St. Louis Blues @ Toronto Maple Leafs
07:00 PM at Scotiabank Arena
Watch on: TVAS, TSN4, FDSNMW

The Leafs last game was away on November 15 against the Chicago Blackhawks, which Toronto lost by a score of 3-2 in regulation. The Leafs have a record of 8-9-2 for a 0.474 Points %.

The St. Louis Blues last played at home on November 15 against the Vegas Golden Knights. The Blues lost by a score of 4-1 in regulation, and their current league record is 6-9-4 for a 0.421 Points %.

Them

The Blues should be a muddy middle team. They're okay at five-on-five, with a good offence and an okay defence.

However, they have the honour of the worst Expected Goals rate on the power play that they outscore by a tiny bit making them actually pretty mediocre in that way too.

They're on the good side of mediocre while shorthanded.

Okay, it's gotta be the goalies. That's the only way you take that much meh and turn it into bad. And lo, they have the worst team Save % in all-situations in the NHL.

From Moneypuck and Goals Saved Above Expected per 60, and with at least five games played, the goalie list from the bottom is:

Justus Annunen, Samuel Ersson, Jordan Binnington, Sam Montembeault, Jonas Hohansson, Joonas Korpisalo, Linus Ullmark, Joel Hofer, and hey, let's to the full top 10... Carl Lindbom and Anthony Stolarz.

Lines

Last Game (2025-11-15) via Daily Faceoff

Pavel Buchnevich - Robert Thomas - Jimmy Snuggerud
Dylan Holloway - Brayden Schenn - Jordan Kyrou
Pius Suter - Dalibor Dvorsky - Nick Bjugstad
Alexey Toropchenko - Oskar Sundqvist - Nathan Walker

Philip Broberg - Colton Parayko
Cam Fowler - Justin Faulk
Tyler Tucker - Matthew Kessel

Jordan Binnington - unconfirmed
Joel Hofer

Us

Golly this lineup is bad. It's shocking what happens when you have six regular rostered players, three of them centres, out of action.

Lines

Luke Fox via Daily Faceoff

Nicholas Robertson - John Tavares - William Nylander
Matthew Knies - Max Domi - Easton Cowan
Matias Maccelli - Jacob Quillan - Bobby McMann
Dakota Joshua - Steven Lorentz - Calle Järnkrok

Morgan Rielly - Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Simon Benoit - Jake McCabe
Dakota Mermis - Troy Stecher

Joe Woll - starter
Dennis Hildeby

The Game

Was Woll good last game? Three goals allowed on 3.42 expected puts him as just a hair under Dennis Hildeby's results and a dramatic improvement on Anthony Stolarz or Cayden Primeau.

Not bad for the first NHL game in many months. And much better than the guys who have been allowing 3.42 Expected Against in a game. Hildeby has faced 3.39 per game, Stolarz 2.75, and Primeau 2.07. Everyone has been allowing around 3 goals per game. And that everyone is everyone, as that's a team measure which makes the Leafs a team that needs to score 4 goals on average to win.

This isn't the first time in their modern history that's been true, but it is the crux of what has to change, however that comes about.