> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # This is What Regression to the Mean Looks Like - URL: https://www.pensionplanpuppets.com/this-is-what-regression-to-the-mean-looks-like/ - Published: 2011-11-09T12:00:59.000Z - Updated: 2011-11-09T12:00:59.000Z - Author: Colin Odneal - Tags: From The Branches, #chorus, #Import 2023-04-05 11:01 You didn't think the Leafs would continue to shoot at 12.5% all year did you? That was the team shooting percentage about their game in Columbus last Thursday; a game in which the Maple Leafs scored 4 goals on 18 shots. Everyone knew that was a fluke occurrence and that a regression to the mean was in store for the Leafs, everyone didn't think that would be the reality only two games later. [Over the past 3 seasons the average team shooting percentage in the NHL has been 9.18%.](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AlBZxpXinYkCdE56VDlHaGN1QUg5amJQdTBEM1llaGc&ref=pensionplanpuppets.com#gid=3) After 1 goal in over 7 periods of hockey, [the Leafs team shooting % has now fallen to 10.84%](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AlBZxpXinYkCdDdVN0xtdkpZTHpRYWdQNlFqbUtZaEE&hl=en%5FUS&pli=1&ref=pensionplanpuppets.com#gid=0), and will likely continue to fall until it reaches somewhere around what should be their overall season average of 9.50-9.75%. So what does that mean for Leafs fans? Prepare to see a couple more low scoring games for the Leafs in the near future. But Skinny, you say, [many teams](http://rangers.nhl.com/?navid=nav-teamnav-nyr&ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) are able[ to win games](http://bruins.nhl.com/?navid=nav-teamnav-bos&ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) in which [they only score](http://predators.nhl.com/?navid=nav-teamnav-nsh&ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) a couple of goals. Yes, this is true. However these teams possess something the Leafs do not; good goaltending. Because you see.... [Leafs Have Monster Problems in Goals - James Mirtle at the Globe and Mail](http://www.theglobeandmail.com/sports/hockey/leafs-beat/leafs-have-monster-problems-in-goal/article2230134/?utm%5Fmedium=Feeds%3A%20RSS%2FAtom&utm%5Fsource=Hockey&utm%5Fcontent=2230134) > [Toronto Maple Leafs](http://www.sbnation.com/nhl/teams/toronto-maple-leafs?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) netminder Jonas (The Monster) Gustavsson was beaten three times on 21 shots in what became a 5-1 loss to the Florida [Panthers](http://www.sbnation.com/nhl/teams/florida-panthers?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com), as the third-year Swede looked nervous and often out of position before he was yanked for spotting the visitors a 3-zip lead by the second period. > > This was his first start in nearly a week, but it could be his last for a while. Follow the link to keep reading Mirtle's take on the Leafs goaltending situation. More links after the jump. **Leafs Links** [What if There Was a Centennial and Nobody Noticed?](http://1967ers.wordpress.com/2011/11/08/what-if-there-was-a-centennial-and-nobody-noticed/?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) 1967ers with the interesting tale of the Tecumsehs and the Blue Shirts and the 100 year anniversary that isn't. [Kick the F-ing Door Down](http://puckbuddys.com/2011/11/08/kick-the-f-ing-door-down/?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) Puck Buddys' own Andrews interviews Patrick Burke, Brian's son and Brendan's brother. [Who's the Real Number 2 in Toronto?](http://vintageleafmemories.blogspot.com/2011/11/whos-real-number-two-errrnumber-one-now.html?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) Number 2 is right. They stink. [Game #15 in 10](http://mapleleafshotstove.com/2011/11/08/game-in-10-game-15-leafs-vs-panthers/?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) 11 - At least we weren't shut out. [The Dion Phaneuf Revivial](http://bluechipprospects.blogspot.com/2011/11/dion-phaneuf-revival.html?utm%5Fsource=feedburner&utm%5Fmedium=feed&utm%5Fcampaign=Feed%3A+BlueChipProspects+%28Blue+Chip+Prospects%29) Don't look now. Dion has no points in his last 5 games. Speaking of the Captain, [The 10 Best Body Checks of Dion Phaneuf's Career](http://blogs.thescore.com/nhl/2011/11/08/the-10-best-bodychecks-of-dion-phaneufs-career/?utm%5Fsource=feedburner&utm%5Fmedium=feed&utm%5Fcampaign=Feed%3A+HousesOfTheHockey+%28Houses+of+the+Hockey%29) The Score brings the pain. [Hey Leafs](http://gingersnowflake.blogspot.com/2011/11/hey-leafs.html?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) Ginger Snowflake has a message for the Leafs to head while the puck is in the defensive zone. [Introducing: STAJAN-WATCH](http://theleafsnation.com/2011/11/8/introducing-stajanwatch?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) Congrats to Matt on being the 8th most searched buy-out contract on Capgeek. **Other Links** [Success Stories from the NHL's Opening Month](http://www.downgoesbrown.com/2011/11/success-stories-from-nhls-opening-month.html?ref=pensionplanpuppets.com) DGB with some early season triumphs.