Analysis
Total 556 Posts
Team, play and statistical analysis of the Maple Leafs, their opponents and the NHL as a whole.
How Not to Execute a Set Play
Face offs are one opportunity for the coaching staff to implement set plays. Unfortunately, in a crucial time in last night's game, the play didn't really seem up to snuff...
David Clarkson's Contract is Maybe, Probably Buyout-Proof
David Clarkson was signed by the Leafs to much fanfare on July 5th, 2013. Things were going so well by December that Chemmy wrote a post about the cost of buying out the Monster from Mimico after his first season. I happened to be thinking of the very same thing
Coincidence vs. Causation, Tyler Bozak, And Defensive Play
Much of what you observe while watching a game is coincidental rather than causal but that's not how much of it will be conveyed.
Trying To Predict The Maple Leafs' February Results
Well - January was almost a complete flop in terms of Expected Results - let's see how February works out
A Few Notes On The Leafs' Recent Hot Streak
There is some good to be gleaned amidst all the statistical noise.
Trying To Predict The Leafs' Record In January
Another stab at predicting the Leafs upcoming results
Do The Maple Leafs Defencemen Give Up The Blueline Too Easily?
Have things changed, or is it just me?
The Leafs' Neutral Zone Backside Pressure
'Inconsistent' is one way of describing their work in this regard.
San Jose's Neutral Zone Backside Pressure
The Sharks' forwards were one reason the Leafs had a hard time gaining the offensive zone.
The Great Carlyle-ac: Predicting The Leafs' Record Until 2014
For a fun exercise, here's a look at the Toronto Maple Leafs' projected results using the log5 method first devised by Bill James.
The Leafs' Penalty Kill Isn't Broken - Your Expectations Might Be
The problem of late with the Toronto Maple Leafs' penalty kill isn't necessarily that it is struggling but that our expectations may have been out of line.
Evaluating Defensive Performance Among The NHL's Defencemen
A look at which defencemen are exceeding defensive expectations after a quarter of the 2013-14 season has been played with a focus on the Toronto Maple Leafs' defence
The Bruins' 1-2-2 Forecheck
The Bruins' aggressive forecheck is just one reason the Leafs are out-matched against the Bruins, but let's take a closer look.
The 1-3-1 Power Play
In response to demand for more systems analysis, what follows is a look at the most popular power play system in the NHL.
Collapsing Defensively And Breakouts 101
The Leafs are known for defensive collapses and collapsing defensively. Both may be the result of coaching strategies. I promise that this post contains no advanced stats.
Tyler Bozak is an awful top 6 center and here’s why
The Leafs (and Randy Carlyle) may have the worst top 6 C selection of any NHL franchise - but Nazem Kadri could be the solution to that problem. *Updated with FANCY NEW NUMBERS*
Same Same But Different
The Leafs goaltending is the main reason they're winning hockey games (so far).
Leafs' Attack Time At The Halfway Mark
If you don't like the look of the Leafs' Corsi and Fenwick numbers from last season, the Leafs' actual time on attack is unlikely to impress you.
Theoretical Goaltending Aging Curve
What trends can we draw out of the SV% data we have since 1984
Takeaways and Giveaways Going Rate
An attempt to fix a fundamental flaw in a counting stat the advanced stat community has looked down on a for a while
Advanced Stats Take On Grit - RGI
What did Ricardo uncover with his Grit Index? Let's find out!
Realistic Expectations For David Clarkson
What sort of range of production makes sense for the Leafs incoming $5.25 mill a year "saviour"?
SDI v2.1 - Shut Down Index 2012-13 - Part 2
The 2nd part of the analysis of SDI v2.1 discusses specific outcomes for the Leafs, shows you the top players from the past 6 years, and links to the data set for the entire NHL for you to explore for yourself.
SDI v2.1 - Shut Down Index 2012-13 - Part 1
The continuing evolution of the Shut Down Index is broken down in this series of postings explaining the analytics at work in assessing defenders.