Analysis

Total 552 Posts
Team, play and statistical analysis of the Maple Leafs, their opponents and the NHL as a whole.

A Few Notes On The Leafs' Recent Hot Streak

There is some good to be gleaned amidst all the statistical noise.

Trying To Predict The Leafs' Record In January

Another stab at predicting the Leafs upcoming results

Do The Maple Leafs Defencemen Give Up The Blueline Too Easily?

Have things changed, or is it just me?

The Leafs' Neutral Zone Backside Pressure

'Inconsistent' is one way of describing their work in this regard.

San Jose's Neutral Zone Backside Pressure

The Sharks' forwards were one reason the Leafs had a hard time gaining the offensive zone.

The Great Carlyle-ac: Predicting The Leafs' Record Until 2014

For a fun exercise, here's a look at the Toronto Maple Leafs' projected results using the log5 method first devised by Bill James.

The Leafs' Penalty Kill Isn't Broken - Your Expectations Might Be

The problem of late with the Toronto Maple Leafs' penalty kill isn't necessarily that it is struggling but that our expectations may have been out of line.

Evaluating Defensive Performance Among The NHL's Defencemen

A look at which defencemen are exceeding defensive expectations after a quarter of the 2013-14 season has been played with a focus on the Toronto Maple Leafs' defence

The Bruins' 1-2-2 Forecheck

The Bruins' aggressive forecheck is just one reason the Leafs are out-matched against the Bruins, but let's take a closer look.

The 1-3-1 Power Play

In response to demand for more systems analysis, what follows is a look at the most popular power play system in the NHL.

Collapsing Defensively And Breakouts 101

The Leafs are known for defensive collapses and collapsing defensively. Both may be the result of coaching strategies. I promise that this post contains no advanced stats.

Tyler Bozak is an awful top 6 center and here’s why

The Leafs (and Randy Carlyle) may have the worst top 6 C selection of any NHL franchise - but Nazem Kadri could be the solution to that problem. *Updated with FANCY NEW NUMBERS*

Same Same But Different

The Leafs goaltending is the main reason they're winning hockey games (so far).

Leafs' Attack Time At The Halfway Mark

If you don't like the look of the Leafs' Corsi and Fenwick numbers from last season, the Leafs' actual time on attack is unlikely to impress you.

Theoretical Goaltending Aging Curve

What trends can we draw out of the SV% data we have since 1984

Takeaways and Giveaways Going Rate

An attempt to fix a fundamental flaw in a counting stat the advanced stat community has looked down on a for a while

Advanced Stats Take On Grit - RGI

What did Ricardo uncover with his Grit Index? Let's find out!

Realistic Expectations For David Clarkson

What sort of range of production makes sense for the Leafs incoming $5.25 mill a year "saviour"?

Making Use of New Ideas - dCorsi

How can dCorsi help us identify player comparables?

SDI v2.1 - Shut Down Index 2012-13 - Part 2

The 2nd part of the analysis of SDI v2.1 discusses specific outcomes for the Leafs, shows you the top players from the past 6 years, and links to the data set for the entire NHL for you to explore for yourself.

SDI v2.1 - Shut Down Index 2012-13 - Part 1

The continuing evolution of the Shut Down Index is broken down in this series of postings explaining the analytics at work in assessing defenders.

How Long Do Attacking Zone Shifts Last?

Breaking down the frequency of attacking zone shifts of various lengths.

What Statistics Are Meaningful In A Given Season?

What numbers really matter when you're worrying about the success of your team?

The Toronto Star Is Almost As Bad As Nonis And Carlyle

The joke is that they sincerely think Tyler Bozak is worth $5 million per year... no seriously... they do... I'm not kidding.

NHL Draft 2013: Andreas Johnson - 7th Round 202nd Overall

With their final pick of the 2013 Draft the Leafs selected this speedy Swedish winger
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