Okay, let’s all take a quick time out.
Now, it’s time for a quick refresher course on how to listen to radio hits and read about them on Twitter when people try to quote, summarize and/or paraphrase them.
Lesson #1: If an insider says things like “I think” or “I assume”, it means he is trying to make an educated guess at best or making shit up for the clikz at worst, not that he
Homework assignment #1:
Step one — read this tweet.
Kypreos on 590:— James (@Account4hockey) June 18, 2019
Karlsson and Skinner deal means Marner will only take 11M+. No progress is being made. Marner's camp feels an offersheet will be there. Leafs are going to up their offer before/at the draft one last time and then call their bluff on the offersheet.
Step two — listen to the radio hit yourself, or if you can’t/won’t, read this full transcription of that whole section of the radio segment, and you tell me if it sounds/reads a lot different than it was presented in that tweet:
McCown: If you’re Mitch Marner and you see this [Karlsson’s new contract], the chances of taking anything that doesn’t start with a 1 is almost non-existant, aren’t they?
Kypreos: For sure. And, just to let you know that the sundae, the chocolate fudge, the whipped cream was Jeff Skinner’s deal in Buffalo. When Marner looks at Karlsson that’s just the cherry on top, so it just doesn’t start with a 1 — it starts with an 11. That’s where it’s at, and that’s why when we heard Kyle Dubas in his exit meeting talking about not making the same mistake of waiting like he did with William Nylander, with Marner... and now we’re going into the draft weekend and we hear nothing but crickets. You know they’re at a stalemate here, that offers were made, offers were not accepted, and now they’re at a crossroad right now on what their next move is. I would assume that the multiple offers that they’ve already presented to Marner will go up between now and possibly the weekend, and if it doesn’t then you start going into July 1st.
McCown: Well if July 1st comes does anyone else offer him a deal?
Kypreos: Well that’s the million dollar question, and you talk to people on the Marner side and they think that’s a real possibility, you talk to people on the Leafs’ side and it’s “I’ll believe it when I see it”. So what do you do now? It’s calling your bluff time, maybe, I think it’s a little too early for calling your bluff time, I think the Leafs will counter again and go a little deeper but after that then they have some really hard decisions...
Lesson #2: Agents and teams will negotiate through the media. They will exaggerate. They will mislead. They will “reportedly” make outrageous claims to help their client make more money as an agent, or to put pressure on a player to accept less money as the team.
Homework assignment #2: Read this tweet and analyze it based on the whole history of other statements made about Marner or other top RFAs going into this off-season.
Bob on Marner: "If Mikko Rantanen signed tomorrow for $9 million, you know what Mitch Marner is going to say about that? Who cares? That's not my comparable; I choose my comparable. My comparable is Auston Matthews. So pay me. If you don't pay me, I'm not showing up to camp" https://t.co/Bpuu2tCzoY— Kristen Shilton (@kristen_shilton) June 19, 2019
If he’s saying this is the kind of thing the Marner camp will say then then he’s likely as correct or accurate as you will find.
But it’s not news. We have been hearing from insiders about Marner’s camp for months, going back to the middle of last season — BASICALLY THE EXACT SECOND MATTHEWS’ NEW CONTRACT WAS ANNOUNCED! — that he was going to demand Matthews’ money and to hell with any other comparable around the league.
(Aside: it’s funny how Kypreos says how Marner is licking his chops at Karlsson or Skinner’s contract, but McKenzie is saying he doesn’t give a shit about any comparable except maybe Matthews.)
All that said, are you worried about what McKenzie said? Do you think that Marner’s camp is making this their hill to die on, and if they don’t get Matthews’ money they’ll tell the Leafs to kick rocks and hold out or sign an offer sheet?
Let’s go through some recent history.
Lesson #3: Players will open negotiations by asking for more than they usually wind up receiving.
Remember when Nylander was said to be asking for like $8.5 million per season?
Remember when he signed for $1.5+ million per year LESS than that?
Remember when Marner’s agent made similar statements or threats about his other clients?
Remember how that turned out for them?
The more I look into Ferris, the more I see him as an agent who stirs up a ton of drama, only to obtain a mediocre deal for his client in the end. https://t.co/SKrCa0keJr— Kevin Papetti (@KPapetti) May 29, 2019
ONTO THE LINKS
Toronto Maple Leafs announce 2019 preseason schedule | by Hardev and elseldo
Kevin Papetti’s 2019 NHL Draft Rankings (1-31) | by Kevin Papetti at MLHS
Trade chatter should dominate Maple Leafs’ draft weekend | by Luke Fox
AROUND THE NHL
News on the NHL concussion lawsuit:
After a court hearing in Minneapolis today, it appears likely that lawsuits filed vs NHL by Dan Carcillo, Nick Boynton & the family of Steve Montador will be returned to Chicago to will proceed to trial.— Rick Westhead (@rwesthead) June 18, 2019
Lawyers involved expect the Montador case vs the NHL to move ahead first.
Potential salary cap news...
Multiple teams I’ve spoken to are very concerned about this cap forecast. Many fear that when the NHL and NHLPA settle on an upper limit this week, it will be LESS than $82M for next season, or an increase of only slightly more than $2M. https://t.co/KZiHydOZSD— Bob McKenzie (@TSNBobMcKenzie) June 18, 2019
The Lightning re-signed a defenseman:
Braydon Coburn is staying with #TBLightning. Pending UFA signs $3.4M, two-year extension.— Chris Johnston (@reporterchris) June 18, 2019
The Flyers trade for another defenseman:
BREAKING: The #Flyers have acquired defenseman Justin Braun from San Jose in exchange for a second-round pick in this year's draft (41st overall) and third-round pick in the 2020 NHL Draft.— Philadelphia Flyers (@NHLFlyers) June 18, 2019
And they didn’t stop there!
Seven years, $50 million, $7.14M AAV.— Bob McKenzie (@TSNBobMcKenzie) June 19, 2019
The Rangers might not be done either:
NYR land a high quality Dman in Trouba and likely not done yet with guys like Kreider, Vesey, Namestnikov and Buchnevich potentially in play. Could be an interesting week/wknd for the Rangers.— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) June 18, 2019
More on the fallout from Winnipeg after the Trouba deal, sounds like they might not be done yet either...
Interesting #NHLJets chat on TSN 1050 with @DarrenDreger. Saying Chevy was "boxed in a little bit" and that "Trouba made it abundantly clear that there were specific teams that he would go to." The list? Not 10 or 5 teams "I think it was 1 or 2 to be fair."— Rick Ralph (@RickRalphTSN) June 18, 2019
TRADE BAIT: GM Kevin Cheveldayoff says #nhljets have a lot of balls in the air. So what’s next?— Frank Seravalli (@frank_seravalli) June 18, 2019
Belief is Jets offered Nikolaj Ehlers to #Canes for one of their right-shooting defencemen.
Ehlers is one of 10 new names on the #TSN Trade Bait board:https://t.co/KjitqwDrzY pic.twitter.com/sRKMkwthzK
Marner for Ehlers. One for one. DO IT YOU COWARDS!
THE POTATO RISES AGAIN!
#NHLDucks have promoted Dave Nonis to assistant GM. Previous title was consultant to GM Bob Murray. SVP of hockey ops David McNab has also signed a two-year contract extension.— Frank Seravalli (@frank_seravalli) June 18, 2019
The Ducks also poached another Leafs employee:
Anaheim Ducks announce Jeremy Bettle has joined their staff as Director of High Performance. Bettle had been #Leafs Director of Sports Science since 2015.— Kristen Shilton (@kristen_shilton) June 18, 2019
Things are getting hot and heavy leading into the draft weekend. We’ll see if Marner makes it out still a Leaf or not!