Everyone keeps telling us that goalies are extremely important this season, as if that’s new. Now that the Leafs have one less, I want to start us on what we hope will be a season-long experiment in taking your temperature as to how you feel about the goalies.

Frederik Andersen

Age: 31
Contract: $5 million in the final year

Andersen has played 3 games for 180.7 minutes. He has a traditional Save % of .882 and a Fenwick Save % (counted on all unblocked shots, not just shots on goal) of 91.6% which compares to an Expected Fenwick Save % of 93%. The delta is -1.38.

Jack Campbell

Age: 29
Contract: $1.65 million for two years ending in 2022

Campbell has played one game for 59.8 minutes. He has a traditional Save % of .893 and a Fenwick Save % of 93.1% which compares to an Expected Fenwick Save % of 91.3%. The delta is 1.83.

Michael Hutchinson

Age: 30
Contract: $725,000 for two years ending in 2022

Promoted to the Taxi Squad on January 18, has not played in any games this season.


All numbers are from Evolving Hockey and Cap Friendly.

Before the season began, I asked you about Aaron Dell:

Very few people had bought in on the idea of actually playing the third goalie much, so let’s start there. Now that Dell is gone, and Hutchinson is the third, what do you think?

Last five years, in the NHL, their records are:

Dell: 5790 minutes, all with San Jose, with a Save % of .909, and a delta of Fenwick over Expected Fenwick of 0.1
Hutchinson: 4456 minutes on four teams, with a Save % of .901, and a delta Fenwick of -0.89

Dell is approximately league average on his career, and Hutchinson is below league average, but still in the NHL backup zone — just.

How many games will Michael Hutchinson start for the Leafs

None, he’s just a backup backup.301
Less than 10, but not zero.173
Less than 20, but more than 10.5

And now for the Andersen and Campbell question. How are you feeling about them?

How do you feel about Andersen and Campbell?

Andersen is clearly the starter and Campbell should be the backup.268
They should be a tandem and play the same number of games.172
Campbell should play more.71
Campbell should be the starter and Andersen should be the backup.19