For a Saturday thought exercise, I decided to make a list of the top 10 goalies by all-situations save percentage in each season, going back the last 10 seasons (minimum 15 games played):
- 2021/22: Shesterkin, Sorokin, Andersen, Markstrom, Kuemper, Comrie, Jarry, Husso, Saros, Stolarz
- 2020/21: Nedeljkovic, Varlamov, Fleury, Saros, Driedger, Vasilevskiy, Smith, Grubauer, Campbell, Sorokin
- 2019/20: Khudobin, Rask, Kuemper, Allen, Merzlikins, Francouz, Hellebuyck, Raanta, Jarry, Bishop
- 2018/19: Bishop, Lehner, Campbell, Binnington, Greiss, Vasilevskiy, Kuemper, Brossoit, Khudobin, Halak
- 2017/18: McElhinney, Hutton, Raanta, Luongo, Crawford, Miller, Fleury, Rinne, Gibson, Saros
- 2016/17: Bobrovsky, Dell, Howard, Grubauer, Anderson, Holtby, Gibson, Darling, Saros, Dubnyk
- 2015/16: Elliot, Bishop, Greiss, Lehner, Neuvirth, Crawford, Schneider, Enroth, Pickard, Reimer
- 2014/15: Hammond, Price, Pickard, Dubnyk, Mason, Talbot, Schneider, Anderson, Holtby
- 2013/14: Talbot, Jones, Harding, Stalock, Rask, Varlamov, Price, Khudobin, Grubauer, Johnson
- 2012/13: Anderson, Bobrovsky, Rask, Schneider, Lundqvist, Crawford, Niemi, Reimer, LaBarbera, Howard
I bolded a goalie when they appeared in the top 10 two years in a row. Why did I put this list together? To remind everyone just how rare it is for a goalie to have a consistently good — not even great — save percentage for multiple years in a row. There’s a lot that goes into a goalie’s raw, unadjusted, all-situations save percentage which makes it a very noisy stat. Health, team defense/coaching, luck, and other elements of hockey can cause a pretty big swing.
But that’s what most people hem and haw about when they talk about any goalie. A goalie, like, say, Petr Mrazek. Who after one season with Toronto has been determined to be a terrible goalie who will never again have a good season in the NHL. And yet, if we look at his year over year save percentages...
So in all the years that Mrazek has been a regular NHL goalie, he’s basically only had one two-year period where he had back to back good seasons. He’s also had numerous seasons where he missed a lot of time due to injury. But that isn’t exactly something uncommon to goalies. Campbell has had ups and downs and injuries. So has Andersen. So has Carey freaking Price.
I am not here to say that Mrazek is for sure going to come back next season and be an above average goalie again, whether its on the Leafs or another team. But I wouldn’t be surprised at all if he did. An .888 save percentage sure does seem bad, but no Leafs goalie was good, and the NHL average save percentage league-wide has been dropping for the last seven seasons, from .915 in 2015/16 down to .907 this past season. That’s the lowest it’s been since it was .905 in 2006/07, which was the second season after the lockout when there were double the powerplays that there is now.
I’m also not here to say that Mrazek’s contract is fine, because it sure hasn’t been so far. I’d still want to try and trade him and see if they can’t find a goalie who hasn’t missed so much time over the past two years in a row with frequent injuries. But all the Hindsight Harry’s out there
MAPLE LEAFS LINKS
Maple Leafs face difficult free agent negotiations from top to bottom | by The Athletic
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Thrilled to share my first book, On The Clock: Behind the Scenes with the Toronto Maple Leafs at the NHL Draft, now available for pre-order and in stores October 4.— Scott Wheeler (@scottcwheeler) June 10, 2022
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We have a trade! A weird trade, but a trade!
Bishop’s cap hit is higher than his actual salary season. Sabres get a free asset in a 7th Rd pick and get a cap hit from Bishop’s remaining year on his deal that helps them get to the cap minimum floor next season. And insurance is covering most of Bishop’s actual cash left. https://t.co/aV9nKsUvU9— Pierre LeBrun (@PierreVLeBrun) June 10, 2022
Bishop has 1 year remaining on his contract at a $4,916,667 cap hit, but is only owed $3.5M in actual salary ($2.5M base and $1.0M SB).— CapFriendly (@CapFriendly) June 10, 2022
We currently show the #Sabres as being $18,970,833 below the floor with 15 contracts on the roster.https://t.co/nXfmDT1fO4 https://t.co/pLV8BJPgJk
I hear the Leafs may be looking for a goalie...
Seravalli said a league executive told him he would trade Demko right now.— Taj (@taj1944) June 10, 2022
Seravalli said he almost fell off his chair when he heard that.
Executive didn't know if Demko's body is going hold up because of his hip issues and said "he's going to be the next Cory Schneider".
I hear the Leafs may be looking for a goaAAAAAAA GOD NO NOT LIKE THIS