Editor's Note: BCapp takes a look at what the Leafs can expect to get with the first round pick from Philadelphia.

As everyone around these parts know the Leafs just traded Kris Versteeg for the Flyer's 2011 1st and 3rd round picks. According to NHLSCAP.com:

1. First the Clubs which failed to qualify for the next preceding playoffs in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest points total and followed by the Club having the next lowest points total, and so forth.
2. The Clubs which participated in the next preceding playoffs (but had not been ranked first in their respective Divisions and did not make the Conference Finals) in order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points, and so forth.
3. The Clubs which had been ranked first in their Divisions during the next preceding season (but had not made the Conference Finals ) in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points, and so forth.
4. The Clubs who lose in the Conference Finals in the order of points earned by each of them in the regular schedule of the next preceding season starting with the Club having the lowest total points and followed by the Club having the next lowest total points.
5. The Club which loses in the Finals shall select next to last.
6. The Stanley Cup winner shall select last, thus, positioning all Clubs on the list.

Philadelphia is currently winning their division with 77 points in 55 GP and Pittsburgh is in second with 74 points in 58 GP. With both of Pittsburgh's top players injured (one for the season), I don't think they can catch them. That means at WORST Philadelphia will be drafting 21st. Realistically I think they will be one of the top 2 division leaders which means they will draft at 25th at the worst. Based on this I looked at all of the players drafted 25th-30th from 1997-2004.

Results after the jump

I chose 1997 because before that I didn't know enough of the players. I chose 2004 because (1) thats when Versteeg was drafted and (2) their was a player drafted this year who is still a prospect (so after this year I think they may still have needed development time).

Now before I continue you should know this is completely subjective. Just who I think is better (or more valuable to their teams) or as good (as valuable to their teams) as Versteeg. I did try to be overly conservative (ie I said Cheechoo was better even though his career tanked by his late 20s and Brian Boyle with one good year is as good).

So there is a 35/48 (72.92%) chance the player we get is worse then Versteeg (according to historical drafting). Sigh.

Cheers