that you'll see Burke's biggest defenders say that it isn't possible to have expected more out of Burke considering the team that he inherited from John Ferguson Jr. The reality is that it is hard to imagine that a team can be rebuilt into a competitive unit with a promising bevy of prospects in four years. However, it's hard to blame fans for expecting one of those to exist after four years when all they have done is listen to Burke's own proclamations:

"I'm not interested ... in a five-year rebuild like some of these teams have done," said Burke. "Maybe because of my age, maybe just because I know it doesn't have to be five years because it wasn't in Anaheim."

A full review of Burke's tenure will require a piece meal approach because the topic is so vast but one theme I think that will become clear will be that ultimately Burke was the author of his own demise. His struggles came from having his own belief about the way that things should be done honourably and that, as the quote above shows, he thought too highly of his abilities as a general manager. While a certain self-confidence is needed in order to be a GM, let alone the Leafs' GM, I think you can trace a lot of his troubles to those two issues. However, that'll be the focus of another post.

What I want to do today is to prevent future arguments that centre around the moving target of what people expect the Leafs' 14th general manager to accomplish given the roster and prospect system that he has inherited. Obviously, he had a hand in developing it but if you look down the roster you'll see that JFJ also had a hand in building it. Such is life as a GM. So, take a look at the tables below (courtesy of CapGeek and HockeysFuture) and vote in the poll and expand on the vote in the comments.

The Maple Leafs, Marlies, and Reserves

Name Details Pos Age Salary Cap Hit Bonuses Expiry
Roster
1 Dion Phaneuf D 27 $6,500,000 $6,500,000 $0 2014 (UFA)
2 Mikhail Grabovski F 28 $6,000,000 $5,500,000 $0 2017 (UFA)
3 Phil Kessel F 25 $5,100,000 $5,400,000 $0 2014 (UFA)
4 Tim Connolly F 31 $4,000,000 $4,750,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
5 Mike Komisarek D 30 $3,500,000 $4,500,000 $0 2014 (UFA)
6 Joffrey Lupul F 29 $4,250,000 $4,250,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
7 James Van Riemsdyk F 23 $2,500,000 $4,250,000 $0 2018 (UFA)
8 John-Michael Liles D 32 $4,250,000 $3,875,000 $0 2016 (UFA)
9 Matthew Lombardi F 30 $3,500,000 $3,500,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
10 Clarke MacArthur F 27 $3,250,000 $3,250,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
11 Nikolai Kulemin F 26 $2,600,000 $2,800,000 $0 2014 (UFA)
12 James Reimer G 24 $1,600,000 $1,800,000 $0 2014 (RFA)
13 Nazem Kadri EL F 22 $810,000 $1,720,000 $850,000 2013 (RFA)
14 Tyler Bozak F 26 $1,400,000 $1,500,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
15 Jay McClement F 29 $1,500,000 $1,500,000 $0 2014 (UFA)
16 Carl Gunnarsson D 26 $1,250,000 $1,325,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
17 Jake Gardiner EL D 22 $875,000 $1,116,667 $212,500 2014 (RFA)
18 David Steckel F 30 $1,100,000 $1,100,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
19 Matt Frattin F 25 $900,000 $925,000 $0 2014 (RFA)
20 Mike Brown F 27 $725,000 $736,667 $0 2014 (UFA)
21 Ben Scrivens G 26 $600,000 $612,500 $0 2014 (UFA)
22 Korbinian Holzer D 24 $575,000 $575,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
Non-Roster
23 Spencer Abbott EL F 24 $925,000 $1,775,000 $850,000 2013 (RFA)
24 Morgan Rielly EL SR D 18 $925,000 $1,775,000 $850,000 2015 (RFA)
25 Leo Komarov EL F 25 $850,000 $1,200,000 $350,000 2013 (RFA)
26 Tyler Brenner EL F 24 $900,000 $1,156,250 $300,000 2013 (RFA)
27 Tyler Biggs EL SR F 19 $925,000 $1,137,500 $212,500 2015 (RFA)
28 Stuart Percy EL SR D 19 $925,000 $1,106,667 $212,500 2015 (RFA)
29 Joe Colborne EL F 22 $875,000 $1,100,000 $462,500 2013 (RFA)
30 Jerry D`Amigo EL F 21 $900,000 $1,082,500 $212,500 2014 (RFA)
31 Carter Ashton EL F 21 $810,000 $1,040,000 $200,000 2014 (RFA)
32 Colton Orr F 30 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
33 Mark Owuya EL G 23 $900,000 $900,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
34 Kenny Ryan EL F 21 $690,000 $900,000 $210,000 2014 (RFA)
35 Brad Ross EL F 20 $640,000 $900,000 $260,000 2015 (RFA)
36 Petter Granberg EL D 20 $800,000 $900,000 $100,000 2015 (RFA)
37 Jesse Blacker EL D 21 $690,000 $870,000 $210,000 2014 (RFA)
38 Greg McKegg EL F 20 $640,000 $870,000 $260,000 2015 (RFA)
39 Nicolas Deschamps EL F 23 $660,000 $845,833 $127,500 2013 (RFA)
40 Jamies Devane EL F 21 $525,000 $701,111 $130,000 2014 (RFA)
41 Keith Aucoin F 34 $650,000 $650,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
42 Sam Carrick EL F 20 $605,000 $631,667 $0 2015 (RFA)
43 David Broll EL SR F 20 $597,500 $606,667 $0 2015 (RFA)
44 Ryan Hamilton F 27 $600,000 $600,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
45 Mike Kostka D 27 $600,000 $600,000 $0 2013 (UFA)
46 Mark Fraser D 26 $600,000 $600,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
47 Simon Gysbers D 25 $600,000 $600,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
48 Jussi Rynnas G 25 $600,000 $600,000 $0 2013 (RFA)
49 Andrew Crescenzi EL F 20 $583,333 $561,111 $50,000 2015 (RFA)
50 Greg Scott F 24 $550,000 $537,500 $0 2013 (RFA)
Restricted Free Agents
51 Cody Franson D 25 RFA

Unsigned CHL, NCAA, European Prospects

PROSPECT LEAGUE
Garret Sparks CHL
Connor Brown CHL
Josh Leivo CHL
Dominic Toninato Junior
Tony Cameranesi NCAA
Ryan Rupert CHL
Matt Finn CHL
Stuart Percy CHL
Juraj Mikus Europe
Max Everson NCAA
Viktor Loov Europe
Andrew MacWilliam NCAA
Tom Nilsson Europe
Dennis Robertson NCAA
Eric Knodel NCAA

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