Freddie. Fred. Fredex. The Denmark Wall. The Orange-Headed Protector of the Blue and White.
There’s no way to downplay the kind of season Frederik Andersen has had in net for the Leafs. His .924 save percentage (Sv%) is tied for seventh in the NHL with Jaroslav Halak (ironically) while he is tied for first in wins at 32 in 48 games.
Andersen’s season looks even better when looking at one of my personal favourite advanced stats: Goals Saved Above Average (GSAA). To put it simply, this is the “How much is our goalie saving or screwing us” stat. GSAA takes a goaltender’s Sv% relative to league average Sv% to determine how many individual goals that specific goalie is saving (a positive stat) or allowing (a negative stat).
Based on that, Andersen has personally saved approximately 24 goals (GSAA = 23.61). In comparison, Jonathan Quick, who is tied with Keith Kinkaid for the worst Sv% in the league at .891, has a GSAA of -18.65!
Wicked regular season for Andersen wouldn’t you say? But with the calendars on March heading into April, the focus is shifting to the playoffs.
There were many issues during that “fun” series against Boston last season and one of them was goaltending. Andersen finished the series at a .896 Sv% allowing 23 goals. Obviously he wasn’t all to blame and we’ll never know exactly what went wrong but possible fatigue was brought up.
Andersen played 66 regular season games in each of his last two years as a Leaf and apparently Mike Babcock (via Mark Masters) wants to reduce that number by ten.
After the Vancouver game, Andersen ideally has seven more starts for the rest of the season. We can already give three of those starts to Garret Sparks as the Leafs have three more back to backs. That leaves four remaining (as Andersen will likely get the first half of each set) to spread among himself and Sparks.
I think the two games against Tampa (on March 11th and April 4th) have to be Freddie. The Lightning have always been a test for the Leafs and if they want to be at their best, it’ll be with Andersen between the pipes.
The Sens are the Sens, and there isn’t a reason why Sparks shouldn’t be a win against them on the 30th.
- March 9th @ Edmonton Oilers
- March 11th vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- March 15th vs Philadelphia Flyers
- March 19th @ Nashville Predators
- March 23rd vs New York Rangers
- April 1st @ New York Islanders
- April 4th vs Tampa Bay Lightning
- March 13th vs Chicago Blackhawks
- March 16th @ Ottawa Senators
- March 20th @ Buffalo Sabres
- March 25th vs Florida Panthers
- March 27th @ Philadelphia Flyers
- March 30th @ Ottawa Senators
- April 2nd vs Carolina Hurricanes
- April 6th @ Montreal Canadiens
I doubt this is exactly how Babcock runs the Leafs crease for the remainder of the season and it’ll be interesting to see the final program. How do you think it’ll play out?
In Case You Missed It
Maple Leafs sign defender Andreas Borgman to an extension - Pension Plan Puppets
The oft-injured defenceman will have another season in blue and white to try to make the NHL.
Women’s Hockey Links: CWHL semi-final playoff preview - Pension Plan Puppets
Markham and Toronto go up against Montréal and Calgary this weekend.
Hockey Canada announces IIHF Women’s World Championship roster - Pension Plan Puppets
Seven GTA CWHL players will be competing in Espoo.
Around the Hockey World
“I’m waking up, I feel it in my bones
Enough to make my systems blow
Welcome to the new age, to the new age”
Around five years ago, the Leafs 4th line included:— Jonas Siegel (@jonassiegel) March 6, 2019
Frazer McLaren (6-5, 230)
Troy Bodie (6-5, 226)
Jerred Smithson (6-3, 209)
Colton Orr (6-3, 225)
Jamie Devane (6-5, 239)
Trevor Moore (5-10, 182)
Nic Petan (5-9, 179)
Tyler Ennis (5-9, 161)
Mika Zibanejad is the Spearhead of the Rebuild - Blueshirt Banter
The Swedish pivot is the center the Rangers are building the future around
How Dal Colle, Ho-Sang Make the Islanders Better - Lighthouse Hockey
Relative metrics show that the Islanders fare better when Michael Dal Colle or Josh Ho-Sang are on the ice,
What makes Sharks’ Kevin Labanc elite on the power play? - Fear The Fin
What does Kevin Labanc have in common with Connor McDavid and Auston Matthews?