Toronto Maple Leafs @ Minnesota Wild
07:30 PM at Grand Casino Arena
Watch on: TNT, truTV, HBO MAX, SNO

The Leafs last game was away on March 14 against the Buffalo Sabres, which Toronto lost by a score of 3-2 in a shootout. The Leafs have a record of 28-27-12 for a 0.507 Points %.

The Minnesota Wild last played at home on March 14 against the New York Rangers. The Wild lost by a score of 4-2 in regulation, and their current league record is 38-17-12 for a 0.657 Points %.

St. Louis is back to being the fifth to last team in the standings today with a Points % of 0.485. If they continue at that points rate, they will finish with 80 points (rounding up). The Leafs have to finish with 79 points to take that spot in the standings, and they need to play at 0.367 the rest of the season to only get 11 points out of the remaining 15 games.

This has gotten easier for the Leafs to achieve mostly because other teams have won some games. The Rangers are tied with St. Louis right now, meaning out-losing both of them puts the Leafs in fourth last.

Los Angeles is the fourth place team contesting for the two western wild card spots. San Jose holds the second spot with a Points % of 0.547 which would give them 90 points if they maintain that pace. For Los Angeles to get 91 points and take that spot, giving Toronto a second-round pick, they have to play 0.688 the rest of the season. They are at 0.523.

This has gotten harder both because LA lost a game and because San Jose won, and has hit highly implausible levels of outplaying needed by LA.

Them

Minnesota, third in the Central, is 14 points ahead of the first wild card team. They are also six points behind Dallas. They are where they will finish.

The Wild are built from the goal crease out, and they got beat by the Rangers last night because Filip Gustavsson let in two goals over expected while Igor Shesterkin did the opposite.

Unlike the Rangers, the Wild do have some talent not wearing pads, but they are a dull team at five-on-five, with weak power play. They outscore their expected on the power play and at five-on-five. Put that with the usually very solid goalies, and they win a lot of games.

If that sounds a lot like the Sabres and the Ducks, it's because they are a lot like those teams.

Lines

Last Game (2026-03-14) via Daily Faceoff

Kirill Kaprizov - Ryan Hartman - Mats Zuccarello
Marcus Johansson - Joel Eriksson Ek - Matt Boldy
Nick Foligno - Danila Yurov - Vladimir Tarasenko
Nico Sturm - Michael McCarron - Yakov Trenin

Quinn Hughes - Brock Faber
Jonas Brodin - Jared Spurgeon
Jacob Middleton - Zach Bogosian

Jesper Wallstedt - confirmed starter
Filip Gustavsson

Us

They got to Minnesota last night, and any update to the roster will be this afternoon.

Lines

David Alter via Daily Faceoff from yesterday, these are not the official lines, don't complain about the fourth line based on this.

Matias Maccelli - John Tavares - William Nylander
Matthew Knies - Max Domi - Easton Cowan
Dakota Joshua - Bo Groulx - Nicholas Robertson
Michael Pezzetta - Jacob Quillan - Calle Järnkrok

Morgan Rielly - Brandon Carlo
Jake McCabe - Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Simon Benoit - Philippe Myers

Anthony Stolarz - confirmed starter
Joe Woll

The Game

Once again, give it your best shot.

Game Coverage