The Top 25 (usually) has 25 names on it. Only a few times, when there’s been a tie at the 25th spot, has it ballooned up in size. This year, like many recently, the line between 25 and 26 is impossible to see without some decimal places.

We use a weighted average of the votes when calculating the official list. This calculation method is the only change we’ve made to the process over its history. The method is simple: votes are made 1 - 25 by each voter. Those votes are then converted to their reverse values where all Auston Matthews votes have a value of 25, down to a value of one for the votes in spot 25. Every no vote counts as zero. The sum of all votes is added up, divided by the number of voters and then we reverse that back so Auston has a ranking of one, and it makes sense when we talk about it.

Okay, it seems simple when a spreadsheet does it. The end result is a weighted average that doesn’t overly punish a player for no votes, and doesn’t require us to try to force our voters to rank the whole list — they would refuse, and rightly so. The difference this year between the player ranked at 25th, who you’ll meet tomorrow, and the 26th ranked player, who you’ll see revealed in a minute, is 0.22. In our system, the unranked all get 26 as their average, and our number 25 got 24 even as his average. In between those two figures are our nine honourable mentions:

#26 Nikita Grebyonkin was just drafted in the fifth round, and had some good points in junior hockey in Russia. That was enough to very nearly make the list. I said, “Why not?” and put him at 25. Brian likes his prospects ahead of the older players and ranked him higher, and a few other voters ranked him as well.

Nikita Grebyonkin Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya25
seldo-
Brian18
TomK421-
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting23
Hardev22
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average24.22
Highest Rank18
Lowest Rank25
Spread in Votes7

#27 Veeti Miettinen was the Grebyonkin of 2020 taken in the sixth round, and he still has fans, even after a pair of less-exciting NCAA seasons than his flashy Finnish junior numbers of his pre-draft season.

Veeti Miettinen Votes

VotersRanking
Species22
Katya-
seldo-
Brian25
TomK42121
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting22
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average24.44
Highest Rank21
Lowest Rank25
Spread in Votes4

#28 Joe Miller improved on a better team, Chicago Steel, last year, so he got more attention this year. Also drafted in the sixth round in 2020, he’s going to Harvard for this season.

Joe Miller Votes

VotersRanking
Species24
Katya-
seldo23
Brian23
TomK421-
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting25
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak25
Weighted Average24.89
Highest Rank23
Lowest Rank25
Spread in Votes2

#29 Max Ellis is an undrafted free agent who appeared at Leafs development camp last month. At 22, he’s coming off an NCAA career and onto the Marlies. He has one devoted voter who believes in him more than other players.

Max Ellis Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo-
Brian17
TomK421-
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.00
Highest Rank17
Lowest Rank17
Spread in Votes0

#30 Axel Rindell is the mirror image to Mikko Kokkonen, but also a little older, 22, and a little slower to acclimate to the Marlies. He came over last spring and did not play. He is the PP shot type of defender who is going to struggle to advance beyond the AHL without a strong defensive game, but he’s got one person who liked him ahead of a lot of similar options.

Axel Rindell Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo-
Brian-
TomK421-
dhammm17
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.00
Highest Rank17
Lowest Rank17
Spread in Votes0

#31 is Wyatt Schingoethe is just 20, and was taken in the seventh round in 2020. He had a typical freshman year of almost no games in the NCAA, but one voter thinks he has something that will show through in time.

Wyatt Schingoethe Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo22
Brian-
TomK421-
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.56
Highest Rank22
Lowest Rank22
Spread in Votes0

#32 is Michael Koster, who I’d have voted for if I could bring myself to believe in a defender that small. At 21, you just notice him playing — defensively even — and yet... He’s about to play his third NCAA season, which puts him above players like Schingoethe or Miller in terms of usage by his coach. He’s also on a team that lost out in the Frozen Four championship, so he’s not a player on a bad team getting ice time because there’s no one else. But 5’ 9” is too low a height bar for me. Wouldn’t it be wonderful if he proves us all wrong?

Michael Koster Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo24
Brian-
TomK421-
dhammm-
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev25
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.67
Highest Rank24
Lowest Rank25
Spread in Votes1

#33 Pavel Gogolev was ranked last year on the strength of a very good late season Marlies debut, but he spent last season as an ECHL star who couldn’t crack the Marlies’ roster.

Pavel Gogolev Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo25
Brian-
TomK421-
dhammm25
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.78
Highest Rank25
Lowest Rank25
Spread in Votes0

#34 Curtis Douglas is getting prospect buzz as an undrafted free agent. He came to the development camp, and he’ll be talked about at training camp, and a lot of that is height. I think he gets a lot of disdain from some fans, and a lot of that is his height. He’s already 22, though, so he has to hurry if he’s going to be Mason Marchment.

Curtis Douglas Votes

VotersRanking
Species-
Katya-
seldo-
Brian-
TomK421-
dhammm24
Josh - Smaht Scouting-
Hardev-
The Decline and Fall of the Roman Polak-
Weighted Average25.78
Highest Rank24
Lowest Rank24
Spread in Votes0

And those are the honourable mentions, and as a bonus you get an introduction to this year’s voters.

Tomorrow the countdown begins with number 25 on this year’s Top 25 Under 25.