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Oh is the draft lottery this weekend? Huh, I haven’t thought of that in a long time, it’s nice to see it’s still going on. Anyway, here are the NHL Draft Lottery odds:
Draft Lottery Odds
| Rank | Team | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | Chance |
| 1 | Colorado | 17.94% |
| 2 | Vancouver | 12.12% |
| 3 | Las Vegas | 10.32% |
| 4 | Arizona | 10.32% |
| 5 | New Jersey | 8.52% |
| 6 | Buffalo | 7.62% |
| 7 | Detroit | 6.71% |
| 8 | Dallas | 5.81% |
| 9 | Florida | 5.41% |
| 10 | Los Angeles | 4.51% |
| 11 | Carolina | 3.11% |
| 12 | Winnipeg | 2.71% |
| 13 | Philadelphia | 2.20% |
| 14 | Tampa Bay | 1.80% |
| 15 | NY Islanders | 0.90% |
The new (Las) Vegas Golden Knights have the same odds of winning as the Arizona Coyotes, but the absolutely horrible, no good, very bad Colorado Avalanche have the best odds of winning the lottery at 17.94%.
However, being in first place in the lottery is no guarantee that you’ll draft first overall however. Below is a year by year list of the draft lottery winners vs who placed last. Sometimes losing is it’s own reward.
The rules: From 1995 to 2012 only the bottom five teams were in the draw for 1st overall. Each team was weighted by position in the standings and we didn’t have many upsets because of the bottom 5 rule. From 2013 onwards every team out of the playoffs had a chance, and the odds were adjusted in 2015.
Teams with an * won but were not eligible to draft 1st overall.
Draft Lottery History
| Draft year | Last place team | Won Lottery | Drafted 1st | 1st overall pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draft year | Last place team | Won Lottery | Drafted 1st | 1st overall pick |
| 1995 | Ottawa | Los Angeles* | Ottawa | Bryan Berard |
| 1996 | Ottawa | Ottawa | Ottawa | Chris Phillips |
| 1997 | Boston | Boston | Boston | Joe Thronton |
| 1998 | Tampa Bay | San Jose | Tampa Bay | Vincent Lecavalier |
| 1999 | Tampa Bay | Chicago* | Atlanta | Patrik Stefan |
| 2000 | Atlanta | NY Islanders | NY Islanders | Rick Dipietro |
| 2001 | NY Islanders | Atlanta | Atlanta | Ilya Kovalchuk |
| 2002 | Atlanta | Florida traded pick to -> | Columbus | Rick Nash |
| 2003 | Carolina | Florida traded pick to -> | Pittsburgh | Marc-Andre Fluery |
| 2004 | Pittsburgh | Washington | Washington | Alexander Ovechkin |
| 2005 | Season Cancelled | Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | Sidney Crosby |
| 2006 | St. Louis | St. Louis | St. Louis | Erik Johnson |
| 2007 | Philadelphia | Chicago | Chicago | Patrick Kane |
| 2008 | Tampa Bay | Tampa Bay | Tampa Bay | Steven Stamkos |
| 2009 | NY Islanders | NY Islanders | NY Islanders | John Tavares |
| 2010 | Edmonton | Edmonton | Edmonton | Taylor Hall |
| 2011 | Edmonton | New Jersey* | Edmonton | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| 2012 | Columbus | Edmonton | Edmonton | Nail Yakupov |
| 2013 | Florida | Colorado | Colorado | Nathan MacKinnon |
| 2014 | Buffalo | Florida | Florida | Aaron Ekblad |
| 2015 | Buffao | Edmonton | Edmonton | Connor McDavid |
| 2016 | Toronto | Toronto | Toronto | Auston Matthews |
1998 was won by San Jose, but Tampa Bay lottery protected their pick before it was cool to do so, and they kept the right to draft the “Michael Jordan of hockey”, Los Angeles Kings legend, Vincent Lecavalier.
If you’re still interested in watching the draft lottery, it will be airing on Sportsnet and CBC before game two of the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins series.
Time: 7:30PM
Channels: CBC, Sportsnet, TVA, NBC
Stream it: CBC.ca, Sportsnet Now, NBC Sports App
Make your own: NHLLotterySimulator.com
UPDATE: the actual lottery will happen close to 8 pm, per reports.
Want something drafty to read before watching? Here are some links for you:
2017 NHL Entry Draft Profile: Don’t be dumb, just draft Kailer Yamamoto - Bloggers Tribune
It’s as if hockey scouts have learned nothing from Tyler Johnson, Johnny Gaudreau and Viktor Arvidsson. As much as we’d like to believe that NHL teams have moved past the size bias that often dominates the draft – the evidence would suggest otherwise.
2017 NHL Draft: Kole Lind and a second look at Cal Foote - Pension Plan Puppets
A fanpost from Eukardios
TSN Draft Rankings & Implications For The Maple Leafs - Pension Plan Puppets
TSN releases its top fifteen prospects for this year’s entry draft.
Fear of the NHL Draft Lottery - Mile High Hockey
Calculating all of the odds on Saturday night
Adam Kimelman's 2017 NHL mock draft - NHL.com
Nolan Patrick of Brandon, Gabriel Vilardi of Windsor, Nico Hischier of Halifax to go first, second, third
Sportsnet's 2017 NHL Draft Prospect Rankings - Sportsnet.ca
Each month from now until the 2017 NHL Draft in Chicago, Jeff Marek will count down his Top 31 prospects. Here are your rankings for October.
Top 31 NHL draft rankings for 2017: No sure thing at No. 1 | The Hockey News
There's no "generational talent" at the top of the draft this season, but there is a nice battle for the top spot between Nolan Patrick and Nico Hischier.
Let’s all hope for a major upset this year.
Poll
Who do you want to win the lottery?
This poll is closed
-
9%
Colorado Avalanche
(44 votes) -
38%
Vancouver Canucks
(186 votes) -
23%
Vegas Golden Knights
(112 votes) -
2%
Arizona Coyotes
(14 votes) -
2%
New Jersey Devils
(12 votes) -
1%
Buffalo Sabres
(9 votes) -
7%
Detroit Red Wings
(38 votes) -
1%
Dallas Stars
(6 votes) -
0%
Florida Panthers
(3 votes) -
0%
Los Angeles Kings
(4 votes) -
1%
Carolina Hurricanes
(5 votes) -
8%
Winnipeg Jets*
(43 votes) -
0%
Philadelphia Flyers
(1 vote) -
0%
Tampa Bay Lightning
(3 votes) -
1%
New York Islanders
(6 votes)
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