clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Probability again: Maple Leafs even more of a safe bet

New, comments

Another win, another set of probability numbers.

NHL: New Jersey Devils at Toronto Maple Leafs
We can only imagine they were looking at the playoff odds go up.
Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports

Yesterday, I did a fun post on the probability that the Toronto Maple Leafs make the playoffs. It had a fun poll, and here are the results:


What do you do to get ready for playoffs.

This poll is closed

  • 5%
    Stock up on beer.
    (34 votes)
  • 9%
    Stock up on chips and beer.
    (56 votes)
  • 30%
    Stock up on chips, beer and hard liquor because this is still the Leafs.
    (187 votes)
  • 6%
    Write out my family’s names on post-it notes so I don’t forget.
    (40 votes)
  • 26%
    This poll is an outrage, you’re jinxing us!
    (163 votes)
  • 21%
    Prepare for the inevitable collapse because we can’t have nice things.
    (128 votes)
608 votes total Vote Now

And 163 of you voted that that post was a jinx! So today, this post is dedicated to you: another set of probability numbers, even higher than the pre-jinx ones were. is a great source for fun graphics and well calculated numbers. Probability theory is not my thing, so feel free to dig into how he calculates it if you like.

His prediction page has an updated chart and the big wheel graphic in a much easier to read format than you get in a tweet.

Someone else who does this is Dom and he has a line graph by division:

His twitter account has a lot of other predictions and probabilities if you want more numbers to look at.

So there you have today’s selection of probabilities. No have your say again on this topic of the “jinx”.


Do you believe in jinxes?

This poll is closed

  • 20%
    Of course not!
    (283 votes)
  • 39%
    Only for the Leafs, we can’t have nice things.
    (544 votes)
  • 20%
    Yes, and this post is a scourge upon the Leafs’ chances.
    (279 votes)
  • 20%
    Is Jinx another new fancy stat?
    (288 votes)
1394 votes total Vote Now