Chase Reid may be considered the top defense prospect in the draft, but there are a lot of others in the top 10 who are considered – at least by some scouts, and probably some NHL teams – to be close, if not better. I wouldn't be surprised if as many as seven of the top ten picks this year wind up being defensemen: Chase Reid, Carson Carels, Keaton Verhoeff, Albert Smits, Daxon Rudolph, with lower odds on Ryan Lin or Xavier Villeneuve... and my personal favourite, Malte Gustafsson.
In fact, I think there's a chance that he could wind up being the best overall defenseman of the lot, and yet most rankings I've seen have him at the bottom of that group.
THE BASICS: STATS AND CONTEXT
- Position: Left-shot defenseman
- League(s): U20 Nationell / SHL
- Height: 6'4"
- Weight: 201 lbs
- Birthdate: Jun 11, 2008
Here are his draft rankings, as of writing this:
- TSN NHL Scout Poll: 16th
- Cam Robinson NHL Scout Poll: 15th
- Corey Pronman: 20th
- Will Scouch: 8th
- Elite Prospects: 12th
- Scott Wheeler: 14th
- McKeen's Hockey: 9th
- Upside Hockey: 16th
- NHL Central Scouting: 7th (European skaters)
Gustafsson has many things going for him over someone like Reid – he's even bigger at 6'4" and 201 lbs, and he's half a year younger with a June birthday. He started the year in Sweden's junior league, but played more games in the SHL by the end of the season. He was part of HV71, who wound up playing in the relegation round in BOTH the U20 junior league, and in the SHL... just to give an idea of the strength of the teams he was playing for.
In junior, Gustafsson played in 19 games and had 12 points. That per game rate put him in the top 10 of defensemen at the level, but a tier or two below the true offensive defensemen. He did quarterback the top powerplay when he was in junior, and was second on the team's defense group in points despite only playing 19 games there and not turning 18 until this June. In the SHL, he was teammates with former Leaf legends Axel Rindell and Andreas Borgman. In Gustafsson's 27 games there, he had three points and averaged 11:02 of ice time. His games played were by far and away the most by any defenseman his age – no other U18 defender played in more than six games, and no one but him had even one point. He played more than any U19 defensemen too, and was among the leaders for the U20s.
hv71 vs. leksands if — shl playouts
— cier ୨୧ (@coppeliantics) March 24, 2026
some defense, some offense in overtime from #nhldraft2026 prospect malte gustafsson pic.twitter.com/zHFc9rGXFL
However, Gustafsson played a lot for Sweden's international U18 team. In fact, he was used as their top defenseman in two major tournaments (Hlinka Gretzky and World U18s). At the Hlinka, he was an assistant captain and had 6 points in 5 games which was second in the tournament for defenseman behind teammate Axel Elofsson. He quarterbacked their second powerplay unit, behind Elofsson on the top unit, and also killed penalties. The only game he didn't play 20+ minutes was their first against Germany, where they won 10-0. In the gold medal final against Team USA, he played just under 25 minutes.
At the World U18s that just finished, Gustafsson was again an assistant captain, this time got top powerplay time, and had 5 points in 6 games which was tied for second in the tournament for defensemen. The final three games of the tournament, all elimination games against Canada, Czechia and Slovakia, Gustafsson played 28:10, 29:05 and 26:39 to help win the gold medal. He was named to the all-star team as one of the two best defensemen of the tournament along with the guy named the top defender: Adam Goljer (also a good pick, just saying).
Aside from those two major tournaments, Gustafsson played a combined 16 games in various others for Sweden and had 12 points. That was the second most for Sweden in those tournaments, behind only the aforementioned Elofsson.
THE GOOD: SIZE, MOBILITY, DEFENSE, TWO-WAY POTENTIAL
So the reason why I love Gustafsson is all about his tools and his potential. Of all the other defensemen ranked at the top of the first round, he is tied for the most height with Verhoeff. He is the only one with professional hockey experience already. He's born within 1-2 weeks of the other youngest of that bunch (Verhoeff and Carels). He is arguably only behind Reid for overall mobility. He arguably has the best defense along with Smits or Carels. He's further away for his offensive skills as of right now, but his potential I'd put up there with Carels and only behind Reid and Rudolph. Put that all together, and you have a guy who has the potential to be an elite all-around defenseman.
Let's start with the mobility. Gustafsson is very mobile, able to maneuvers with surprising ease and coordination given how big he looks on the ice. Unlike other big/tall defenders who struggle with clunky movements, he there's no awkwardness to his skating. He can pivot quickly without stumbling, he has smooth edges and can generate a good amount of power, and he has quickness and agility to deke past forecheckers. His skating helps him transition seamlessly from defensive stops to leading the rush, making him a very valuable defender on both sides of the puck. On offense and on the powerplay, he shows a very strong ability to deke past the high forward defending him and carry it deeper into the zone for a more dangerous shot. He is also a good, not necessarily elite passer – he's great at being effective and efficient, but is not yet at an elite level for being a more dynamic playmaker that can create dangerous passes himself.
You can see some examples of his mobility on offense and defense here:
17-year-old Swedish defender Malte Gustafsson was recently promoted to the SHL, and he's looking very impressive playing at that level
— Derek Neumeier (@Derek_N_NHL) January 24, 2026
He's one of the best skaters in the 2026 draft, he's a highly effective 1-on-1 defender, and he even has some offensive pop
Some clips (#78): pic.twitter.com/xbwMvP4wh4
Gustafsson's biggest strength right now is on defense, and it projects to be potentially elite as well. I've described the specific things I value in a defenseman who can actually defend, and he has it all. His skating and reach help him defend the blueline to disrupt rushes, he can snuff out opposition on the cycle, and when he gets the puck in his own end on a dump in or after taking it back he has the agility and playmaking to get it out safely.
Gustafsson is an intense battler who takes pride in the grimy details of defending his own zone. He is great with his positioning and at boxing out opponents on the boards and in front of the net. His net-front presence is a standout trait, as he bulldozes opponents to clear the crease for his goalie. While he isn't the most bruising or physical defenseman in this draft in terms of laying crushing htis all the time, he is very physical in a more intelligent way. He is more suffocating than bruising. He may use his stick to deflect passes or poke the puck away, but he will follow that with a good hit. A lot of scouts I've read think of him as arguably the best overall play-stoppers in the draft.
There are plenty of big defensemen in this raft who are strong defensively and play a shutdown, physical style. What separates Gustafsson from them is that he is also very cerebral, with good awareness and anticipation. He scans the ice a lot, constantly shoulder-checking during breakouts and retrievals to see where pressure is coming from and where the outlets are for skating or passing it out. That combined with his mobility helps him maintain excellent positioning at all times, even if he needs to recover quickly when he's suddenly out of position. On the defensive side – and remember I count retrievals and zone exits as a defensive skill – he has a maturity to his game where it just makes sense that he's one of the few young defensemen to play so much in the SHL.
While he may not be a flashy highlight-reel player, Gustafsson is viewed as a foundational two-way piece who consistently drives positive on-ice results. He is highly effective at "breaking plays and creating exits in the same touch," often repairing his team's mistakes through smart positioning and simple, high-percentage distribution. Coaches clearly trust his reliability, as evidenced by his ability to log massive minutes—upwards of 30 in some international games—while maintaining a quiet, error-prone style that insulates his teammates.
THE FLAWS: CONSISTENCY, PUCK MANAGEMENT, OFFENSIVE CEILING
The issues with Gustafsson's game is more about his current level in specific areas than with being concerned about his projection. His offense, for example, doesn't have the same elite dynamic qualities of Reid or Rudolph. It's not because he's a bad puck handler or passer, but he's too inconsistent with it as of right now to consider him at the top level. But seeing how relatively young he is, how he played more in the SHL where he was playing a more limited and simplified game, I think his projection in those areas is very promising.
Despite having great overall mobility, I've seen some scouts calling out some issues with his skating mechanics. Specifically, he apparently has a tendency to skate with a high center of gravity, which can make him easier to knock off balance in a physical battle. It can also force him to reach with his stick rather than using his body, which shifts his weight forward and limits his mobility in one-on-one battles in open space.
The only other thing that I saw more consistently called out with his game is his tendency to be too aggressive and creating the bad kind of chaos for his team. He can over-commit at times to chase a hit or pinch in the offensive zone when he really shouldn't, taking himself out of position. Even if his skating helps him get back on defense quickly, it's something to his decision making that he'll need to improve on. Thankfully, it's something I think that is more common in younger defensemen and relatively easier to improve on just as they get older, wiser, and more experienced.
OVERALL ASSESSMENT
The most important thing from all of the strengths and weaknesses is how much Gustafsson looked like he improved over this season. His puck handling and passing in particular made some big strides as he adjusted to the SHL, but his defensive consistency came a long way too.
When it comes to the concerns of his offensive level, I'm not worried at all. He may not wind up as good as a Chase Reid to be one of the top offensive defensemen in the league, but I think he'll be someone who can positively contribute to his team's offense – both by turning the puck from defense to offense at an above average level, and by being good at passing the puck and walking the blueline in the offensive zone.
Additionally, while Gustafsson may not turn out to be a top PP1 quarterback in the NHL, I think he can manage it just fine on the PP2. For Sweden, in the Hlinka and World U18s, close to half of his point production came on the powerplay. Yeah, he didn't have a lot of powerplay production in the SHL... he was a 17 year old getting no powerplay time. I also think that the biggest improvements he made this season was with his playmaking, whether it's on breakouts and transitions or creating chances in the offensive zone, the points maybe didn't come but he was doing the right things and executing them successfully more often down the stretch.
So if we were to assign values to each skill a defenseman can have, and it's weighted the way I value defense (from defense out), then assign a number out of 10 for how good all the top defense prospects are for each skill, there's a good chance that Gustafsson winds up either at the very top or damn close to it. The fact that Gustafsson is usually ranked behind them (but the World U18s may change that) would make him a great option to trade down for.
Thanks for reading!
I put a lot of work into my prospect articles here, both for the draft and Toronto's prospects. I do it as a fun hobby for me, and I'd probably do it in some capacity even if PPP completely ceased to exist. But if you like reading my work, some support would go a long way! I pay for a few streaming services (CHL, NCAA, USHL, the occasional TSN options for international tournaments that are broadcast) to be able to reliably watch these prospects in good quality streams. I also pay for some prospect-specific resources, such as tracking data and scouting reports from outlets like Elite Prospects, Future Considerations, McKeen's Hockey, The Athletic, and more.
Being able to get paid for this helps me dedicate more time and resources to it, rather than to second/third jobs. And whatever money I make here, a lot of I reinvest back into my prospect work through in those streaming and scouting services. Like I said, I'd be doing whatever I can afford for this anyway, so any financial help I get through this is greatly appreciated!
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