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# Preview: Leafs hop over to the Duck pond for a back-to-back
- URL: https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/preview-leafs-hop-over-to-the-duck-pond-for-a-back-to-back/
- Published: 2024-01-03T19:00:13.000Z
- Updated: 2024-01-03T19:00:12.000Z
- Description: From the top of the Pacific to almost the bottom.
- Author: Cathy Squires
- Tags: Game Coverage

### Toronto Maple Leafs @ Anaheim Ducks  
09:00 PM at Honda Center  
Watch on: TVAS, SN, BSW

The Anaheim Ducks last played at home on December 31 against the Edmonton Oilers. The Ducks lost by a score of 7-2 in regulation, and their current league record is 13-23-0 for a 0.361 Points %.

The Leafs last game was yesterday against the Los Angeles Kings, which Toronto won by a score of 3-0 in regulation. The Leafs have a record of 18-10-7 for a 0.614 Points %.

### Them

Last year the Ducks were trying very, very hard to be worse than Chicago, and couldn't do it in a division too easy to win in. This year, they've started to try to be better. Are they?

They're in the bottom 10 in Corsi and bottom five in Expected Goals at five-on-five, so if they are better, it's a subtle difference. Their Expected Goals percentage is actually seven percentage points higher, but their Goals For percentage is one point higher. So they might seem better, but it's not translating into the thing that gets you wins. 

Their power play is nearly identically bad, but they are scoring there a little more often. Overall their team Shooting and Save percentages are identical. Last year their full season Points % was .354, not dramatically worse than their current figure. 

No, they really aren't better. 

Their reward for all that losing was Leo Carlsson who is out four-to-six weeks with a sprained MCL. He suffered this injury just before Christmas. Troy Terry is day-to-day, but forward Isac Lundestrom, out after having off-season surgery, makes his debut today. No word on where he draws in. And the Ducks did not have a full morning skate.

Overall their goaltending is bad, but John Gibson is having a good year. For goalies with at least 10 starts, he's in 24th place by Goals Saved Above Expected per 60 minutes. So the Ducks are two teams – one with Gibson, and one without.

#### Lines

Derek Lee via [Daily Faceoff](https://www.dailyfaceoff.com/teams/anaheim-ducks/line-combinations/?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) from yesterday's practice. 

Alex Killorn - Mason McTavish - Frank Vatrano  
Max Jones - Trevor Zegras - Ryan Strome  
Brock McGinn - Adam Henrique - Brett Leason  
Ross Johnston - Sam Carrick - Jakob Silfverberg

Cam Fowler - Jamie Drysdale  
Urho Vaakanainen - Radko Gudas  
Pavel Mintyukov - Ilya Lyubushkin

John Gibson  
Lukas Dostal - confirmed starter  

### Us

The Leafs can make some changes heading into the SEGABABA if they like. They have two extra defenders in Conor Timmins and William Lagesson and one forward in Pontus Holmberg. 

Unless Benoit hurt his hand very badly fighting Andreas Englund last night, I don't think there will be a change.

Now for the real question: who is in net? So far, no one is saying. 

#### Lines

Last Game (01/02) via [Daily Faceoff](https://www.dailyfaceoff.com/teams/toronto-maple-leafs/line-combinations/?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com)

Matthew Knies - Auston Matthews - Mitch Marner  
Tyler Bertuzzi - John Tavares - William Nylander  
Nicholas Robertson - Max Domi - Calle Järnkrok  
Bobby McMann - David Kämpf - Noah Gregor

Morgan Rielly - T.J. Brodie  
Simon Benoit - Jake McCabe  
Mark Giordano - Timothy Liljegren

Martin Jones  
Dennis Hildeby

### The Game

The Leafs played a perfect style of play against the Kings. They were patient with the heavy shot blocking and defence, and they did a lot of shot blocking of their own. They pushed into good scoring position in the second period and got rewarded. 

Playing the Ducks is some other thing altogether. They are a chaotic and wild mix of high-level scoring skill, dull grinders, a fantastic second pair defence and a terrible first pair. Alex Killorn, miscast his entire career as a defensive player, is more of a mild offensive threat and does not belong on a top line. Trevor Zegras is having a terrible year and Frank Vatrano leads them in points. (That's actually Mason McTavish being good).

This could be a rout or it could be ugly, it's very hard to guess. But rout seems more likely.